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Far North of England Regional Discussion - January 19th 2013>


Snowangel-MK

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Posted
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and heat, North Sea snow
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne

Heavy snizzle, everything is white again.

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Posted
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and heat, North Sea snow
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne

The 12z NAE looks a bit sleety to me on Monday with high thicknesses (again) and dew points of about 0 near the coast, but still much better than the GFS which would be rain without a doubt, not even marginal. We NEED an eastward or southeastward shift to stay safe, even if that means missing most of the precipitation.

If the NAE was right somewhere like Consett could be looking at 4-8 inches again on Monday.

Edited by Alza
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Posted
  • Location: Near Allenheads,1400 feet up in northumberland
  • Location: Near Allenheads,1400 feet up in northumberland

Feel sorry for the ones that have seen thaws. None at all here. Hopeing for more tonight and monday looking mighty tasty. Might justify a red warning at some point.

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Posted
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl

NAE for Monday looking good for us

13012106_1912.gif

13012112_1912.gif

Some of the region will get a hammering if the NAE comes off for monday morning,higher

ground especially.help.gif

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Posted
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and heat, North Sea snow
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne

Slight upgrade on the 12z GFS, still sleet at low levels though.

Back to snow on Monday evening, significant accumulations again by Tuesday morning. Upgrade on the 6z as we are back north of the 528 DAM line by Monday afternoon. Tis isn't as bad as 2nd/3rd Feb 09 yet, that event had uppers of -2 or -3 rather than -6 to -8 and it rained even at 300m asl.

Edited by Alza
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Posted
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Storms, Snow Thunder, Supercells, all weather extremes
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level

Uppers for Monday

not the best is it gunna be -4 uppers

gfs-1-42.png?12

gfs-1-48.png?12

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Posted
  • Location: Ponteland
  • Location: Ponteland

It has been as they say up in Scotland,a very dreech day, dull with occasional mosly light snow with a slow thaw as temperatures rose to 1.1c,currently dropped to 0.6c. I doubt if we will get anymore accumulations today,I am just hoping we get a frost tonight to firm the snow up.

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Posted
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and heat, North Sea snow
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne

Even for lower levels?

Yep - snow mainly affecting coastal areas by Monday night, but of course if its still marginal it may not lie. Baby steps in the right direction at the moment, but we need to pray that the ECM doesn't trend towards the GFS, we need the GFS to trend more towards the ECM by the morning.

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Posted
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne
  • Weather Preferences: Cold winters and cool, wet summers.
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne

Slight thaw, probably slightly more noticeable the closer to the coast you go but still got a healthy covering.

Odd snizzle showers still passing through. 2c though which suggests the thaw will continue.

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Posted
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and heat, North Sea snow
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne

The UKMO would bring heavy wet snow at low levels, probably erring on the right side of marginal. This could give us quite a few inches of fresh snow, or it could simply wash the lying snow away, but at least the UKMO still isn't joining the GFS in showing rain/sleet.

Edited by Alza
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Posted
  • Location: Near Allenheads,1400 feet up in northumberland
  • Location: Near Allenheads,1400 feet up in northumberland

Latest radar shows north sea pepping up a bit more and heading ene now. Might bring some heafty showers to our snowfest

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Posted
  • Location: Seaton Sluice
  • Location: Seaton Sluice

Latest radar shows north sea pepping up a bit more and heading ene now. Might bring some heafty showers to our snowfest

I hope so ... The thaw here is not leaving us with much compared to what we had last night.

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Posted
  • Location: Near Allenheads,1400 feet up in northumberland
  • Location: Near Allenheads,1400 feet up in northumberland

I hope so ... The thaw here is not leaving us with much compared to what we had last night.

U should come up here. Still no thaw with plenty of snow and some brilliant sledging.

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Storms, Snow Thunder, Supercells, all weather extremes
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level

great result for reading, north sea looks like its coming to life

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Posted
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Showers, Snowy Periods , Blizzards, Cold Weather
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees

needs to its melted here like crazy

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

great result for reading, north sea looks like its coming to life

Yes an excellent result at St James

Anyhow

The north sea is certainly coming to life now maybe some more snow to come as the night goes on then a quieter day tomorrow before some fun and games on Monday

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Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: cold
  • Location: Sunderland

Melt stopped earlier here, intermittent sleet and snow pellet showers... Baltic, not Arctic, and that describes the airflow pretty well.

Greenland high north-easterlies please! Though this is the next best thing, 13cm lying.

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Posted
  • Location: Newcastle Upon Tyne (Forest Hall)
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes
  • Location: Newcastle Upon Tyne (Forest Hall)

the trough which has been sitting across e.scotland all day has been slipping south. Will it run out of steam before it gets to our area?

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