Yorkshire & Lincolnshire Regional Discussion - January 19th 2013>

[MAZ79]

HaHa, i had to really fight myself to not make a dodgy comment then, as soon as i read it my hand got a mind of its own and scurried to the keyboard like

in the Evil Dead. Its a little early for innuendo, dont want anyone spitting quaker oats over their laptop

Yep, only upgrades coming, full of optimism that we're all going to get a pasting tommorrow. Colds going to upgrade too, cold all through next week

which brings us up to Chiono and GP's main SSW ieffect time of the 25th Jan and there'll be prolonged cold well into Feb.

And that ladies and gentleman is todays hopecast.

Haha all this snow porn gone to your head pmsl, anyway yes Lets see loads of upgrades for the next dumping of snow, fingers crossed and other things lol

[sparky1972]

still light rain here, almost washed the snow off the car, things not looking so good i feel, warmer air mixing in with the cold, tomorrow nights event looks mostly rain for down here to,

[Machu Picchu]

This cloud cover isn't helping either.

Could do with some good breaks this evening.

Between showers of course.

Between seriously heavy showers would be good. If we can make it through today without much of a thaw then get a cold -2.0C night we'll be good to go.

Meto have heavy snow for here at 3pm and 6pm, they've downgraded tomorrow though back to a yellow warning.

[johnholmes]

Oh dear!! Latest bbc very bad for us!! Just a York eastwards event. Typical!! And was probably our last good shout at something special!!

Adam can I make a request please please put your town in your avatar as comments about your weather are meaningless unless we can quickly see where you are?

thanks

[Aaron]

Oh dear!! Latest bbc very bad for us!! Just a York eastwards event. Typical!! And was probably our last good shout at something special!!

Don't pay too much attention to them. They change a lot.

Edited January 19, 2013 by Aaron

[Jonathan Lang]

Yes it does look like rain drizzle but...Does drizzle bounce off window sils? Must be still snow

[Letitsnowyorkshire]

I thought it might have been drizzling here too but after being stood in it for 20 mins it's not ha !!

[Adam lufc]

Adam can I make a request please please put your town in your avatar as comments about your weather are meaningless unless we can quickly see where you are?

thanks

Lufc= leeds (north east) (shadwell)

[Aaron]

here's NAE at 48 hours

These are the dew points

2m temperatures

Upper air temperature

Looks pretty good to me, marginal on the coast though.

Edited January 19, 2013 by Aaron

[johnholmes]

the rise in temperatures at the surface in spite of values of -8C or lower at 850mb is just one of those things that happens at times. Predicting snow as I often comment in the model thread is very complex and in situations that we have this morning even more so.

Even the skew-t diagrams show temperatures below zero from the surface but I suspect they have not picked up the slight warming in the bottom 2-3000ft-it happens. As to Sunday into Monday it looks to me a much more unreliable snow situation than the one we had yesterday with surface values above zero C, both T and Td, not much but enough to give doubt over snow at sea level and certainly on the coast a lot of doubt. A few hundered feet elevation may be the difference between sleety rain and snow?

the intensity will also be important, slight or very slight and sleet at most, moderate and it should turn to wet snow, say if the rate is 2mm or more per hour. Evaporational cooling is the technical term to describe what happens.

Edited January 19, 2013 by johnholmes

[Pipine]

The light snow seems to have almost stopped here.

[Adam lufc]

here's NAE at 48 hours

These are the dew points

2m temperatures

Upper air temperature

Looks pretty good to me, marginal on the coast though.

Not good York eastwRds non event typical

[Winter Warmer]

Lufc= leeds (north east) (shadwell)

John means put it in your avatar on your profile or even in your sig makes things alot easier mate

[Aaron]

Not good York eastwRds non event typical

How so? NAE shows widespread snow everywhere. Pick up a map!

[Snowday]

Very fine snow falling here. Won't add much to what's already fallen but every little helps!

[Machu Picchu]

Haha all this snow porn gone to your head pmsl, anyway yes Lets see loads of upgrades for the next dumping of snow, fingers crossed and other things lol

Ha, snow porn, i wonder if that will work when i get banned 'sorry mods, it was the snow porn'

If that red band could push a few miles west to the Pennines we'd be in too, we're pretty lucky up here with snow, it's in the area it

usually finds us. Jinxed it already.

[Machu Picchu]

the rise in temperatures at the surface in spite of values of -8C or lower at 850mb is just one of those things that happens at times. Predicting snow as I often comment in the model thread is very complex and in situations that we have this morning even more so.

Even the skew-t diagrams show temperatures below zero from the surface but I suspect they have not picked up the slight warming in the bottom 2-3000ft-it happens. As to Sunday into Monday it looks to me a much more unreliable snow situation than the one we had yesterday with surface values above zero C, both T and Td, not much but enough to give doubt over snow at sea level and certainly on the coast a lot of doubt. A few hundered feet elevation may be the difference between sleety rain and snow?

the intensity will also be important, slight or very slight and sleet at most, moderate and it should turn to wet snow, say if the rate is 2mm or more per hour. Evaporational cooling is the technical term to describe what happens.

Excellent post, much appreciated John.

[winterof79]

Ha, i'm loving it, going out soon to take some pics so i'll put them on here.

How much did you get in the end, around the 4inch mark?

Yes around 3 to 4 " of the fine powdery variety.

[Machu Picchu]

Oh dear!! Latest bbc very bad for us!! Just a York eastwards event. Typical!! And was probably our last good shout at something special!!

I wouldn't worry too much about what the BBC site shows, they rarely get winter weather right for here so i don't even look anymore.

[Winter Warmer]

are these showers going to pep up later anyone?

[Jeremy Shockey]

very fine ice crystals falling here ........looks like rain ...but is not ......hardly any thaw ....0 c

[NorthYorksWeather]

Anyone know what that Dutch website is called, the one with the rainfall radar for the North Sea? Thanks

[Machu Picchu]

The radars showing it a bit more VA VA VOOOM and the METO have brought the heavy snow earlier to 12pm and 3pm instead of 3pm and 6pm.

Temps also dropping again, back to -1.1C and still snizzling.

[Aaron]

Looks like light snow all day again, temperature rose a bit but has fallen again, -0.6C. 9cm in my front garden. Any more over the weekend would be a great bonus before any full-on thaw arrives (which it will do eventually).

Edited January 19, 2013 by Aaron

[bryan629]

Anyone know what that Dutch website is called, the one with the rainfall radar for the North Sea? Thanks

is this the site your looking for http://europa.buienradar.nl/3daagse.aspx