South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - January 12th 2013>

[Jezzer]

Its just started raining here

wouldn't worry about that, it's just clearing its throat ready for next week!

[john pike]

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ukmo2.php?nh=0&carte=1007&ech=6&archive=0

Ukmo 00z. Wow

T72 massive dollop alert for tuesday.

I'm buying shares in salt :-)

[yamkin]

GFS 0Z has upgraded the colder period to next weekend.

Monday/Tuesday heavy snow event is still on the cards

Edited January 12, 2013 by yamkin

[john pike]

Lovely yamkin

Better get some kip now

Talk later

[geminitracie]

Well that was worth waiting up for ! Bed now I think 😴😴

[yamkin]

Lovely yamkin

Better get some kip now

Talk later

Same here JP. Woke up with that warm glowing tummy feeling and just had to quickly view the models with delight. According to UKMO, -4c upper temps will be over the SE from 12h which indicates a wintry mix

[lewis028]

I do love it when the models constantly show a snow event, surely its in the bag..

[Snow-Angel]

Are we expecting this second band of precipitation to be of a more wintery nature this afternoon ?

[Radiating Dendrite]

Some rain here, but temp is only 2.1c.

Looking forward to snow opportunities from this evening onwards!

[Jimmyh]

This is getting exciting now wot with yamkins updates and the meltdown expected in the mod thread of excitement 2009 possibly on the cards with constant reloads on the way this could be epic

[Great Plum]

Well that was worth waiting up for ! Bed now I think 😴😴

I know, great charts and it prolongs the cold to next week and beyond! Lets see what the ECM says!

[Snowy Easterlies]

ECM says no

[Great Plum]

ECM says no

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1201.gif

Seems against the other models... I tend to back which ever of the models follows the UKMO!

[abruzzi spur]

ECM says no

Frustrating isn't it. When will this uncertainty end?

Light rain here.

[Snowy Easterlies]

its bloody typical just as the GFS comes round ECM jumps ship, look how different it is compared to GFS and UKMO

[Dan the Man]

Flipped on its head. BUT remain calm. This was always going to be a rollercoaster. That chart is well beyond FI at T72. A hell of a lot of uncertainty.

As for Monday, I'd be interested to see the speed of that system and whether it stalls over our region.

One thing is for certain - I wouldnt want to be a forecaster right now!

[tinybill]

morning just looked at the gfs to us in the east by Friday and deep into fantasy world we will be digging ourselves out or walking to work !! and i got about 10 miles each way!!, or get my bike out to the train station

[Great Plum]

I'm going with the MOGREPS which according to Ian F will keep us below average until early Feb !

[Ben_Cambs]

I'm noticing the fact that the GFS is putting any breakdown further and further back.

But anyway, still looks fine for Monday's, into Tuesday's snow on the 0z.

[Jayces]

Morning all, big up to John and his great updates and great to see Yamkin back to his old ramping self ;-)

I've got me NW radar subscription renewed (thanks Surrey) and there is mostly rain around but sleet from Wolverhampton down to North London and showing it turning to snow around Wolverhampton now.

Monday Tuesday looking better and better each day which is great because normally as the events get closer they seem worse.

As for beyond that, i'd advise not to take anything beyond T72 for granted.

The models just don't know how to handle our current weather. This may be due to the stratosphere thingy who knows.

For now chance of snow today but doubt it will settle and then the debate on whether to go to work Monday and risk getting stuck in a snowy rush hour jam in the evening

[SHM040519]

If the front stalls, we will get a lot of snow!

I fully expect the met office to update the warnings today for amber for us...

[Amanzi]

If the front stalls, we will get a lot of snow!

I fully expect the met office to update the warnings today for amber for us...

That would be wonderful! I have however noticed that for my area meto have changed from light/heavy snow showers to light snow and sleet for Monday. The length of time (for snowfall) has been shortened and it seems to have brought the timing forward as well.

[bluearmy]

Too early to worry about amounts yet. If the front just goes through, then maybe only 5 cms typically. If it slows or develops on the front then we might double that. at least it hasnt shifted track particularly.

[Wivenswold]

Alex Deakin has tweeted that there will be snow showers in the East tonight. Hopefully that includes East Anglia.

[Jimmyh]

Morning guys first update heavy sleet in sanderstead here at my mums