London & South East Regional Discussion

[tight isobar]

I think the overall picture needs addressing here.this is a developing situation, with upgrades and or downgrades inevitable, and remembering,precip,in the form of snow is by far the hardest precip, even for the most seasoned forecaster,my view is with all in the reliable, and upper air temps, in our part, most if not all will be falling white. But with bigger doubts(as always) raised for southern coastal regions.

[abruzzi spur]

try and do the fax charts and see what these say

tomorrow looks mainly dry

weak easterly wind aound anglia way

strong around the south east

light showers of snow are possible for the far south east

monday night looks bitterly cold

staying mainly dry

freeezing fog and temps between -3 to-6

monday

starts dry

during the afternoon from 2pm onwards the front from the north west

hits the south east

now the warmer mix of air in my eyes is way to the west of london

expect whats hits from that to be snow

i will point out that the front does look weaker than last night

monday night

-6 to -8 uppers

fully under 528 dam air

heavy snow and very cold

sub zero temperatures

tuesday

snow showers some heavy throughout the day

sub zero temperatures

winds east to north east

update rest soon

Hi John, yet again many thanks for your interpretation.

I am going to post my new weather station readings for the last time tonight (probably):

Temp: far too high

Dewpoint: hopeless

Pressure: not conducive

Wind direction: extreme south-westerly

Preciptation type: tropical rain

Wet bulb: not just wet, soaked

SSW: TTFN

Honestly, reading some of the posts tonight it could have been right!

AS

Edited January 12, 2013 by abruzzi spur

[john pike]

gonna wait until tomorrow to update these

however wednesday is bitter with snow showers

easterly wind and strong

STREAMER?

528 dam air still over us

thursday

bitter north east wind

528 dam air over us

very cold but dry (at present)

[essexweather]

NAE looks fine, snow inland across all parts of the South-East.

Never had much interest in GFS precip output.

[sarah7meme]

For John pike

Models aside

What's your instinct feeling on this?

[bobbydog]

fax charts for whoever wants them- http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=charts;type=fax;sess=

[john pike]

I've told everyone I know to expect heavy snow on Monday. I'm going to look like a right idiot if it starts pouring with rain.

I've told everyone I know to expect heavy snow on Monday. I'm going to look like a right idiot if it starts pouring with rain.

it wont

[dubmuffin]

My money is on JP calling this one right, after all, he got my fireworks party forecast spot on (Thanks John)

Edited January 12, 2013 by dubmuffin

[Nikkib74]

Hmmm, well I just bought a sledge and I've had a bet with my brother - if it snows, he does my garden for a month in spring, if it doesn't, I cook him a lamb roast next sunday.

I've gotta say, the sheer pleasure of handing him the keys to the garden shed and the absolute smugness it will bring is what I'm hoping for (that and the pleasure of loving the snow)..... But on a positive note, I do cook a damn mean roast...

[Essex Chelle]

JP your my hero so don't go switching regions or else ill become your stalker lol

[john pike]

For John pike

Models aside

What's your instinct feeling on this?

For John pike

Models aside

What's your instinct feeling on this?

hi sarah

have a look at page 2

this is what i feel will happen

however if we get some warmer air wrapped up

in the front monday afernoon no worries as in the evening we get dolloped

i do expect the afternoon front to be snow but not heavy first of all

[Jimmyh]

Message to JP the equation of rain to snow is each millimetre = a centremetre is this correct

[Southender]

NAE looks fine, snow inland across all parts of the South-East.

Never had much interest in GFS precip output.

Essex coast/Estuary ok?

[abruzzi spur]

Hmmm, well I just bought a sledge and I've had a bet with my brother - if it snows, he does my garden for a month in spring, if it doesn't, I cook him a lamb roast next sunday.

I've gotta say, the sheer pleasure of handing him the keys to the garden shed and the absolute smugness it will bring is what I'm hoping for (that and the pleasure of loving the snow)..... But on a positive note, I do cook a damn mean roast...

sounds like a win/win Nikki!

[john pike]

Hi John, yet again many thanks for your interpretation.

I am going to post my new weather station readings for the last time tonight (probably):

Temp: far too high

Dewpoint: hopeless

Pressure: not conducive

Wind direction: extreme south-westerly

Preciptation type: tropical rain

Wet bulb: not just wet, soaked

SSW: TTFN

Honestly, reading some of the posts tonight it could have been right!

AS

hi abru

was gonna post a heatwave

[snowy weather]

So how does it look for West Sussex.im sorry I keep asking this is just a family member has a long journey on Monday and tuesday

[john pike]

Message to JP the equation of rain to snow is each millimetre = a centremetre is this correct

hi jimmy

thats correct

[Thinon]

Silly idea to split up the thread.. The information pool has effectively been halved.

[fluid dynamic]

I like that technical term 'dolloped'

[SupaSnowy]

I always thought Kent did really well with snow and thunderstorms, I remember when I lived there for a year back in 2004/2005ish, soon as I arrived there was thunderstorms pretty much most of the day, then in the winter I remember alot of snow fell on one week kept falling in the mornings.

Then I moved back to Hampshire and nothing happens haha. So I'm sure you guys in the south east will do well sometime next week. Looking at the charts it looks pretty cold all week,and snow always pops up somewhere, well most times anyway.

[Met4Cast]

BBC Forecast - Real mixture, rain sleet and snow

ITV Forecast - No mention of rain and sleet, just snow, warning of 10cm over higher ground, showed snow showers Tuesday and Wednesday

Not even the bleeding weather forecasts are consistent channel to channel

Edited January 12, 2013 by Daniel Smith

[Marie]

Right I'm off to bed,can't cope with reading anymore posts in the MOD thread or in here to be honest ,I'm so confused.Will be back tomorrow ,lets all keep everything crossed especially us on the south coast for Snow.Night everyone 😄

[Floatylight]

Well not in the red bit for ea,but I get the Anglian news lol

[chionomaniac]

Silly idea to split up the thread.. The information pool has effectively been halved.

I have an idea that will raise the IQ of both threads......

[essexweather]

Essex coast/Estuary ok?

The modified NAE looks fine Monday night into Tuesday, The marginal period is 15Z - 21Z from what I can see.