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South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 26th January 2013

Snowangel-MK

By Snowangel-MK
in Regional

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

ukmo at 120

UW120-21.GIF?26-18

at 144

UW144-21.GIF?26-18

watch tomorrows 12z run

could see a push again from our east

will not look any further as too much going on regarding incoming lows at present

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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted

Nothing wrong with dry, sunny and mild, nothing wrong with windy either, I will be at my window watching the trees dancing in the wind. It's the wet part we do not want right now, as I'm quite sure the west country still need to dry out from the soaking from last year.

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Snowangel-MK Accomplished

Snowangel-MK

Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Author
Posted

post-10773-0-49892200-1359222547_thumb.j

Now that's what you call a monster! Pressure now est to be around 939mb and falling...

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?x=322&y=149&run=12&runpara=0&type=0&ext=1

the 4th still showing the cool down

heres why not to follow every gfs run

click on the 06 run

then the 12z run

look at the thick black line which is the main gfs run

now look at the 5th

note a 10 degree difference between the 2 runs in 6 hours fool.gif

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Snowangel-MK Accomplished

Snowangel-MK

Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Author
Posted

Now that's what you call a monster!

post-10773-0-90823000-1359222685_thumb.j

Pressure now est to be around 939mb and falling...

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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted

Now that's what you call a monster!

post-10773-0-90823000-1359222685_thumb.j

Pressure now est to be around 939mb and falling...

Looks like a hurricane, wow.

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Keraunic Seasoned

Keraunic

Posted
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder Storms. All extreme weather.
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
Posted

post-10773-0-49892200-1359222547_thumb.j

Now that's what you call a monster! Pressure now est to be around 939mb and falling...

FROM NORWICH......IT'S THE TWIT OF THE WEEK.....:D

Ooooh! What's this? Have I missed summat while trotting back to Naaaaaaarich. Are we going to get some storms and winds etc?

It's bloomin chilly in my house and still quite a lot of snow here in Nor'.

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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

MT8_London_ens.png

quite a few cold runs showing again from the 4th

got to call fi on the 1st or certainly

the 2nd

here is the pressure map for surrey

messy comes to mind

prmslSurrey.png

heres my ramp chart

gens-0-1-384.png?12

gens-0-0-384.png?12

gens-0-2-384.png?12

taken from the control run rofl.gif

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shotski Seasoned

shotski

Posted
  • Location: Linslade, Beds
  • Weather Preferences: Deep cold
  • Location: Linslade, Beds
Posted (edited)

END OF WINTER FORECAST 2013

This forecast is based on historical events and GEFS, ECM & JMA ensemble members over the last week.

27th Jan to 2nd Feb

Atlantic driven weather for all with temperature at or just above normal with strong wind and heavy rain at times. Flooding

will be the talking point but towards the end of the week pressure starts to rise over scandinavia.

3rd Feb to 9th Feb

High pressure sets up to the north of scandinavia but the uk still remains in an atlantic driven set-up with rain at times and temperatures

start to drop a little below average.

10th Feb to 16th Feb

High pressure over scandinavia collapses and is filled by low heights as high pressure starts to establish it's self over the uk, sitting

just north of the uk as low pressure heads into southern europe. Temperature a little below the normal with very cold nights.

17th Feb to 23rd Feb

Low pressure becomes established over southern europe and high pressure returns to scandinavia as the uk starts to really cool down

with temperatures well below the normal values and heavy snow at times.

24th Feb to 2nd March

The atlantic tries to push in to the UK but ends up under cutting and sinking south as the scandi high starts to retrogress towards greenland

and we end the month with temperatures well below average and a newly established greeny block.

March could be cold .......................................biggrin.png

Edited by shotski
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Ben_Cambs Explorer

Ben_Cambs

Posted
  • Location: South East Cambridgeshire 57m ASL
  • Location: South East Cambridgeshire 57m ASL
Posted

Evening all.

Had a mix of PPN last night, there was a smattering of new snow on the ground this morning. Up to 5C today, only a few patches of snow left now. A mixed bag of weather to come over the next week.

The next 5 days will be dominated by a deep area of LP to the NW of the UK:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm241.gif

A variation in temperatures throughout the next week or so with alternating air masses. For example a polar maritime airmass on Monday:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm482.gif

But a tropical maritime airmass on Tuesday:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm722.gif

GFS maximum temperatures for EA at midday from Sunday to Thursday:

Sunday: 7C

Monday: 5C

Tuesday: 12C

Wednesday: 11C

Thursday: 8C

A windy week to come too, after what has been a very quiet spell of weather wind-wise. For example Monday looking quite windy:

http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20130126/12/51/ukwind.png

Varying weather too, with several bands of rain crossing the region, such as tonight and Tuesday, interspersed with some showers and sunshine too. GFS 12z PPN accumilation up to midday Thursday:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs11714.gif

Maybe becoming colder towards next weekend, but something more akin to more typical British winter weather this coming week.

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HammerJack Community Regular

HammerJack

Posted
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Cold.
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock
Posted

I really hope we get another cold spell soon. Missing the banter and anticipation of snow on here already....

Amazing 6 people on here tonight right now...Surely not watching Splashdiablo.gif ...Must be the Peter C effect!

Yes I'm watching splash.....haha
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lawrenk Veteran

lawrenk

Posted
  • Location: Hailsham, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow and ice days
  • Location: Hailsham, East Sussex
Posted

Tentative signs judging by the main Thread of something stirring for around 10 days time.

Hope we'll all still be on board, for the banter as much as any potential snow!

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tinybill Seasoned

tinybill

Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
Posted

well looking at the m thread and looking into the gfs fantasy world our next cold snap could start about feb 7th if we our lucky!!

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tinybill Seasoned

tinybill

Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
Posted

looking at my rain alarm we in for a very wet night!!!

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HammerJack Community Regular

HammerJack

Posted
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Cold.
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock
Posted

looking at my rain alarm we in for a very wet night!!!

If only that was snow! One can dream I suppose.....
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john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

quick look at ecm

192

ECM1-192.GIF?26-0

ECM0-192.GIF?26-0

216

ECM1-216.GIF?26-0

ECM0-216.GIF?26-0

240

ECM1-240.GIF?26-0

ECM0-240.GIF?26-0

that low pressure over the usa looks like sucking the azores high over the atlantic

blocking to our west and europe cooling right down again

charts getting interesting again smile.png

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Jo S Enthusiast

Jo S

Posted
  • Location: Moreton, Ongar Essex,
  • Weather Preferences: love snow and frosty mornings
  • Location: Moreton, Ongar Essex,
Posted

Blimey so quiet on here,well i know everyone's not in a snow drift,all waiting for exciting will it or wont it emotions wacko.png

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Jo S Enthusiast

Jo S

Posted
  • Location: Moreton, Ongar Essex,
  • Weather Preferences: love snow and frosty mornings
  • Location: Moreton, Ongar Essex,
Posted

Blimey so quiet on here,well i know everyone's not in a snow drift,all waiting for exciting will it or wont it emotions wacko.png

Well at least my grass doesn't grow so quick under this ice,less grass to mow this spring rofl.gif
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Croydondazz Explorer

Croydondazz

Posted
  • Location: Wallington/ Croydon
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and hot summers
  • Location: Wallington/ Croydon
Posted

quick look at ecm

192

ECM1-192.GIF?26-0

ECM0-192.GIF?26-0

216

ECM1-216.GIF?26-0

ECM0-216.GIF?26-0

240

ECM1-240.GIF?26-0

ECM0-240.GIF?26-0

that low pressure over the usa looks like sucking the azores high over the atlantic

blocking to our west and europe cooling right down again

charts getting interesting again smile.png

Love the updates

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