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Please note, in the September contest table of entries, one of the three late by one day entries was not included in the table although the count reflects their entry. So add "seaside60" at 14.9 C as (late 1d - 2). I have sent a note along to J10 to reduce chances of this oversight having any impact on contest scoring later. My apologies. 

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5 hours ago, Roger J Smith said:

Please note, in the September contest table of entries, one of the three late by one day entries was not included in the table although the count reflects their entry. So add "seaside60" at 14.9 C as (late 1d - 2). I have sent a note along to J10 to reduce chances of this oversight having any impact on contest scoring later. My apologies. 

This has now been edited and please don't apologise, you doing this is very helpful in the running the CET comp and the rainfall comp is also very popular. 

I should thank you more often.

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Comparison of NCIC and Hadley EWP scoring, updated Hadley scoring for normals

The Hadley scoring for EWP has been using NCIC normal values. The Hadley normal values are slightly higher in most cases which changes the scoring for just the two normals (no change to any other scores). 

MONTH ____ NCIC 1981-2010 __ Hadley 1981-2010 ___ NCIC 1988-2017 __ Hadley 1988-2017 __ (Dec only 1987-2016)

__ Jan _____ 91.4 ____________ 93.0 _______________ 95.8 ____________ 97.9 

__ Feb _____ 66.2 ____________ 66.5 _______________ 73.3 ____________ 73.2

__ Mar _____ 70.0 ____________ 71.5 _______________ 62.5 ____________ 64.1

__ Apr _____ 61.6 ____________ 64.8 ________________60.0 ____________ 63.2

__ May _____ 61.1 ____________ 63.6 ________________61.1 ____________ 62.7

__ Jun _____ 64.1 ____________ 66.3 ________________66.2 ____________ 68.5

__ Jul ______65.4 ____________ 67.3 ________________71.1 ____________ 73.1

__ Aug _____ 73.0 ____________ 75.6 ________________75.9 ____________ 79.2

__ Sep _____ 74.7 ____________ 77.2 ________________71.1 ____________ 73.4

__ Oct _____100.8 ____________104.1 ________________96.6 ___________100.1

__ Nov _____ 96.5 ____________100.4 ________________97.0 ___________ 101.9

__ Dec _____ 98.1 ____________ 97.4 ________________99.5 ____________100.1 __ NCIC 98.1 _ Had 98.3

______________________________________________________________

Scoring for the two normal values in Hadley version of scoring (same Dec - Feb, also June)

RANK ___________________________ Dec_Jan_Feb_Mar_Apr_May_Jun_Jul_Aug __ totals (Had,NCIC)

(15) __ average 1981-2010 __________7.6 _6.6 _5.5 _5.1 _2.7 _6.4 _3.2 _1.3 _9.9 __ 48.3 _ 48.5 

(18) _ average 1988-2017 (Dec 87-16)_ 7.7 _8.3 _3.9 _3.7 _2.7 _7.1 _2.4 _0.9_ 9.0 __ 45.7 _ 44.8

 

 

 

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One error to note in the above table, the last line (Dec) should read

__ Dec _____ 96.3 ____________ 97.4 ________________99.5 ____________100.1 __ NCIC 98.1 _ Had 98.3

The corrected entry is 96.3 for NCIC 1981-2010, the rest of the table is correct (after a check). 

Also, the first three scores for NCIC normals need to be adjusted, this is because there was only one scoring table for Dec, Jan and Feb before I was aware of the two different systems (NCIC, Hadley) so I was using Hadley normals at that time. These are the corrected NCIC scores for the two normal values:

(16) _ average 1981-2010 ________7.5 _6.4 _5.3 _5.0 _2.6 _6.4 _3.2 _1.4_10.0 __ 47.8

(T22)_average 1988-2017 (D 87-16) 7.9 _7.5 _3.9 _3.4 _2.4 _6.4 _2.4 _1.1 _9.0 __ 44.0 

 

 

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EWP scoring for September 2018 (NCIC version) based on 64.0 mm

-- this table is provisional, posting so I don't lose the work

-- subject to revisions when actual NCIC total is posted (based on 2 mm less than Hadley 66 mm at present)

-- scores near top of table are more likely to change than those lower down

-- unless this turns out to be correct will be reposting final version around 4-5 October. 

 

RANK _ FORECASTER ____________ F'cast ____ Error ___ score

__ 01 __ CheesePuffScott __________ 64.0 ______ 0.0 ____ 10.0

__ 02 __ J10 _____________________65.0 ______+1.0 _____ 9.8

_ T03 __ LetItSnow! _______________ 62.0 ______--2.0 _____ 9.5

_ T03 __ GBRunner12 _____________ 66.0 ______+2.0 _____ 9.5

__ 05 __ Stargazer ________________ 67.0 ______+3.0 _____ 9.0

__ 06 __ jonboy ___________________60.0 ______--4.0 _____ 8.8

__ 07 __ Relativistic ________________60.0 ______--4.0 _____ 8.6 (+1d late .. 8.8 -- 0.2)

__ 08 __ Radiating Dendrite _________ 71.0 ______+7.0 _____ 8.3

__(09) _ average 1981-2010 ________ 71.1 ______+7.1 _____ 8.2

__ 09 __ JeffC ____________________ 74.0 _____ +10.0 _____ 8.0

__ (10) _ average 1988-2017 ________74.7 _____ +10.7 _____ 7.9

__ 10 __ Midlands Ice Age __________ 53.0 _____ --11.0 _____ 7.8

__ 11 __ Dr(S)No _________________ 75.5 _____ +11.5 _____ 7.5

_ T12 __ Captain Shortwave

______________ virtualsphere _______52.0 _____ --12.0 _____ 7.3

_ T14 __ Dami, The Pit, Norrance ____ 50.0 _____ --14.0 _____ 6.8

_(T14) __ consensus ______________50.0 _____ --14.0 _____ 6.8

_ 17 __ Roger J Smith ______________49.5 _____ --14.5 _____ 6.0

_ 18 __ Singularity _________________49.0 _____ --15.0 _____ 5.8

_ 19 __ Kirkcaldy Weather ___________47.6 _____ --16.4 _____ 5.5

_ 20 __seaside60 __________________47.0 _____ --17.0 _____ 5.1 (+1d late, 5.3 -- 0.2)

_ 21 __ ==MeteoMan== _____________46.2 _____ --17.8 _____ 5.0

_ 22 __ Stationary Front _____________46.0 _____ --18.0 _____ 4.8

_T23 __Reef, davehsug _____________ 45.0 _____ --19.0 _____ 4.5

_ 25 __ vizzy2004 __________________44.0 _____ --20.0 _____ 4.0

_ 26 __ PolarGael __________________85.5 _____ +21.5 _____ 3.8

_ 27 __ Bobd29 ____________________87.0 _____ +23.0 _____ 3.5

_T28 __ syed2878, weather-history,

_________________ Mulzy, Don ______ 40.0 _____ --24.0 _____ 3.3

_ 32 __BornFromTheVoid ____________ 38.0 _____ --26.0 _____ 2.3

_ 33 __ AlexisJ9 ___________________ 95.0 _____ +31.0 _____ 2.0

_T34 __AllWeather, David Snow ______ 30.0 _____ --34.0 _____ 1.8

_ 36 __ Godber.1 __________________ 22.0 _____ --42.0 _____ 1.3

_ 37 __ EdStone ___________________ 17.0 _____ --47.0 _____ 1.0

_ 38 __ Blast From The Past __________12.0 _____ --52.0 _____ 0.8

_ 39 __  weather26 _________________128.0 _____ +64.0 _____ 0.5

_ 40 __ Steve B ____________________156.0 _____ +92.0 _____ 0.3

_ 41 __ Lettucing Gutted _____________200.0 _____+136.0_____ 0.0

==============================================================

 

Updated EWP annual scoring (NCIC version) for Dec 2017 to Aug 2018

 

Rank _ Forecaster _____________Dec_Jan_Feb_Mar_Apr_May_Jun_Jul_Aug_Sep __TOTAL_ previous rank

_01 __ SINGULARITY ___________5.2 _7.2 _9.8 _7.7 _6.4 _8.0 _5.7 _9.2 _7.7 _5.8 __ 72.7 ____ 01

_02 __  J10 ___________________ 4.4 _7.6 _0.7 _8.3 _9.2 _9.8 _4.3 _8.6 _5.4 _9.8 __ 68.1 ____ 05

_03 __ JONBOY _______________ 9.2 _7.8 _6.4 _9.6 _7.5 _3.7 _0.6 _6.3 _4.4 _8.8 __ 64.3 ____ 06

_04 __ DON __________________ 1.8 _6.1 _7.4 _8.3 _8.8 _4.3 _6.8 _6.3_10.0 _3.3 __ 63.1 ____ 02

_05 __ POLAR GAEL ___________ 4.6 _9.4 _8.6 _2.6 _8.2 _9.6 _8.4 _5.5 _2.1 _3.8 __ 62.8 ____ 03

(06) __ consensus _____________5.2 _6.3 _5.0 _5.7_7.7 _5.3 _5.3 _8.8 _5.5 _6.8 __ 61.6 ____ (08)

_06 __ MIDLANDS ICE AGE ______3.4 _3.3 _9.8_10.0_3.6 _3.0 _8.6 _5.3 _5.7 _7.8 __ 60.5 ____ 09

_07 __ NORRANCE ____________ 7.0 _2.2 _8.4 _9.3 _5.4 _9.4 _1.2 _3.6 _6.4 _6.8 __ 59.7 ____ 08

_08_ CHRISBELL-nottheWxMAN _10.0 _6.8 _2.6 _6.4 _4.0 _3.9 _9.2 _7.8 _8.2 _---- __ 58.9 ____ 04

_09 __ DR (S) NO ______________ 9.8 _8.8 _1.2 _6.2 _6.4 _2.4 _2.4 _3.7 _9.1 _7.5 __ 57.5 ____ 10 

_10 __ RADIATING DENDRITE ___ 2.0 _2.4 _8.7 _4.5 _2.0 _7.8 _9.4 _9.2 _2.8 _8.3 __ 57.1 ____ 12

_11 __  BORN FROM THE VOID___6.4 _9.8 _3.5 _5.7 _7.5 _9.0 _1.8 _7.4 _3.3 _2.3 __ 56.7 ____ 07

_(12) _ average 1981-2010 _______7.5 _6.4 _5.3 _5.0 _2.6 _6.4 _3.2 _1.4_10.0_8.2 __ 56.0 ____ (16)

_12 __ SEASIDE 60 ____________ 5.8 _4.5 _4.8 _8.8 _8.4 _5.1 _5.9 _4.5 _1.8 _5.1 __ 54.7 ____ 11

_13 __ REEF __________________ 9.0 _5.3 _2.8 _3.8 _1.8 _7.4 _3.0_10.0_5.4 _4.5 __ 53.0 ____ 14

_(14)_average 1988-2017 (D 87-16) 7.9_7.5 _3.9 _3.4 _2.4 _6.4 _2.4 _1.1 _9.0 _7.9 __ 51.9 ____ (T22)

_14 __ MULZY _________________7.0 _8.6 _6.7 _0.9 _1.8 _8.2 _4.3 _8.0 _2.5 _3.3 __ 51.3 ____ 15

_15 __ LET IT SNOW ! __________ ---- _----_ 8.8 _6.5 _4.7 _3.5 _9.6 _0.8 _7.3 _9.5 __ 50.7 ____ 26

_16 __ DAVID SNOW____________ 2.2 _3.3 _8.6 _5.7 _5.4 _2.2 _7.0 _4.5 _9.8 _1.8 __ 50.5 ____ 13

_17 __ STARGAZER ____________ 1.4 _9.4 _2.4 _7.1 _2.7 _4.5 _6.5 _6.7 _----_9.0 __ 49.7 ____ 28

_18 __ SYED2878 ______________ 4.8_10.0_3.8 _5.0 _2.2 _6.1 _3.2 _1.8 _9.1 _3.3 __ 49.3 ____ 20

_19 __ RELATIVISTIC ___________8.4 _2.2 _7.4 _1.2 _4.7 _0.4 _0.6 _6.3 _8.7 _8.6 __ 48.5 ____ 31

_20 __ GODBER.1 _____________ 2.4 _7.4 _5.5 _3.5 _7.5_10.0 _0.6 _7.4 _2.8 _1.3 __ 48.4 ____ 17

_21 __ STEVE B _______________ 7.4 _8.2 _3.5 _8.8 _7.5 _0.2 _5.3 _2.8 _3.8 _0.3 __ 47.8 ____ 16

_22 __ BOBD29 ________________3.2 _7.0 _6.5 _5.9 _5.6 _2.0 _8.8 _3.7 _1.1 _3.5 __ 47.3 ____ 23

_23 __ DAMI ___________________5.4 _3.9 _0.9 _5.7 _1.8 _7.4 _3.0 _6.8 _5.2 _6.8 __ 46.9 ____ 30

_T24__DAVEHSUG _____________ 1.0 _1.2 _9.1 _4.8 _7.5 _7.8 _1.0 _2.0 _7.5 _4.5 __ 46.4 ____ 24

_T24__ROGER J SMITH _________ 0.2 _1.8 _8.1 _9.8 _2.7 _5.5 _5.5 _3.0 _3.8 _6.0 __ 46.4 ____ 29

_T26__STATIONARY FRONT _____ 1.2 _4.9 _6.4 _2.6 _0.7 _5.3 _7.4 _3.6 _9.4 _4.8 __ 46.3 ____ 25

_T26__STEWFOX ______________7.0 _9.4 _4.0 _8.9 _8.2 _0.6 _8.2 _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 46.3 ____ 18

_28 __ MAPANTZ ______________ 5.2 _6.8 _1.9 _4.3 _6.4 _8.8 _4.1 _8.6 _ ---- _ ---- __ 46.1 ____ 19

_29 __ JEFF C _________________7.8 _4.1 _1.1 _3.3 _3.1 _4.3 _5.3 _4.5 _4.3 _8.0 __ 45.8 ____ 33

_30 __ PEGG24 _______________ 8.0 _5.9 _0.7 _6.2 _7.5 _1.2 _5.3 _10.0 _0.2 _---- __ 45.0 ____ 21

_31 __ KIRKCALDY WEATHER ___ ---- _ ---- _3.5 _8.8 _10.0_2.6 _7.6 _4.7 _1.6 _5.5 __ 44.3 ____ 32

_32 __ WEATHER-HISTORY ______0.6 _3.3 _5.9 _2.6 _9.2 _6.8 _0.8 _7.6 _4.1 _3.3 __ 44.2 ____ 27

_33 __ DKEANE3 ______________ 7.2 _7.6 _5.2 _9.1 _3.6 _2.8 _2.0 _6.5 _ ---- _---- __ 44.0 ____ 22

_34 __ THE_PIT ________________6.0 _1.2 _7.4 _1.4 _3.8 _8.8 _4.3 _2.6 _0.7 _6.8 __ 43.0 ____ 36

_35 __ VIRTUALSPHERE ________4.4 _1.0 _8.1 _1.6 _9.8 _3.0 _1.8 _0.6 _---- _7.3 __ 37.6 ____ 42

_36 __ DOCTOR32 _____________ 1.6 _3.9 _6.4 _5.0 _3.1 _1.4 _5.3 _9.4 _1.2 _---- __ 37.3 ____ 34

_37 __ DANIEL* ________________3.8 _5.9 _4.7 _4.3 _3.4 _6.3 _---- _4.9 _3.1 _---- __ 36.4 ____ 35

_38 __ SIMSHADY ______________8.2 _8.4 _0.4 _7.2 _9.8 _1.8 _--- _ ---- _---- _---- __ 35.8 ____ 37

_39 __ DIAGONAL RED LINE ____ ---- _ ---- _ 2.1 _6.9 _6.4 _6.8 _9.8 _2.6 _---- _---- __ 34.6 ____ 38

_40 __ WEATHER 26 ___________ ---- _ 4.7 _4.3 _9.5 _0.9 _4.7 _8.2 _0.4 _0.9 _0.5 __ 34.1 ____ 40

_41 __ VIZZY2004 ______________9.0 _9.0 _8.9 _2.6 _0.5 _ ---  _---- _---- _---- _4.0 __ 34.0 ____ 43

_42 __ TIMMYTOUR ____________ 9.4 _0.2 _7.4 _1.7 _ ---- _8.8 _6.3 _---- _---- _---- __ 33.8 ____ 39

_43 __ CHRIS. R ______________ 6.2 _0.6 _9.3 _7.9 _ ---- _---- _---- _7.0 _ ---- _---- __ 31.0 ____ 41

_44 __ CHEESEPUFFSCOTT ____ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _5.7 _ 9.0 _5.7 _0.4 _10.0__ 30.8 ____ 50

_45 __ ALEXISJ9 _______________2.8 _5.5 _1.9 _---- _0.2 _1.0 _3.0 _4.3 _9.6 _2.0 __ 30.3 ____ 44

_46 __ CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE ____---- _---- _---- _0.7 _8.6 _---- _ ---- _5.3 _6.6 _7.3 __28.5 ____ 49

_47 _THUNDERYWINTRYSHOWERS 8.6_--- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _7.2 _8.8 _---- _---- __24.6 ____ 45

_48 __ ED STONE _____________ 4.4 _1.6 _5.3 _1.2 _1.1 _ --- _ 1.2 _1.0 _6.2 _1.0 __ 23.0 ____ 47

_49 _ PROLONGED SNOWLOVER_3.6_0.8 _1.6 _3.3 _9.8 _ ----_3.3 _---- _ ---- _---- __ 22.4 ____ 46

_50 __ TJM14 ________________  ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _5.3 _5.9 _1.8 _8.4 _---- __ 21.4 ____ 48

_51 __ BLAST FROM THE PAST __ 0.8 _0.0 _3.5 _2.6 _---- _5.9 _---- _---- _6.9 _0.8 __ 20.5 ____ 51

_52 __ B87 ___________________  ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _9.2_10.0 _---- _---- _---- __ 19.2 ____ 52

_53 __ GREAT PLUM ___________---- _---- _7.4 _7.4 _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- __ 14.8 ____ 53

_54 __ ROBBIE GARRETT _______ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _0.8 _4.3 _---- _8.9 _---- __ 14.0 ____ 54

_55 __ LEO97T ________________---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _8.2 _5.4 _---- __13.6 ____ 55

_56 __ FOZFOSTER ____________---- _5.3 _4.3 _3.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 13.4 ____ 56

_57 __ RAIN RAIN RAIN ________ ---- _ 2.4_10.0_---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- __ 12.4 ____ 57

_58 __ EMMETT GARLAND______---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ 3.6 _8.0 _---- __11.6 ____ 58

_59 __ TERMINAL MORAINE ____ 9.6 _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _1.4 _---- _---- __ 11.0 ____ 59

_60 __ SEASONALITY __________ --- _--- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _10.0 _---- _---- __ 10.0 ____ 60

_T61 _ NORTHWEST SNOW _____ ---- _---- __9.5 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _----_---- _---- __ 9.5 ____ 61

_T61 _ GBRUNNER12 __________ ---- _---- __---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _----_---- _ 9.5 __ 9.5 ____ ---

_63 __ LETTERBOXER __________---- _ ---- _3.6 _ ---- _4.9 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 8.5 ____ 62

_64 __ IAPENNELL _____________ ---- _6.3 _---- _---- _ ---- _1.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 8.1 ____ 63

_65 __ MP-R __________________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ 7.8 _---- _---- _---- __ 7.8 ____ 64

T66 __ BOOFERKING ___________ 3.0 _4.7 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 7.7 ____T-65

T66 __ CORAM _________________---- _---- _---- _7.7 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 7.7 ____T-65

_68 __ V FOR VERY COLD _______ 7.6 _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 7.6 ____ 67

_69 __ LF1002 _________________---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _7.0 _ ---- _ ----_---- _---- __ 7.0 ____ 68

_70 __ RICEY076 ______________ ---- _---- _---- _6.9 _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- __ 6.9 ____ 69

_71__ MOORLANDER __________ 5.8 _---- _---- _0.5 _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 6.3 ____ 70

T72 __ JAMES M _______________---- _---- _5.9 _---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 5.9 ____T-71

T72 __ POLAR MARITIME _______ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _----_ ---- _ ----_ 5.9 _---- __ 5.9 ____T-71

_74 __ CASTELLANUS80 _______ ---- _2.8 _2.3 _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 5.1 ____ 73

T75 __ ROSS90 _______________ ---- _---- _5.0 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 5.0 ____T-74

T75 __ BACKTRACK____________---- _---- _---- _5.0 _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 5.0 ____T-74

T75 __ ==METEO-MAN==________---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ----_5.0 __ 5.0 ____ --- 

_78 __ THUNDERSNOW DAYS ___---- _---- _4.5 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 4.5 ____ 76

_79 _ HIGH GROUND BIRMINGHAM_----_----_----_4.3_ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 4.3 ____ 77

_80 __ MARK NEAL ____________---- _---- _---- _2.9 _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 2.9 ____ 78

_81 __ MATT TARRANT _________---- _---- _---- _2.8 _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 2.8 ____ 79

T82 __ MORE SNOW ___________2.6 _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 2.6 ____T-80

T82 __ COLDEST WINTER ______ ---- _---- _---- _ 0.4 _---- _---- _2.2 _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 2.6 ____T-80

T82 __ DUNCAN McALISTER_____---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ 2.6 _ ---- _---- __ 2.6 ____T-80

_85 __ STEVE MURR ___________ --- _--- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _---- _ 2.3 _---- ___ 2.3 ____ 83

_86 __ ALLWEATHER ___________--- _--- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _1.8 ___ 1.8 ____ ---

T87 __ SKY FULL ______________---- _---- _1.2 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- __ 1.2 ____T-84

T87 __ 38.5*C _________________---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _1.2 _ ---- _---- __ 1.2 ____T-84

T89 __ WEIRPIG ______________ 0.4 _---- _----- _----_ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- __ 0.4 ____T-86

T89 __ LETTUCING GUTTED ____ 0.0 _0.0 _0.0 _0.2 _0.0 _0.0 _0.0 _0.2 _0.0 _0.0 __ 0.4 ____T-86

_91 __ I REMEMBER ATLANTIC 252---- _---- _0.2 _----_ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 0.2 ____ 88

_92 __ DEEP SNOW PLEASE ____ ---- _---- _---- _0.0 _ ---- _---- _---- _0.0 _---- _---- __ 0.0 ____ 89

_____________________________________________________________________________

(notes on ranking ... normals and consensus are scored as if they were participants, but lower ranking forecasters are not ranked lower as a result, so those rankings are shown in brackets.)  

 

 

 

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EWP scoring for September 2018 (NCIC version) based on 72.8 mm

-- despite Hadley provisional being 68 mm, NCIC is higher this month (unusual). 

-- (Hadley version will follow when they confirm an amount, perhaps their provisional will be adjusted upwards).

-- provisional scoring table in previous post can now be ignored and deleted by a moderator reading this (posted Friday 28th Sept).

 

RANK _ FORECASTER ____________ F'cast ____ Error ___ score

 

__ 01 __ JeffC ____________________ 74.0 ______ +1.2 ____ 10.0

__(02) _ average 1981-2010 ________ 71.1 ______--1.7 _____ 9.9

__ 02 __ Radiating Dendrite _________ 71.0 ______--1.8 _____ 9.8

__(03) _ average 1988-2017 ________ 74.7 ______ +1.9 _____ 9.7

__ 03 __ Dr(S)No _________________ 75.5 ______+2.7 _____ 9.5

__ 04 __ Stargazer ________________ 67.0 ______--5.8 _____ 9.3

__ 05 __ Evening Star (GBRunner12) _ 66.0 ______--6.8 _____ 9.0

__ 06 __ J10 _____________________65.0 ______--7.8 _____ 8.8

__ 07 __ CheesePuffScott __________ 64.0 ______--8.8 _____ 8.5

__ 08 __ LetItSnow! _______________ 62.0 _____--10.8 _____ 8.3

__ 09 __ PolarGael ________________85.5 _____ +12.7 _____ 8.0

__ 10 __ jonboy __________________ 60.0 _____--12.8 _____ 7.8

__ 11 __ Relativistic _______________ 60.0 _____--12.8 _____ 7.6 (+1d late .. 7.8 -- 0.2)

__ 12 __ Bobd29 __________________87.0 _____ +14.2 _____ 7.3

__ 13 __ Midlands Ice Age __________ 53.0 _____ --19.8 _____ 7.0

_ T14 __ Captain Shortwave

______________ virtualsphere _______52.0 _____ --20.8 _____ 6.8

_ 16 __ AlexisJ9 __________________ 95.0 _____ +22.2 _____ 6.3

_ T17 __ Dami, The Pit, Norrance ____ 50.0 _____ --22.8 _____ 6.0

_(T17) __ consensus ______________50.0 _____ --22.8 _____ 6.0

_ 20 __ Roger J Smith ______________49.5 _____ --23.3 _____ 5.3

_ 21 __ Singularity _________________49.0 _____ --23.8 _____ 5.0

_ 22 __ Kirkcaldy Weather ___________47.6 _____ --25.2 _____ 4.8

_T23__seaside60 __________________47.0 _____ --25.8 _____ 4.3 (+1d late, 4.5 -- 0.2)

_T23__ ==MeteoMan== _____________46.2 _____ --26.6 _____ 4.3

_ 25 __ Stationary Front _____________46.0 _____ --26.8 _____ 4.0

_T26 __Reef, davehsug _____________ 45.0 _____ --27.8 _____ 3.8

_ 28 __ vizzy2004 __________________44.0 _____ --28.8 _____ 3.5

_T29 __ syed2878, weather-history,

_________________ Mulzy, Don ______ 40.0 _____ --32.8 _____ 3.0

_ 33 __BornFromTheVoid ____________ 38.0 _____ --34.8 _____ 2.0

_T34 __AllWeather, David Snow ______ 30.0 _____ --42.8 _____ 1.8

_ 36 __ Godber.1 __________________ 22.0 _____ --50.8 _____ 1.3

_ 37 __  weather26 ________________ 128.0 _____ +55.2 _____ 1.0

_ 38 __ EdStone ___________________ 17.0 _____ --55.8 _____ 0.8

_ 39 __ Blast From The Past __________12.0 _____ --60.8 _____ 0.5

_ 40 __ Steve B ____________________156.0 _____ +83.2 _____ 0.3

_ 41 __ Lettucing Gutted _____________200.0 _____+127.2_____ 0.0

==============================================================

 

Updated EWP annual scoring (NCIC version) for Dec 2017 to Sept 2018

 

Rank _ Forecaster _____________Dec_Jan_Feb_Mar_Apr_May_Jun_Jul_Aug_Sep __TOTAL_ previous rank

_01 __ SINGULARITY ___________5.2 _7.2 _9.8 _7.7 _6.4 _8.0 _5.7 _9.2 _7.7 _5.0 __ 71.9 ____ 01

_02 __  J10 ___________________ 4.4 _7.6 _0.7 _8.3 _9.2 _9.8 _4.3 _8.6 _5.4 _8.8 __ 67.1 ____ 05

_03 __ POLAR GAEL ___________ 4.6 _9.4 _8.6 _2.6 _8.2 _9.6 _8.4 _5.5 _2.1 _8.0 __ 67.0 ____ 03

_04 __ JONBOY _______________ 9.2 _7.8 _6.4 _9.6 _7.5 _3.7 _0.6 _6.3 _4.4 _7.8 __ 63.3 ____ 06

_05 __ DON __________________ 1.8 _6.1 _7.4 _8.3 _8.8 _4.3 _6.8 _6.3_10.0 _3.0 __ 62.8 ____ 02

(06) __ consensus _____________5.2 _6.3 _5.0 _5.7_7.7 _5.3 _5.3 _8.8 _5.5 _6.0 __ 60.8 ____ (08)

_06 __ MIDLANDS ICE AGE ______3.4 _3.3 _9.8_10.0_3.6 _3.0 _8.6 _5.3 _5.7 _7.0 __ 59.7 ____ 09

_07 __ DR (S) NO ______________ 9.8 _8.8 _1.2 _6.2 _6.4 _2.4 _2.4 _3.7 _9.1 _9.5 __ 59.5 ____ 10 

_T08__NORRANCE ____________ 7.0 _2.2 _8.4 _9.3 _5.4 _9.4 _1.2 _3.6 _6.4 _6.0 __ 58.9 ____ 08

_T08_CHRISBELL-nottheWxMAN _10.0 _6.8 _2.6 _6.4 _4.0 _3.9 _9.2 _7.8 _8.2 _---- __ 58.9 ____ 04

_10 __ RADIATING DENDRITE ___ 2.0 _2.4 _8.7 _4.5 _2.0 _7.8 _9.4 _9.2 _2.8 _9.8 __ 58.6 ____ 12

_(11) _ average 1981-2010 _______7.5 _6.4 _5.3 _5.0 _2.6 _6.4 _3.2 _1.4_10.0_9.9 __ 57.7 ____ (16)

_11 __  BORN FROM THE VOID___6.4 _9.8 _3.5 _5.7 _7.5 _9.0 _1.8 _7.4 _3.3 _2.0 __ 56.4 ____ 07

_12 __ SEASIDE 60 ____________ 5.8 _4.5 _4.8 _8.8 _8.4 _5.1 _5.9 _4.5 _1.8 _4.3 __ 53.9 ____ 11

_(13)_average 1988-2017 (D 87-16) 7.9_7.5 _3.9 _3.4 _2.4 _6.4 _2.4 _1.1 _9.0 _9.7 __ 53.7 ____ (T22)

_13 __ REEF __________________ 9.0 _5.3 _2.8 _3.8 _1.8 _7.4 _3.0_10.0_5.4 _3.8 __ 52.3 ____ 14

_14 __ BOBD29 ________________3.2 _7.0 _6.5 _5.9 _5.6 _2.0 _8.8 _3.7 _1.1 _7.3 __ 51.1 ____ 23

_15 __ MULZY _________________7.0 _8.6 _6.7 _0.9 _1.8 _8.2 _4.3 _8.0 _2.5 _3.0 __ 51.0 ____ 15

_16 __ DAVID SNOW____________ 2.2 _3.3 _8.6 _5.7 _5.4 _2.2 _7.0 _4.5 _9.8 _1.8 __ 50.5 ____ 13

_17 __ STARGAZER ____________ 1.4 _9.4 _2.4 _7.1 _2.7 _4.5 _6.5 _6.7 _----_9.3 __ 50.0 ____ 28

_18 __ LET IT SNOW ! __________ ---- _----_ 8.8 _6.5 _4.7 _3.5 _9.6 _0.8 _7.3 _8.3 __ 49.5 ____ 26

_19 __ SYED2878 ______________ 4.8_10.0_3.8 _5.0 _2.2 _6.1 _3.2 _1.8 _9.1 _3.0 __ 49.0 ____ 20

_20 __ GODBER.1 _____________ 2.4 _7.4 _5.5 _3.5 _7.5_10.0 _0.6 _7.4 _2.8 _1.3 __ 48.4 ____ 17

T21 __ STEVE B _______________ 7.4 _8.2 _3.5 _8.8 _7.5 _0.2 _5.3 _2.8 _3.8 _0.3 __ 47.8 ____ 16

T21 __ JEFF C _________________7.8 _4.1 _1.1 _3.3 _3.1 _4.3 _5.3 _4.5 _4.3 _10.0__ 47.8 ____ 33

_23 __ RELATIVISTIC ___________ 8.4 _2.2 _7.4 _1.2 _4.7 _0.4 _0.6 _6.3 _8.7 _7.6 __ 47.5 ____ 31

_24 __ STEWFOX ______________7.0 _9.4 _4.0 _8.9 _8.2 _0.6 _8.2 _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 46.3 ____ 18

T25 __ MAPANTZ ______________ 5.2 _6.8 _1.9 _4.3 _6.4 _8.8 _4.1 _8.6 _ ---- _ ---- __ 46.1 ____ 19

T25 __ DAMI ___________________5.4 _3.9 _0.9 _5.7 _1.8 _7.4 _3.0 _6.8 _5.2 _6.0 __ 46.1 ____ 30

_T27__DAVEHSUG _____________ 1.0 _1.2 _9.1 _4.8 _7.5 _7.8 _1.0 _2.0 _7.5 _3.8 __ 45.7 ____ 24

_T27__ROGER J SMITH _________ 0.2 _1.8 _8.1 _9.8 _2.7 _5.5 _5.5 _3.0 _3.8 _5.3 __ 45.7 ____ 29

_29 __ STATIONARY FRONT _____ 1.2 _4.9 _6.4 _2.6 _0.7 _5.3 _7.4 _3.6 _9.4 _4.0 __ 45.5 ____ 25

_30 __ PEGG24 _______________ 8.0 _5.9 _0.7 _6.2 _7.5 _1.2 _5.3 _10.0 _0.2 _---- __ 45.0 ____ 21

_31 __ DKEANE3 ______________ 7.2 _7.6 _5.2 _9.1 _3.6 _2.8 _2.0 _6.5 _ ---- _---- __ 44.0 ____ 22

_32 __ WEATHER-HISTORY ______0.6 _3.3 _5.9 _2.6 _9.2 _6.8 _0.8 _7.6 _4.1 _3.0 __ 43.9 ____ 27

_33 __ KIRKCALDY WEATHER ___ ---- _ ---- _3.5 _8.8 _10.0_2.6 _7.6 _4.7 _1.6 _4.8 __ 43.6 ____ 32

_34 __ THE_PIT ________________6.0 _1.2 _7.4 _1.4 _3.8 _8.8 _4.3 _2.6 _0.7 _6.0 __ 42.2 ____ 36

_35 __ DOCTOR32 _____________ 1.6 _3.9 _6.4 _5.0 _3.1 _1.4 _5.3 _9.4 _1.2 _---- __ 37.3 ____ 34

_36 __ VIRTUALSPHERE ________4.4 _1.0 _8.1 _1.6 _9.8 _3.0 _1.8 _0.6 _---- _6.8 __ 37.1 ____ 42

_37 __ DANIEL* ________________3.8 _5.9 _4.7 _4.3 _3.4 _6.3 _---- _4.9 _3.1 _---- __ 36.4 ____ 35

_38 __ SIMSHADY ______________8.2 _8.4 _0.4 _7.2 _9.8 _1.8 _--- _ ---- _---- _---- __ 35.8 ____ 37

_T39__DIAGONAL RED LINE ____ ---- _ ---- _ 2.1 _6.9 _6.4 _6.8 _9.8 _2.6 _---- _---- __ 34.6 ____ 38

_T39__WEATHER 26 ___________ ---- _ 4.7 _4.3 _9.5 _0.9 _4.7 _8.2 _0.4 _0.9 _1.0 __ 34.6 ____ 40

_T39__ALEXISJ9 _______________2.8 _5.5 _1.9 _---- _0.2 _1.0 _3.0 _4.3 _9.6 _6.3 __ 34.6 ____ 44

_42 __ TIMMYTOUR ____________ 9.4 _0.2 _7.4 _1.7 _ ---- _8.8 _6.3 _---- _---- _---- __ 33.8 ____ 39

_43 __ VIZZY2004 ______________9.0 _9.0 _8.9 _2.6 _0.5 _ ---  _---- _---- _---- _3.5 __ 33.5 ____ 43

_44 __ CHRIS. R ______________ 6.2 _0.6 _9.3 _7.9 _ ---- _---- _---- _7.0 _ ---- _---- __ 31.0 ____ 41

_45 __ CHEESEPUFFSCOTT ____ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _5.7 _ 9.0 _5.7 _0.4 _8.5__ 29.3 ____ 50

_46 __ CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE ____---- _---- _---- _0.7 _8.6 _---- _ ---- _5.3 _6.6 _6.8 __28.0 ____ 49

_47 _THUNDERYWINTRYSHOWERS 8.6_--- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _7.2 _8.8 _---- _---- __24.6 ____ 45

_48 __ ED STONE _____________ 4.4 _1.6 _5.3 _1.2 _1.1 _ --- _ 1.2 _1.0 _6.2 _0.8 __ 22.8 ____ 47

_49 _ PROLONGED SNOWLOVER_3.6_0.8 _1.6 _3.3 _9.8 _ ----_3.3 _---- _ ---- _---- __ 22.4 ____ 46

_50 __ TJM14 ________________  ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _5.3 _5.9 _1.8 _8.4 _---- __ 21.4 ____ 48

_51 __ BLAST FROM THE PAST __ 0.8 _0.0 _3.5 _2.6 _---- _5.9 _---- _---- _6.9 _0.5 __ 20.2 ____ 51

_52 __ B87 ___________________  ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _9.2_10.0 _---- _---- _---- __ 19.2 ____ 52

_53 __ GREAT PLUM ___________---- _---- _7.4 _7.4 _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- __ 14.8 ____ 53

_54 __ ROBBIE GARRETT _______ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _0.8 _4.3 _---- _8.9 _---- __ 14.0 ____ 54

_55 __ LEO97T ________________---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _8.2 _5.4 _---- __13.6 ____ 55

_56 __ FOZFOSTER ____________---- _5.3 _4.3 _3.8 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 13.4 ____ 56

_57 __ RAIN RAIN RAIN ________ ---- _ 2.4_10.0_---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- __ 12.4 ____ 57

_58 __ EMMETT GARLAND______---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ 3.6 _8.0 _---- __11.6 ____ 58

_59 __ TERMINAL MORAINE ____ 9.6 _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _1.4 _---- _---- __ 11.0 ____ 59

_60 __ SEASONALITY __________ --- _--- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _10.0 _---- _---- __ 10.0 ____ 60

_61 __ NORTHWEST SNOW _____ ---- _---- __9.5 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _----_---- _---- __ 9.5 ____ 61

_62 __ EVENING STAR _________ ---- _---- __---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _----_---- _ 9.0 __ 9.0 ____ ---

_63 __ LETTERBOXER __________---- _ ---- _3.6 _ ---- _4.9 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 8.5 ____ 62

_64 __ IAPENNELL _____________ ---- _6.3 _---- _---- _ ---- _1.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 8.1 ____ 63

_65 __ MP-R __________________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ 7.8 _---- _---- _---- __ 7.8 ____ 64

T66 __ BOOFERKING ___________ 3.0 _4.7 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 7.7 ____T-65

T66 __ CORAM _________________---- _---- _---- _7.7 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 7.7 ____T-65

_68 __ V FOR VERY COLD _______ 7.6 _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 7.6 ____ 67

_69 __ LF1002 _________________---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _7.0 _ ---- _ ----_---- _---- __ 7.0 ____ 68

_70 __ RICEY076 ______________ ---- _---- _---- _6.9 _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- __ 6.9 ____ 69

_71__ MOORLANDER __________ 5.8 _---- _---- _0.5 _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 6.3 ____ 70

T72 __ JAMES M _______________---- _---- _5.9 _---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 5.9 ____T-71

T72 __ POLAR MARITIME _______ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _----_ ---- _ ----_ 5.9 _---- __ 5.9 ____T-71

_74 __ CASTELLANUS80 _______ ---- _2.8 _2.3 _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 5.1 ____ 73

T75 __ ROSS90 _______________ ---- _---- _5.0 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 5.0 ____T-74

T75 __ BACKTRACK____________---- _---- _---- _5.0 _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 5.0 ____T-74

_77 __ THUNDERSNOW DAYS ___---- _---- _4.5 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 4.5 ____ 76

T78 _ HIGH GROUND BIRMINGHAM_----_----_----_4.3_ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 4.3 ____ 77

T78 __ ==METEO-MAN==________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ----_4.3 __ 4.3 ____ --- 

_80 __ MARK NEAL ____________---- _---- _---- _2.9 _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 2.9 ____ 78

_81 __ MATT TARRANT _________---- _---- _---- _2.8 _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 2.8 ____ 79

T82 __ MORE SNOW ___________2.6 _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 2.6 ____T-80

T82 __ COLDEST WINTER ______ ---- _---- _---- _ 0.4 _---- _---- _2.2 _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 2.6 ____T-80

T82 __ DUNCAN McALISTER_____---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ 2.6 _ ---- _---- __ 2.6 ____T-80

_85 __ STEVE MURR ___________ --- _--- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _---- _ 2.3 _---- ___ 2.3 ____ 83

_86 __ ALLWEATHER ___________--- _--- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _1.8 ___ 1.8 ____ ---

T87 __ SKY FULL ______________---- _---- _1.2 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- __ 1.2 ____T-84

T87 __ 38.5*C _________________---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _1.2 _ ---- _---- __ 1.2 ____T-84

T89 __ WEIRPIG ______________ 0.4 _---- _----- _----_ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- __ 0.4 ____T-86

T89 __ LETTUCING GUTTED ____ 0.0 _0.0 _0.0 _0.2 _0.0 _0.0 _0.0 _0.2 _0.0 _0.0 __ 0.4 ____T-86

_91 __ I REMEMBER ATLANTIC 252---- _---- _0.2 _----_ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 0.2 ____ 88

_92 __ DEEP SNOW PLEASE ____ ---- _---- _---- _0.0 _ ---- _---- _---- _0.0 _---- _---- __ 0.0 ____ 89

_____________________________________________________________________________

(notes on ranking ... normals and consensus are scored as if they were participants, but lower ranking forecasters are not ranked lower as a result, so those rankings are shown in brackets.)  

 

 

 

Edited by Roger J Smith
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Table of entries for CET and EWP contests, October 2018

 

CET forecasts .. number in brackets shows the order of entry (only the last one counts in that regard)

... late entries are shown (L1d-nn) for one day late, order of entry, then L2d and L3d for one each two and three days late.

15.5 __ Lettucing Gutted (10)

13.3 __ __ __ warmest 2001

13.0 __ Blue_Skies_do_I_see (37), Daniel* (L2d)

12.5 __ syed2878 (40)

12.4 __ TJM14 (13)

12.1 __ Roger J Smith (31), Kentish Man (43)

11.8 __ Froze were the days (L1d-3), coldest winter (L3d)

11.6 __ davehsug (55)

11.5 __ Polar Gael (7), vizzy2004 (46), Man With Beard (56)

11.3 __ virtualsphere (21), Stationary Front (42)

11.2 __ snowray (41), Mulzy (53)

11.1 __ Reef (52), seaside60 (L1d-2)

11.0 __ J10 (57) __ average 1988-2017

10.9 __ Blast From The Past (26)

10.8 __ EdStone (11), Mark Bayley (30), Dkeane3 (54), DAVID SNOW (L1d-5)

10.7 __ Summer Blizzard (1), Summer Sun (34), metaltron (50) __  average 1981-2010

10.6 __ Midlands Ice Age (17), Relativistic (22)

10.5 __ Dr(S)No (25), Dancerwithwings (29), The Pit (36) and consensus

10.4 __ weather26 (4), Doctor32 (49), CheesePuffScott (58)

10.3 __ BornFromTheVoid (45)

10.2 __ Radiating Dendrite (8), JeffC (27), damianslaw (39), weather-history (44)

10.1 __ IRememberAtlantic252 (2), ProlongedSnowLover (24), Don (48), Singularity (51)

10.0 __ Bobd29 (9), Leo97t (5), snowyowl9 (20), Feb1991blizzard (32), stewfox (L1d-1)

 9.9 __ nn2013 (14), stargazer (33), Norrance (35), jonboy (L1d-4)

 9.8 __ Kirkcaldy Weather (15), SteveB (6), Badgers01 (L1d-6)

 9.7 __ Pegg24 (16)

 9.6 __ Godber.1 (18)

 9.5 __ sundog (23), Duncan McAlister (47)

 9.4 __ Let It Snow! (28)

 9.3 __ SnowDragon (38)

 9.1 __ Summer of 95 (19)

 8.9 __ Dami (12)

 7.7 __ Diagonal Red Line (3)

 5.3 __ __ __ coldest 1740

_____________________________

58 forecasts (on time), six were one day late, and one each were two and three days late, total 66 forecasts

consensus (median) is 10.45 C rounded to 10.5.

===================================================================

 

EWP forecasts (mm)

... see table on page one of October thread for NCIC extremes ... Hadley extremes listed here

 

218.1 __ __ __ wettest 1903

200.0 __ Lettucing Gutted

121.3 __ Polar Gael

117.0 __ CheesePuffScott

115.0 __ BornFromTheVoid

111.0 __ SnowDragon

110.0 __ Bobd29

105.0 __ JeffC

100.8 __ average for 1981-2010 

100.0 __ stewfox (+1d late)

 99.0 __ EdStone, Relativistic, Norrance, J10

 96.6 __ average for 1988-2017

 95.0 __ davehsug

 92.0 __ Dkeane3

 90.0 __ nn2013

 89.0 __ seaside60 (+1d late)

 88.0 __ weather26

 87.0 __ Stationary Front

 86.0 __ virtualsphere

 85.0 __ Dr(S)No, syed2878, Reef

 84.0 __ Singularity __ __ consensus

 80.0 __ Leo97t, Blast From The Past

 78.0 __ Summer of 95

 76.0 __ vizzy2004

 75.0 __ Midlands Ice Age, DAVID SNOW (+1d late)

 70.0 __ Pegg24, Feb1991blizzard, The Pit, Mulzy

 69.6 __ Kirkcaldy Weather

 68.0 __ TJM14, Don

 65.0 __ weather-history, jonboy (+1d late)

 64.0 __ SteveB

 63.0 __ Radiating Dendrite

 55.0 __ Dami, Godber.1, Roger J Smith, Doctor32

 53.0 __ Stargazer

 _8.8 __ __ __ driest 1781 

____________________________

41 on time entries, 4 more were one day late, 45 in total.

consensus (median, 23rd ranked) 84 mm. 

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September 2018 EWP scoring (Hadley version, 67.0 mm)

 

RANK _ FORECASTER ____________ F'cast ____ Error ___ score

 

__ 1 __ STARGAZER ________________67.0 _____ 0.0 ___ 10.0

__ 2 __ EVENING STAR (GBRunner12) _ 66.0 ____ --1.0 ____ 9.8 

__ 3 __J10 ________________________ 65.0 ____ --2.0 ____ 9.5

__ 4 __ CHEESEPUFFSCOTT ________ 64.0 ____ --3.0 ____ 9.3

__ 5 __ RADIATING DENDRITE _______ 71.0 ____ +4.0 ____ 9.0

_ (6) __ average 1981-2010 __________ 71.1 ____ +4.1 ____ 8.9

__ 6 __LET IT SNOW ! ______________ 62.0 ____ --5.0 ____ 8.8

__T7 __JEFF C ____________________ 74.0 ____ +7.0 ____ 8.5

__T7 __ JONBOY ___________________60.0 ____ --7.0____ 8.5

__ 9 __ RELATIVISTIC ______________ 60.0 ____ --7.0____ 8.3 (8.5 - 0.2) (+1d late)

_ (10) average 1988-2017 __________ 74.7 ____ +7.7 ____ 8.2

_ 10 __ DR(S)NO __________________ 75.5 ____ +8.5 ____ 7.8

_ 11 __ MIDLANDS ICE AGE _________ 53.0 ___ --14.0 ____ 7.5

_T12 __CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE,

_________ VIRTUALSPHERE ________52.0 ___ --15.0 ____ 7.3 each

_T14 __DAMI, THE PIT, NORRANCE __50.0 ____--17.0____ 6.8 each

_(T14) _consensus ________________50.0 ____--17.0____ 6.8

_ 17 __ ROGER J SMITH ____________49.5 ____--17.5____ 6.0

_ 18 __SINGULARITY ______________ 49.0 ____--18.0____ 5.8

_ 19 __ POLAR GAEL ______________ 85.5 ____+18.5____ 5.5

_ 20 __ KIRKCALDY WEATHER ______ 47.6 ____--19.4____ 5.3

_ 21 __BOBD29 ___________________87.0 ____+20.0____ 5.0

_ 22 __ SEASIDE 60 _______________ 47.0 ____--20.0____ 4.8 (5.0 - 0.2) (+1d late)

_ 23 __==METEO-MAN== ___________46.2 ____--20.8____ 4.5

_ 24 __ STATIONARY FRONT ________46.0 ____--21.0____ 4.3

_T25 __REEF, DAVEHSUG __________ 45.0 ____--22.0____ 4.0 each

_ 27 __ VIZZY2004 _________________44.0 ____--24.0____ 3.5

_T28 __SYED2878, WEATHER-HISTORY

__________________ MULZY, DON ___40.0 ____ --27.0____ 3.3 each

_ 32 __ ALEXISJ9 __________________95.0 ____+28.0____ 2.3

_ 33 __ BORN FROM THE VOID______ 38.0 ____--29.0____ 2.0

_T34 __ALLWEATHER, DAVID SNOW _ 30.0 ____--37.0____ 1.8 each

_ 36 __ GODBER.1 ________________ 22.0 ____ --45.0____ 1.3

_ 37 __ EDSTONE _________________ 17.0 ____--50.0____ 1.0

_ 38 __ BLAST FROM THE PAST _____ 12.0 ____--55.0____ 0.8

_ 39 __ WEATHER 26 ______________128.0 ____ +61.0____ 0.5

_ 40 __ STEVE B __________________156.0 ____ +89.0____ 0.3

_ 41 __ LETTUCING GUTTED _______ 200.0 ___+133.0____ 0.0

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

39 on time forecasts, plus 2 marked one day late, 41 in total.

= = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

Annual Scoring Update (Dec 2017 to Sept 2018) -- Hadley scoring

 Rank __ Forecaster ________________Dec_Jan_Feb_Mar_Apr_May_Jun_Jul_Aug_Sep__TOTALS___NCIC rank

 _________________________________________________________________________ Had _ NCIC

_01 __ SINGULARITY _____________ 5.2 _7.0 _9.1 _7.7 _5.6 _8.4 _5.7 _9.2 _8.2 _5.8 __ 71.9 _ 71.9 ___ 01

_02 __ JONBOY __________________8.8 _7.4 _6.7_10.0_9.4 _3.9 _0.6 _6.5 _6.4 _8.5 __ 68.2 _ 63.3 ___ 04

_03 __  J10 ______________________4.4 _7.6 _0.7 _8.3 _7.7 _9.6 _4.3 _8.6 _5.2 _9.5 __ 65.9 _ 67.1 ___ 02

_04 __ DON _____________________ 1.8 _5.7 _8.4 _8.3 _9.8 _4.7 _6.8 _6.5 _8.9 _3.3 __ 64.2 _ 62.8 ___ 05

_05 __ POLAR GAEL ______________4.6 _9.0 _9.5 _2.6 _6.9 _9.8 _8.4 _5.5 _1.8 _5.5 __ 63.6 _ 67.0 ___ 03

_(06) _ consensus ________________ 5.2 _5.9 _5.4 _5.7_6.5 _5.9 _5.3 _8.8 _5.3 _6.8 __ 60.8 _ 60.8 ___ (06)

_06 __ NORRANCE _______________ 7.0 _2.2 _9.6 _9.3 _4.7_10.0_1.2 _3.4 _6.2 _6.8 __ 60.4 _ 58.9 ___ 08t

_07 __ MIDLANDS ICE AGE _________3.4 _3.3 _9.1 _9.6 _3.2 _3.0 _8.6 _5.3 _5.4 _7.5 __ 58.4 _ 59.7 ___ 06

(08) __ average 1981-2010 __________7.6 _6.6 _5.5 _5.1 _2.7 _6.4 _3.2 _1.3 _9.9 _8.9 __ 57.2 _ 57.7 ___(11)

_08 __ DR (S) NO _________________ 9.6 _8.4 _1.2 _6.2 _5.6 _2.4 _2.4 _3.7 _9.8 _7.8 __ 57.1 _ 59.5 ___ 07

_09 __ RADIATING DENDRITE ______ 2.0 _2.4 _8.9 _4.5 _1.8 _7.0 _9.4 _9.2 _2.8 _9.0 __ 57.0 _ 58.6 ___ 10

_10 __CHRIS BELL NOT THE WxMAN_9.4 _6.8 _2.6 _6.4 _3.7_4.1 _9.2 _7.8 _7.3 _---- __ 57.3 _ 58.9 ___ 08t

_11 __ SEASIDE 60 _______________ 5.8 _4.3 _5.2 _8.8_10.0_5.7 _5.9 _4.3 _1.6 _4.8 __ 56.4 _ 53.9 ___ 12

_12 __  BORN FROM THE VOID _____ 6.4 _9.8 _3.5 _5.7 _6.3 _9.6 _1.8 _7.4 _3.3 _2.0 __ 55.8 _ 56.4 ___ 11

(13) _ average 1988-2017 (Dec 87-16)_7.7 _8.3 _3.9 _3.7 _2.7 _7.1 _2.4 _0.9_ 9.0 _8.2 __ 53.9 _ 53.7 ___ 13

T13 __ REEF _____________________ 8.6 _5.5 _2.8 _3.8 _1.6 _8.2 _3.0 _9.8 _5.2 _4.0 __ 52.5 _ 52.3 ___ 13

T13 __ LET IT SNOW ! ______________---- _---- _7.9 _6.5 _7.5 _3.7 _9.6 _0.8 _7.7 _8.8 __ 52.5 _ 49.5 ___ 18

_15 __ SYED2878 _________________ 4.8_10.0_3.8_5.0 _3.2 _7.0 _3.2 _1.8 _9.8 _3.3 __ 51.9 _ 49.0 ___ 19

_16 __ MULZY ____________________7.0 _8.8 _7.1 _0.9 _1.6 _7.2 _4.3 _8.0 _2.5 _3.3 __ 50.7 _ 51.0 ___ 15

_17 __ RELATIVISTIC ______________8.0 _2.2 _8.4 _1.2 _7.5 _0.4 _0.6 _6.5 _7.5 _8.3 __ 50.6 _ 47.5 ___ 23

_18 __ STARGAZER _______________ 1.4 _9.6 _2.4 _7.1 _2.3 _5.1 _6.5 _5.9 _----_10.0__ 50.3 _ 50.0 ___ 17

_19 __ STEVE B __________________ 7.4 _8.2 _3.5 _8.8 _9.4 _0.2 _5.3 _ 2.8 _3.8 _0.3 __ 49.7 _ 47.8 ___ 21t

_20 __ BOBD29___________________ 3.2 _6.6 _5.0 _5.9 _8.4 _2.0 _8.8 _3.7 _0.9 _5.0 __ 49.5 _ 51.1 ___ 14

_21 __ DAVID SNOW_______________ 2.2 _3.3 _9.5 _5.7 _4.7 _2.2 _7.0 _4.3 _8.7 _1.8 __ 49.4 _ 50.5 ___ 16

_22 __ DAVEHSUG ________________ 1.0 _1.2_10.0_4.8 _9.4 _7.0 _1.0 _2.0 _8.0 _4.0 __ 48.4 _ 45.7 ___ 27t

_23 __ JEFF C ____________________ 7.6 _4.9 _1.1 _3.3 _2.7 _4.7 _5.3 _4.7_4.3 _8.5 __ 47.1 _ 47.8 ___ 21t

_24 __ DAMI ______________________5.4 _3.9 _0.9 _5.7 _1.6 _8.2 _3.0 _6.8 _5.0 _6.8 __ 47.3 _ 46.1 ___ 25t

_25 __GODBER.1 _________________ 2.4 _7.2 _5.9 _3.5 _6.3 _8.6 _0.6 _7.4 _2.8 _1.3 __ 46.0 _ 48.4 ___ 20

_26 __ WEATHER-HISTORY _________0.6 _3.3 _6.1 _2.6 _9.6 _7.6 _0.8 _7.6 _4.1 _3.3 __ 45.6 _ 43.9___ 32

_27 __ MAPANTZ __________________5.2 _6.3 _1.9 _4.3 _5.6 _9.2 _4.3 _8.6 _---- _---- __ 45.4 _ 46.1 ___ 25t

_28 __ STEWFOX _________________ 7.0 _9.6 _4.0 _8.9 _6.9 _0.6 _8.2 _ ---- _---- _---- __ 45.2 _ 46.3 ___ 24

_29 __ STATIONARY FRONT ________ 1.2 _4.7 _6.5 _2.6 _0.7 _5.9 _7.4 _3.4 _8.4 _4.3 __ 45.1 _ 45.5 ___ 29

T30 __ DKEANE3 __________________7.2 _7.8 _5.6 _9.1 _3.5 _2.8 _2.0 _6.7 _ ---- _---- __ 44.7 _ 44.0 ___ 31

T30 __ ROGER J SMITH ____________ 0.2 _1.8 _6.7 _9.8 _3.9 _3.5 _5.5 _3.5 _3.8 _6.0 __ 44.7 _ 45.7 ___ 27t

_32 __ PEGG24 ___________________ 9.2 _5.1 _0.7 _6.2 _6.3 _1.2 _5.3 _9.8 _0.2 _---- __ 44.0 _ 45.0 ___ 30

_33 __ THE_PIT ___________________6.0 _1.0 _8.4 _1.4 _3.4 _9.2 _4.3 _2.6 _0.7 _6.8 __ 43.8 _ 42.2 ___ 34

_34 __ KIRKCALDY WEATHER_______ ---- _---- _3.5 _8.8 _8.4 _2.6 _7.6 _4.5 _1.4 _5.3 __ 42.1 _ 43.6 ___ 33

_35 __ DANIEL* ___________________3.8 _5.1 _4.9 _4.3 _5.8 _5.1 _ ---- _4.9 _3.1 _---- __ 37.0 _ 36.4 ___ 37

_36 __ DOCTOR32 _________________1.6 _3.9 _6.7 _5.0 _2.7 _1.4 _5.3 _9.4 _0.9 _---- __ 36.9 _ 37.3 ___ 35

_37 __ VIRTUALSPHERE ___________ 4.4 _1.2 _6.7 _1.6 _9.4 _3.3 _1.8 _0.6 _---- _7.3 __ 36.3 _ 37.1 ___ 36

_38 __ SIMSHADY _________________ 7.8 _7.6 _0.4 _7.2 _9.4 _1.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 36.2 _ 35.8 ___ 38

_39  __ WEATHER 26 _______________---- _4.5 _4.5 _9.5 _0.9 _5.3 _8.2 _0.4 _2.1 _0.5 __ 35.9 _ 34.6 ___ 39t

_40 __ DIAGONAL RED LINE ________ ---- _---- _2.1 _6.9 _5.6 _7.6 _9.8 _2.6 _---- _---- __ 34.6 _ 34.6 ___ 39t

_41 __ TIMMYTOUR ______________ 10.0 _0.2 _6.5 _1.7 _---- _9.2 _6.3 _---- _---- _---- __ 33.9 _ 33.8 ___ 42

_42 __ VIZZY2004 _________________ 8.6 _8.6 _8.8 _2.6 _0.5 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _3.5 __ 32.6 _ 33.5 ___ 43

_43 __ CHRIS. R __________________ 6.2 _0.6 _9.6 _7.9 _ ---- _---- _---- _7.0 _---- _---- __ 31.3 _ 31.0 ___ 44

_44 __ ALEXISJ9 __________________ 2.8 _6.1 _1.9 _---- _0.2 _1.0 _3.0 _4.1 _9.4 _2.3 __ 30.8 _ 34.6 ___ 39t

_45 __ CHEESEPUFFSCOTT _________----_---- _---- _---- _ ----_ 6.3 _9.0 _5.7 _0.4 _9.3 __ 30.7 _ 29.3 ___ 45

_46 __ CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE ________---- _---- _---- _0.5 _7.1 _---- _----_5.3 _6.4 _7.3 __ 26.6 _ 28.0 ___ 46

_47 _ THUNDERY WINTRY SHOWERS  8.2 _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _7.2 _8.8 _---- _---- __ 24.2 _ 24.6 ___ 47

_48 __ ED STONE __________________4.4 _1.6 _4.2 _1.2 _2.1 _---- _1.2 _1.0 _5.9 _1.0 __ 22.6 _ 22.0 ___ 48

_49 __ TJM14 _____________________ ----_---- _---- _---- _ ----_ 5.9 _5.9 _1.6 _ 9.1 _---- __ 22.5 _ 21.4 ___ 50

_50 __ PROLONGED SNOWLOVER___ 3.6 _0.8 _1.6 _3.3 _8.0 _---- _3.3 _---- _---- _ ---- __ 20.6 _ 22.4 ___ 49

_51 __ BLAST FROM THE PAST ______ 0.8 _0.0 _3.5 _2.6 _---- _4.7 _---- _---- _6.8 _0.8 __ 19.2 _ 20.2 ___ 51

_52 __ B87 _______________________ ----_---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ 7.8_10.0_---- _---- _---- __ 17.8 _ 19.2 ___ 52

_53 __ GREAT PLUM _______________ ---- _---- _8.4 _7.4 _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- __ 15.8 _ 14.8 ___ 53

_54 __ ROBBIE GARRETT ___________---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ 0.8 _4.3 _----_10.0 _---- __15.1 __14.0 ___ 54

_55 __ FOZFOSTER ________________ ---- _5.5 _4.5 _3.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 13.8 _ 13.4 ___ 56

_56 __ LEO97T_____________________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ 8.2 _5.2 _---- __13.4 _ 13.6 ___ 55

_57 __ RAIN RAIN RAIN _____________ ---- _2.4_10.0_---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 12.4 _ 12.4 ___ 57

_58 __ TERMINAL MORAINE _________ 9.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _1.4 _---- _---- __ 11.2 _ 11.0 ___ 59

_59 __ EMMETT GARLAND___________---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _3.4 _ 6.8 _----__ 10.2 _11.6 ___ 58

_60 __ SEASONALITY _______________ --- _--- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _10.0 _---- _---- __ 10.0 _ 10.0 ___ 60

_61 __ EVENING STAR (GBrunner12) ___ --- _--- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _----  _---- _9.8 ___ 9.8 __ 9.0 ___ 62

_62 __ V FOR VERY COLD ___________ 9.0 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- ___ 9.0 __ 7.6 ___ 68

_63 __ NORTHWEST SNOW __________---- _---- _8.9 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 8.9 __ 9.5 ___ 61

_64 __ LETTERBOXER ______________ ---- _---- _3.6 _---- _ 4.3 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 7.9 __ 8.5 ___ 63

_65 __ MP-R ______________________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ 7.8 _---- _---- _---- ___ 7.8 __ 7.8 ___ 65

T66 __ CORAM _____________________---- _---- _---- _7.7 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 7.7 __ 7.7 __T-66

T66 __ IAPENNELL __________________---- _5.9 _---- _---- _---- _1.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 7.7 __ 8.1 ___ 64

_68 __ BOOFERKING _______________ 3.0 _4.5 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 7.5 __ 7.7 __T-66

_69 __ RICEY076 ___________________ ---- _---- _---- _6.9 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 6.9 __ 6.9 ___ 70

_70__ MOORLANDER _______________ 5.8 _---- _---- _0.4 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 6.2 __ 6.3 ___ 71

_71 __ LF1002 ______________________----_---- _---- _---- _ ----_ 6.1 _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 6.1 __ 7.0 ___ 69

_72 __ JAMES M ____________________---- _---- _5.9 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 5.9 __ 5.9 __T-72

_73 __ POLAR MARITIME ____________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _5.7 _---- ___ 5.7 __ 5.9 __T-72

_74 __ ROSS90 ____________________ ---- _---- _5.4 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 5.4 __ 5.0 __T-75

_75 __ CASTELLANUS80 ____________ ---- _2.8 _2.3 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 5.1 __ 5.1 ___ 74

_76 __ BACKTRACK_________________---- _---- _---- _5.0 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 5.0 __ 5.0 __T-75

_77 __ THUNDERSNOW DAYS ________---- _---- _4.7 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 4.7 __ 4.5 ___77

_78 __ ==METEO-MAN== ____________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _4.5 ___ 4.5 __ 4.3 ___T-78

_79 __ HIGH GROUND BIRMINGHAM __ ---- _---- _---- _4.3 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 4.3 __ 4.3 ___T-78

_80 __ MARK NEAL _________________---- _---- _---- _ 2.9 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 2.9 __ 2.9 ___80

_81 __ MATT TARRANT ______________---- _---- _---- _ 2.8 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 2.8 __ 2.8 ___81

T82 __ MORE SNOW ________________2.6 _ --- _---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 2.6 __ 2.6 __T-82

T82 __ DUNCAN McALISTER___________---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _2.6 _---- _---- ___ 2.6 __ 2.6 __T-82

_84 __ COLDEST WINTER ___________ ---- _---- _---- _ 0.2 _---- _---- _ 2.2 _---- _ ---- _---- ___ 2.4 __ 2.6 __T-82

_85 __ STEVE MURR _______________ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ 2.3 _---- ___ 2.3 __ 2.3 ___ 85

_86 __ ALLWEATHER _______________ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _1.8 ___ 1.8 __ 1.8 ___ 86

T87 __ SKY FULL ___________________---- _---- _1.2 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- ___ 1.2 __ 1.2 __T-87

T87 __ 38*5 C _______________________---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _1.2 _---- _---- ___ 1.2 __ 1.2 __T-87

_89 __ LETTUCING GUTTED _________ 0.0 _0.0 _0.0 _0.7 _0.0 _0.0 _ 0.0 _ 0.2 _0.0 _0.0 ___ 0.9 __ 0.4 __T-89

_90 __ WEIRPIG ___________________ 0.4 _---- _----- _----_---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- ___ 0.4 __ 0.4 __T-89

_91 __ I REMEMBER ATLANTIC 252 ____---- _---- _0.2 _----_ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- ___ 0.2 __ 0.2 ___ 91

_92 __ DEEP SNOW PLEASE _________ ---- _---- _---- _0.0 _---- _ ---- _----_ 0.0 _ ---- _---- ___ 0.0 __ 0.0 ___ 92

______________________________________________________________________________________

(notes on ranking ... normals and consensus are scored as if they were participants, but lower ranking forecasters are not ranked lower as a result, so those rankings are shown in brackets.)

 

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For the benefit of EWP forecasters who have become regular participants after missing some number of months, this is how your current totals compare with the field (a more accurate portrayal of your relative position during the time you've been participating) ...

Only the NCIC version is considered here, it would probably be a similar outcome if I looked at the Hadley scoring instead. 

FORECASTER ___ Rank ____ Total ____ Started _____ Rank vs field in months entered

Let It Snow ! ______ 18 ______ 49.5 _____ Feb _______ 8

Kirkcaldy Weather __ 33 ______ 43.6 _____ Feb _____ T 13

Weather26 _______ T 39 _____ 34.6 ______ Jan _____ 33

CheesePuffScott ___ 45 ______ 29.3 ______ May _____ 24

Some others have missed one or two months during the year and would also be higher ranked if compared against the field for just the months entered. The CET contest is a bit more forgiving for a few missed months as part of its scoring is based on average scores rather than total scores.

With that in mind, this is the current (after 10/12 months) comparison of all ranked forecasters in CET with their EWP ranks (NCIC version only).

EWP ranks in brackets are for players who entered fewer EWP contests than CET. Those with no EWP forecasts are shown --- in that ranking. This includes a few who entered one or two contests and are ranked lower than 50th. 

Asterisks (one or two) show missing months in both contests (e.g., Alexis J9 missed one month in each contest).

 

CET rank ___FORECASTER ____ EWP rank ____ avg rank if playing both (rank of that stat)

_ 01 _______ Man with Beard ____ --- __________ ----

_ 02 _______ Don ______________ 05 _________ 3.5 (1)

_ 03 _______ Norrance __________ T08 ________ 5.5 (3)

_ 04 _______ Godber 1 __________ 20 _________12.0 (7)

_ 05 _______ metaltron __________ --- _________ ----

_ 06 _______ mulzy _____________ 15 ________ 10.5 (6)

_ 07 _______ Singularity __________01 ________ 4.0 (2)

_ 08 _______ Radiating Dendrite ___ 10 ________ 9.0 (5)

_ 09 _______ DAVID SNOW _______16 ________12.5 (8)

_ 10 _______ damianslaw _________ --- ________ ----

_ 11*_______ Alexis J9 ___________ T39* ______ 25.0 (20)

_ 12 _______ Polar Gael __________ 03 ________ 7.5 (4)

_ 13 _______ The PIT ____________ 34 ________ 23.5 (17)

_ 14 _______ Summer Blizzard _____ ---- ________ ----

_ 15**______ stewfox _____________ (24)*** _____ 19.5 (t-14)

_ 16**______ Kirkcaldy Weather ____ 33** (13 Feb-Sep) __ 24.5 (t-18)

_ 17 _______ Born From The Void ___ 11 _________ 14.0 (9)

_ 18 _______ Steve B _____________ T21 ________ 19.5 (t-14)

_ 19 _______ Reef ________________ 13 ________ 16.0 (t-11)

_ 20 _______ seaside60 ____________ 12 ________16.0 (t-11)

_ 21*_______ pegg24 ______________ 30* _______ 25.5 (21)

_ 22*_______ doctor32 _____________ 35* _______ 28.5 (25)

_ 23 _______ Midlands Ice Age _______ 06 _______ 14.5 (10)

_ 24 _______ Duncan McAlister _______ ---- (one entry) 

_ 25 _______ Dr(S)No ______________ 07 ________ 16.0 (t-11)

_ 26 _______ Ed Stone _____________(48)* _______ 37.0 (t-38)

_ 27 _______ davehsug _____________ T27 _______ 27.0 (t-22)

_ 28*_______ Stargazer _____________ 17* ________ 22.5 (16)

_ 29 _______ weather-history _________ 32 _________30.5 (27)

_ 30 _______ Mark Bayley ___________ ---- _________ ----

_ 31*_______ Dancerwithwings _______ ---- _________ ----

_ 32 _______ Weather26 ____________ T39 ________ 35.5 (t-33)

_ 33**______ Dkeane3 ______________ 31** ________ 32.0 (t-29)

_ 34 _______ Optimus Prime _________ ---- _________ ----

_ 35 _______ snowray ______________ ---- _________ ----

_ 36 _______ Daniel* _______________ (35)**________ 35.5 (t-33)

_ 37**______ Mapantz ______________ T25 _________ 31.0 (28)

_ 38 _______ Summer Sun __________ ---- _________ ----

_ 39 _______ Stationary Front ________ 29 _________ 34.0 (31)

_ 40 _______ virtualsphere ___________36 _________ 38.0 (40)

_ 41*_______ sundog _______________ ---- _________ ----

_ 42 _______ Roger J Smith _________ T30 _________ 36.0 (37)

_ 43 _______ Jeff C ________________ T21 _________ 32.0 (t-29)

_ 44 _______ Dami _________________T25 _________ 34.5 (32)

_ 45 _______ Bobd29 _______________ 14 __________ 29.5 (26)

_ 46**______ Diagonal Red Line _______(T39)**** _____ 42.5 (41)

_ 47*_______ J10 ___________________ 02 _________ 24.5 (t-18)

_ 48*_______ ChrisBell-notthe-wxman ___T08 ________ 28.0 (24)

_ 49*_______ Kentish Man ____________ ---- ________ ----

_ 50 _______ Jonboy _________________ 04 ________ 27.0 (t-22)

_ 51 _______ Relativistic ______________ 23 ________ 37.0 (t-38)

_ 52 _______ syed2878 _______________ 19 ________ 35.5 (t-33)

_ 53**______ Let It Snow ! _____________ 18 (see above, 8th Feb-Sep) __ 35.5 (t-33)

_ 54 _______ I Remember Atl 252 _______ ---- (one entry) _ ----

_ 55 _______ Lettucing Gutted __________ T89 ________ 72.0 (42)

_____________________________________________________________

Also ranked in top 55 of EWP (too few entries for CET main ranking)

Simshady (38), Timmytour (42), vizzy2004 (43), Chris R (44) CheesePuffScott (45), Captain Shortwave (46), 

Thundery Wintry Showers (47), Prolonged Snow Lover (49), TJM14 (50), Blast from the Past (51), 

B87 (52), Great Plum (53), Robbie Garrett (54), Leo97t (55).

__________________________________________________________

 

 

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On 02/10/2018 at 22:36, J10 said:

Monthly Figures - Summary and Top 10

No players got it spot on, with 5 players 0.1c out.

Kirkcaldy Weather, coldest winter, daniel, weather-history and ProlongedSnowLover.

The top 10 precisely as shown by Roger above.

image.thumb.png.3bfc7c7a57be69077455f975d11c1f5f.png

Seasonal - Summary and Top 10.

Very much in the same order as the monthly figures above.

image.thumb.png.73101f8c9ccee00efdd3f49139fb87ab.png

Overall - Summary and Top 10.
No change in the Top 3.

1st Man with Beard
2nd Don
3rd Norrance

Elsewhere in the Top 10
Godber_1 up 4th places to 4th.
mulzy up 11 places to 6th. 

image.thumb.png.6a2d32b379ebbce75519eaacb29d7c77.png

Sept 2018 CET.xlsx

 

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October EWP scoring __ NCIC version (76.7 mm)

 

Rank __ FORECASTER _______ F'cast __ Error ___ Points

 

_ 01 ___ vizzy2004 ___________ 76.0 ___ --0.7 ____ 10.0

_ 02 ___ Summer of 95 ________ 78.0 ___ +1.3 _____ 9.8

_ 03 ___ Midlands Ice Age ______75.0 ___ --1.7 _____ 9.6

_ 04 ___ DAVID SNOW ________ 75.0 ___ --1.7 _____ 9.4 (9.6 -- 0.2 for one day late)

_T05 __ Leo97T, Blast from the Past __80.0 ___ +3.3 _____ 9.1 each

_T07 ___ Pegg24, Feb1991blizzard,

_____________ The Pit, Mulzy _______ 70.0 ___ --6.7 _____ 8.6 each

_ 11 ___ Kirkcaldy Weather ______69.6 ___ --7.1 _____ 7.7

_ 12 ___ Singularity ____________84.0 ___ +7.3 _____ 7.5

_(T12) _ consensus ___________84.0 ___ +7.3 _____ 7.5

_T13 ___ Dr(S)No, syed2878, Reef __ 85.0 ___ +8.3 _____ 7.2 each

_T16 ___ TJM14, Don __________68.0 ___ --8.7 _____ 6.5 each

_ 18 ___ virtualsphere __________86.0 ___ +9.3 _____ 6.1

_ 19 ___ Stationary Front _______ 87.0 ___+10.3 _____5.8

_ 20 ___ weather26 ___________ 88.0 ___+11.3 _____ 5.6

_ 21 ___ weather-history _______ 65.0 ___--11.7 _____ 5.4

_ 22 ___ Jonboy ______________65.0 ___--11.7 _____ 5.2 (5.4 -- 0.2 for one day late)

_T23 ___ seaside60 ___________89.0 ___+12.3 _____ 4.7 (4.9 -- 0.2 for one day late)

_T23 ___ Steve B _____________64.0 ___--12.7 _____ 4.7

_ 25 ___ nn2013 ______________90.0 ___+13.3 _____ 4.4

_ 26 ___ Radiating Dendrite _____63.0 ___--13.7 _____ 4.2

_ 27 ___ dKeane3 _____________92.0 ___+15.3 _____ 4.0

_ 28 ___ davehsug ____________ 95.0 ___+18.3 _____ 3.7

_(29)___ average for 1988-2017 __96.6 ___+19.9 _____ 3.6

_T29___ Dami, Godber.1,

_________ Roger J Smith, Doctor32 __ 55.0 ___--21.7 _____ 3.5 each

_T33 ___ EdStone, Relativistic,

____________ Norrance, J10 ________ 99.0 ___+22.3 _____ 2.6 each

_T37 ___ stewfox ____________ 100.0 ___+23.3 _____ 1.4 (1.6 -- 0.2 for one day late)

_T37 ___ Stargazer ___________ 53.0 ___--23.7 _____ 1.4

_(39)___ average for 1981-2010 _100.8 ___+24.1 _____ 1.3

_ 39 ___ Jeff C _______________105.0 ___+28.3 _____ 1.2

_ 40 ___ Bobd29 _____________ 110.0 ___+33.3 _____ 1.0

_ 41 ___ SnowDragon _________ 111.0 ___+34.3 _____ 0.8

_ 42 ___ Born From the Void ____ 115.0 ___+38.3 _____ 0.6

_ 43 ___ CheesePuffScott ______ 117.0 ___+40.3 _____ 0.4

_ 44 ___ Polar Gael ___________ 121.3 ___+44.6 _____ 0.2

_ 45 ___ Lettucing Gutted _______200.0 __+123.7 _____ 0.0

================================================================

 

 

Updated EWP annual scoring (NCIC version) for Dec 2017 to Oct 2018

 

Rank _ Forecaster _____________Dec_Jan_Feb_Mar_Apr_May_Jun_Jul_Aug_Sep_Oct __TOTAL_ previous rank

_01 __ SINGULARITY ___________5.2 _7.2 _9.8 _7.7 _6.4 _8.0 _5.7 _9.2 _7.7 _5.0 _7.5 __ 79.4 ____ 01

_02 __  J10 ___________________ 4.4 _7.6 _0.7 _8.3 _9.2 _9.8 _4.3 _8.6 _5.4 _8.8 _2.6 __ 69.7 ____ 02

T03 __ DON __________________ 1.8 _6.1 _7.4 _8.3 _8.8 _4.3 _6.8 _6.3_10.0 _3.0 _6.5 __ 69.3 ____ 05

T03 __ MIDLANDS ICE AGE ______3.4 _3.3 _9.8_10.0_3.6 _3.0 _8.6 _5.3 _5.7 _7.0 _9.6 __ 69.3 ____ 06

_05 __ JONBOY _______________ 9.2 _7.8 _6.4 _9.6 _7.5 _3.7 _0.6 _6.3 _4.4 _7.8 _5.2 __ 68.5 ____ 04

(06) __ consensus _____________5.2 _6.3 _5.0 _5.7_7.7 _5.3 _5.3 _8.8 _5.5 _6.0 _7.5 __ 68.3 ____ (06)

_06 __ POLAR GAEL ___________ 4.6 _9.4 _8.6 _2.6 _8.2 _9.6 _8.4 _5.5 _2.1 _8.0 _0.2 __ 67.2 ____ 03

_07 __ DR (S) NO ______________ 9.8 _8.8 _1.2 _6.2 _6.4 _2.4 _2.4 _3.7 _9.1 _9.5 _7.2 __ 66.7 ____ 07 

_08 __ RADIATING DENDRITE ___ 2.0 _2.4 _8.7 _4.5 _2.0 _7.8 _9.4 _9.2 _2.8 _9.8 _4.2 __ 62.8 ____ 10

_09 __ NORRANCE ____________ 7.0 _2.2 _8.4 _9.3 _5.4 _9.4 _1.2 _3.6 _6.4 _6.0 _2.6 __ 61.5 ____T-08

_10 __ DAVID SNOW____________ 2.2 _3.3 _8.6 _5.7 _5.4 _2.2 _7.0 _4.5 _9.8 _1.8 _9.4 __ 59.9 ____ 16

_11 __ MULZY _________________7.0 _8.6 _6.7 _0.9 _1.8 _8.2 _4.3 _8.0 _2.5 _3.0 _8.6 __ 59.6 ____ 15

_12 __ REEF __________________ 9.0 _5.3 _2.8 _3.8 _1.8 _7.4 _3.0_10.0_5.4 _3.8 _7.2 __ 59.5 ____ 13

_(13) _ average 1981-2010 _______7.5 _6.4 _5.3 _5.0 _2.6 _6.4 _3.2 _1.4_10.0_9.9 _1.3 __ 59.0 ____ (11)

_13 _CHRISBELL-nottheWxMAN _10.0 _6.8 _2.6 _6.4 _4.0 _3.9 _9.2 _7.8 _8.2 _---- _---- __ 58.9 ____T-08

_14 __ SEASIDE 60 ____________ 5.8 _4.5 _4.8 _8.8 _8.4 _5.1 _5.9 _4.5 _1.8 _4.3 _4.7 __ 58.6 ____ 12

_(15)_ average 1988-2017 (D 87-16) _7.9_7.5 _3.9 _3.4 _2.4 _6.4 _2.4 _1.1 _9.0 _9.7 _3.6 __ 57.3 ____ (13)

_15 __  BORN FROM THE VOID___6.4 _9.8 _3.5 _5.7 _7.5 _9.0 _1.8 _7.4 _3.3 _2.0 _0.6 __ 57.0 ____ 11

_16 __ SYED2878 ______________ 4.8_10.0_3.8 _5.0 _2.2 _6.1 _3.2 _1.8 _9.1 _3.0 _7.2 __ 56.2 ____ 19

_17 __ PEGG24 _______________ 8.0 _5.9 _0.7 _6.2 _7.5 _1.2 _5.3 _10.0 _0.2 _---- _8.6 __ 53.6 ____ 30

_18 __ STEVE B _______________ 7.4 _8.2 _3.5 _8.8 _7.5 _0.2 _5.3 _2.8 _3.8 _0.3 _4.7 __ 52.5 ____T-21

 

_19 __ BOBD29 ________________3.2 _7.0 _6.5 _5.9 _5.6 _2.0 _8.8 _3.7 _1.1 _7.3 _1.0 __ 52.1 ____ 14

_20 __ GODBER.1 _____________ 2.4 _7.4 _5.5 _3.5 _7.5_10.0 _0.6 _7.4 _2.8 _1.3 _3.5 __ 51.9 ____ 20

_21 __ STARGAZER ____________ 1.4 _9.4 _2.4 _7.1 _2.7 _4.5 _6.5 _6.7 _----_9.3 _ 1.4 __ 51.4 ____ 17

T22 __ STATIONARY FRONT _____ 1.2 _4.9 _6.4 _2.6 _0.7 _5.3 _7.4 _3.6 _9.4 _4.0 _5.8 __ 51.3 ____ 29

T22 __ KIRKCALDY WEATHER ___ ---- _ ---- _3.5 _8.8 _10.0_2.6_7.6 _4.7 _1.6 _4.8 _7.7 __ 51.3 ____ 33

_24 __ THE_PIT ________________6.0 _1.2 _7.4 _1.4 _3.8 _8.8 _4.3 _2.6 _0.7 _6.0 _8.6 __ 50.8 ____ 34

_25 __ RELATIVISTIC ___________ 8.4 _2.2 _7.4 _1.2 _4.7 _0.4 _0.6 _6.3 _8.7 _7.6 _2.6 __ 50.1 ____ 23

_26 __ DAMI ___________________5.4 _3.9 _0.9 _5.7 _1.8 _7.4 _3.0 _6.8 _5.2 _6.0 _3.5 __ 49.6 ____T-25

_27 __ LET IT SNOW ! __________ ---- _----_ 8.8 _6.5 _4.7 _3.5 _9.6 _0.8 _7.3 _8.3 _ ---- __ 49.5 ____ 18

_28 __ DAVEHSUG _____________ 1.0 _1.2 _9.1 _4.8 _7.5 _7.8 _1.0 _2.0 _7.5 _3.8 _3.7 __ 49.4 ____T-27

_29 __ WEATHER-HISTORY ______0.6 _3.3 _5.9 _2.6 _9.2 _6.8 _0.8 _7.6 _4.1 _3.0 _5.4 __ 49.3 ____ 32

_30 __ ROGER J SMITH _________ 0.2 _1.8 _8.1 _9.8 _2.7 _5.5 _5.5 _3.0 _3.8 _5.3 _3.5 __ 49.2 ____T-27

_31 __ JEFF C _________________7.8 _4.1 _1.1 _3.3 _3.1 _4.3 _5.3 _4.5 _4.3 _10.0_1.2 __ 49.0 ____T-21

_32 __ DKEANE3 ______________ 7.2 _7.6 _5.2 _9.1 _3.6 _2.8 _2.0 _6.5 _ ---- _---- _4.0 __ 48.0 ____ 31

_33 __ STEWFOX ______________7.0 _9.4 _4.0 _8.9 _8.2 _0.6 _8.2 _ ---- _ ---- _---- _1.4 __ 47.7 ____ 24

_34 __ MAPANTZ ______________ 5.2 _6.8 _1.9 _4.3 _6.4 _8.8 _4.1 _8.6 _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 46.1 ____T-25

_35 __ VIZZY2004 ______________9.0 _9.0 _8.9 _2.6 _0.5 _ ---  _---- _---- _---- _3.5 _10.0 __ 43.5 ____ 43

_36 __ VIRTUALSPHERE ________4.4 _1.0 _8.1 _1.6 _9.8 _3.0 _1.8 _0.6 _ ---- _6.8 _6.1 __ 43.2 ____ 36

_37 __ DOCTOR32 _____________ 1.6 _3.9 _6.4 _5.0 _3.1 _1.4 _5.3 _9.4 _1.2 _ ---- _3.5 __ 40.8 ____ 35

_38 __ WEATHER 26 ___________ ---- _ 4.7 _4.3 _9.5 _0.9 _4.7 _8.2 _0.4 _0.9 _1.0 _ 5.6 __ 40.2 ____T-39

_39 __ DANIEL* ________________3.8 _5.9 _4.7 _4.3 _3.4 _6.3 _---- _4.9 _3.1 _ ---- _ ---- __ 36.4 ____ 37

_40 __ SIMSHADY ______________8.2 _8.4 _0.4 _7.2 _9.8 _1.8 _--- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- __ 35.8 ____ 38

_T41__DIAGONAL RED LINE ____ ---- _ ---- _ 2.1 _6.9 _6.4 _6.8 _9.8 _2.6 _---- _---- _ ---- __ 34.6 ____T-39

_T41__ALEXISJ9 _______________2.8 _5.5 _1.9 _---- _0.2 _1.0 _3.0 _4.3 _9.6 _6.3 _ ---- __ 34.6 ____T-39

_43 __ TIMMYTOUR ____________ 9.4 _0.2 _7.4 _1.7 _ ---- _8.8 _6.3 _---- _---- _---- _ ---- __ 33.8 ____ 42

_44 __ CHRIS. R _______________ 6.2 _0.6 _9.3 _7.9 _ ---- _---- _---- _7.0 _ ---- _---- _---- __ 31.0 ____ 44

_45 __ CHEESEPUFFSCOTT _____ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _5.7 _ 9.0 _5.7 _0.4 _8.5 _0.4 __ 29.7 ____ 45

_46 __ BLAST FROM THE PAST __ 0.8 _0.0 _3.5 _2.6 _ ---- _5.9 _---- _---- _ 6.9 _0.5 _9.1 __ 29.3 ____ 51

_47 __ CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE ____---- _---- _---- _0.7 _8.6 _---- _ ---- _5.3 _6.6 _6.8 _ ---- __ 28.0 ____ 46

_48 __ TJM14 __________________  ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _5.3 _5.9 _1.8 _8.4 _---- _6.5 __ 27.9 ____ 50

_49 __ ED STONE ______________ 4.4 _1.6 _5.3 _1.2 _1.1 _ --- _ 1.2 _1.0 _6.2 _0.8 _2.6 __ 25.4 ____ 48

_50 _THUNDERYWINTRYSHOWERS 8.6_--- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _7.2 _8.8 _---- _---- _ ---- __ 24.6 ____ 47

_51 __ LEO97T _________________ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _8.2 _5.4 _---- _9.1 __ 22.7 ____ 55

_52 _ PROLONGED SNOWLOVER _ 3.6_0.8 _1.6 _3.3 _9.8 _ ----_3.3 _---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- __ 22.4 ____ 49

_53 __ B87 ____________________  ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _9.2_10.0 _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 19.2 ____ 52

_54 __ GREAT PLUM ____________ ---- _---- _7.4 _7.4 _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- __ 14.8 ____ 53

_55 __ ROBBIE GARRETT ________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _0.8 _ 4.3 _---- _8.9 _---- _---- __ 14.0 ____ 54

_56 __ FOZFOSTER _____________ ---- _5.3 _4.3 _3.8 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- __ 13.4 ____ 56

_57 __ RAIN RAIN RAIN __________ ---- _ 2.4_10.0_---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- __ 12.4 ____ 57

_58 __ EMMETT GARLAND________---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ 3.6 _8.0 _---- _---- __11.6 ____ 58

_59 __ TERMINAL MORAINE ______ 9.6 _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ 1.4 _---- _---- _ ---- __ 11.0 ____ 59

_60 __ SEASONALITY ____________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _10.0 _---- _---- _----__ 10.0 ____ 60

_61 __ SUMMER of 95 ____________ ---- _---- __ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _----_---- _---- _9.8 __ 9.8 ____ ---

_62 __ NORTHWEST SNOW _______ ---- _---- __9.5 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _----_---- _---- _---- __ 9.5 ____ 61

_63 __ EVENING STAR ___________ ---- _---- __---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _----_---- _ 9.0 _---- __ 9.0 ____ 62

_64 __ FEB1991BLIZZARD ________ ---- _---- __ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _----_---- _---- _8.6 __ 8.6 ____ ---

_65 __ LETTERBOXER ___________ ---- _ ---- _3.6 _ ---- _4.9 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 8.5 ____ 63

_66 __ IAPENNELL _______________---- _6.3 _---- _---- _ ---- _1.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 8.1 ____ 64

_67 __ MP-R ____________________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ 7.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 7.8 ____ 65

T68 __ BOOFERKING _____________3.0 _4.7 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 7.7 ____T-66

T68 __ CORAM ___________________---- _---- _---- _7.7 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 7.7 ____T-66

_70 __ V FOR VERY COLD _________ 7.6 _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 7.6 ____ 68

_71 __ LF1002 ___________________ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _7.0 _ ---- _ ----_---- _---- _---- __ 7.0 ____ 69

_72 __ RICEY076 _________________---- _---- _---- _6.9 _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- __ 6.9 ____ 70

_73__ MOORLANDER _____________5.8 _---- _---- _0.5 _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- __ 6.3 ____ 71

T74 __ JAMES M __________________---- _---- _5.9 _---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- __ 5.9 ____T-72

T74 __ POLAR MARITIME __________ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _----_ ---- _ ----_ 5.9 _---- _---- __ 5.9 ____T-72

_76 __ CASTELLANUS80 ___________---- _2.8 _2.3 _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- __ 5.1 ____ 74

T77 __ ROSS90 ___________________---- _---- _5.0 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- __ 5.0 ____T-75

T77 __ BACKTRACK_______________ ---- _---- _---- _5.0 _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- __ 5.0 ____T-75

_79 __ THUNDERSNOW DAYS ______ ---- _---- _4.5 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- __ 4.5 ____ 77

_80 __ NN2013 ___________________ ---- _---- __ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _----_---- _---- _4.4  __ 4.4 ____ ---

T81 _ HIGH GROUND BIRMINGHAM__----_ ----_----_ 4.3_ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- __ 4.3 ____T-78

T81 __ ==METEO-MAN==___________---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ----_ 4.3 _---- __ 4.3 ____T-78

_83 __ MARK NEAL _______________ ---- _---- _---- _2.9 _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- __ 2.9 ____ 80

_84 __ MATT TARRANT ____________---- _---- _---- _2.8 _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- __ 2.8 ____ 81

T85 __ MORE SNOW ______________2.6 _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- __ 2.6 ____T-82

T85 __ COLDEST WINTER __________---- _---- _---- _ 0.4 _---- _---- _2.2 _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- __ 2.6 ____T-82

T85 __ DUNCAN McALISTER________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ 2.6 _ ---- _---- _---- __ 2.6 ____T-82

_88 __ STEVE MURR ______________ --- _--- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _ ---- _ 2.3 _ ---- _ ---- __ 2.3 ____ 85

_89 __ ALLWEATHER ______________ --- _--- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ 1.8 _---- __ 1.8 ____ 86

T90 __ SKY FULL _________________ ---- _---- _1.2 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- __ 1.2 ____T-87

T90 __ 38.5*C ____________________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _1.2 _ ---- _---- _---- __ 1.2 ____T-87

_92 ___ SNOW DRAGON ___________---- _---- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ 0.8 __ 0.8 ____ ----

T93 __ WEIRPIG __________________ 0.4 _---- _----- _----_ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- __ 0.4 ____T-89

T93 __ LETTUCING GUTTED ________0.0 _0.0 _0.0 _0.2 _0.0 _0.0 _0.0 _0.2 _0.0 _0.0 _0.0 __ 0.4 ____T-89

_95 __ I REMEMBER ATLANTIC 252 __ ---- _---- _ 0.2 _----_ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 0.2 ____ 91

_96 __ DEEP SNOW PLEASE ________---- _---- _---- _0.0 _ ---- _---- _---- _0.0 _---- _---- _---- __ 0.0 ____ 92

_____________________________________________________________________________

(notes on ranking ... normals and consensus are scored as if they were participants, but lower ranking forecasters are not ranked lower as a result, so those rankings are shown in brackets.)  

 Hadley version to be posted when available ... 

 

 

 

 

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Tables of entries for November 2018 CET and EWP forecast contests

(a) CET forecasts (numbers in brackets show order of entry)

13.0 __ LETTUCING GUTTED (24)

10.1 __ __ __ warmest (1994)

 8.9 __ BLUE_SKIES_DO_I_SEE (19)

 8.5 to 8.8 __ no entries

 8.4 __ VIZZY2004 (49), QUICKSILVER1989 (L1-1)

 8.3 __

 8.2 __ ROGER J SMITH (33), SYED2878 (37)

 8.1 __ 

 8.0 __ KENTISH MAN (42), DAVEHSUG (60)

 7.9 __ REEF (57), METALTRON (58)

 7.8 __ LET IT SNOW! (27)

 7.7 __ STEWFOX (25), MAN WITH BEARD (61), DUNCAN McALISTER (L1-4)

 7.6 __ STARGAZER (20), DKEANE3 (26), FROZE WERE THE DAYS (45), MULZY (51)

 7.5 __ DR(S)NO (22), THE PIT (56)

 7.4 __ STEVE B (2), NORRANCE (36), BORN FROM THE VOID (44), J10 (62)

 7.3 __ STATIONARY FRONT (64), DAVID SNOW (65), mean 1988-2017

 7.2 __ VIRTUALSPHERE (23), NORTHWESTSNOW (41), DON (55)

 7.1 __ SUMMER BLIZZARD (6), DAMIANSLAW (39), MARK BAYLEY (50), mean 1981-2010

 7.0 __ SNOWRAY (31), SINGULARITY (54)

 6.9 __ SUMMER SUN (30), MIDLANDS ICE AGE (43), SEASIDE60 (63) ... consensus

 6.8 __ PEGG24 (4), TJM14 (8), DAMI (14), SLEETY (35), DANIEL* (59)

 6.7 __ EDSTONE (10), SUNDOG (38), JONBOY (46)

 6.6 __ GODBER1 (32), BLAST FROM THE PAST (53)

 6.5 __ DIAGONAL RED LINE (11), DANCERWITHWINGS (16)

 6.4 __ WEATHER26 (12)

 6.3 __ THUNDERY WINTRY SHOWERS (9), WALSALL WOOD SNOW (21)

 6.2 __ RADIATING DENDRITE (7)

 6.1 __ KIRKCALDY WEATHER (13), NN2013 (29), MARK NEAL. (34), PROLONGED SNOW LOVER (47)

 6.0 __ JEFF C (17), WEATHER-HISTORY (52)

 5.9 __ SNOWYOWL9 (15), FEB1991BLIZZARD (40)

 5.8 __ BOBD29 (5)

 5.7 __ POLAR GAEL (3)

 5.6 __

 5.5 __ RELATIVISTIC (L1-3)

 5.4 __ CHEESEPUFFSCOTT (1), LEO97T (18)

 5.3 __ OPTIMUS PRIME (28)

 5.2 __ COLDEST WINTER (48), ROBBIE GARRETT (L1-2)

 2.3 __ __ __ coldest (1782)

_________________________________

65 on time entries and 4 marked one day late (L1 - n) ...

... consensus (median) of 69 entries is 35th ranked, 6.9 C.

-=================================================-

(b) EWP forecasts (table includes Hadley extremes, NCIC averages)

202.5 __ __ __ wettest (1852)

200.0 __ LETTUCING GUTTED

179.0 __ STEVE B

145.0 __ ROBBIE GARRETT (1d late)

140.0 __ VIRTUALSPHERE

132.0 __ STEWFOX

130.0 __ NN2013

125.0 __ ROGER J SMITH

124.0 __ STARGAZER

122.0 __ THUNDERY WINTRY SHOWERS

120.0 __ SYED2878

112.0 __ WEATHER26

110.0 __ GODBER.1

106.0 __ MARK NEAL.

105.0 __ SINGULARITY

102.0 __ JEFF C, REEF

100.0 __ FEB1991BLIZZARD

 99.0 __ DKEANE3

 97.0 __ EDSTONE ... mean 1988-2017

 96.5 __ mean 1981-2010

 95.0 __ DR(S)NO

 94.0 __ J10

 90.0 __ LET IT SNOW!

 89.0 __ STATIONARY FRONT

 87.0 __ POLAR GAEL

 84.0 __ consensus

 81.0 __ NORRANCE

 80.0 __ SLEETY, DON

 79.0 __ DAVEHSUG, SEASIDE60

 78.0 __ BORN FROM THE VOID

 77.0 __ DAVID SNOW

 76.0 __ RADIATING DENDRITE

 75.0 __ WEATHER-HISTORY, DANIEL*

 74.0 __ PROLONGED SNOW LOVER

 70.0 __ MIDLANDS ICE AGE

 68.0 __ CHEESEPUFFSCOTT

 65.0 __ THE PIT

 64.0 __ VIZZY2004

 60.0 __ BLAST FROM THE PAST, RELATIVISTIC (1d late)

 58.0 __ DAMI, JONBOY

 55.4 __ KIRKCALDY WEATHER

 50.0 __ PEGG24, DIAGONAL RED LINE

 46.0 __ BOBD29

 38.0 __ TJM14

 17.9 __ __ __ driest (1945)

_________________________________

46 on time entries, two were one day late,

consensus (median of 48 entries) is 84.0 mm. 

 

Edited by Roger J Smith
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October EWP scoring __ Hadley version (75.5 mm)

 

Rank __ FORECASTER _______ F'cast __ Error ___ Points

 

_T01 ___ vizzy2004 ___________ 76.0 ___ +0.5 ____ 10.0

_T01 ___ Midlands Ice Age ______75.0 ___ --0.5 ____ 10.0

_ 03 ___ DAVID SNOW ________ 75.0 ___ --0.5 _____ 9.8 (10.0 -- 0.2 for one day late)

_ 04 ___ Summer of 95 ________ 78.0 ___ +2.5 _____ 9.3

_T05 __ Leo97T, Blast from the Past __80.0 ___ +4.5 _____ 9.1 each

_T07 ___ Pegg24, Feb1991blizzard,

_____________ The Pit, Mulzy _______ 70.0 ___ --5.5 _____ 8.6 each

_ 11 ___ Kirkcaldy Weather ______69.6 ___ --5.9 _____ 7.7

_T12 ___ TJM14, Don __________68.0 ___ --7.5 _____ 7.5 each

_ 14 ___ Singularity ____________84.0 ___ +8.5 _____ 7.0

_(T15) _ consensus ___________84.0 ___ +8.5 _____ 7.0

_T15 ___ Dr(S)No, syed2878, Reef __ 85.0 ___ +9.5 _____ 6.8 each

_T18 ___ virtualsphere _________ 86.0 ___+10.5 _____ 6.1

_T18 ___ weather-history _______ 65.0 ___--10.5 _____ 6.1

_ 20 ___ Jonboy ______________ 65.0 ___--10.5 _____ 5.9 (6.1 -- 0.2 for one day late)

_T21 ___ Stationary Front ______ 87.0 ___+11.5 _____ 5.4

_T21 ___ Steve B _____________64.0 ___--11.5 _____ 5.4

_T23 ___ weather26 ___________88.0 ___+12.5 _____ 4.9

_T23 ___ Radiating Dendrite ____ 63.0 ___--12.5 _____ 4.9

_ 25 ___ seaside60 ___________ 89.0 ___+13.5 _____ 4.2 (4.4 -- 0.2 for one day late)

_ 26 ___ nn2013 ______________90.0 ___+14.5 _____ 4.2

_ 27 ___ dKeane3 _____________92.0 ___+16.5 _____ 4.0

_ 28 ___ davehsug ____________ 95.0 ___+19.5 _____ 3.7

_T29___ Dami, Godber.1,

_________ Roger J Smith, Doctor32 __ 55.0 ___--20.5 _____ 3.5 each

_(33)___average for 1988-2017 __96.6 ___+21.1 _____ 2.7

_ 34 ___ Stargazer ___________ 53.0 ___--22.5 _____ 2.6

_T34 ___ EdStone, Relativistic,

____________ Norrance, J10 ________ 99.0 ___+23.5 _____ 2.3 each

_(38)___ average for 1981-2010 _100.8 ___+25.3 _____ 1.3

_T38 ___ stewfox _____________100.0 ___+24.5 _____ 1.2 (1.4 -- 0.2 for one day late)

_T38 ___ Jeff C _______________105.0 ___+29.5 _____ 1.2

_ 40 ___ Bobd29 _____________ 110.0 ___+34.5 _____ 1.0

_ 41 ___ SnowDragon _________ 111.0 ___+35.5 _____ 0.8

_ 42 ___ Born From the Void ____ 115.0 ___+39.5 _____ 0.6

_ 43 ___ CheesePuffScott ______ 117.0 ___+41.5 _____ 0.4

_ 44 ___ Polar Gael ___________ 121.3 ___+45.8 _____ 0.2

_ 45 ___ Lettucing Gutted _______200.0 __+124.5 _____ 0.0

================================================================

 

 

Updated EWP annual scoring (Hadley version) for Dec 2017 to Oct 2018

 

Rank _ Forecaster _____________Dec_Jan_Feb_Mar_Apr_May_Jun_Jul_Aug_Sep_Oct __TOTALS

 _________________________________________________________________________Had_NCIC __ NCIC rank

_01 __ SINGULARITY __________ 5.2 _7.0 _9.1 _7.7 _5.6 _8.4 _5.7 _9.2 _8.2 _5.8 _7.0 __ 78.9 _ 79.4 ___ 01

_02 __ JONBOY _______________8.8 _7.4 _6.7_10.0_9.4 _3.9 _0.6 _6.5 _6.4 _8.5 _5.9 __ 74.1 _ 68.5 ___ 05

_03 __ DON __________________ 1.8 _5.7 _8.4 _8.3 _9.8 _4.7 _6.8 _6.5 _8.9 _3.3 _7.5 __ 71.7 _ 69.3 ___ 03t

_04 __ MIDLANDS ICE AGE _____3.4 _3.3 _9.1 _9.6 _3.2 _3.0 _8.6 _5.3 _5.4 _7.5 _10.0__ 68.4 _ 69.3 ___ 03t

_05 __  J10 ___________________4.4 _7.6 _0.7 _8.3 _7.7 _9.6 _4.3 _8.6 _5.2 _9.5 _2.3 __ 68.2 _ 69.7 ___ 02

_06 __ POLAR GAEL ___________4.6 _9.0 _9.5 _2.6 _6.9 _9.8 _8.4 _5.5 _1.8 _5.5 _0.2 __ 63.8 _ 67.2 ___ 06

_(07) _ consensus ____________ 5.2 _5.9 _5.4 _5.7_6.5 _5.9 _5.3 _8.8 _5.3 _6.8 _7.0 __ 67.8 _ 68.3 ___ (06)

_07 __ NORRANCE ___________ 7.0 _2.2 _9.6 _9.3 _4.7_10.0_1.2 _3.4 _6.2 _6.8 _2.3 __ 62.7 _ 61.5 ___ 09

_08 __ DR (S) NO _____________ 9.6 _8.4 _1.2 _6.2 _5.6 _2.4 _2.4 _3.7 _9.8 _7.8 _6.8 __ 63.9 _ 66.7 ___ 07

_09 __ RADIATING DENDRITE __ 2.0 _2.4 _8.9 _4.5 _1.8 _7.0 _9.4 _9.2 _2.8 _9.0 _4.9 __ 61.9 _ 62.8 ___ 08

_10 __ SEASIDE 60 ___________ 5.8 _4.3 _5.2 _8.8_10.0_5.7 _5.9 _4.3 _1.6 _4.8 _4.2 __ 60.6 _ 58.6 ___ 14

_T11__MULZY ________________7.0 _8.8 _7.1 _0.9 _1.6 _7.2 _4.3 _8.0 _2.5 _3.3 _8.6 __ 59.3 _ 59.6 ___ 12

_T11__REEF _________________ 8.6 _5.5 _2.8 _3.8 _1.6 _8.2 _3.0 _9.8 _5.2 _4.0 _6.8 __ 59.3 _ 59.5 ___ 13

_13 __ DAVID SNOW___________ 2.2 _3.3 _9.5 _5.7 _4.7 _2.2 _7.0 _4.3 _8.7 _1.8 _9.8 __ 59.2 _ 59.9 ___ 10

_14 __ SYED2878 _____________ 4.8_10.0_3.8_5.0 _3.2 _7.0 _3.2 _1.8 _9.8 _3.3 _6.8 __ 58.7 _ 56.2 ___ 16

(15) __ average 1981-2010 ______7.6 _6.6 _5.5 _5.1 _2.7 _6.4 _3.2 _1.3 _9.9 _8.9 _1.3 __ 58.5 _ 59.0 ___(13)

_15 __CHRISBELLnottheWxMAN_ 9.4 _6.8 _2.6 _6.4 _3.7_4.1 _9.2 _7.8 _7.3 _---- _ ---- __ 57.3 _ 58.9 ___ 13

(16) _ average 1988-2017 _______7.7 _8.3 _3.9 _3.7 _2.7 _7.1 _2.4 _0.9 _9.0 _8.2 _2.7 __ 56.6 _ 53.7 ___ (15)

_16 __  BORN FROM THE VOID _ 6.4 _9.8 _3.5 _5.7 _6.3 _9.6 _1.8 _7.4 _3.3 _2.0 _0.6 __ 56.4 _ 57.0 ___ 15

_17 __ STEVE B ______________ 7.4 _8.2 _3.5 _8.8 _9.4 _0.2 _5.3 _ 2.8 _3.8 _0.3 _5.4 __ 55.1 _ 52.5 ___ 18

_T18__STARGAZER ___________ 1.4 _9.6 _2.4 _7.1 _2.3 _5.1 _6.5 _5.9 _----_10.0_2.6 __ 52.9 _ 51.4 ___ 21

_T18__RELATIVISTIC __________8.0 _2.2 _8.4 _1.2 _7.5 _0.4 _0.6 _6.5 _7.5 _8.3 _2.3 __ 52.9 _ 50.6 ___ 25

_20 __ PEGG24 _______________ 9.2 _5.1 _0.7 _6.2 _6.3 _1.2 _5.3 _9.8 _0.2 _---- _8.6 __ 52.6 _ 53.6 ___ 17

_21 __ LET IT SNOW ! __________---- _---- _7.9 _6.5 _7.5 _3.7 _9.6 _0.8 _7.7 _8.8 _---- __ 52.5 _ 49.5 ___ 27

_22 __ THE_PIT _______________6.0 _1.0 _8.4 _1.4 _3.4 _9.2 _4.3 _2.6 _0.7 _6.8 _8.6 __ 52.4 _ 50.8 ___ 24

_23 __ DAVEHSUG ____________ 1.0 _1.2_10.0_4.8 _9.4 _7.0 _1.0 _2.0 _8.0 _4.0 _3.7 __ 52.1 _ 49.4 ___ 28

_24 __ WEATHER-HISTORY _____0.6 _3.3 _6.1 _2.6 _9.6 _7.6 _0.8 _7.6 _4.1 _3.3 _6.1 __ 51.7 _ 49.3___ 29

_25 __ DAMI __________________5.4 _3.9 _0.9 _5.7 _1.6 _8.2 _3.0 _6.8 _5.0 _6.8 _3.5 __ 50.8 _ 49.6 ___ 26

_T26__BOBD29_______________ 3.2 _6.6 _5.0 _5.9 _8.4 _2.0 _8.8 _3.7 _0.9 _5.0 _1.0 __ 50.5 _ 52.1 ___ 19

_T26__STATIONARY FRONT ____ 1.2 _4.7 _6.5 _2.6 _0.7 _5.9 _7.4 _3.4 _8.4 _4.3 _5.4 __ 50.5 _ 51.3 ___T22

_28 __ KIRKCALDY WEATHER___ ---- _---- _3.5 _8.8 _8.4 _2.6 _7.6 _4.5 _1.4 _5.3 _7.7 __ 49.8 _ 51.3 ___T22

_29 __GODBER.1 _____________ 2.4 _7.2 _5.9 _3.5 _6.3 _8.6 _0.6 _7.4 _2.8 _1.3 _3.5 __ 49.5 _ 51.9 ___ 20

_30 __ DKEANE3 ______________7.2 _7.8 _5.6 _9.1 _3.5 _2.8 _2.0 _6.7 _ ---- _---- _4.0 __ 48.7 _ 48.0 ___ 32

_31 __ JEFF C ________________ 7.6 _4.9 _1.1 _3.3 _2.7 _4.7 _5.3 _4.7_4.3 _8.5 _1.2 __ 48.3 _ 49.0 ___ 31

_32 __ ROGER J SMITH ________ 0.2 _1.8 _6.7 _9.8 _3.9 _3.5 _5.5 _3.5 _3.8 _6.0 _3.5 __ 48.2 _ 49.2 ___ 30

_33 __ STEWFOX _____________ 7.0 _9.6 _4.0 _8.9 _6.9 _0.6 _8.2 _ ---- _---- _---- _1.2 __ 46.4 _ 47.7 ___ 33

_34 __ MAPANTZ ______________5.2 _6.3 _1.9 _4.3 _5.6 _9.2 _4.3 _8.6 _---- _---- _ ---- __ 45.4 _ 46.1 ___ 34

_35 __ VIZZY2004 _____________ 8.6 _8.6 _8.8 _2.6 _0.5 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _3.5 _10.0__ 42.6 _ 43.5 ___ 35

_36 __ DANIEL* _______________3.8 _5.1 _4.9 _4.3 _5.8 _5.1 _ ---- _4.9 _3.1 _---- _---- __ 37.0 _ 36.4 ___ 39

_37 __ DOCTOR32 ____________ 1.6 _3.9 _6.7 _5.0 _2.7 _1.4 _5.3 _9.4 _0.9 _---- _3.5 __ 40.4 _ 40.8 ___ 37

_38 __ VIRTUALSPHERE _______ 4.4 _1.2 _6.7 _1.6 _9.4 _3.3 _1.8 _0.6 _---- _7.3 _6.1 __ 42.4 _ 37.1 ___ 36

_39 __ SIMSHADY _____________7.8 _7.6 _0.4 _7.2 _9.4 _1.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 36.2 _ 35.8 ___ 40

_40  __ WEATHER 26 __________ ---- _4.5 _4.5 _9.5 _0.9 _5.3 _8.2 _0.4 _2.1 _0.5 _4.9 __ 40.8 _ 40.2 ___ 38

_41 __ DIAGONAL RED LINE ____ ---- _---- _2.1 _6.9 _5.6 _7.6 _9.8 _2.6 _---- _---- _---- __ 34.6 _ 34.6 ___ 41t

_42 __ TIMMYTOUR ___________10.0 _0.2 _6.5 _1.7 _---- _9.2 _6.3 _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 33.9 _ 33.8 ___ 43

_43 __ CHRIS. R ______________ 6.2 _0.6 _9.6 _7.9 _ ---- _---- _---- _7.0 _---- _---- _---- __ 31.3 _ 31.0 ___ 44

_44 __ CHEESEPUFFSCOTT ____----_---- _---- _---- _ ----_ 6.3 _9.0 _5.7 _0.4 _9.3 _ 0.4 __ 31.1 _ 29.7 ___ 45

_45 __ ALEXISJ9 ______________2.8 _6.1 _1.9 _---- _0.2 _1.0 _3.0 _4.1 _9.4 _ 2.3 _---- __ 30.8 _ 34.6 ___ 41t

_46 __ TJM14 ________________ ----_---- _---- _---- _ ----_ 5.9 _5.9 _1.6 _ 9.1 _---- _ 7.5 __ 30.0 _ 27.9 ___ 48

_47 __ BLAST FROM THE PAST _ 0.8 _0.0 _3.5 _2.6 _---- _4.7 _---- _---- _6.8 _0.8 _9.1 __ 28.3 _ 29.3 ___ 46

_48 __ CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE ___---- _---- _---- _0.5 _7.1 _---- _----_5.3 _6.4 _7.3 _---- ___ 26.6 _ 28.0 ___ 47

_49 __ ED STONE _____________4.4 _1.6 _4.2 _1.2 _2.1 _---- _1.2 _1.0 _5.9 _1.0 _2.3 __ 24.9 _ 25.4 ___ 49

_50 _ THUNDERY WINTRY SHOWERS 8.2_----_----_---- _---- _ ---- _7.2 _8.8 _---- _---- _---- __ 24.2 _ 24.6 ___ 50

_51 __ LEO97T_______________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ 8.2 _ 5.2 _ ---- _9.1 __ 22.5 _ 22.7 ___ 51

_52 __PROLONGED SNOWLOVER_3.6_0.8 _1.6 _3.3 _8.0 _----_3.3 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- __ 20.6 _ 22.4 ___ 52

_53 __ B87 __________________ ----_---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ 7.8_10.0_ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- __ 17.8 _ 19.2 ___ 53

_54 __ GREAT PLUM __________ ---- _---- _8.4 _7.4 _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- __ 15.8 _ 14.8 ___ 54

_55 __ ROBBIE GARRETT ______---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ 0.8 _4.3 _----_10.0 _---- _---- __ 15.1 __14.0 ___ 55

_56 __ FOZFOSTER __________ ---- _5.5 _4.5 _3.8 _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- __ 13.8 _ 13.4 ___ 56

_57 __ RAIN RAIN RAIN _______ ---- _2.4_10.0_---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- __ 12.4 _ 12.4 ___ 57

_58 __ TERMINAL MORAINE ___ 9.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _1.4 _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- __ 11.2 _ 11.0 ___ 58

_59 __ EMMETT GARLAND_____---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ 3.4 _ 6.8 _ ----_ ---- __ 10.2 _11.6 ___ 59

_60 __ SEASONALITY _________---- _---- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _10.0 _---- _---- _---- __ 10.0 _ 10.0 ___ 60

_61 __ EVENING STAR ________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _----  _---- _ 9.8 _---- __ 9.8 __ 9.0 ___ 63

_62 __ SUMMER of 95 _________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ 9.5 __ 9.5 __ 9.8 ___ 61

_63 __ V FOR VERY COLD _____ 9.0 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- ___ 9.0 __ 7.6 ___ 70

_64 __ NORTHWEST SNOW ____---- _---- _8.9 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 8.9 __ 9.5 ___ 62

_65 __ FEB1991BLIZZARD_____ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _8.6 ___ 8.6 __ 8.6 ___ 64

_66 __ LETTERBOXER ________ ---- _---- _3.6 _---- _ 4.3 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 7.9 __ 8.5 ___ 65

_67 __ MP-R ________________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ 7.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 7.8 __ 7.8 ___ 67

T68 __ CORAM ______________ ---- _---- _---- _7.7 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 7.7 __ 7.7 __T-68

T68 __ IAPENNELL ___________---- _5.9 _---- _---- _---- _1.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- _----- ___ 7.7 __ 8.1 ___ 66

_70 __ BOOFERKING _________ 3.0 _4.5 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 7.5 __ 7.7 __T-68

_71 __ RICEY076 _____________ ---- _---- _---- _6.9 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- ___ 6.9 __ 6.9 ___ 72

_72__ MOORLANDER _________ 5.8 _---- _---- _0.4 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 6.2 __ 6.3 ___ 73

_73 __ LF1002 ________________----_---- _---- _---- _ ----_ 6.1 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 6.1 __ 7.0 ___ 71

_74 __ JAMES M ______________---- _---- _5.9 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 5.9 __ 5.9 __T-74

_75 __ POLAR MARITIME ______ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _5.7 _---- _---- ___ 5.7 __ 5.9 __T-74

_76 __ ROSS90 ______________ ---- _---- _5.4 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 5.4 __ 5.0 __T-77

_77 __ CASTELLANUS80 ______ ---- _2.8 _2.3 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 5.1 __ 5.1 ___ 76

_78 __ BACKTRACK___________---- _---- _---- _5.0 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 5.0 __ 5.0 __T-77

_79 __ THUNDERSNOW DAYS __---- _---- _4.7 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 4.7 __ 4.5 ___79

_80 __ ==METEO-MAN== ______ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _4.5 _---- ___ 4.5 __ 4.3 ___T-81

_81 __ HIGH GROUND B'HAM ___---- _---- _---- _4.3 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 4.3 __ 4.3 ___T-81

_82 __ NN2013 _______________---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _4.2 ___ 4.2 __ 4.4 ___80

_83 __ MARK NEAL ___________---- _---- _---- _ 2.9 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 2.9 __ 2.9 ___83

_84 __ MATT TARRANT ________---- _---- _---- _ 2.8 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 2.8 __ 2.8 ___84

T85 __ MORE SNOW __________2.6 _ --- _---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 2.6 __ 2.6 __T-85

T85 __ DUNCAN McALISTER____---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _2.6 _---- _---- _---- ___ 2.6 __ 2.6 __T-85

_87 __ COLDEST WINTER _____ ---- _---- _---- _ 0.2 _---- _---- _ 2.2 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- ___ 2.4 __ 2.6 __T-85

_88 __ STEVE MURR _________ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ 2.3 _---- _---- ___ 2.3 __ 2.3 ___ 88

_89 __ ALLWEATHER _________ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _1.8 _---- ___ 1.8 __ 1.8 ___ 89

T90 __ SKY FULL _____________---- _---- _1.2 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- ___ 1.2 __ 1.2 __T-90

T90 __ 38*5 C ________________---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _1.2 _---- _ ---- _ ---- ___ 1.2 __ 1.2 __T-90

_92 __ LETTUCING GUTTED ___ 0.0 _0.0 _0.0 _0.7 _0.0 _0.0 _ 0.0 _ 0.2 _0.0 _0.0 _0.0 ___ 0.9 __ 0.4 __T-93

_93 __ SNOW DRAGON _______ ---- _---- _----- _----_---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ 0.8 ___ 0.8 __ 0.8 __ 92

_94 __ WEIRPIG _____________ 0.4 _---- _----- _----_---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- ___ 0.4 __ 0.4 __T-93

_95 __ I REMEMBER ATL 252 __ ---- _---- _0.2 _----_ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- ___ 0.2 __ 0.2 ___ 95

_96 __ DEEP SNOW PLEASE __ ---- _---- _---- _0.0 _---- _ ---- _----_ 0.0 _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- ___ 0.0 __ 0.0 ___ 96

______________________________________________________________________________________

(notes on ranking ... normals and consensus are scored as if they were participants, but lower ranking forecasters are not ranked lower as a result, so those rankings are shown in brackets.)

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On ‎05‎/‎11‎/‎2018 at 09:45, Roger J Smith said:

October EWP scoring __ Hadley version (75.5 mm)

 

Rank __ FORECASTER _______ F'cast __ Error ___ Points

 

_T01 ___ vizzy2004 ___________ 76.0 ___ +0.5 ____ 10.0

_T01 ___ Midlands Ice Age ______75.0 ___ --0.5 ____ 10.0

_ 03 ___ DAVID SNOW ________ 75.0 ___ --0.5 _____ 9.8 (10.0 -- 0.2 for one day late)

_ 04 ___ Summer of 95 ________ 78.0 ___ +2.5 _____ 9.3

_T05 __ Leo97T, Blast from the Past __80.0 ___ +4.5 _____ 9.1 each

_T07 ___ Pegg24, Feb1991blizzard,

_____________ The Pit, Mulzy _______ 70.0 ___ --5.5 _____ 8.6 each

_ 11 ___ Kirkcaldy Weather ______69.6 ___ --5.9 _____ 7.7

_T12 ___ TJM14, Don __________68.0 ___ --7.5 _____ 7.5 each

_ 14 ___ Singularity ____________84.0 ___ +8.5 _____ 7.0

_(T15) _ consensus ___________84.0 ___ +8.5 _____ 7.0

_T15 ___ Dr(S)No, syed2878, Reef __ 85.0 ___ +9.5 _____ 6.8 each

_T18 ___ virtualsphere _________ 86.0 ___+10.5 _____ 6.1

_T18 ___ weather-history _______ 65.0 ___--10.5 _____ 6.1

_ 20 ___ Jonboy ______________ 65.0 ___--10.5 _____ 5.9 (6.1 -- 0.2 for one day late)

_T21 ___ Stationary Front ______ 87.0 ___+11.5 _____ 5.4

_T21 ___ Steve B _____________64.0 ___--11.5 _____ 5.4

_T23 ___ weather26 ___________88.0 ___+12.5 _____ 4.9

_T23 ___ Radiating Dendrite ____ 63.0 ___--12.5 _____ 4.9

_ 25 ___ seaside60 ___________ 89.0 ___+13.5 _____ 4.2 (4.4 -- 0.2 for one day late)

_ 26 ___ nn2013 ______________90.0 ___+14.5 _____ 4.2

_ 27 ___ dKeane3 _____________92.0 ___+16.5 _____ 4.0

_ 28 ___ davehsug ____________ 95.0 ___+19.5 _____ 3.7

_T29___ Dami, Godber.1,

_________ Roger J Smith, Doctor32 __ 55.0 ___--20.5 _____ 3.5 each

_(33)___average for 1988-2017 __96.6 ___+21.1 _____ 2.7

_ 34 ___ Stargazer ___________ 53.0 ___--22.5 _____ 2.6

_T34 ___ EdStone, Relativistic,

____________ Norrance, J10 ________ 99.0 ___+23.5 _____ 2.3 each

_(38)___ average for 1981-2010 _100.8 ___+25.3 _____ 1.3

_T38 ___ stewfox _____________100.0 ___+24.5 _____ 1.2 (1.4 -- 0.2 for one day late)

_T38 ___ Jeff C _______________105.0 ___+29.5 _____ 1.2

_ 40 ___ Bobd29 _____________ 110.0 ___+34.5 _____ 1.0

_ 41 ___ SnowDragon _________ 111.0 ___+35.5 _____ 0.8

_ 42 ___ Born From the Void ____ 115.0 ___+39.5 _____ 0.6

_ 43 ___ CheesePuffScott ______ 117.0 ___+41.5 _____ 0.4

_ 44 ___ Polar Gael ___________ 121.3 ___+45.8 _____ 0.2

_ 45 ___ Lettucing Gutted _______200.0 __+124.5 _____ 0.0

================================================================

 

 

Updated EWP annual scoring (Hadley version) for Dec 2017 to Oct 2018

 

Rank _ Forecaster _____________Dec_Jan_Feb_Mar_Apr_May_Jun_Jul_Aug_Sep_Oct __TOTALS

 _________________________________________________________________________Had_NCIC __ NCIC rank

_01 __ SINGULARITY __________ 5.2 _7.0 _9.1 _7.7 _5.6 _8.4 _5.7 _9.2 _8.2 _5.8 _7.0 __ 78.9 _ 79.4 ___ 01

_02 __ JONBOY _______________8.8 _7.4 _6.7_10.0_9.4 _3.9 _0.6 _6.5 _6.4 _8.5 _5.9 __ 74.1 _ 68.5 ___ 05

_03 __ DON __________________ 1.8 _5.7 _8.4 _8.3 _9.8 _4.7 _6.8 _6.5 _8.9 _3.3 _7.5 __ 71.7 _ 69.3 ___ 03t

_04 __ MIDLANDS ICE AGE _____3.4 _3.3 _9.1 _9.6 _3.2 _3.0 _8.6 _5.3 _5.4 _7.5 _10.0__ 68.4 _ 69.3 ___ 03t

_05 __  J10 ___________________4.4 _7.6 _0.7 _8.3 _7.7 _9.6 _4.3 _8.6 _5.2 _9.5 _2.3 __ 68.2 _ 69.7 ___ 02

_06 __ POLAR GAEL ___________4.6 _9.0 _9.5 _2.6 _6.9 _9.8 _8.4 _5.5 _1.8 _5.5 _0.2 __ 63.8 _ 67.2 ___ 06

_(07) _ consensus ____________ 5.2 _5.9 _5.4 _5.7_6.5 _5.9 _5.3 _8.8 _5.3 _6.8 _7.0 __ 67.8 _ 68.3 ___ (06)

_07 __ NORRANCE ___________ 7.0 _2.2 _9.6 _9.3 _4.7_10.0_1.2 _3.4 _6.2 _6.8 _2.3 __ 62.7 _ 61.5 ___ 09

_08 __ DR (S) NO _____________ 9.6 _8.4 _1.2 _6.2 _5.6 _2.4 _2.4 _3.7 _9.8 _7.8 _6.8 __ 63.9 _ 66.7 ___ 07

_09 __ RADIATING DENDRITE __ 2.0 _2.4 _8.9 _4.5 _1.8 _7.0 _9.4 _9.2 _2.8 _9.0 _4.9 __ 61.9 _ 62.8 ___ 08

_10 __ SEASIDE 60 ___________ 5.8 _4.3 _5.2 _8.8_10.0_5.7 _5.9 _4.3 _1.6 _4.8 _4.2 __ 60.6 _ 58.6 ___ 14

_T11__MULZY ________________7.0 _8.8 _7.1 _0.9 _1.6 _7.2 _4.3 _8.0 _2.5 _3.3 _8.6 __ 59.3 _ 59.6 ___ 12

_T11__REEF _________________ 8.6 _5.5 _2.8 _3.8 _1.6 _8.2 _3.0 _9.8 _5.2 _4.0 _6.8 __ 59.3 _ 59.5 ___ 13

_13 __ DAVID SNOW___________ 2.2 _3.3 _9.5 _5.7 _4.7 _2.2 _7.0 _4.3 _8.7 _1.8 _9.8 __ 59.2 _ 59.9 ___ 10

_14 __ SYED2878 _____________ 4.8_10.0_3.8_5.0 _3.2 _7.0 _3.2 _1.8 _9.8 _3.3 _6.8 __ 58.7 _ 56.2 ___ 16

(15) __ average 1981-2010 ______7.6 _6.6 _5.5 _5.1 _2.7 _6.4 _3.2 _1.3 _9.9 _8.9 _1.3 __ 58.5 _ 59.0 ___(13)

_15 __CHRISBELLnottheWxMAN_ 9.4 _6.8 _2.6 _6.4 _3.7_4.1 _9.2 _7.8 _7.3 _---- _ ---- __ 57.3 _ 58.9 ___ 13

(16) _ average 1988-2017 _______7.7 _8.3 _3.9 _3.7 _2.7 _7.1 _2.4 _0.9 _9.0 _8.2 _2.7 __ 56.6 _ 53.7 ___ (15)

_16 __  BORN FROM THE VOID _ 6.4 _9.8 _3.5 _5.7 _6.3 _9.6 _1.8 _7.4 _3.3 _2.0 _0.6 __ 56.4 _ 57.0 ___ 15

_17 __ STEVE B ______________ 7.4 _8.2 _3.5 _8.8 _9.4 _0.2 _5.3 _ 2.8 _3.8 _0.3 _5.4 __ 55.1 _ 52.5 ___ 18

_T18__STARGAZER ___________ 1.4 _9.6 _2.4 _7.1 _2.3 _5.1 _6.5 _5.9 _----_10.0_2.6 __ 52.9 _ 51.4 ___ 21

_T18__RELATIVISTIC __________8.0 _2.2 _8.4 _1.2 _7.5 _0.4 _0.6 _6.5 _7.5 _8.3 _2.3 __ 52.9 _ 50.6 ___ 25

_20 __ PEGG24 _______________ 9.2 _5.1 _0.7 _6.2 _6.3 _1.2 _5.3 _9.8 _0.2 _---- _8.6 __ 52.6 _ 53.6 ___ 17

_21 __ LET IT SNOW ! __________---- _---- _7.9 _6.5 _7.5 _3.7 _9.6 _0.8 _7.7 _8.8 _---- __ 52.5 _ 49.5 ___ 27

_22 __ THE_PIT _______________6.0 _1.0 _8.4 _1.4 _3.4 _9.2 _4.3 _2.6 _0.7 _6.8 _8.6 __ 52.4 _ 50.8 ___ 24

_23 __ DAVEHSUG ____________ 1.0 _1.2_10.0_4.8 _9.4 _7.0 _1.0 _2.0 _8.0 _4.0 _3.7 __ 52.1 _ 49.4 ___ 28

_24 __ WEATHER-HISTORY _____0.6 _3.3 _6.1 _2.6 _9.6 _7.6 _0.8 _7.6 _4.1 _3.3 _6.1 __ 51.7 _ 49.3___ 29

_25 __ DAMI __________________5.4 _3.9 _0.9 _5.7 _1.6 _8.2 _3.0 _6.8 _5.0 _6.8 _3.5 __ 50.8 _ 49.6 ___ 26

_T26__BOBD29_______________ 3.2 _6.6 _5.0 _5.9 _8.4 _2.0 _8.8 _3.7 _0.9 _5.0 _1.0 __ 50.5 _ 52.1 ___ 19

_T26__STATIONARY FRONT ____ 1.2 _4.7 _6.5 _2.6 _0.7 _5.9 _7.4 _3.4 _8.4 _4.3 _5.4 __ 50.5 _ 51.3 ___T22

_28 __ KIRKCALDY WEATHER___ ---- _---- _3.5 _8.8 _8.4 _2.6 _7.6 _4.5 _1.4 _5.3 _7.7 __ 49.8 _ 51.3 ___T22

_29 __GODBER.1 _____________ 2.4 _7.2 _5.9 _3.5 _6.3 _8.6 _0.6 _7.4 _2.8 _1.3 _3.5 __ 49.5 _ 51.9 ___ 20

_30 __ DKEANE3 ______________7.2 _7.8 _5.6 _9.1 _3.5 _2.8 _2.0 _6.7 _ ---- _---- _4.0 __ 48.7 _ 48.0 ___ 32

_31 __ JEFF C ________________ 7.6 _4.9 _1.1 _3.3 _2.7 _4.7 _5.3 _4.7_4.3 _8.5 _1.2 __ 48.3 _ 49.0 ___ 31

_32 __ ROGER J SMITH ________ 0.2 _1.8 _6.7 _9.8 _3.9 _3.5 _5.5 _3.5 _3.8 _6.0 _3.5 __ 48.2 _ 49.2 ___ 30

_33 __ STEWFOX _____________ 7.0 _9.6 _4.0 _8.9 _6.9 _0.6 _8.2 _ ---- _---- _---- _1.2 __ 46.4 _ 47.7 ___ 33

_34 __ MAPANTZ ______________5.2 _6.3 _1.9 _4.3 _5.6 _9.2 _4.3 _8.6 _---- _---- _ ---- __ 45.4 _ 46.1 ___ 34

_35 __ VIZZY2004 _____________ 8.6 _8.6 _8.8 _2.6 _0.5 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _3.5 _10.0__ 42.6 _ 43.5 ___ 35

_36 __ DANIEL* _______________3.8 _5.1 _4.9 _4.3 _5.8 _5.1 _ ---- _4.9 _3.1 _---- _---- __ 37.0 _ 36.4 ___ 39

_37 __ DOCTOR32 ____________ 1.6 _3.9 _6.7 _5.0 _2.7 _1.4 _5.3 _9.4 _0.9 _---- _3.5 __ 40.4 _ 40.8 ___ 37

_38 __ VIRTUALSPHERE _______ 4.4 _1.2 _6.7 _1.6 _9.4 _3.3 _1.8 _0.6 _---- _7.3 _6.1 __ 42.4 _ 37.1 ___ 36

_39 __ SIMSHADY _____________7.8 _7.6 _0.4 _7.2 _9.4 _1.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 36.2 _ 35.8 ___ 40

_40  __ WEATHER 26 __________ ---- _4.5 _4.5 _9.5 _0.9 _5.3 _8.2 _0.4 _2.1 _0.5 _4.9 __ 40.8 _ 40.2 ___ 38

_41 __ DIAGONAL RED LINE ____ ---- _---- _2.1 _6.9 _5.6 _7.6 _9.8 _2.6 _---- _---- _---- __ 34.6 _ 34.6 ___ 41t

_42 __ TIMMYTOUR ___________10.0 _0.2 _6.5 _1.7 _---- _9.2 _6.3 _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 33.9 _ 33.8 ___ 43

_43 __ CHRIS. R ______________ 6.2 _0.6 _9.6 _7.9 _ ---- _---- _---- _7.0 _---- _---- _---- __ 31.3 _ 31.0 ___ 44

_44 __ CHEESEPUFFSCOTT ____----_---- _---- _---- _ ----_ 6.3 _9.0 _5.7 _0.4 _9.3 _ 0.4 __ 31.1 _ 29.7 ___ 45

_45 __ ALEXISJ9 ______________2.8 _6.1 _1.9 _---- _0.2 _1.0 _3.0 _4.1 _9.4 _ 2.3 _---- __ 30.8 _ 34.6 ___ 41t

_46 __ TJM14 ________________ ----_---- _---- _---- _ ----_ 5.9 _5.9 _1.6 _ 9.1 _---- _ 7.5 __ 30.0 _ 27.9 ___ 48

_47 __ BLAST FROM THE PAST _ 0.8 _0.0 _3.5 _2.6 _---- _4.7 _---- _---- _6.8 _0.8 _9.1 __ 28.3 _ 29.3 ___ 46

_48 __ CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE ___---- _---- _---- _0.5 _7.1 _---- _----_5.3 _6.4 _7.3 _---- ___ 26.6 _ 28.0 ___ 47

_49 __ ED STONE _____________4.4 _1.6 _4.2 _1.2 _2.1 _---- _1.2 _1.0 _5.9 _1.0 _2.3 __ 24.9 _ 25.4 ___ 49

_50 _ THUNDERY WINTRY SHOWERS 8.2_----_----_---- _---- _ ---- _7.2 _8.8 _---- _---- _---- __ 24.2 _ 24.6 ___ 50

_51 __ LEO97T_______________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ 8.2 _ 5.2 _ ---- _9.1 __ 22.5 _ 22.7 ___ 51

_52 __PROLONGED SNOWLOVER_3.6_0.8 _1.6 _3.3 _8.0 _----_3.3 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- __ 20.6 _ 22.4 ___ 52

_53 __ B87 __________________ ----_---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ 7.8_10.0_ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- __ 17.8 _ 19.2 ___ 53

_54 __ GREAT PLUM __________ ---- _---- _8.4 _7.4 _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- __ 15.8 _ 14.8 ___ 54

_55 __ ROBBIE GARRETT ______---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ 0.8 _4.3 _----_10.0 _---- _---- __ 15.1 __14.0 ___ 55

_56 __ FOZFOSTER __________ ---- _5.5 _4.5 _3.8 _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- __ 13.8 _ 13.4 ___ 56

_57 __ RAIN RAIN RAIN _______ ---- _2.4_10.0_---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- __ 12.4 _ 12.4 ___ 57

_58 __ TERMINAL MORAINE ___ 9.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _1.4 _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- __ 11.2 _ 11.0 ___ 58

_59 __ EMMETT GARLAND_____---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ 3.4 _ 6.8 _ ----_ ---- __ 10.2 _11.6 ___ 59

_60 __ SEASONALITY _________---- _---- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _10.0 _---- _---- _---- __ 10.0 _ 10.0 ___ 60

_61 __ EVENING STAR ________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _----  _---- _ 9.8 _---- __ 9.8 __ 9.0 ___ 63

_62 __ SUMMER of 95 _________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ 9.5 __ 9.5 __ 9.8 ___ 61

_63 __ V FOR VERY COLD _____ 9.0 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- ___ 9.0 __ 7.6 ___ 70

_64 __ NORTHWEST SNOW ____---- _---- _8.9 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 8.9 __ 9.5 ___ 62

_65 __ FEB1991BLIZZARD_____ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _8.6 ___ 8.6 __ 8.6 ___ 64

_66 __ LETTERBOXER ________ ---- _---- _3.6 _---- _ 4.3 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 7.9 __ 8.5 ___ 65

_67 __ MP-R ________________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ 7.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 7.8 __ 7.8 ___ 67

T68 __ CORAM ______________ ---- _---- _---- _7.7 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 7.7 __ 7.7 __T-68

T68 __ IAPENNELL ___________---- _5.9 _---- _---- _---- _1.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- _----- ___ 7.7 __ 8.1 ___ 66

_70 __ BOOFERKING _________ 3.0 _4.5 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 7.5 __ 7.7 __T-68

_71 __ RICEY076 _____________ ---- _---- _---- _6.9 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- ___ 6.9 __ 6.9 ___ 72

_72__ MOORLANDER _________ 5.8 _---- _---- _0.4 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 6.2 __ 6.3 ___ 73

_73 __ LF1002 ________________----_---- _---- _---- _ ----_ 6.1 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 6.1 __ 7.0 ___ 71

_74 __ JAMES M ______________---- _---- _5.9 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 5.9 __ 5.9 __T-74

_75 __ POLAR MARITIME ______ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _5.7 _---- _---- ___ 5.7 __ 5.9 __T-74

_76 __ ROSS90 ______________ ---- _---- _5.4 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 5.4 __ 5.0 __T-77

_77 __ CASTELLANUS80 ______ ---- _2.8 _2.3 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 5.1 __ 5.1 ___ 76

_78 __ BACKTRACK___________---- _---- _---- _5.0 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 5.0 __ 5.0 __T-77

_79 __ THUNDERSNOW DAYS __---- _---- _4.7 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 4.7 __ 4.5 ___79

_80 __ ==METEO-MAN== ______ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _4.5 _---- ___ 4.5 __ 4.3 ___T-81

_81 __ HIGH GROUND B'HAM ___---- _---- _---- _4.3 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 4.3 __ 4.3 ___T-81

_82 __ NN2013 _______________---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _4.2 ___ 4.2 __ 4.4 ___80

_83 __ MARK NEAL ___________---- _---- _---- _ 2.9 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 2.9 __ 2.9 ___83

_84 __ MATT TARRANT ________---- _---- _---- _ 2.8 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 2.8 __ 2.8 ___84

T85 __ MORE SNOW __________2.6 _ --- _---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 2.6 __ 2.6 __T-85

T85 __ DUNCAN McALISTER____---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _2.6 _---- _---- _---- ___ 2.6 __ 2.6 __T-85

_87 __ COLDEST WINTER _____ ---- _---- _---- _ 0.2 _---- _---- _ 2.2 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- ___ 2.4 __ 2.6 __T-85

_88 __ STEVE MURR _________ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ 2.3 _---- _---- ___ 2.3 __ 2.3 ___ 88

_89 __ ALLWEATHER _________ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _1.8 _---- ___ 1.8 __ 1.8 ___ 89

T90 __ SKY FULL _____________---- _---- _1.2 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- ___ 1.2 __ 1.2 __T-90

T90 __ 38*5 C ________________---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _1.2 _---- _ ---- _ ---- ___ 1.2 __ 1.2 __T-90

_92 __ LETTUCING GUTTED ___ 0.0 _0.0 _0.0 _0.7 _0.0 _0.0 _ 0.0 _ 0.2 _0.0 _0.0 _0.0 ___ 0.9 __ 0.4 __T-93

_93 __ SNOW DRAGON _______ ---- _---- _----- _----_---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ 0.8 ___ 0.8 __ 0.8 __ 92

_94 __ WEIRPIG _____________ 0.4 _---- _----- _----_---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- ___ 0.4 __ 0.4 __T-93

_95 __ I REMEMBER ATL 252 __ ---- _---- _0.2 _----_ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- ___ 0.2 __ 0.2 ___ 95

_96 __ DEEP SNOW PLEASE __ ---- _---- _---- _0.0 _---- _ ---- _----_ 0.0 _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- ___ 0.0 __ 0.0 ___ 96

______________________________________________________________________________________

(notes on ranking ... normals and consensus are scored as if they were participants, but lower ranking forecasters are not ranked lower as a result, so those rankings are shown in brackets.)

Roger ...

I have only just noticed this...……..

Thank you very much for all your work on this. 

It is very enjoyable for me, and I suspect many others.

All I can say is what a lucky b-------r.:yahoo:.

 

I suppose the next target is to win them on your own (without ties) ... much more difficult,      or even the  treble of the CET, EWP and Hadley.

Dream on!!!!

Oh wait a minute - are you not stopping the EWP for next year?

MIA 

 

Edited by Midlands Ice Age
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EWP will continue, we will only use Hadley version for scoring, and not the sometimes earlier appearing NCIC version, so just one set of scores.

 

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November table of entries should include 89 mm for Mulzy (in addition to Stationary Front). Apologies. 

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EWP scoring for November if actual amount 99.9 mm (100 mm estimate)

... set there to avoid ties that would create extra editing later ... normals are NCIC, Hadley slightly different

... this is close to what the Hadley tracker is approaching with possibly 30 mm more rain from later systems

... but it's just an estimate and not being used for official scoring purposes 

... the actual scoring will appear when we know the final value. (NCIC then Hadley scoring)

... just posting this for your information, and so I don't lose the work (will make the final table a lot simpler to produce)

 

RANK __ FORECASTER ________ F'cast ___ Error ____ Points

_ 01 ____ FEB1991BLIZZARD ____ 100.0 ___ +0.1 ____ 10.0

_ 02 ____ DKEANE3 _____________ 99.0 ___ --0.9 _____ 9.8

_T03 ____JEFF C, REEF _________ 102.0 ___ +2.1 _____ 9.6 each

_ 05 ____ EDSTONE _____________ 97.0 ___ --2.9 _____ 9.2

(T05) ___ average 1988-2017 ______ 97.0 ___ --2.9 _____ 9.2

_ (06) ___ average 1981-2010 ______ 96.5 ___ --3.6 _____ 9.1

_ 06 ____ DR(S)NO ______________ 95.0 ___ --4.9 _____ 9.0

_ 07 ____ SINGULARITY _________105.0 ___ +5.1 _____ 8.8

_ 08 ____ J10 ___________________ 94.0 ___ --5.9 _____ 8.6

_ 09 ____ MARK NEAL. __________ 106.0 ___ +6.1 _____ 8.4

_ 10 ____ LET IT SNOW! __________90.0 ___ --9.9 _____ 8.2

_ 11 ____ GODBER.1 ____________ 110.0 ___+10.1_____ 8.0

_T12 ____STATIONARY FRONT, MULZY__89.0 ___--10.9_____ 7.7 each

_ 14 ____ WEATHER26 ___________112.0 ___+12.1_____ 7.3

_ 15 ____ POLAR GAEL ___________ 87.0 ___--12.9_____ 7.1

_(T15) __ consensus _____________ 87.0 ___--12.9_____ 7.1

_ 16 ____ NORRANCE ____________ 81.0 ___--18.9_____ 6.9

_ T17 ___SLEETY, DON ___________ 80.0 ___--19.9_____ 6.7 each

_ 19 ____ SYED2878 _____________ 120.0 ___+20.1_____ 6.3

_ T20 ___DAVEHSUG, SEASIDE60 ___79.0 ___--20.9_____ 6.1 each

_ 22 ____ BORN FROM THE VOID ___ 78.0 ___--21.9_____ 5.7

_ 23 ___ THUNDERY WINTRY SHOWERS_122.0 ___+22.1_____ 5.5

_ 24 ____ DAVID SNOW ____________ 77.0 ___--22.9_____ 5.3

_ 25 ____ RADIATING DENDRITE ____ 76.0 ___--23.9_____ 5.1

_ 26 ____ STARGAZER ____________124.0 ___+24.1_____ 4.8

_ T27 ___ WEATHER-HISTORY, DANIEL* __75.0 ___--24.9_____ 4.6 each

_ 29 ____ ROGER J SMITH _________ 125.0 ___+25.1_____ 4.2

_ 30 ____PROLONGED SNOW LOVER_ 74.0 ___--25.9_____ 4.0

_ 31 ____ MIDLANDS ICE AGE ________70.0 ___--29.9_____ 3.8

_ 32 ____ NN2013 _________________ 130.0 ___+30.1_____ 3.6

_ 33 ____ CHEESEPUFFSCOTT _______68.0 ___--31.9_____ 3.4

_ 34 ____ STEWFOX _______________ 132.0 ___+32.1_____ 3.2

_ 35 ____ THE PIT __________________ 65.0 ___--34.9_____ 3.0

_ 36 ____ VIZZY2004 ________________ 64.0 ___--35.9_____ 2.8

_ 37 ____ BLAST FROM THE PAST _____ 60.0 ___--39.9_____ 2.6

_ 38 ____ RELATIVISTIC ______________ 60.0 ___--39.9_____ 2.4 (2.6 -- 0.2 for 1d late)

_ 39 ____ VIRTUALSPHERE ___________140.0 ___+40.1_____ 2.1

_ T40 ___DAMI, JONBOY ______________58.0 ___--41.9_____ 1.9 each

_ 42 ____ KIRKCALDY WEATHER _______55.4 ___--44.5_____ 1.5

_ T43 ____ROBBIE GARRETT _________ 145.0 ___+45.1_____ 1.1 (1.3 -- 0.2 for 1d late)

_ T43 ___PEGG24, DIAGONAL RED LINE_ 50.0 ___--49.9_____ 1.1 each

_ 46 ____ BOBD29 ___________________ 46.0 ___--53.9_____ 0.7

_ 47 ____ TJM14 _____________________ 38.0 ___--61.9_____ 0.5

_ 48 ____ STEVE B __________________ 179.0 ___+79.1_____ 0.2

_ 49 ____  LETTUCING GUTTED _______ 200.0 ___+100.1____ 0.0

__________________________________________________________________

actual scoring will be higher if the outcome is closer to your forecast than 99.9 mm is. 

watch for this actual scoring to be posted in early December. 

Edited by Roger J Smith
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Table of entries for December 2018 CET and EWP contests

CET forecasts

Numbers in brackets are order of final revised entry. This applies to EWP also.

 

12.0 __ Lettucing Gutted (8)

 9.7 __ __ __ warmest (2015)

 8.0 __ I RememberAtlantic 252 (9)

 6.5 __ syed2878 (6)

 6.4 __ Froze were the Days (44)

 6.3 __ Feb1991Blizzard (36), Quicksilver 1989 (48)

 6.2 __ SLEETY (26)

 6.1 __ SteveB (31)

 6.0 __ CheesepuffScott (30), The Pit (35),  Reef (L1-4)

 5.9 __ Stationary Front (5), Timmytour (17), vizzy2004 (51), BornFromTheVoid (52), stargazer (61)

 5.8 __ Don (55), ThunderyWintryShowers (L1-2)

 5.7 __ weather-history (39)

 5.6 __ virtualsphere (29), SummerSun (41), jonboy (43)

 5.5 __ JonathanF. (22), Man With Beard (38)

 5.3 -- AWD (24), seaside60 (50)

 5.2 __ Dami (14), nn2013 (25), Norrance (45), Duncan McAlister (L1-1)

 5.1 __ DAVIDSNOW (47), KentishMan (62)

 5.0 __ Roger J Smith (56) ... ... consensus

 4.9 __ Mulzy (46), average 1988-2017 

 4.8 __ weather26 (4), Walsall Wood Snow (32), Godber.1 (L1-3)

 4.7 __ Kirkcaldy Weather (20), stewfox (34), Midlands Ice Age (49), metaltron (57), BlastFromThePast (60)

 4.6 __ Leo97t (2), Summer Blizzard (13), davehsug (59), average 1981-2010 

 4.5 __ Dr(S)No (15), dancerwithwings (19), Diagonal Red Line (27), J10 (37)

 4.4 __ snowray (58)

 4.3 __ EdStone (21), daniel* (42)

 4.2 __ Bobd29 (10), Singularity (53)

 4.1 __ JeffC (16), Mark Bayley (28), Moorlander (40)

 4.0 __ Pegg24 (12), Optimus Prime (23)

 3.9 __ Let It Snow! (3)

 3.6 __ brmbrmcar (33)

 3.3 __ Relativistic (54)

 3.1 __ Damianslaw (18)

 2.7 __ Polar Gael (11)

 2.4 __ Radiating Dendrite (7)

 2.3 __ Prolonged Snow Lover (1)

-0.8 __ __ __ coldest (1890)

____________________________________

62 on-time entries, and four marked one day late (L1-n)

median of 66 forecasts (consensus) 4.95 C (entered as 5.0)

============================================

EWP forecasts

200.0 __ Lettucing Gutted (4)

193.9 __ __ __ wettest (1876)

172.0 __ I RememberAtlantic 252 (22)

132.0 __ virtualsphere (20)

131.0 __ BornFromTheVoid (39)

130.0 __ SteveB (21)

125.0 __ Don (42)

124.0 __ stargazer (45)

122.0 __ stewfox (24)

120.2 __ Roger J Smith (15)

120.0 __ Metaltron (43),  Reef (L1-2)

117.0 __ Feb1991blizzard (26)

115.0 __ BlastFromThePast (31)

114.0 __ Singularity (40) 

110.0 __ weather-history (28), jonboy (32)

108.0 __ vizzy2004 (38)

107.0 __ seaside60 (37)

103.0 __ ThunderyWintryShowers (L1-1)

100.1 __ average 1988-2017

100.0 __ Dr(S)No (9), EdStone (13), J10 (27), Mulzy (34)  

 99.0 __ DAVID SNOW (35) ... consensus

 98.4 __ SLEETY (16)  

 97.4 __ average 1981-2010 

 97.0 __ Moorlander (29)

 95.0 __ Norrance (33), davehsug (44)

 90.0 __ daniel* (30), Midlands Ice Age (36) 

 89.0 __ Stationary Front (18)

 88.0 __ JeffC (10)

 78.0 __ AWD (14)

 77.0 __ Timmytour (11)

 75.0 __ CheesepuffScott (19), The Pit (25)

 74.6 __ brmbrmcar (23)

 70.0 __ syed2878 (2), Diagonal Red Line (17)

 69.4 __ Kirkcaldy Weather (12)

 68.0 __ weather26 (1)

 60.0 __ Relativistic (41)

 57.3 __ Polar Gael (6)

 57.0 __ Pegg24 (7)

 55.0 __ Bobd29 (5)

 45.0 __ Dami (8)

 36.0 __ Radiating Dendrite (3)

__8.9 __ __ __ driest (1788)

_________________________________________________

45 on time entries, plus two marked one day late (L1-n)

consensus 99.0 mm (median of 47 entries)

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November 2018 EWP scoring (NCIC version) based on 100.3 mm

 

RANK __ FORECASTER ________ F'cast ___ Error ____ Points

 

_ 01 ____ FEB1991BLIZZARD ____ 100.0 ___ --0.3 ____ 10.0

_ 02 ____ DKEANE3 _____________ 99.0 ___ --1.3 _____ 9.8

_T03 ____JEFF C, REEF _________ 102.0 ___ +1.7 _____ 9.6 each

_ 05 ____ EDSTONE _____________ 97.0 ___ --3.3 _____ 9.2

(T05) ___ average 1988-2017 ______ 97.0 ___ --3.3 _____ 9.2

_ (06) ___ average 1981-2010 ______ 96.5 ___ --3.8 _____ 9.1

_ 06 ____ SINGULARITY _________105.0 ___ +4.7 _____ 9.0

_ 07 ____ DR(S)NO ______________ 95.0 ___ --5.3 _____ 8.8

_ 08 ____ MARK NEAL. __________ 106.0 ___ +5.7 _____ 8.6

_ 09 ____ J10 ___________________ 94.0 ___ --6.3 _____ 8.4

_ 10 ____ GODBER.1 ____________ 110.0 ___ +9.7_____ 8.2

_ 11 ____ LET IT SNOW! __________ 90.0 ___-10.3_____ 8.0

_T12 ____STATIONARY FRONT, MULZY__89.0 ___--11.3_____ 7.7 each

_ 14 ____ WEATHER26 ___________112.0 ___+11.7_____ 7.3

_ 15 ____ POLAR GAEL ___________ 87.0 ___--13.3_____ 7.1

_(T15) __ consensus _____________ 87.0 ___--13.3_____ 7.1

_ 16 ____ NORRANCE ____________ 81.0 ___--19.3_____ 6.9

_ 17 ____ SYED2878 _____________ 120.0 ___+19.7_____ 6.7

_ T18 ___SLEETY, DON ___________ 80.0 ___--20.3_____ 6.5 each

_ T20 ___DAVEHSUG, SEASIDE60 ___79.0 ___--21.3_____ 6.1 each

_ 22 ___ THUNDERY WINTRY SHOWERS_122.0 ___+21.7_____ 5.6

_ 23 ____ BORN FROM THE VOID ___ 78.0 ___--22.3_____ 5.4

_ 24 ____ DAVID SNOW ____________ 77.0 ___--23.3_____ 5.2

_ 25 ____ STARGAZER ____________124.0 ___+23.7_____ 5.0

_ 26 ____ RADIATING DENDRITE ____ 76.0 ___--24.3_____ 4.8

_ 27 ____ ROGER J SMITH _________ 125.0 ___+24.7_____ 4.6

_ T28 ___ WEATHER-HISTORY, DANIEL* __75.0 ___--25.3_____ 4.4 each

_ 30 ____PROLONGED SNOW LOVER_ 74.0 ___--26.3_____ 4.0

_ 31 ____ NN2013 _________________ 130.0 ___+29.7_____ 3.7

_ 32 ____ MIDLANDS ICE AGE ________70.0 ___--30.3_____ 3.5

_ 33 ____ STEWFOX _______________ 132.0 ___+31.7_____ 3.3

_ 34 ____ CHEESEPUFFSCOTT _______68.0 ___--32.3_____ 3.1

_ 35 ____ THE PIT __________________ 65.0 ___--35.3_____ 2.9

_ 36 ____ VIZZY2004 ________________ 64.0 ___--36.3_____ 2.7

_ 37 ____ VIRTUALSPHERE __________140.0 ___+39.7_____ 2.5

_ 38 ____ BLAST FROM THE PAST _____60.0 ___--40.3_____ 2.3

_ 39 ____ RELATIVISTIC _____________ 60.0 ___--40.3_____ 2.1 (2.3 -- 0.2 for 1d late)

_ T40 ___DAMI, JONBOY _____________58.0 ___--42.3_____ 1.8 each

_ T42 ____ROBBIE GARRETT ________145.0 ___+44.7_____ 1.2 (1.4 -- 0.2 for 1d late)

_ T42 ___ KIRKCALDY WEATHER ______55.4 ___--44.9_____ 1.2

_ T44 ___PEGG24, DIAGONAL RED LINE_50.0 ___--50.3_____1.0 each

_ 46 ____ BOBD29 __________________ 46.0 ___--54.3_____ 0.6

_ 47 ____ TJM14 ____________________ 38.0 ___--62.3_____ 0.4

_ 48 ____ STEVE B _________________ 179.0 ___+78.7_____ 0.2

_ 49 ____  LETTUCING GUTTED ______ 200.0 ___+99.7 _____0.0

__________________________________________________________________

 

 

Updated EWP annual scoring (NCIC version) for Dec 2017 to Nov 2018

__ final results of the contest year Dec 2017 to Nov 2018 __

 

Rank _ Forecaster _____________Dec_Jan_Feb_Mar_Apr_May_Jun_Jul_Aug_Sep_Oct_Nov __TOTAL_ previous rank

 

_01 __ SINGULARITY ___________5.2 _7.2 _9.8 _7.7 _6.4 _8.0 _5.7 _9.2 _7.7 _5.0 _7.5_ 9.0__ 88.4 ____ 01

_02 __  J10 ___________________ 4.4 _7.6 _0.7 _8.3 _9.2 _9.8 _4.3 _8.6 _5.4 _8.8 _2.6 _8.4 __ 78.1 ____ 02

_(03)__consensus _____________5.2 _6.3 _5.0 _5.7_7.7 _5.3 _5.3 _8.8 _5.5 _6.0 _7.5 _7.1 __ 75.4 ____ (06)

_03 __ DON __________________ 1.8 _6.1 _7.4 _8.3 _8.8 _4.3 _6.8 _6.3_10.0 _3.0 _6.5 _6.5 __ 75.8 ____T03

_04 __ DR (S) NO ______________ 9.8 _8.8 _1.2 _6.2 _6.4 _2.4 _2.4 _3.7 _9.1 _9.5 _7.2 _8.8 __ 75.5 ____ 07 

_05 __ POLAR GAEL ___________ 4.6 _9.4 _8.6 _2.6 _8.2 _9.6 _8.4 _5.5 _2.1 _8.0 _0.2 _7.1 __ 74.3 ____ 06

_06 __ MIDLANDS ICE AGE ______3.4 _3.3 _9.8_10.0_3.6 _3.0 _8.6 _5.3 _5.7 _7.0 _9.6 _3.5 __ 72.8 ____T03

_07 __ JONBOY _______________ 9.2 _7.8 _6.4 _9.6 _7.5 _3.7 _0.6 _6.3 _4.4 _7.8 _5.2 _1.8 __ 70.3 ____ 05

_08 __ REEF __________________ 9.0 _5.3 _2.8 _3.8 _1.8 _7.4 _3.0_10.0_5.4 _3.8 _7.2 _9.6 __ 69.1 ____ 12

_(09) _ average 1981-2010 _______7.5 _6.4 _5.3 _5.0 _2.6 _6.4 _3.2 _1.4_10.0_9.9 _1.3 _9.1 __ 68.1 ____ (13)

_09 __ NORRANCE ____________ 7.0 _2.2 _8.4 _9.3 _5.4 _9.4 _1.2 _3.6 _6.4 _6.0 _2.6 _6.1 __ 67.9 ____ 09

_10 __ RADIATING DENDRITE ___ 2.0 _2.4 _8.7 _4.5 _2.0 _7.8 _9.4 _9.2 _2.8 _9.8 _4.2 _4.8 __ 67.6 ____ 08

_11 __ MULZY _________________7.0 _8.6 _6.7 _0.9 _1.8 _8.2 _4.3 _8.0 _2.5 _3.0 _8.6 _7.7 __ 67.3 ____ 11

_(12)_ average 1988-2017 (D 87-16) _7.9_7.5 _3.9 _3.4_2.4 _6.4 _2.4 _1.1 _9.0 _9.7 _3.6 _9.2__ 66.5 ____ (15)

_12 __ DAVID SNOW____________ 2.2 _3.3 _8.6 _5.7 _5.4 _2.2 _7.0 _4.5 _9.8 _1.8 _9.4 _5.2 __ 65.1 ____ 10

_13 __ SEASIDE 60 ____________ 5.8 _4.5 _4.8 _8.8 _8.4 _5.1 _5.9 _4.5 _1.8 _4.3 _4.7 _6.1 __ 64.7 ____ 14

_14 __ SYED2878 ______________ 4.8_10.0_3.8 _5.0 _2.2 _6.1 _3.2 _1.8 _9.1 _3.0 _7.2 _6.7__ 62.9 ____ 16

_15 __  BORN FROM THE VOID___6.4 _9.8 _3.5 _5.7 _7.5 _9.0 _1.8 _7.4 _3.3 _2.0 _0.6 _5.4 __ 62.4 ____ 15

_16 __ GODBER.1 _____________ 2.4 _7.4 _5.5 _3.5 _7.5_10.0 _0.6 _7.4 _2.8 _1.3 _3.5 _8.2 __ 60.1 ____ 20

_17 _CHRISBELL-nottheWxMAN _ 10.0 _6.8 _2.6 _6.4 _4.0 _3.9 _9.2 _7.8 _8.2 _---- _---- _---- __ 58.9 ____ 13

T18 __ STATIONARY FRONT _____ 1.2 _4.9 _6.4 _2.6 _0.7 _5.3 _7.4 _3.6 _9.4 _4.0 _5.8 _7.7 __ 59.0 ____T22

T18 __ JEFF C _________________7.8 _4.1 _1.1 _3.3 _3.1 _4.3 _5.3 _4.5 _4.3 _10.0_1.2 _9.6 __ 58.6 ____ 31

_20 __ DKEANE3 ______________ 7.2 _7.6 _5.2 _9.1 _3.6 _2.8 _2.0 _6.5 _ ---- _---- _4.0 _9.8 __ 57.8 ____ 32

_21 __ LET IT SNOW ! __________ ---- _----_ 8.8 _6.5 _4.7 _3.5 _9.6 _0.8 _7.3 _8.3 _ ---- _8.0 __ 57.5 ____ 27

_22 __ STARGAZER ____________ 1.4 _9.4 _2.4 _7.1 _2.7 _4.5 _6.5 _6.7 _----_9.3 _ 1.4 _5.0 __ 56.4 ____ 21

_23 __ DAVEHSUG _____________ 1.0 _1.2 _9.1 _4.8 _7.5 _7.8 _1.0 _2.0 _7.5 _3.8 _3.7 _6.1 __ 55.5 ____ 28

_24 __ PEGG24 _______________ 8.0 _5.9 _0.7 _6.2 _7.5 _1.2 _5.3 _10.0 _0.2 _---- _8.6 _1.0 __ 54.6 ____ 17

_25 __ ROGER J SMITH _________ 0.2 _1.8 _8.1 _9.8 _2.7 _5.5 _5.5 _3.0 _3.8 _5.3 _3.5 _4.6 __ 53.8 ____ 30

_T26__THE_PIT ________________6.0 _1.2 _7.4 _1.4 _3.8 _8.8 _4.3 _2.6 _0.7 _6.0 _8.6 _2.9 __ 53.7 ____ 24

_T26__WEATHER-HISTORY ______0.6 _3.3 _5.9 _2.6 _9.2 _6.8 _0.8 _7.6 _4.1 _3.0 _5.4 _4.4 __ 53.7 ____ 29

_T28__ STEVE B _______________7.4 _8.2 _3.5 _8.8 _7.5 _0.2 _5.3 _2.8 _3.8 _0.3 _4.7 _0.2 __ 52.7 ____ 18

_T28__ BOBD29 _______________ 3.2 _7.0 _6.5 _5.9 _5.6 _2.0 _8.8 _3.7 _1.1 _7.3 _1.0 _0.6 __ 52.7 ____ 19

_30 __ KIRKCALDY WEATHER ___ ---- _ ---- _3.5 _8.8 _10.0_2.6_7.6 _4.7 _1.6 _4.8 _7.7 _1.2 __ 52.5 ____T22

_31 __ RELATIVISTIC ___________ 8.4 _2.2 _7.4 _1.2 _4.7 _0.4 _0.6 _6.3 _8.7 _7.6 _2.6 _2.1 __ 52.2 ____ 25

_32 __ DAMI ___________________5.4 _3.9 _0.9 _5.7 _1.8 _7.4 _3.0 _6.8 _5.2 _6.0 _3.5 _1.8 __ 51.4 ____ 26

_33 __ STEWFOX ______________7.0 _9.4 _4.0 _8.9 _8.2 _0.6 _8.2 _ ---- _ ---- _---- _1.4 _3.3 __ 51.0 ____ 33

_34 __ WEATHER 26 ___________ ---- _ 4.7 _4.3 _9.5 _0.9 _4.7 _8.2 _0.4 _0.9 _1.0 _ 5.6 _7.3 __ 47.5 ____ 38

_35 __ VIZZY2004 ______________9.0 _9.0 _8.9 _2.6 _0.5 _ ---  _---- _---- _---- _3.5 _10.0_2.7 __ 46.2 ____ 35

_36 __ MAPANTZ ______________ 5.2 _6.8 _1.9 _4.3 _6.4 _8.8 _4.1 _8.6 _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- __ 46.1 ____ 34

_37 __ VIRTUALSPHERE ________4.4 _1.0 _8.1 _1.6 _9.8 _3.0 _1.8 _0.6 _ ---- _6.8 _6.1 _2.5 __ 45.7 ____ 36

T38 __ DOCTOR32 _____________ 1.6 _3.9 _6.4 _5.0 _3.1 _1.4 _5.3 _9.4 _1.2 _ ---- _3.5 _---- __ 40.8 ____ 37

T38 __ DANIEL* ________________3.8 _5.9 _4.7 _4.3 _3.4 _6.3 _---- _4.9 _3.1 _ ---- _ ---- _4.4 __ 40.8 ____ 39

_40 __ SIMSHADY ______________8.2 _8.4 _0.4 _7.2 _9.8 _1.8 _--- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 35.8 ____ 40

_41 __DIAGONAL RED LINE ____ ---- _ ---- _ 2.1 _6.9 _6.4 _6.8 _9.8 _2.6 _---- _---- _ ---- _1.0 __ 35.6 ____T-41

T42 __ALEXISJ9 _______________2.8 _5.5 _1.9 _---- _0.2 _1.0 _3.0 _4.3 _9.6 _6.3 _ ---- _ ---- __ 34.6 ____T-41

T42 __ ED STONE ______________ 4.4 _1.6 _5.3 _1.2 _1.1 _ --- _ 1.2 _1.0 _6.2 _0.8 _2.6 _9.2 __ 34.6 ____ 49

_44 __ TIMMYTOUR ____________ 9.4 _0.2 _7.4 _1.7 _ ---- _8.8 _6.3 _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- __ 33.8 ____ 43

_45 __ CHEESEPUFFSCOTT _____ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _5.7 _ 9.0 _5.7 _0.4 _8.5 _0.4 _3.1 __ 32.8 ____ 45

_46 __ BLAST FROM THE PAST __ 0.8 _0.0 _3.5 _2.6 _ ---- _5.9 _---- _---- _ 6.9 _0.5 _9.1 _2.3 __ 31.6 ____ 46

_47 __ CHRIS. R _______________ 6.2 _0.6 _9.3 _7.9 _ ---- _---- _---- _7.0 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- __ 31.0 ____ 44

_48 _THUNDERYWINTRYSHOWERS 8.6_--- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _7.2 _8.8 _---- _---- _ ---- _5.6 __ 30.2 ____ 50

_49 __ TJM14 __________________  ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _5.3 _5.9 _1.8 _8.4 _---- _6.5 _0.4 __ 28.3 ____ 48

_50 __ CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE ____---- _---- _---- _0.7 _8.6 _---- _ ---- _5.3 _6.6 _6.8 _ ---- _---- __ 28.0 ____ 47

_51 _ PROLONGED SNOWLOVER _ 3.6_0.8 _1.6 _3.3 _9.8 _ ----_3.3 _---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _4.0 __ 26.4 ____ 52

_52 __ LEO97T _________________---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _8.2 _5.4 _---- _9.1 _---- __ 22.7 ____ 51

_53 __ B87 ____________________  ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _9.2_10.0 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 19.2 ____ 53

_54 __ FEB1991BLIZZARD ________ ---- _---- __ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _----_----_---- _8.6 _10.0 __18.6 ____ 64

_55 __ ROBBIE GARRETT ________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _0.8 _ 4.3 _---- _8.9 _---- _---- _1.2 __ 15.2 ____ 55

_56 __ GREAT PLUM ____________ ---- _---- _7.4 _7.4 _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 14.8 ____ 54

_57 __ FOZFOSTER _____________ ---- _5.3 _4.3 _3.8 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- __ 13.4 ____ 56

_58 __ RAIN RAIN RAIN __________ ---- _ 2.4_10.0_---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 12.4 ____ 57

_59 __ EMMETT GARLAND________---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ 3.6 _8.0 _---- _---- _---- __11.6 ____ 58

_60 __ MARK NEAL _____________ ---- _---- _---- _2.9 _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _8.6 __11.5 ____ 83

_61 __ TERMINAL MORAINE ______ 9.6 _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ 1.4 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- __ 11.0 ____ 59

_62 __ SEASONALITY ____________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _10.0 _---- _---- _----_---- __ 10.0 ____ 60

_63 __ SUMMER of 95 ____________ ---- _---- __ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _----_---- _---- _9.8 _---- __ 9.8 ____ 61

_64 __ NORTHWEST SNOW _______ ---- _---- __9.5 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _----_---- _---- _---- _---- __ 9.5 ____ 62

_65 __ EVENING STAR ___________ ---- _---- __---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _----_---- _ 9.0 _---- _---- __ 9.0 ____ 63

_66 __ LETTERBOXER ___________ ---- _ ---- _3.6 _ ---- _4.9 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 8.5 ____ 65

T67 __ IAPENNELL _______________---- _6.3 _---- _---- _ ---- _1.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 8.1 ____ 66

T67 __ NN2013 _________________ ---- _---- __ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _----_---- _---- _4.4 _3.7  __ 8.1 ____ 80

_69 __ MP-R ____________________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ 7.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 7.8 ____ 67

T70 __ BOOFERKING _____________3.0 _4.7 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 7.7 ____T-68

T70 __ CORAM __________________---- _---- _---- _7.7 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 7.7 ____T-68

_72 __ V FOR VERY COLD ________ 7.6 _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 7.6 ____ 70

_73 __ LF1002 __________________ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _7.0 _ ---- _ ----_---- _---- _---- _---- __ 7.0 ____ 71

_74 __ RICEY076 ________________---- _---- _---- _6.9 _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 6.9 ____ 72

_75 __ SLEETY _________________---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _6.5 __ 6.5 ____ ----

_76__ MOORLANDER ____________5.8 _---- _---- _0.5 _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- __ 6.3 ____ 73

T77 __ JAMES M ________________---- _---- _5.9 _---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- __ 5.9 ____T-74

T77 __ POLAR MARITIME ________ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _----_ ---- _ ----_ 5.9 _---- _---- _ ---- __ 5.9 ____T-74

_79 __ CASTELLANUS80 _________---- _2.8 _2.3 _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- __ 5.1 ____ 76

T80 __ ROSS90 _________________---- _---- _5.0 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _---- __ 5.0 ____T-77

T80 __ BACKTRACK_____________ ---- _---- _---- _5.0 _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _---- __ 5.0 ____T-77

_82 __ THUNDERSNOW DAYS ____ ---- _---- _4.5 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _---- __ 4.5 ____ 79

T83 _ HIGH GROUND BIRMINGHAM----_ ----_----_ 4.3_ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 4.3 ____T-81

T83 __ ==METEO-MAN==_________---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ----_ 4.3 _---- _---- __ 4.3 ____T-81

_85 __ MATT TARRANT __________---- _---- _---- _2.8 _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 2.8 ____ 84

T86 __ MORE SNOW ____________2.6 _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 2.6 ____T-85

T86 __ COLDEST WINTER ________---- _---- _---- _ 0.4 _---- _---- _2.2 _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- __ 2.6 ____T-85

T86 __ DUNCAN McALISTER______ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ 2.6 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- __ 2.6 ____T-85

_89 __ STEVE MURR ____________ ----_---- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _ ----_ 2.3 _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 2.3 ____ 88

_90 __ ALLWEATHER ____________ --- _--- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ 1.8 _---- _---- __ 1.8 ____ 89

T91 __ SKY FULL _______________ ---- _---- _1.2 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- __ 1.2 ____T-90

T91 __ 38.5*C __________________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _1.2 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- __ 1.2 ____T-90

_93 ___ SNOW DRAGON _________---- _---- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ 0.8 _---- __ 0.8 ____ 92

T94 __ WEIRPIG ________________ 0.4 _---- _----- _----_ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- __ 0.4 ____T-93

T94 __ LETTUCING GUTTED ______0.0 _0.0 _0.0 _0.2 _0.0 _0.0 _0.0 _0.2 _0.0 _0.0 _0.0 _0.0 __ 0.4 ____T-93

_96 __ I REMEMBER ATLANTIC 252 _---- _---- _ 0.2 _----_ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- __ 0.2 ____ 95

_97 __ DEEP SNOW PLEASE ______---- _---- _---- _0.0 _ ---- _---- _---- _0.0 _---- _---- _---- _ ---- __ 0.0 ____ 96

________________________________________________________________________________________________

(notes on ranking ... normals and consensus are scored as if they were participants, but lower ranking forecasters are not ranked lower as a result, so those rankings are shown in brackets.)  

 Hadley version to be posted when available ... 

Edited by Roger J Smith
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(please note, in previous table, two shown T18 are actually 17th and 19th and the total shown as 17th should be 18th _ too late to edit)

_______________________________________________________________________________________

 

November 2018 EWP contest scoring (Hadley version, 104.4 mm)

 

RANK __ FORECASTER ________ F'cast ___ Error ____ Points

_ 01 ____ SINGULARITY _________105.0 ___ +0.6 ____ 10.0

_ 02 ____ MARK NEAL. __________106.0 ___ +1.6 _____ 9.8

_T03 ____JEFF C, REEF _________102.0 ___ --2.4 _____ 9.6 each

_ 05 ____ FEB1991BLIZZARD ____ 100.0 ___ --4.4 _____ 9.2

_ 06 ____ DKEANE3 _____________ 99.0 ___ --5.4 _____ 9.0

_ 07 ____ GODBER.1 ____________110.0 ___ +5.6 _____ 8.8

_ 08 ____ EDSTONE _____________ 97.0 ___ --7.4 _____ 8.6

(T08) ___ average 1988-2017 ______ 97.0 ___ --7.4 _____ 8.6

_ 09 ____ WEATHER26 ___________112.0 ___ +7.6 _____ 8.4

_ (10) ___ average 1981-2010 ______ 96.5 ___ --7.9 _____ 8.3

_ 10 ____ DR(S)NO ______________ 95.0 ___ --9.4 _____ 8.2

_ 11 ____ J10 ___________________ 94.0 ___--10.4_____ 8.0

_ 12 ____ LET IT SNOW! __________90.0 ___--14.4_____ 7.7

_T13 ____STATIONARY FRONT, MULZY__89.0 ___--15.4_____ 7.5 each

_ 15 ____ SYED2878 _____________120.0 ___+15.6_____ 7.1

_ 16 ____ POLAR GAEL ___________ 87.0 ___--17.4_____ 6.9

_(T16) __ consensus _____________ 87.0 ___--17.4_____ 6.9

_ 17 ___ THUNDERY WINTRY SHOWERS_122.0___+17.6_____6.7

_ 18 ____ STARGAZER ___________124.0 ___+19.6_____ 6.5

_ 19 ____ ROGER J SMITH ________125.0 ___+20.6_____ 6.3

_ 20 ____ NORRANCE ____________ 81.0 ___--23.4_____ 6.1

_ T21 ___SLEETY, DON ___________ 80.0 ___--24.4_____ 5.8 each

_ T23 ___DAVEHSUG, SEASIDE60 ___79.0 ___--25.4_____ 5.4 each

_ 25 ____ NN2013 _______________ 130.0 ___+25.6_____ 5.0

_ 26 ____ BORN FROM THE VOID ___78.0 ___--26.4_____ 4.8

_ 27 ____ DAVID SNOW ___________ 77.0 ___--27.4_____ 4.6

_ 28 ____ STEWFOX _____________ 132.0 ___+27.6_____ 4.4

_ 29 ____ RADIATING DENDRITE ___ 76.0 ___--28.4_____ 4.2

_ T30 ___ WEATHER-HISTORY, DANIEL* _75.0 ___--29.4_____ 4.0 each

_ 32 ____PROLONGED SNOW LOVER_74.0___--30.4_____3.5

_ 33 ____ MIDLANDS ICE AGE ______70.0 ___--34.4_____ 3.3

_ 34 ____ VIRTUALSPHERE ________140.0 ___+35.6_____ 3.1

_ 35 ____ CHEESEPUFFSCOTT ______68.0 ___--36.4_____ 2.9

_ 36 ____ THE PIT _________________ 65.0 ___--39.4_____ 2.7

_ 37 ____ VIZZY2004 _______________ 64.0 ___--40.4_____ 2.5

_ T38 ____ROBBIE GARRETT _______145.0 ___+40.6_____ 2.1 (2.3 -- 0.2 for 1d late)

_ T38 ____ BLAST FROM THE PAST ___60.0 ___--44.4_____ 2.1

_ 40 ____ RELATIVISTIC ____________ 60.0 ___--44.4_____ 1.9 (2.1 -- 0.2 for 1d late)

_ T41 ___DAMI, JONBOY ____________58.0 ___--46.4_____ 1.6 each

_ 43 ____ KIRKCALDY WEATHER _____55.4 ___--49.0_____ 1.2

_ T44 ___PEGG24, DIAGONAL RED LINE_50.0 __--54.4_____1.0 each

_ 46 ____ BOBD29 _________________ 46.0 ___--58.4_____ 0.6

_ 47 ____ TJM14 ___________________ 38.0 ___--66.4_____ 0.4

_ 48 ____ STEVE B ________________ 179.0 ___+74.6_____ 0.2

_ 49 ____  LETTUCING GUTTED _____ 200.0 ___+95.6 _____0.0

 

Updated EWP annual scoring (Hadley version) for Dec 2017 to Nov 2018

__ final contest scoring summary ___

 

Rank _ Forecaster _____________Dec_Jan_Feb_Mar_Apr_May_Jun_Jul_Aug_Sep_Oct_Nov __ TOTALS

 ______________________________________________________________________________Had_NCIC __ NCIC rank

_01 __ SINGULARITY _________ 5.2 _7.0 _9.1 _7.7 _5.6 _8.4 _5.7 _9.2 _8.2 _5.8 _7.0 _9.0 __  87.9 _ 89.4 ___ 01

_02 __ DON __________________ 1.8 _5.7 _8.4 _8.3 _9.8 _4.7 _6.8 _6.5 _8.9 _3.3 _7.5 _5.8 __ 77.5 _ 75.8 ___ 03

_03 __  J10 ___________________4.4 _7.6 _0.7 _8.3 _7.7 _9.6 _4.3 _8.6 _5.2 _9.5 _2.3 _8.0 __ 76.2 _ 78.1 ___ 02

_04 __ JONBOY _______________8.8 _7.4 _6.7_10.0_9.4 _3.9 _0.6 _6.5 _6.4 _8.5 _5.9 _1.6 __ 75.7 _ 70.3 ___ 07

_(05) _ consensus ____________ 5.2 _5.9 _5.4 _5.7_6.5 _5.9 _5.3 _8.8 _5.3 _6.8 _7.0 _6.9 __ 74.7 _ 75.4 ___ (03)

_05 __ DR (S) NO _____________ 9.6 _8.4 _1.2 _6.2 _5.6 _2.4 _2.4 _3.7 _9.8 _7.8 _6.8 _8.2 __ 72.1 _ 75.5 ___ 04

_06 __ MIDLANDS ICE AGE _____3.4 _3.3 _9.1 _9.6 _3.2 _3.0 _8.6 _5.3 _5.4 _7.5 _10.0_3.3 __ 71.7 _ 72.8 ___ 06

_07 __ POLAR GAEL ___________4.6 _9.0 _9.5 _2.6 _6.9 _9.8 _8.4 _5.5 _1.8 _5.5 _0.2 _6.9 __ 70.7 _ 74.3 ___ 05

_08 __ REEF _________________ 8.6 _5.5 _2.8 _3.8 _1.6 _8.2 _3.0 _9.8 _5.2 _4.0 _6.8 _9.6 __ 68.9 _ 69.1 ___ 08

_09 __ NORRANCE ___________ 7.0 _2.2 _9.6 _9.3 _4.7_10.0_1.2 _3.4 _6.2 _6.8 _2.3 _6.1 __ 68.8 _ 67.9 ___ 09

 

_10 __ MULZY ________________7.0 _8.8 _7.1 _0.9 _1.6 _7.2 _4.3 _8.0 _2.5 _3.3 _8.6 _7.5 __ 66.8 _ 67.3 ___ 11

(T10)__average 1981-2010 ______7.6 _6.6 _5.5 _5.1 _2.7 _6.4 _3.2 _1.3 _9.9 _8.9 _1.3 _8.3 __ 66.8 _ 59.0 ___(09)

_11 __ RADIATING DENDRITE __ 2.0 _2.4 _8.9 _4.5 _1.8 _7.0 _9.4 _9.2 _2.8 _9.0 _4.9 _4.2 __ 66.1 _ 67.6 ___ 10

_12 __ SEASIDE 60 ___________ 5.8 _4.3 _5.2 _8.8_10.0_5.7 _5.9 _4.3 _1.6 _4.8 _4.2 _5.4 __ 66.0 _ 64.7 ___ 13

_13 __ SYED2878 _____________ 4.8_10.0_3.8_5.0 _3.2 _7.0 _3.2 _1.8 _9.8 _3.3 _6.8 _7.1 __ 65.8 _ 62.9 ___ 14

(13) _ average 1988-2017 _______7.7 _8.3 _3.9 _3.7 _2.7 _7.1 _2.4 _0.9 _9.0 _8.2 _2.7 _8.6 __ 65.2 _ 53.7 ___ (12)

_14 __ DAVID SNOW___________ 2.2 _3.3 _9.5 _5.7 _4.7 _2.2 _7.0 _4.3 _8.7 _1.8 _9.8 _4.6 __ 63.8 _ 65.1 ___ 12

_15 __  BORN FROM THE VOID _ 6.4 _9.8 _3.5 _5.7 _6.3 _9.6 _1.8 _7.4 _3.3 _2.0 _0.6 _4.8 __ 61.2 _ 62.4 ___ 15

_16 __ LET IT SNOW ! __________---- _---- _7.9 _6.5 _7.5 _3.7 _9.6 _0.8 _7.7 _8.8 _---- _7.7 __ 60.2 _ 57.5 ___ 21

_17 __ STARGAZER ___________ 1.4 _9.6 _2.4 _7.1 _2.3 _5.1 _6.5 _5.9 _----_10.0_2.6 _6.5 __ 59.4 _ 56.4 ___ 22

_18  __GODBER.1 ____________  2.4 _7.2 _5.9 _3.5 _6.3 _8.6 _0.6 _7.4 _2.8 _1.3 _3.5 _8.8 __ 58.3 _ 60.1 ___ 16

_19__ STATIONARY FRONT ____ 1.2 _4.7 _6.5 _2.6 _0.7 _5.9 _7.4 _3.4 _8.4 _4.3 _5.4 _7.5 __ 58.0 _ 59.0 ___ 18

_20 __ JEFF C ________________ 7.6 _4.9 _1.1 _3.3 _2.7 _4.7 _5.3 _4.7_4.3 _8.5 _1.2 _9.6 __ 57.9 _ 58.6 ___ 19

_21 __ DKEANE3 ______________7.2 _7.8 _5.6 _9.1 _3.5 _2.8 _2.0 _6.7 _ ---- _---- _4.0 _9.0 __ 57.7 _ 57.8 ___ 20

_22 __ DAVEHSUG ____________ 1.0 _1.2_10.0_4.8 _9.4 _7.0 _1.0 _2.0 _8.0 _4.0 _3.7 _5.4 __ 57.5 _ 55.5 ___ 23

_23 __CHRISBELLnottheWxMAN_ 9.4 _6.8 _2.6 _6.4 _3.7_4.1 _9.2 _7.8 _7.3 _---- _ ---- _---- __ 57.3 _ 58.9 ___ 17

_24 __ WEATHER-HISTORY _____0.6 _3.3 _6.1 _2.6 _9.6 _7.6 _0.8 _7.6 _4.1 _3.3 _6.1 _4.0 __ 55.7 _ 53.7___T26

_25 __ STEVE B ______________ 7.4 _8.2 _3.5 _8.8 _9.4 _0.2 _5.3 _ 2.8 _3.8 _0.3 _5.4 _0.2 __ 55.3 _ 52.7 ___T28

_26 __ THE_PIT _______________6.0 _1.0 _8.4 _1.4 _3.4 _9.2 _4.3 _2.6 _0.7 _6.8 _8.6 _2.7 __ 55.1 _ 53.7 ___T26

_27 __ RELATIVISTIC __________8.0 _2.2 _8.4 _1.2 _7.5 _0.4 _0.6 _6.5 _7.5 _8.3 _2.3 _1.9 __ 54.8 _ 52.2 ___ 31

_28 __ ROGER J SMITH ________ 0.2 _1.8 _6.7 _9.8 _3.9 _3.5 _5.5 _3.5 _3.8 _6.0 _3.5 _6.3 __ 54.5 _ 53.8 ___ 25

_29 __ PEGG24 _______________ 9.2 _5.1 _0.7 _6.2 _6.3 _1.2 _5.3 _9.8 _0.2 _---- _8.6 _1.0 __ 53.6 _ 54.6 ___ 24

_30 __ DAMI __________________5.4 _3.9 _0.9 _5.7 _1.6 _8.2 _3.0 _6.8 _5.0 _6.8 _3.5 _1.6 __ 52.4 _ 51.4 ___ 32

_31 __ BOBD29_______________ 3.2 _6.6 _5.0 _5.9 _8.4 _2.0 _8.8 _3.7 _0.9 _5.0 _1.0 _0.6 __ 51.1 _ 52.7 __T28

_32 __ KIRKCALDY WEATHER___ ---- _---- _3.5 _8.8 _8.4 _2.6 _7.6 _4.5 _1.4 _5.3 _7.7 _1.2 __ 51.0 _ 52.5 ___ 30

_33 __ STEWFOX _____________ 7.0 _9.6 _4.0 _8.9 _6.9 _0.6 _8.2 _ ---- _---- _---- _1.2 _4.4 __ 50.8 _ 51.0 ___ 33

_34  __ WEATHER 26 __________ ---- _4.5 _4.5 _9.5 _0.9 _5.3 _8.2 _0.4 _2.1 _0.5 _4.9 _8.4 __ 49.2 _ 47.5 ___ 34

_35 __ VIRTUALSPHERE _______ 4.4 _1.2 _6.7 _1.6 _9.4 _3.3 _1.8 _0.6 _---- _7.3 _6.1 _3.1 __ 45.5 _ 45.7 ___ 37

_36 __ MAPANTZ ______________5.2 _6.3 _1.9 _4.3 _5.6 _9.2 _4.3 _8.6 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- __ 45.4 _ 46.1 ___ 36

_37 __ VIZZY2004 _____________ 8.6 _8.6 _8.8 _2.6 _0.5 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _3.5 _10.0_2.5 __ 45.1 _ 46.2 ___ 35

_38 __ DANIEL* _______________3.8 _5.1 _4.9 _4.3 _5.8 _5.1 _ ---- _4.9 _3.1 _---- _---- _4.0 __ 41.0 _ 40.8 ___T38

_39 __ DOCTOR32 ____________ 1.6 _3.9 _6.7 _5.0 _2.7 _1.4 _5.3 _9.4 _0.9 _---- _3.5 _---- __ 40.4 _ 40.8 ___T38

_40 __ SIMSHADY _____________7.8 _7.6 _0.4 _7.2 _9.4 _1.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 36.2 _ 35.8 ___ 40

_41 __ DIAGONAL RED LINE ____ ---- _---- _2.1 _6.9 _5.6 _7.6 _9.8 _2.6 _---- _---- _---- _1.0 __ 35.6 _ 34.6 ___ 41

_42 __ TIMMYTOUR ___________10.0 _0.2 _6.5 _1.7 _---- _9.2 _6.3 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 33.9 _ 33.8 ___ 44

_43 __ CHEESEPUFFSCOTT ____----_---- _---- _---- _ ----_ 6.3 _9.0 _5.7 _0.4 _9.3 _ 0.4 _2.9 __ 34.0 _ 32.8 ___ 45

_44 __ ED STONE _____________4.4 _1.6 _4.2 _1.2 _2.1 _---- _1.2 _1.0 _5.9 _1.0 _2.3 _8.6 __ 33.5 _ 34.6 ___T42

_45 __ CHRIS. R ______________ 6.2 _0.6 _9.6 _7.9 _ ---- _---- _---- _7.0 _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 31.3 _ 31.0 ___ 47

_46 _ THUNDERY WINTRY SHOWERS 8.2_----_----_---- _---- _ ---- _7.2 _8.8 _---- _---- _---- _6.7 __ 30.9 _ 30.2 ___ 48

_47 __ ALEXISJ9 ______________2.8 _6.1 _1.9 _---- _0.2 _1.0 _3.0 _4.1 _9.4 _ 2.3 _---- _---- __ 30.8 _ 34.6 ___T42

T48 __ TJM14 ________________ ----_---- _---- _---- _ ----_ 5.9 _5.9 _1.6 _ 9.1 _---- _ 7.5 _0.4 __ 30.4 _ 28.3 ___ 49

T48 __ BLAST FROM THE PAST _ 0.8 _0.0 _3.5 _2.6 _---- _4.7 _---- _---- _6.8 _0.8 _9.1 _2.1 __ 30.4 _ 31.6 ___ 46

_50 __ CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE ___---- _---- _---- _0.5 _7.1 _---- _----_5.3 _6.4 _7.3 _---- _ ---- __ 26.6 _ 28.0 ___ 50

_51 __PROLONGED SNOWLOVER_3.6_0.8 _1.6 _3.3 _8.0 _----_3.3 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _3.5 __ 24.1 _ 26.4 ___ 51

_52 __ LEO97T_______________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ 8.2 _ 5.2 _ ---- _9.1 _ ---- __ 22.5 _ 22.7 ___ 52

T53 __ B87 __________________ ----_---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ 7.8_10.0_ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- __ 17.8 _ 19.2 ___ 53

T53 __ FEB1991BLIZZARD_____ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _8.6 _ 9.2 __ 17.8 __18.6 ___ 54

_55 __ ROBBIE GARRETT ______---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ 0.8 _4.3 _----_10.0 _---- _---- _2.1 __ 17.2 __15.2 ___ 55

_56 __ GREAT PLUM __________ ---- _---- _8.4 _7.4 _---- _---- _---- _ ---_- _---- _---- _ ---- _--- __ 15.8 _ 14.8 ___ 56

_57 __ FOZFOSTER __________ ---- _5.5 _4.5 _3.8 _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 13.8 _ 13.4 ___ 57

_58 __ MARK NEAL ___________---- _---- _---- _ 2.9 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ 9.8 __ 12.7 __11.5 ___60

_59 __ RAIN RAIN RAIN _______ ---- _2.4_10.0_---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 12.4 _ 12.4 ___ 58

_60 __ TERMINAL MORAINE ___ 9.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _1.4 _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- __ 11.2 _ 11.0 ___ 61

_61 __ EMMETT GARLAND_____---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ 3.4 _ 6.8 _ ----_ ---- _---- __ 10.2 _11.6 ___ 59

_62 __ SEASONALITY _________---- _---- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _10.0 _---- _---- _---- _---- __ 10.0 _ 10.0 ___ 62

_63 __ EVENING STAR ________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _----- _---- _---- _----  _---- _ 9.8 _---- _---- __ 9.8 __ 9.0 ___ 65

_64 __ SUMMER of 95 _________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ 9.5 _---- __ 9.5 __ 9.8 ___ 63

_65 __ NN2013 _______________---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _4.2 _5.0 ___ 9.2 __ 8.1 ___T-67

_66 __ V FOR VERY COLD _____ 9.0 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- __---- __ 9.0 __ 7.6 ___ 70

_67 __ NORTHWEST SNOW ____---- _---- _8.9 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 8.9 __ 9.5 ___ 64

_68 __ LETTERBOXER ________ ---- _---- _3.6 _---- _ 4.3 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 7.9 __ 8.5 ___ 66

_69 __ MP-R ________________ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ 7.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 7.8 __ 7.8 ___ 69

T70 __ CORAM ______________ ---- _---- _---- _7.7 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 7.7 __ 7.7 __T-70

T70 __ IAPENNELL ___________---- _5.9 _---- _---- _---- _1.8 _---- _---- _---- _---- _----- _---- ___ 7.7 __ 8.1 ___T-67

_72 __ BOOFERKING _________ 3.0 _4.5 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 7.5 __ 7.7 __T-70

_73 __ RICEY076 _____________ ---- _---- _---- _6.9 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- ___ 6.9 __ 6.9 ___ 73

_74__ MOORLANDER _________ 5.8 _---- _---- _0.4 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 6.2 __ 6.3 ___ 74

_75 __ LF1002 ________________----_---- _---- _---- _ ----_ 6.1 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 6.1 __ 7.0 ___ 72

_76 __ JAMES M ______________---- _---- _5.9 _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 5.9 __ 5.9 __T-76

_77 __ SLEETY _______________----_---- _---- _---- _ ----_ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _5.8 ___ 5.8 __ 6.5 ___ 75

_78 __ POLAR MARITIME ______ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _5.7 _---- _---- _---- ___ 5.7 __ 5.9 __T-76

_79 __ ROSS90 ______________ ---- _---- _5.4 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 5.4 __ 5.0 __T-79

_80 __ CASTELLANUS80 ______ ---- _2.8 _2.3 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 5.1 __ 5.1 ___ 78

_81 __ BACKTRACK___________---- _---- _---- _5.0 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 5.0 __ 5.0 __T-79

_82 __ THUNDERSNOW DAYS __---- _---- _4.7 _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 4.7 __ 4.5 ___81

_83 __ ==METEO-MAN== ______ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _4.5 _---- _---- ___ 4.5 __ 4.3 ___T-83

_84 __ HIGH GROUND B'HAM ___---- _---- _---- _4.3 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 4.3 __ 4.3 ___T-83

_85 __ MATT TARRANT ________---- _---- _---- _ 2.8 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 2.8 __ 2.8 ___86

T86 __ MORE SNOW __________2.6 _ --- _---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 2.6 __ 2.6 __T-87

T86 __ DUNCAN McALISTER____---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _2.6 _---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 2.6 __ 2.6 __T-87

_88 __ COLDEST WINTER _____ ---- _---- _---- _ 0.2 _---- _---- _ 2.2 _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 2.4 __ 2.6 __T-87

_89 __ STEVE MURR _________ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ 2.3 _---- _---- _---- ___  2.3 __ 2.3 ___ 90

_90 __ ALLWEATHER _________ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _1.8 _---- _---- ___ 1.8 __ 1.8 ___ 91

T91 __ SKY FULL _____________---- _---- _1.2 _ ---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _---- ___ 1.2 __ 1.2 __T-92

T91 __ 38*5 C ________________---- _---- _---- _---- _ ---- _---- _---- _1.2 _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- ___ 1.2 __ 1.2 __T-92

_93 __ LETTUCING GUTTED ___ 0.0 _0.0 _0.0 _0.7 _0.0 _0.0 _ 0.0 _ 0.2 _0.0 _0.0 _0.0 _0.0 __ 0.9 __ 0.4 __T-95

_94 __ SNOW DRAGON _______ ---- _---- _----- _----_---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _ 0.8 _---- ___ 0.8 __ 0.8 __ 94

_95 __ WEIRPIG _____________ 0.4 _---- _----- _----_---- _ ---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- ___ 0.4 __ 0.4 __T-95

_96 __ I REMEMBER ATL 252 __ ---- _---- _0.2 _----_ ---- _---- _---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- ___ 0.2 __ 0.2 ___ 97

_97 __ DEEP SNOW PLEASE __ ---- _---- _---- _0.0 _---- _ ---- _----_ 0.0 _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- _ ---- ___ 0.0 __ 0.0 ___ 96

______________________________________________________________________________________

In this Hadley scoring version, our champion SINGULARITY showed great consistency, his lowest score being 5.2. The second highest minimum score for any forecaster who played at least ten of the twelve months was 3.0 (Midlands Ice Age). Daniel* played nine of twelve and all were at least 3.1. 

Note again, the official contest results are in the previous post (NCIC version). This Hadley version will be the only one going forward however. 

The largest difference in rankings from Hadley to NCIC appears to be five for several forecasters. The average difference is between one and two ranks, so it makes little difference which system we use. 

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Morning for a question.

Would it possible to do a joint list for the last year comp.

ie temp and rainfall (places) added together to produce an overall winner for both.

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Is there a list of the CET winners and losers anywhere?

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On 01/12/2018 at 13:53, J10 said:

Spreadsheet
Nov 2018 CET.xlsx

Monthly Results
No one got it spot on this month, however

Roger J Smith, syed2878, vizzy2004 and Quciksilver1989 were each 0.1c out.

image.thumb.png.2502488eb9b8ce847e3048a699e64f28.png

Seasonal Results
A large mix around with a mostly new Top 3 .                      

Melatron was 1st, Summer blizzard 2nd and DR(S)NO 3rd.

image.thumb.png.fc8400cf0e663e9662632b3166e21efe.png

Overall Results
Overall no changes in the Top 4.

Man with Beard with an emphatic win, Don 2nd, Norrance 3rd, metaltron 4th.

image.thumb.png.2b5c14d46817357f4fbc4df945cbbfb5.png

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On 01/12/2018 at 14:44, J10 said:

Well done and Congratulations to all the winners and Thanks to everyone taking part.

 

Yearly Summary

Monthly Winners and Correct Predictions

image.thumb.png.cdcbdeafefe201dbfa8efe61f82fd26e.png

image.thumb.png.9cf1188ad2402c4a7f422b9b0def25fc.png

Seasonal Winners

image.thumb.png.6f68c77d31bcdbc2769c0f43d52ad839.png

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53 minutes ago, J10 said:

 

 

It wont let me open spreadsheet saying its a cooperate edition. ??

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