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Wales Cymru Regional Discussion - January 15th 2013, 12z onwards

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gman Newbie

gman

Posted
  • Location: Pontypool, torfaen, 500ft asl
  • Weather Preferences: cold/snowy or hot and dry
  • Location: Pontypool, torfaen, 500ft asl
Posted

Long time lurker here, excitement levels gone to def-con 4 so felt I had to post!

What sort of time do you guys reckon the snow will hit us here in the valleys , the red zone valleys !! Lol

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swales Apprentice

swales

Posted
  • Location: Llanelli
  • Location: Llanelli
Posted

3.4c here in Pontyates, warmest it has been all day (that's cold for here).

Not sure what to expect, I still haven't got excited yet, trying to keep it in ready to explode if this big snowfall happens.

Air is much drier now with humidity at 74% so that dew point is down below freezing at the moment.

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Gavla Rookie

Gavla

Posted
  • Location: Neath/ Coventry (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Severe disruptive snow or any other severe weather!
  • Location: Neath/ Coventry (work)
Posted

oh the anticipation of this event is killing me, i hope the amounts forecast are right, but im still so nervous due to so many let downs hope this is the one we have all been waiting for in wales good.gif

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leehws Rookie

leehws

Posted
  • Location: Llanfairfechan, North Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Hot & Sunny
  • Location: Llanfairfechan, North Wales
Posted

Whats the chances of snow for North Wales? Just checked the forecast and there is absolutely none forecast!! :(

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CardiffStorm Rookie

CardiffStorm

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff
  • Location: Cardiff
Posted

Strange thing is its dead silent outside wind wise, do you think the sudden wind gush will be a rapid event.

As the front moves closer the wind will pick up. A low pressure centre also forms over the country tomorrow which will increase the wind speed further.

Whats the chances of snow for North Wales? Just checked the forecast and there is absolutely none forecast!! sad.png

I wouldn't expect a huge amount for Colwyn Bay, just because it's on the coast. The further inland you get the higher chance of decent snowfall.

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Telegram 4 Mongo Newbie

Telegram 4 Mongo

Posted
  • Location: swansea 132-138 m ASL now loft converted
  • Location: swansea 132-138 m ASL now loft converted
Posted

Tick tock tick tock .... Refresh radar page , refresh regional discussion page and national model thread , plus met office warning page etc etc .

SUSPENSE !

Sooo calm .....

Aha ! A fir tree begins to stir just marginally more than before ...

Report of rain from Benb brings a sigh , but expected at this time in that location ... Slowly things are changing ...

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CardiffStorm Rookie

CardiffStorm

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff
  • Location: Cardiff
Posted (edited)

Long time lurker here, excitement levels gone to def-con 4 so felt I had to post!

What sort of time do you guys reckon the snow will hit us here in the valleys , the red zone valleys !! Lol

It'll hit the valleys around 6-9am.

Edit: Probably actually a bit earlier than 6am, perhaps 3am.

Edited by CardiffStorm
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soupsurfer7 Apprentice

soupsurfer7

Posted
  • Location: Rogerstone
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: Sunny days 25C Autumn/Spring: Rain and storms Winter:Snow
  • Location: Rogerstone
Posted

I'd day 1 am for south west, 2 am for valleys.

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Gavla Rookie

Gavla

Posted
  • Location: Neath/ Coventry (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Severe disruptive snow or any other severe weather!
  • Location: Neath/ Coventry (work)
Posted

looking at rain today theres showers pepping up by tenby? and i dont know if its the main band behind but it doesnt look like taking long to hit south wales? im getting confused still dont understand everything sorry for the confusion

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georgiedre Enthusiast

georgiedre

Posted
  • Location: caernarfon(gwynedd)
  • Location: caernarfon(gwynedd)
Posted

As the front moves closer the wind will pick up. A low pressure centre also forms over the country tomorrow which will increase the wind speed further.

I wouldn't expect a huge amount for Colwyn Bay, just because it's on the coast. The further inland you get the higher chance of decent snowfall.

your bound to get snow and it may be blowing of the moors your in the shade of the wind whitch would be less pecipitation i believe.. think of the amount of rain you usually have from rain with a se wind..i think its similar

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DeepSnow Community Regular

DeepSnow

Posted
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy Winters, warm stormy spring & sumemr, cool frosty Autumn!
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
Posted (edited)

looking at rain today theres showers pepping up by tenby? and i dont know if its the main band behind but it doesnt look like taking long to hit south wales? im getting confused still dont understand everything sorry for the confusion

That is not the main band, the main band is not currently on the radar, it won't be here until after midnight! That is just what is in front of the main band, from what I can gather from other posts! smile.png Edited by DeepSnow
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CardiffStorm Rookie

CardiffStorm

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff
  • Location: Cardiff
Posted (edited)

looking at rain today theres showers pepping up by tenby? and i dont know if its the main band behind but it doesnt look like taking long to hit south wales? im getting confused still dont understand everything sorry for the confusion

That's not the main band of precipitation. There's more to come that isn't in range of the radar yet. Have a look at sat24.com and you should be able to see the rest on satellite.

@DeepSnow got there before me lol :)

Edited by CardiffStorm
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benb Explorer

benb

Posted
  • Location: Tenby, Pembrokeshire, Wales 30m a.s.l.
  • Location: Tenby, Pembrokeshire, Wales 30m a.s.l.
Posted

looking at rain today theres showers pepping up by tenby? and i dont know if its the main band behind but it doesnt look like taking long to hit south wales? im getting confused still dont understand everything sorry for the confusion

Yep- there's a bit of rain here atm, bits and pieces before the main band- air/dew points not cold enough for snow yet...

The main band is struggling through the SW approaches, where, to my eye the heavier precipitation seems to have slowed its approach now. Satellite images also suggest there's a lot of precipitation behind it that has yet to arrive in the local radar zone.

Temps here hovering around 5c.

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Gavla Rookie

Gavla

Posted
  • Location: Neath/ Coventry (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Severe disruptive snow or any other severe weather!
  • Location: Neath/ Coventry (work)
Posted

That's not the main band of precipitation. There's more to come that isn't in range of the radar yet. Have a look at sat24.com and you should be able to see the rest on satellite.

That sounds good to me thanks, havnt checked that site before, got my grub now then the essential lager is coming out for an all nighter like many others drinks.gif i suppose, cant wait now tease.gif

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Scarlet_Snow Rookie

Scarlet_Snow

Posted
  • Location: Pontarddulais
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and lots of it!
  • Location: Pontarddulais
Posted

Was planning on sleeping earlier tonight and waking up early...don't think im going to be able to sleep full stop! Its all too tense! tease.gif

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baggielad Rookie

baggielad

Posted
  • Location: Mumbles, Swansea 70m asl
  • Location: Mumbles, Swansea 70m asl
Posted

Temp here is Mumbles is relatively high at 4.4, but perhaps more importantly the dew point is dropping and is now at -2.1. However, there is a band of precipitation approaching so will be interesting to see what falls out of the sky.

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bradymk Rising Star

bradymk

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder & Lightning, Thundersnow, Storms, Heatwave
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
Posted
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/haverfordwest#?tab=map&map=Temperature&fcTime=1358409600&zoom=8&lon=-4.29&lat=51.97 this is great for seeing when the temps will drop, its using latest Hi Res output and is very accurate. Shows a huge plummet at around 1am for most.
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Stevetynant Contributor

Stevetynant

Posted
  • Location: Penpedairheol - Rhymney Valley 200m asl
  • Location: Penpedairheol - Rhymney Valley 200m asl
Posted (edited)

Temp slowly dropping here down to 2.8C. Met office forecast has changed a little- it was light snow at 3am then heavy snow 6am to 3pm before turning light snow for the rest of the evening. Now its showing the same up until 3pm when it reverts to light snow but then at 6pm reverts to heavy snow for the rest of the night - temps about -1 minus 7 in the winds with gusts up to 36mph

Gonna be epic- I would be crushed now if this didn't come off.

Reset my weather station outside, supplies in last night, 4 hours working from home in the morning - not sure how much sleep I'll get tonight. Good luck everyone especially in the West and North.

Edited by Stevetynant
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bradymk Rising Star

bradymk

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder & Lightning, Thundersnow, Storms, Heatwave
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
Posted

counting down the minutes until latest NAE, last one before the event, a big one for sure!

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