London & South East Regional Discussion

[tight isobar]

BBC Forecast - Real mixture, rain sleet and snow

ITV Forecast - No mention of rain and sleet, just snow, warning of 10cm over higher ground, showed snow showers Tuesday and Wednesday

Not even the bleeding weather forecasts are consistent channel to channel

as again,for uk,as án island, prone to zonal weather,(atlantic) driven snow is very hard predict, and usualy carries flash warnings ......to which we will see..;-)..LOL.

[Floatylight]

Blimey the nae tells a completely different story for Colchester than gfs!

[john pike]

hi chino

i just got a question

i do understand these and was wondering

do you feel a streamer looks primed on that chart

i do but was wondering what you thought

[Ben_Cambs]

Just like to say good luck to everyone on this thread for next week! Hopefully it will deliver for everyone.

[bobbydog]

So how does it look for West Sussex.im sorry I keep asking this is just a family member has a long journey on Monday and tuesday

if the 'warm sector' materialises, west sussex will be in the area most affected, i.e. rain/sleet for a time during the middle part of the day. (less snow) either side of that time, snow. if the warm sector stays further south and west then it will be all snow. amounts will be decided on the day. however, if your family member has a long journey, they will most likely hit disruptive snow somewhere along the way. if we hit the snow jackpot, they probably won't be going anywhere!

[sarah7meme]

Oooo nw post code forecast gives me snow all day tomorrow

[Jan_Bromley]

Just like to say good luck to everyone on this thread for next week! Hopefully it will deliver for everyone.

Yes Ben, that would be great

[lottiekent]

Just like to say good luck to everyone on this thread for next week! Hopefully it will deliver for everyone.

Same to you! Do pop in and see us..unless you are boasting about your snow drifts while we are sloshing around through the puddles in wellies

[sarah7meme]

Only total mm but nice to see

[chionomaniac]

hi chino

i just got a question

i do understand these and was wondering

do you feel a streamer looks primed on that chart

i do but was wondering what you thought

Of course from that chart it is possible without knowing the other parameters. The question is though, in this ever changing dynamical situation, how likely is that chart to verifying? Hopefully it will!

[MarkQPR]

Which thread should a lost Surrey sheep be posting/being disappointed in?

I'm so confused.....

[Suburban Streamer]

As far as the BBC forecasts are concerned. I've just seen the forecast at 10.57 and I agree it wasn't great for London. However, remember how slow the BBC are to update their forecasts. The nae 18z is an upgrade from the 12z, no question about it and this will no way have been reflected in the BBC forecasts yet....in fact the latest forecast reflects the output from 12z nae and not the 18z. I fully expect the BBC graphics to look much better by morning so keep the faith. Look at jp's analysis of the fax charts and 18z nae as best guidance

Shame we lose bluearmy and teits after the split model thread.....I guess its back to switching between the two threads....

Edited January 12, 2013 by Suburban Streamer

[abruzzi spur]

hi abru

was gonna post a heatwave

John, does the heatwave have a mild sector?!

Please keep up the good work BTW

AS

[john pike]

Of course from that chart it is possible without knowing the other parameters. The question is though, in this ever changing dynamical situation, how likely is that chart to verifying? Hopefully it will!

hi chino

as you say they change

was there as in 120 yesterday so you never know

[bobbydog]

hi chino

i just got a question

i do understand these and was wondering

do you feel a streamer looks primed on that chart

i do but was wondering what you thought

there's some embedded troughs in there john, it could be quite possible. it happened in 2010!

[saint]

Like others, I have ventured over from the dark and scary EA thread to say good luck to everyone here. Remember, don't listen to everything some people say, as some will certainly be going out to wind people up, or will have an agenda. However, I'm sure you'll all do well, and have fun!

[lottiekent]

Which thread should a lost Surrey sheep be posting/being disappointed in?

I'm so confused.....

You are more here in SE thread than East Anglia surely?

[john pike]

Which thread should a lost Surrey sheep be posting/being disappointed in?

I'm so confused.....

hi mark

im in croydon surrey so here should be fine

[abruzzi spur]

Which thread should a lost Surrey sheep be posting/being disappointed in?

I'm so confused.....

Mark, us Surrey-ites are definitely SE not EA. But if you really are a sheep then EA may be your natural home!

AS

[rotation]

Hi all, lurker since the good old 'slow watch' days. Remember that? Lol! Latest nae and faxes look pretty good to me and in such a dynamic situation there will always be changes especially considering the vast array of data available these days. Expect further changes. Also if you don't get what you want on Monday, all is not lost as models suggest further chances of the good stuff thereafter. In the flow suggested into tuesday and Wednesday, I would not be surprised at a few troughs in the flow which could easily penetrate inland. And you know what it feels like winter outside

[john pike]

there's some embedded troughs in there john, it could be quite possible. it happened in 2010!

hi bobby

exactly my thoughts

that would put the icing on the cake

so to speak

Edited January 12, 2013 by john pike

[Ice Day]

Ah, thank god JP's on here to bring a bit of sanity back to this thread. Moaning/groaning/negative posts at the moment are completely beyond my comprehension. Just go back 10 days, check the charts and then compare to what we have now; all the models are stacked with potential for this week (and possibly beyond). I would say that we are best placed in the whole UK to benefit from this. I bet those from the west would be shaking their heads at some of the posts in here this evening!!

[Thinon]

Even if we do get a modest accumulation of snow on Mon/Tues, I can't see it staying on the ground fore longer than a day. Ground temps 2-3C plenty of sunshine..

[Southender]

hi chino

i just got a question

i do understand these and was wondering

do you feel a streamer looks primed on that chart

i do but was wondering what you thought

Sorry to jump in.

Looks nice enough.

Pressure a tad high though.

But great flow for a Streamer I reckon.

Decent wind speed, very low uppers and a warm N.Sea.

Could produce...

One to watch!

Edited January 12, 2013 by Shrimper

[bobbydog]

hi bobby

exactly my thoughts

that would put the icing on the cake

so to speak

i give you good news and you call me that! how rude! lol

heh heh- i see you edited it- 'booby' indeed......

Edited January 12, 2013 by bobbydog