By ZONE 51
Today there is the risk of damaging winds in places, gales are likely to affect many areas away from the storm zone, warnings have been issued, trees are quite leafy so a risk of falling trees, damage to some structures is a possibility, most areas seeing very windy weather rather than any damaging winds but Northern Ireland , Wales , Northern England and Scotland would see High Winds in many places, for the South it is likely to be a very gusty day here to, a swath of winds moving through the high risk areas could be enhanced by convective activity so increasing the risk of damage, please see warnings for the areas of risk, i have drawn up a risk map-this using wind strength charts using the main models.
the map covers thursday and possibly into the early hours of friday to.
Convective activity is likely for many, this would produce torrential rain, severe squally gusts, hail, there is a seperate thread for this, please use this thread to chat/discuss the winds today.
-Gale Risk Map
next is the surface pressure charts
NAE precipitation - below
next is the GFS Jet Stream 300hpa
data - UKMO/ECM 12z - GFS/NAE 18z
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