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CET Competition - the scores ongoing

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February Scores from the other thread,

 

In addition to Summer of 95 getting it spot on.

 

3 others were 0.1c out Summer Sun,  reef and  A Winter's Tale

 

XLS Posted ImageFeb 2014 CET.xls

 

PDF Posted ImageFeb 2014 CET.pdf

 

Seasonal Winner Reef, with the PIT in 2nd and Summer Sun (Gavin) in 3rd.

 

Overall the same top 3. Reef (1), the PIT (2) and Summer Sun (3) Posted Image

Edited by J10

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Have the penalties been noted for the March entries (A winters tale being one).

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Not to worry, my table is not J10's main source for entering the forecasts, seems that I forgot to add the * to AWT ... and now I can't edit, if anyone can, go in there and give that man a yellow. Also Great Plum is now in (2d late) for 6.9 C.

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Not to worry, my table is not J10's main source for entering the forecasts, seems that I forgot to add the * to AWT ... and now I can't edit, if anyone can, go in there and give that man a yellow. Also Great Plum is now in (2d late) for 6.9 C.

 

Your work is very much appreciated, and does help greatly when calculating the monthly entries.

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Scores Now in

 

Monthly - Summer Blizzard and Kentish Man got it spot on,

 

while Gavin. Rybris Ponce, The PIT,  Stationary Front,  Don and Gael_Force were each 0.1c out.

 

As a result, the seasonal 1-2-3 is Summer Blizzard (1)  and Kentish Man (2) Gavin (3)

 

Overall no change in the 1-2-3 reef (1) The PIT (2) Gavin. (3)

 

with reef only 0.2c out this month.

 

 

 

Edited by J10
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April forecasts (and CET averages with other trivia)

 

19.7 ... warmest April daily mean (29th, 1775)
16.3 ... warmest daily mean 1-15 April (15th, 1945)

12.0 ... Craig Evans

11.8 ... ... ... warmest April (2011)
11.2 ... ... ... 2nd warmest April (2007)
 

10.9 ...

10.8 ...

10.7 ...

10.6 ... ... ... 3rd warmest April (1865)
10.5 ... ... ... 4th warmest April (1943)
10.4 ...

10.3 ...

10.2 ...

10.1 ...

10.0 ... AtlanticFlamethrower, TonyH

9.9 ...

9.8 ... Harve

9.7 ... Stargazer, BlueSkies_do_I_see, J10

9.6 ... geoffw, Gael_Force, Roger J Smith*

9.5 ... Summer Blizzard, No-Time Toulouse, The PIT, thetonynator, DR_Hosking*

9.4 ... sundog, reef

9.3 ... Matty007, Norrance, DAVID SNOW

9.2 ... Summer Sun, Captain Shortwave, AderynCoch

9.1 ... Polar Gael, Ferryhill Weather, Midlands Ice Age, Thundery winter showers ... ... ... ---- average for 2001-13 ----
9.0 ... Weather-history, mulzy* ... ... ... ---- average for 14 yrs 1862-1875 (surprise?) ----
 

8.9 ... Mark Bayley, Milhouse, Duncan McAlister

8.8 ... SteveB, coram, Stationary Front, easy-oasy, davehsug, A Winter's Tale

8.7 ... Essex Easterly, rjbw, BornFromTheVoid

8.6 ...
8.5 ... BARRY, Don ... ... ...  ---- average for 1981-2010 ----
8.4 ... jonboy58, stewfox, Great Plum

8.3 ...

8.2 ... hillbilly, DiagonalRedLine, seabreeze86

8.1 ... damianslaw ... ... ... ---- average for 1971-2000 (and 20th century 1901-2000) (also 1971-2000) ----
8.0 ... Congleton Heat, Dancerwithwings ... ... ...  ---- average for 19th century 1801-1900 ----

7.9 ... DR(S)NO, snowsummer, IrememberAtlantic252

 ... ... ... ... ... ---- average for all data 1659-2013, also 1961-1990, also 18th century 1701-1800 ----

7.8 ... Daniel, Bobd29, nn2013, AVFC, Polar Maritime

7.7 ... godber

7.6 ...

7.5 ... ... ... 2013 CET
7.4 ... Weather26

7.3 ... ---- average for 1659-1700 ----
7.2 ...

7.1 ... simshady

7.0 ... ScottRichards10

 

6.9 ... feb1991blizzard

6.8 ...

6.7 ... March Blizzard

6.6 ...

6.5 ...

6.4 ... virtualsphere

6.3 ...

6.2 ...

6.1 ...

6.0 ...
 

5.9 ...

5.8 ... ... ... 18th coldest (tied) 1986 (coldest of past half century)
5.7 ...

5.6 ...

5.5 ...

5.4 ... ... ... fifth coldest (tied) -- 1917 (coldest 20th century) also 1743,1770,1799)
5.3 ...

5.2 ... ... ... third coldest (tied) -- 1782 and 1809
5.1 ...

5.0 ...

 

4.7 ... ... ... coldest Aprils (1701 and 1837)

-0.2 ... coldest April daily mean second half (19th, 1772)
-0.5 ... coldest April daily mean (2nd, 1917 and 3rd, 1799)

___________________________________________________________

 

* one day late

 

68 entries so far, median is 8.8 C.

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Very happy this month, i could well keep my lead in the seasonal.

 

The PIT will probably lead the annual.

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May 2014 forecasts and CET statistics

 

21.2 ... warmest daily mean (29th, 1780)

 

15.5 ... CRAIG EVANS

 

15.1 ... ... ... ... (1833) ... by a large margin the most decisive (1.2 deg) of the twelve warmest months

 

14.0 ... BACKTRACK*

13.9 ... ... ... ... (1848) ... 2nd warmest May
13.8 ... ... ... ... (1788, 1758) ... tied 3rd warmest Mays
13.7 ... ... ... ... (1808) ... 5th warmest May
13.6 ... ... ... ... (1992, 1727) ... tied 6th warmest Mays, warmest recent May

13.5 ...

13.4 ... ATLANTIC FLAMETHROWER

13.3 ... ROGER J SMITH

13.2 ...

13.1 ...

13.0 ... POLAR GAEL, J10

 

12.9 ... SUMMER SUN, BLUE_SKIES_DO_I_SEE, STEVEB

12.8 ... PJL20101, CORAM

12.7 ... CONGLETON HEAT, SUMMER BLIZZARD, RJBW,

12.6 ... FARAGE BALLOON, SUNDOG, DON, FERRYHILL WEATHER*

12.5 ... DANCERWITHWINGS, REEF, DR_HOSKING, TONYH

12.4 ... GEOFFW, NORRANCE, GREAT PLUM*

12.3 ... THE PIT, TIMETO9

12.2 ... MULZY, MILHOUSE*

12.1 ... STARGAZER, DAVID SNOW, ADERYNCOCH, A WINTER'S TALE*

12.0 ... SCOTTRICHARDS10, STATIONARY FRONT, MIDLANDS ICE AGE

 

11.9 ... WEATHER-HISTORY, MARK BAYLEY, CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE ... ... ... ...  ------ 2001-2013 average ------

11.8 ... STEW-FOX, DR(S)NO

11.7 ... GAEL_FORCE ... ... ... ... 1981-2010 average, (2012 CET)

11.6 ... BOBD29, GRHinPORTS, BORNFROMTHEVOID

11.5 ... JONBOY, AVFC, POLAR MARITIME, GODBER

11.4 ... VIRTUALSPHERE, DAMIANSLAW, HARVE, DAVEHSUG ... ... ... ... ------ 1901-2000 average -----

11.3 ... HILLBILLY, DUNCAN McALISTER ... ... ... ... ------ 1971-2000 average, 1701-1800 average -----

11.2 ... SIMSHADY, KENTISH MAN ... ... ... ... ----- 1961-1990 average, 1659-1700 average -----

11.1 ... BARRY ----- 1801-1900 average -----

11.0 ... THETONYNATOR

 

10.9 ... NEW FOREST GUMP*

10.8 ...

10.7 ... MARCH BLIZZARD

10.6 ...

10.5 ... NN2013

10.4 ... ... ... ... ... (2013 CET)

10.3 ...

10.2 ...

10.1 ...

10.0 ...

 

 9.9 ...

 9.8 ...

 9.7 ...

 9.6 ...

 9.5 ...

 9.4 ...

 9.3 ...

 9.2 ...

 9.1 ... ... ... ... 1996, coldest recent May

 9.0 ...

 

 8.9 ... ... ... ... 1879, 1885, 1902 ... tied 5th coldest Mays
 8.8 ... ... ... ... 1855 ... 4th coldest May

 8.7 ... ... ... ... 1817 ... 3rd coldest May

 8.6 ... ... ... ... 1740 ... 2nd coldest May

 8.5 ... ... ... ... 1698 ... coldest May

 

3.5 .... mean for 3-5 May, 1877

2.9 .... coldest daily mean (8th, 1861)

________________________________________________________________________________

 

* one day late  

 

62 forecasts now (2 May 0100h) with the median at 12.2 C

 

note -- any further late forecasts can be seen in the thread, I probably won't have editing available after this.

 

Entries are still accepted with late penalties for the first three days of the month.

 

Edited by Roger J Smith
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From the April CET thread.

Confirmed Montly Joint Winners this month AtlanticFlamethrower and TonyH.

 

Seasonal Scores - summer blizzard remains in the lead, AtlanticFlamethrower in 2nd from 18th, Gael_Force in 3rd with 8th.

 

Overall Scores - The top 2 remain the same, Reef in the lead, with The PIT in 2nd and Kentish Man in 3rd (from 4th) with Gavin in 4th (from 3rd)

 

http:////f1.nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_images/tctc91_simplify/attachicon.gifApril 2014 CET.pdf

 

http:////f1.nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_images/tctc91_simplify/attachicon.gifApril 2014 CET.xls

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June 2014 Forecasts and CET Statistics

 

23.0 ... 3rd, 1947, warmest daily mean

22.4 ... average for last five days in June 1976

21.2 ... average for last nine days in June 1976

 

19.0 ... CRAIG EVANS

 

18.2 ... ... ... ... 1846 (warmest June)

18.0 ... ... ... ... 1676 (2nd warmest)

17.3 ... ... ... ... 1826 (3rd warmest)

17.1 ... ... ... ... 1822 (4th warmest)

17.0 ... GAEL_FORCE, RJBW* ... ... ... ... 1976 (5th warmest)

 

16.9 ...

16.8 ... SUMMER SUN, GODBER*

16.7 ...

16.6 ...

16.5 ... HARVE

16.4 ...

16.3 ...

16.2 ...

16.1 ... CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE, MATTY007

16.0 ... STATIONARY FRONT

 

15.9 ... RADIATING DENDRITE, NN2013

15.8 ... BOBD29, LIAM J, EASY-OASY*

15.7 ... SIMSHADY, FARAGE BALLOON, GEOFFW, DAVEHSUG, TONY.H

15.6 ...

15.5 ... BOBBY, J10, DR_HOSKING**

15.4 ... DAMIANSLAW, GREAT PLUM, MILHOUSE*

15.3 ... ATLANTIC FLAMETHROWER, DAVID SNOW, DUNCAN McALISTER, SCOTTRICHARDS10

15.2 ... BLUESKIES_DO_I_SEE

15.1 ... REEF, THUNDERY WINTRY SHOWERS, A WINTER'S TALE, BLIZZARDS

15.0 ... POLAR GAEL, DANCERWITHWINGS, STEWFOX, DON, ADERYNCOCH*

 

14.9 ... SNOWYSOUTHPENNINES, WEATHER-HISTORY

14.8 ... CONGLETON HEAT, THE PIT, DR(S)NO, ROGER J SMITH, PJL20101

14.7 ... MIDLANDS ICE AGE, AVFC ... ... ... ...--- average for 2001-2013 ---

14.6 ... STARGAZER, SUNDOG, NORRANCE, LARGER THAN AVERAGE HOBO

14.5 ... ROBBIE GARRETT, VIRTUALSPHERE, SUMMER BLIZZARD, MULZY

... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... --- average for 1981-2010, also for 1901-2000 ---

14.4 ...

14.3 ... JONBOY, STEVE.B --- average for all years 1659-2013, also 1801-1900 ---

14.2 ... CORAM* ... ... ... ... --- average for 1961-1990, also 1701-1800 and 1659-1700 ---

14.1 ... ... ... ... ... --- average for 1971-2000 ---

14.0 ...

 

13.9 ... HILLBILLY, BORNFROMTHEVOID

13.8 ...

13.7 ...

13.6 ... ... ... ... 2013 mean CET

13.5 ... ... ... ... 2012 mean CET

13.4 ...

13.3 ... MARCH BLIZZARD

 

11.8 ... 1972, 1916, 1909 (tied 2nd coldest Junes)

11.5 ... 1675 (coldest June)

 

 7.3 ... 9th (1816) and 19th (1795) coldest daily means

_______________________________________________________________________________

 

*  late day(s)

As of 10h on Monday 2 June, now 67 forecasts so far, median is 15.1 C. Table not likely to be edited again, check the thread for any later entries.

Edited by Roger J Smith
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So the scores are in, this months winners are mulzy and Milhouse who both got it spot on.

 

The Seasonal winner was The PIT, with summer blizzard and geoffw not far behind in 2nd and 3rd respectively.

 

Overall the PIT leads, from reef in 2nd and Stationary Front in 3rd.

 

Excel spreadsheet and PDF below as requested.

 

Posted ImageMay 2014 CET.pdf

 

Posted ImageMay 2014 CET.xls

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July 2014 forecasts, CET averages and extremes

 

25.2 ... ... ... ... 29th, 1948, warmest daily mean

 

20.0 ... CRAIG EVANS

19.7 ... ... ... ... ... ... 2006 (warmest July)

19.5 ... ... ... ... ... ... 1983 (2nd warmest)

 

18.9 ...

18.8 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 1783 (3rd warmest)

18.7 ... GEOFFW ... ... .... .... 1976, 1852 (tied 4th warmest)

18.6 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 1995 (6th warmest)

18.5 ... STATIONARY FRONT

18.4 ...

18.3 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... CET for 2013 (tied 9th warmest)

18.2 ... BLUE_SKIES_DO_I_SEE

18.1 ... BLADE

18.0 ... POLAR GAEL

 

17.9 ... ROGER J SMITH

17.8 ... NORRANCE, SCOTTRICHARDS10

17.7 ... NN2013, MARCH BLIZZARD, HILLBILLY, STEWFOX, TONYH, DON, JONBOY**

17.6 ... LEEHWS, SUMMER SUN, PJL20101

17.5 ... DANCERWITHWINGS, J10, EASY-OASY

17.4 ... BOBD29, CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE, FARAGE BALLOON, THUNDERY WINTER SHOWERS

17.3 ... REEF, DR(S)NO, A WINTER'S TALE*

17.2 ... MATTY 007, THE PIT, MARK BAYLEY, DAVEHSUG

17.1 ... SIMSHADY, DAVID SNOW, ATLANTIC FLAMETHROWER

17.0 ... LARGER THAN AVERAGE HOBO, IREMEMBERATLANTIC252, DUNCAN McALISTER, ADERYN COCH, DEEP SNOW*

 

16.9 ... CONGLETON HEAT, SUNDOG, MULZY, STARGAZER*

16.8 ...

16.7 ... MILHOUSE, WEATHER26, SUMMER BLIZZARD .... .... .... ---- average for 1981-2010, and for 2001-13 ----

16.6 ... DAMIANSLAW, MIDLANDS ICE AGE, BORNFROMTHEVOID, RJBW**

16.5 ... BARRY, GAEL_FORCE .... .... .... .... ---- average for 1971-2000 ----

16.4 ... GODBER

16.3 ... CORAM

16.2 ... POLAR MARITIME

16.1 ... VIRTUALSPHERE, WEATHER-HISTORY

.... .... .... .... .... .... ---- average for 1961-1990, also for 1901-2000 and 1701-1800 ----

16.0 ... ---- average for all years 1659-2013 ----

 

15.9 ...

15.8 ... ---- average for 1801-1900 ----

15.7 ...

15.6 ... ---- average for 1659-1700 ----

15.5 ... CHEEKY MONKEY

15.4 ...

15.3 ...

15.2 ...

15.1 ...

15.0 ...

 

14.0 ... ... ... ... 1965 CET (tied 11th coldest)

 

13.6 ... ... ... ... 1879 (4th coldest)

13.5 ... ... ... ... 1695,1802 (tied 2nd coldest)

13.4 ... ... ... ... 1816 (coldest July)

 

 

8.7 ... ... ... ... 20th (1836) coldest daily mean

______________________________________________________________

 

60 forecasts so far, median is 17.2 C

 

* one day late

Edited by Roger J Smith
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As promised here are the full June results

 

The four above who got June correct are Top 4 in the seasonal comp.

 

reef (1) Thundery wintry showers (2) A Winter's Tale (3) with Blizzards (4)

 

 

Overall the Top 3 is

 

reef (1st from 2nd)

The PIT (2nd from 1st)

Thundery wintry showers (3rd From 8th)

 

But it is very close at the top.

 

Spreadsheet http:////f1.nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_images/tctc91_simplify/attachicon.gifJune 2014 CET.xls

 

PDF http:////f1.nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_images/tctc91_simplify/attachicon.gifJune 2014 CET.pdf

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August CET forecasts and assorted data

 

 

24.9 ... ... ... warmest August day (1st, 1995)

20.0 ... CRAIG EVANS

 

19.2 ... ROBBIE GARRETT ... ... ... ... ... warmest August, 1995

19.1 ...

19.0 ...

18.9 ... SUMMER SUN ... ... ... ... ... second warmest August, 1997

18.8 ... POLAR GAEL
18.7 ... GEOFFW ... ... ... ... ... third warmest August, 1975

18.6 ... ... ... ... ... ... fourth warmest August, 1947

18.5 ... CONGLETONHEAT, IREMEMBERATLANTIC252
18.4 ...

18.3 ... ... ... ... ... ... fifth warmest Augusts (tied 1747 and 2003)

18.2 ... ... ... ... ... ... seventh warmest August, 1911

18.1 ... ... ... ... ... ... eighth warmest August, 1955

18.0 ... RJBW ... ... ... ... ... ninth warmest August, 1990

 

17.9 ... ROGER J SMITH

17.8 ... VIRTUALSPHERE

17.7 ... COSTA DEL FAL, STATIONARY FRONT

17.6 ... MATTY007, BOBD29, NN2013, STEVEB

17.5 ... CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE, PETE TATTUM

17.4 ... STORMYKING, THE PIT, SUMMER BLIZZARD, DR_HOSKING, PJL20101

17.3 ... XYPLODE, DAMIANSLAW, NORRANCE, CHEEKY_MONKEY, THUNDERY WINTER SHOWERS

17.2 ... HILLBILLY, DEEPSNOW, MILHOUSE, SUNDOG, DUNCAN McALISTER, DON

17.1 ... EASY-OASY, BLUE_SKIES_DO_I_SEE, HARVE, STEWFOX, TONYH, GREAT PLUM

17.0 ... ISOLATED FROST, DR(S)NO, SYED2878, SCOTTRICHARDS10, J10, MULZY

 

16.9 ... MARK BAYLEY, DAVID SNOW ... ... ... ... 2013 mean

16.8 ... LARGER THAN AVERAGE HOBO, SIMSHADY, MIDLANDS ICE AGE, GODBER, DAVEHSUG, ADERYN COCH

16.7 ... BARRY, DANCERWITHWINGS

16.6 ... REEF ... ... ... ... 2012 mean

16.5 ... WEATHER26 ... ... ... ... ... average of 2001-2013
16.4 ... BORN FROM THE VOID, ATLANTIC FLAMETHROWER ... ... ... ... average of 1981-2010

16.3 ... CORAM
16.2 ... ... ... ... ... ... average of 1971-2000

16.1 ...

16.0 ... DIAGONALREDLINE, WEATHER-HISTORY
 

 

15.9 ... POLAR MARITIME, GAEL_FORCE

15.8 ... ... ... ... ... average of 1961-1990, and 1701-1800, and 1901-2000
15.7 ...

15.6 ... SEABREEZE86 ... ... ... ... average of 1659-2013
15.5 ...

15.4 ... ... ... ... ... average of 1801-1900
15.3 ...

15.2 ...

15.1 ... ... ... ... ... average of 1659-1700

13.7 ... ... ... ... ... coldest August since 1956 (1986)
13.5 ... ... ... ... ... coldest August since 1912 (1956)
13.0 ... ... ... ... ... second coldest Augusts (tie) (1694,95)
12.9 ... ... ... ... ... coldest August, 1912

9.5 ... coldest day to 16th (16th, 1888) ... earliest sub-10 value in August

8.8 ... coldest August day (26th, 1864) ... although it was 7.1 C on 1 Sept of 1816

 

____________________________________________________________

 

Median of 66 on-time forecasts is 17.2 C

 

Range is 15.6 to 20.0

 

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I hope this will be readable. For some unknown (to me) reason, the site has suddenly started to show all of my coding or at least a lot of coding whether I intended for it to be there, or not. This has made the previous post almost unreadable now, at least on my screen, every line is showing code. As I have not changed any settings, I don't know why this might be happening, nor how to stop it from happening, but I will avoid any fancy coding and see how this looks. I can also see coding now in one or two other posts in the CET thread, for example, Atlantic Flamethrower.

 

CET forecasts, averages and extremes for September

 

 

22.6 ... ________________________warmest day (2nd, 1906)

 

17.0 ... CRAIG EVANS
16.8 ... CHEEKY_MONKEY __________warmest (2006)

16.6 ... ________________________second warmest (1729)
16.3 ... ________________________third warmest (tied 1865 and 1949)

16.1 ... ROGER J SMITH

16.0 ...

 

15.9 ...

15.8 ...

15.7 ... SUMMER of 95

15.6 ...

15.5 ... CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE, FEB1991BLIZZARD

15.4 ...

15.3 ... LARGER THAN AVERAGE HOBO

15.2 ... I.REMEMBER.ATLANTIC.252, MRS TRELLIS, CORAM

15.1 ... VIRTUALSPHERE

15.0 ... WEATHERGURU14, MILHOUSE, STARGAZER
 

14.9 ... DR(S)NO, ADERYN.COCH, BORN.FROM.THE.VOID

14.8 ... BOBD29, THUNDERY WINTER SHOWERS
14.7 ... SUMMER SUN, ATLANTIC FLAMETHROWER, STEWFOX, REEF, DUNCAN McALISTER

14.6 ... MATTY 007, WEATHER-HISTORY

14.5 ... CONGLETON HEAT, DANCER WITH WINGS, NORRANCE, DAVID SNOW

14.4 ... BLUESKIES_DO_I_SEE, JONBOY

14.3 ... MARK BAYLEY, DAVEHSUG, A WINTER'S TALE ... ... ... --- average 2001-2013 ---
14.2 ... SEABREEZE86, PJL20101, STATIONARY FRONT, DON, J10*

14.1 ... HARVE, THE PIT, MIDLANDS ICE AGE, EASY-OASY

14.0 ... POLAR GAEL, ISOLATED FROST, DR HOSKING, SCOTT.RICHARDS10

... ... ... ... ... ... ... --- average 1981-2010 ---
 

13.9 ... NANNA-REE, MULZY

13.8 ... DEEP SNOW, TONYH, NN2013*
13.7 ... MARCH BLIZZARD ... ... ... --- average 1971-2000, 2013 CET ---
13.6 ... STEVE.B, SYED2878, SOME.LIKE.IT.HOT, GODBER* ... ... ... --- average 1961-1990 ---
13.5 ... DAMIANSLAW ... ... ... --- average 1701-1800, 1901-2000 ---
13.4 ... ESSEX EASTERLY

13.3 ... BARRY ... ... ... --- average 1659-2013 ---
13.2 ... SUNDOG, GAEL_FORCE

13.1 ... ... ... ... --- average 1801-1900 ---

13.0 ... SUMMER BLIZZARD, POLAR MARITIME
 

12.9 ... WEATHER26

12.8 ... SIMSHADY
12.7 ...

12.6 ... HILLBILLY ... ... ... --- average 1659-1700 ---
11.8 ... GEOFF.W
11.3 ... _________________________ coldest since 1952 and tied 14th coldest (1986)
10.7 ... _________________________ coldest recent month and sixth coldest (1952)
10.6 ... _________________________ fifth coldest (1703)
10.5 ... _________________________ coldest (four tied, 1674,1675,1694,1807)

4.9 ... __________________________ coldest day (28th, 1824)

____________________________________

 

* one day late

now 69 forecasts, median is 14.3 C

Edited by Roger J Smith

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Has the summer spread sheet been posted yet , cant find it

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Oops forgot to post the link in here.

 

 

Every single guess was above the CET this month, which says something about August 2014.

 

The closest this month was

seabreeze86, 0.7c out at 15.6c, with Polar Maritime and Gael_Force also both 1.0c out at 15.9c.

 

The Summer Comp was won by Dancer with wings with stewfox 2nd and reef 3rd

 

Overall reef leads from The PIT 2nd and Thundery wintry showers 3rd

 

PDF attachicon.gifAugust 2014 CET.pdf

 

XLS attachicon.gifAugust 2014 CET.xls

 

 

(sorry for effectively copying what dancerwithwings had already done. )

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Table of entries, October 2014

 

20.2 ... warmest day, 1st 1985

20.1 ... second warmest day, 1st 2011

 

14.0 ... CRAIG EVANS

13.3 ... ... ... ... warmest month 2001

13.1 ... ... ... ... second warmest month 2005

13.0 ... ... ... ... third warmest months, 1969 and 2006

 

12.9 ...

12.8 ...

12.7 ... ... ... ... 8th warmest, warmest of 19th century 1831

12.6 ... PJL20101

12.5 ... ... ... ... -- 2013 CET --

12.4 ...

12.3 ... ... ... ... tied 12th and warnest of 18th century 1731

12,2 ... BLUESKIES_DO_I_SEE, BLAST FROM THE PAST

12.1 ...

12.0 ... ROGER J SMITH

 

11.9 ... REEF

11.8 ... STEVEB

11.7 ... DEEP SNOW

11.6 ... POLAR GAEL

11.5 ... CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE, DR HOSKING, TONYH

11.4 ... CONGLETON HEAT, MATTY007, BORNFROMTHEVOID, DUNCAN McALISTER

11.3 ... STORMYKING, THE PIT, STEWFOX, DAVEHSUG

11.2 ... S4LANCIA, LARGER THAN AVERAGE HOBO, JONBOY, DAMIANSLAW, DAVID SNOW

11.1 ... NN2013, CORAM, STATIONARY FRONT

11.0 ... WEATHER26, MRS TRELLIS, SUMMER SUN

... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... --- mean 2001-2013 ---

 

10.9 ... BOBD29, MULZY, ESSEX EASTERLY, DANCERWITHWINGS. A WINTER'S TALE*

10.8 ... NORRANCE, CHEEKY_MONKEY, MARK BAYLEY*

10.7 ... SUMMER BLIZZARD, DIAGONALREDLINE, SYED2878, WEATHER-HISTORY, DON

... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... --- mean 1981-2010 ---

10.6 ... GEOFFW, EASY-OASY ... ... ... --- mean 1961-1990 ---

10.5 ... SIMSHADY, GODBER

10.4 ... DR(S)NO, J10

10.3 ... ATLANTIC FLAMETHROWER ... ... ... --- mean 1971-2000 ---

10.2 ... GAEL_FORCE, THUNDERY WINTRY SHOWERS, MIDLANDS ICE AGE

... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... --- mean 1901-2000 ---

10.1 ... BARRY

10.0 ... SCOTTRICHARDS10

 

 9.9 ... DANIEL

 9.8 ... JEFFC, POLAR MARITIME, ADERYNCOCH

 9.7 ... TIMMYTOUR ... ... ... --- mean for all years 1659-2013, also 2012 ---

 9.6 ... HILLBILLY, VIRTUALSPHERE

 9.5 ... ... ... ... --- mean 1801-1900 ---

 9.4 ... SUNDOG ... ... ... --- mean 1701-1800 ---

 9.3 ... ... ... ... --- mean 1659-1700 ---

 9,2 ...

 9.1 ...

 9.0 ... SOMELIKEITHOT

 

 8.9 ... MARCH BLIZZARD

 8.8 ...

 

 7.8 .... .... .... tied 26th coldest, coldest recent past, 1974 and 1992

 7.5 .... .... .... tied 8th coldest, coldest 20th century 1905

 

 6.5 .... .... .... tied 3rd coldest, 1683 and 1692

 6.4 .... .... .... second coldest 1817

 

 5.3 .... .... .... coldest 1740

 

0.3 .... coldest day (since 1772, guessing some subzero days in 1740) 29th, 1895

_________________________________

 

66 forecasts so far, median is 10.9 C

Edited by Roger J Smith
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Scores now Complied and 1 player got it spot on this month, well done to virtualsphere

 

6 players were 0.1c out weatherguru14, Milhouse, Stargazer, IrememberAtlantic252, Rybris Ponce and coram

 

Seasonally the top 6 are in the order above.

 

Overall only 2 months to go and no change in the top 3,

 

reef (1)

 

The PIT (2)

 

Thundery wintry showers (3)

 

reef has now has extended their lead.

 

attachicon.gifSept 2014 CET.pdf attachicon.gifSept 2014 CET.xls

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November CET means and trivia

15.4 ... ... ... ... ... warmest day (5th, 1938)
14.4 ... ... ... ... ... warmest day in second half (22nd, 1947)

 

10.5 ... CRAIG EVANS
10.1 ... ... ... ... ... ... .. warmest Nov 1994

9.6 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... second warmest Nov 2011
9.5 ... STEF ... ... ... ... third warmest Nov 1818
9.4 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... fourth warmest Nov 1938
9.3 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... fifth warmest Nov 1743

9.2 ...

9.1 ...

9.0 ...  SOME.LIKE.IT.HOT

 

8.9 ...

8.8 ... CONGLETON.HEAT

8.7 ...

8.6 ... BLUESKIES_DO_I_SEE

8.5 ... SUMMER SUN

8.4 ...

8.3 ...

8.2 ... J10

8.1 ... SUMMER BLIZZARD, EUGENE, PJL20101, FEB.1991.BLIZZARD

8.0 ... ISOLATED FROST, THE PIT, DR HOSKING, ADERYN.COCH, TONYH*
 

7.9 ... ROLLO, REEF*

7.8 ... BORN.FROM.THE.VOID, DAVEHSUG

7.7 ... KIWI, DAMIANSLAW, DEEP.SNOW, ESSEX EASTERLY, DUNCAN McALISTER, DON

7.6 ... LARGER THAN AVERAGE HOBO, MARK BAYLEY, NORRANCE

7.5 ... CAPTAIN SHORTWAVE, MILHOUSE

7.4 ... MRS TRELLIS, STARGAZER

7.3 ... MULZY, THUNDERY WINTRY SHOWERS* ... ... ... ... ---- mean of 2001-2013 ----
7.2 ... POMEROY.SNOW, FOZFOSTER, MR MAUNDER, TIMMYTOUR

7.1 ... SIMSHADY, SYED2878, STEWFOX, HARVE ... ... ... ... ---- mean of 1981-2010 ----
7.0 ... SCOTT.RICHARDS.10, CORAM

 

6.9 ... SEVERE SIBERIAN ICY BLAST, NINMAN, JAMES M, A WINTER'S TALE

... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ---- mean of 1971-2000 ----

6.8 ... HOCUS POCUS, WEATHER26, NIGERIAN PRINCE ... ... ... ... 2012 average
6.7 ... LOMOND.SNOWSTORM, SUNDOG, RJBW, BLAST FROM THE PAST

6.6 ... DR(S)NO, WEATHER-HISTORY ... ... ... ... ---- mean of 1961-1990 ----
6.5 ... DIAGONAL.RED.LINE, STATIONARY FRONT, FROZE.WERE.THE.DAYS*

... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ---- mean of 1901-2000 ----

6.4 ... VIRTUALSPHERE, DAVID SNOW, GREAT PLUM*

6.3 ... MUCKA

6.2 ... HILLBILLY, DANCER.WITH.WINGS ... ... ... ... 2013 average
6.1 ... BARRY ... ... ... ... ---- mean of all years 1659-2013 ----
6.0 ... GEOFF.W, NN2013, EASY-OASY

 

5.9 ... MARCH BLIZZARD, BOBD29. GAEL_FORCE ... ... ... ... ---- mean of 1801-1900 ----
5.8 ... MIDLANDS ICE AGE, ROGER J SMITH ... ... ... ... ---- mean of 1701-1800 ----
5.7 ... STORMYKING, JONBOY, STEVE.B, ATLANTIC FLAMETHROWER

5.6 ... POLAR MARITIME

5.5 ... GODBER, SEABREEZE86 ... ... ... ... ---- mean of 1659-1700 ----

5.4 ...

5.3 ... LINCOLN.SNOWSTORM

5.2 ... BORO SNOW

5.1 ...

5.0 ... DANIEL

 

4.9 ... STEVE MURR

4.8 ...

4.7 ... POLAR GAEL

4.6 ...

4.5 ...

4.4 ...

4.3 ... THROWOFF

4.2 ...

4.1 ... ROBBIE GARRETT ... ... ... ... coldest in recent years (tied 28th overall) 1985

4.0 ...

2.9 .... third coldest Nov 1807
2.8 .... second coldest Nov 1915
2.3 .... coldest Nov 1782

-0.6 ... earliest sub-zero mean (7th, 1791)
-2.1 ... coldest in first half (15th, 1965)
-4.6 ... coldest day (23rd, 1890)
__________________________________________________

 

* one day late (added three at 1600h and two more later)

 

90 forecasts, median now 7.0 ... also CHEEKY MONKEY requested mean of all forecasts, I use median so would suggest he takes that, J10 can decide. That would make 91 forecasts (same median).

 

Will edit in later forecasts until edit function phases out.

Edited by Roger J Smith
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Based on the value of 12.5c, the results are now in.

 

3 players got it spot on. Captain shortwave, DR Hosking and TonyH

 

The seasonal comp sees a new 1-2-3 of BornFromTheVoid, Captain shortwave  and Larger than average Hobo

 

Overall the 1-2-3 stays reef,  The PIT and Thundery wintry showers with the winner now likely to be from the Top 2.

 

PDF attachicon.gifOct 2014 cet.pdf

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Based on the value of 12.5c, the results are now in.

 

3 players got it spot on. Captain shortwave, DR Hosking and TonyH

 

The seasonal comp sees a new 1-2-3 of BornFromTheVoid, Captain shortwave  and Larger than average Hobo

 

Overall the 1-2-3 stays reef,  The PIT and Thundery wintry showers with the winner now likely to be from the Top 2.

 

PDF attachicon.gifOct 2014 cet.pdf

 

 I think you may have 11.5 mixed up with 12.5 J.

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Based on the value of 12.5c, the results are now in.

 

3 players got it spot on. Captain shortwave, DR Hosking and TonyH

 

The seasonal comp sees a new 1-2-3 of BornFromTheVoid, Captain shortwave  and Larger than average Hobo

 

Overall the 1-2-3 stays reef,  The PIT and Thundery wintry showers with the winner now likely to be from the Top 2.

 

PDF attachicon.gifOct 2014 cet.pdf

 

 

J10, 1.0c out mate post-11006-0-76552000-1414950568_thumb.j

 

Edit....David Snow, sorry just read your post :good:

Edited by Dancerwithwings

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