Southwest & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 3rd January 2013>

[Coast]

Cold easterly flow and ( the last couple of sentences) signal for heavy PPN in SW.

I'm not sure if that's a slight IMBY bias, if Ian pops in here perhaps he can let us know a bit more on his thoughts on that one!

[AWD]

I'm not sure if that's a slight IMBY bias, if Ian pops in here perhaps he can let us know a bit more on his thoughts on that one!

You've been in here more than your hometown, SE thread.

Is it because you sense the SW will be stuck under feet of snow soon?

Go on, say it's true? :p

[Coast]

Go on, say it's true?

At this point?

[cerneman]

You've been in here more than your hometown, SE thread.

Is it because you sense the SW will be stuck under feet of snow soon?

Go on, say it's true?

Reserving his Deckchair on beach, ready for our hot summer

[TwisterGirl81]

Please let us get a really heavy snowfall and preferably on a weekend

We always luck out on any major snowfall (apart from in 2010/11)

[Coast]

Reserving his Deckchair on beach, ready for our hot summer

Maybe I will pop down there. I know a great restaurant In Bournemouth:

http://www.cristallo...urant.com/food/

and I normally pop over to Swanage for a long weekend!

Edited January 4, 2013 by Coast

[gottolovethisweather]

I'm loving the last sentence......

Indeed, I have had a gut feeling about channel lows bumping into the frigid air further East for many months now. Here were my thoughts back in November.

http://forum.netweat...60#entry2404486

Still a long way yet and also a lot to prove in terms of anything really cold but when the MetO are interested in the probability of it happening then so should we be.

Edited January 4, 2013 by gottolovethisweather

[gottolovethisweather]

I also feel that it is worth bringing up this post as why we shouldn't fall into the trap of believing that everything coming out from the models will deliver as forecasted. That would be like suggesting that everything you read in a newspaper is true.

http://forum.netweat...00#entry2406362

Righty ho, off to see what the GFS 12z looks like today.

Edited January 4, 2013 by gottolovethisweather

[davecornwall]

Very stressful times ahead me thinks!

[AWD]

Very stressful times ahead me thinks!

Welcome to the daily ritual of Netweather!

[fergieweather]

I'm not sure if that's a slight IMBY bias, if Ian pops in here perhaps he can let us know a bit more on his thoughts on that one!

Don't lose sight that ppn can mean rain - not snow! Needs stressing!!

[davecornwall]

Well, with all this 'buzz' going on does anyone out there think we're in a better position than we were late November / early December. It does feel better but I distinctly remember having the feeling of being let down big time in December.

Any wise words on the subject apart from all the obvious 'health warnings'!!!

[quantock girl]

Don't lose sight that ppn can mean rain - not snow! Needs stressing!!

nooooooooo - don't tell us that YET! Yout tempted us the other night on Points West mentioning some 'changes' later in the month. Organise a snowman fest instead!!!

[khodds]

But you ARE a little bit excited aren't you Ian....?!

[AWD]

Well, with all this 'buzz' going on does anyone out there think we're in a better position than we were late November / early December. It does feel better but I distinctly remember having the feeling of being let down big time in December.

Any wise words on the subject apart from all the obvious 'health warnings'!!!

I do purely because in December it was the easterly or nothing. There was no margin for error.

This time we have a margin for error. If the first attempt doesn't succeed, which it quite possibly won't, with further Strat warming's & wave activity feeding into the troposphere, we will have further attempts down the line, into February etc.

Nothing is guaranteed with the UK weather. All we can do is increase the chances of cold to our best potential. We are doing that now, but we will always need that elusive bit of luck to finish the job.

Enjoy the ride!

[Coast]

Don't lose sight that ppn can mean rain - not snow! Needs stressing!!

Oh, best not tell us that then!! :lol:

[gottolovethisweather]

Well, with all this 'buzz' going on does anyone out there think we're in a better position than we were late November / early December. It does feel better but I distinctly remember having the feeling of being let down big time in December.

Any wise words on the subject apart from all the obvious 'health warnings'!!!

Yes I would imagine, the nearby continent should be at its coldest and it's coming at a much more favourable time, i.e. almost mid Winter.

[cerneman]

Would the North Sea also be few degrees colder than in december

[davecornwall]

Thanks for the replies.

[quantock girl]

Would the North Sea also be few degrees colder than in december

I think the sea temp round here (Somerset/Devon) was about 12 degrees in December and may have helped the Atlantic depressions sweep in (??). Not that I surf come the end of October - being a complete wimp - but husband does (mad!) and he said it was warm. I wonder what the sea temp was when we DID get the snow???

[cerneman]

I think the sea temp round here (Somerset/Devon) was about 12 degrees in December and may have helped the Atlantic depressions sweep in (??). Not that I surf come the end of October - being a complete wimp - but husband does (mad!) and he said it was warm. I wonder what the sea temp was when we DID get the snow???

http://forum.netweat...9-will-it-snow/ Edited January 4, 2013 by cerneman

[AWD]

Something more seasonal at least being shown now, with the potential of something a little colder too as the month progresses in our part of the world;

It's trending the right way, just need this trend to continue and materialise now.

[mrsmall]

Top job fergie describing an ssw on the bbc!

[Bristawl Si]

Ian mentions the SSW on tonight's forecast just now, in prep for POSSIBLE change to colder weather in 2nd half of January.

Top bloke in our neck of the woods - we're lucky!

[AWD]

Top job fergie describing an ssw on the bbc!

Didn't see the forecast. Look forward to catching it on Iplayer later.

The media will be going SSW mad soon.