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CET Competition - the scores ongoing

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Here is a thread where I will post the scores from the comps in one easy place. and Roger can also post his excellent round-ups of all entries in here as well.

Starting off here are the December 2012 results.

Dec 2012 CET.xls

Dec 2012 CET.pdf

Please use the monthly threads for the weather aspects of the CET Competition.

Edited by Jackone
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Table of January CET averages and extremes

with contest entries

11.6 .. warmest daily CET mean (3rd, 1932 and 23rd, 1834)

8.0 ... Craig Evans

7.9 ...

7.8 ...

7.7 ...

7.6 ...

7.5 ... ... ... ... ... warmest January (1916)

7.4 ...

7.3 ... ... ... ... ... second warmest (1796 & 1921)

7.2 ... Sparky1972

7.1 ... ... ... ... ... fourth warmest (1834)

7.0 ... ... ... ... ... fifth warmest, and warmest since 1934 (2007)

6.9 ... robbie69

6.8 ... igloo

6.7 ...

6.6 ...

6.5 ... syed2878

6.4 ...

6.3 ... coram

6.2 ... Backtrack

6.1 ... Gimmesomesnow, Duncan McAlister

6.0 ... Styx, AtlanticFlamethrower

5.9 ... Continental Climate

5.8 ... Roger J Smith

5.7 ... reef, Bobby

5.6 ... Gavin

5.5 ... mark4, Carl46Wrexham

5.4 ... Januarysnow, Froze were the Days

5.3 ...The PIT, Don

5.2 ... Candice*

5.1 ... Jack Wales

5.0 ... Marky 810, TonyH

4.9 ... Sunlover, DAVID SNOW, DR Hosking, Alex*

4.8 ... SteveB, Milhouse, Deep Snow*

4.7 ... Mark Neal, Kain ... ... ... ... --- average 2001-12 ---- (4.65)

4.6 ... Yozzer, Aaron, Terminal Moraine, fozfoster

4.5 ... DR(S)NO, A Winter's Tale

4.4 ... summer blizzard, Ninman, pjl20101, Thundery Winter Showers ... ... ... ... ... ... --- average 1981-2010 -----

4.3 ... Stargazer, damianslaw, Aderyn Coch

4.2 ... feb1991blizzard, stewfox* ... ... ... ... ... --- average 1971-2000 -----

4.1 ... Kentish Man, RAIN RAIN RAIN, Stormmad26, Jackone*

4.0 ... easy-oasy, trickydicky, sundog, Ferryhill Weather, Stationary Front, March Blizzard

3.9 ... virtualsphere, Harve ... ... ... ... --- average 1901-2000 ----

3.8 ... lesaro, Norrance, The watcher, BFTP** ... ... ... ...--- average 1961-1990 -----

3.7 ... Polar Maritime

3.6 ... Muffelchen, chionomaniac

3.5 ... mulzy, godber, TomSE20, Ben_Cambs* Skeggy blizzard*

3.4 ... LomondSnowstorm, seabreeze86, Great Plum

3.3 ... Paul T*

3.2 ... Isolated Frost, Midlands Ice Age, BornFromTheVoid ... ... ... ... --- average 1659-2012 ----- (3.24)

3.1 ... sn0wman, shuggee, Cirrostratus

3.0 ... Rybris Ponce ... ... ... ... --- average 1801-1900 ----

2.9 ... Gael_Force, Radiating Dendrite* ... ... ... ... --- average 1701-1800 ----

2.8 ... Dunstable Snow*

2.7 ... Polar Gael, Mark Bayley

2.6 ... ... ... ... ... --- average 1659-1700 ----

2.5 ... 22nov10blast, DiagonalRedLine, alexisj9, sebastiaan1973

2.4 ... Weather-history

2.3 ...

2.2 ... Snowstorm1

2.1 ...

2.0 ...

1.9 ...

1.8 ...

1.7 ... mikeocarroll

1.6 ...

1.5 ...

1.4 ... ... ... ... coldest past 25 yrs (2010)

1.3 ...

1.2 ...

1.1 ...

1.0 ...

0.9 ...

0.8 ... ... ... ... coldest past 30 yrs (1985, 1987)

0.7 ...

0.6 ...

0.5 ...

0.4 ...

0.3 ...

0.2 ...

0.1 ...

0.0 ...

-0.1 ..

-0.2 .. BARRY

-0.3 ..

-0.4 .. ... ... ... last subzero (1979)

-0.5 ..

-0.6 ..

-0.7 ..

-0.8 ..

-0.9 ..

-1.0 .. ... ... ... twelfth coldest (1695)

-1.1 ..

-1.2 ..

-1.3 .. AWD

-1.4 .. ... ... ... eleventh coldest (1940)

-1.5 .. ... ... ... tied for eighth coldest (1709, 1838, 1881)

-1.6 .. ... ... ... seventh coldest (1776)

-1.7 ..

-1.8 ..

-1.9 ..

-2.0 .. ... ... ... sixth coldest (1716)

-2.1 .. ... ... ... fifth coldest, and coldest 20th century (1963)

-2.2 ..

-2.3 ..

-2.4 ..

-2.5 ..

-2.6 ..

-2.7 ..

-2.8 .. ... ... ... fourth coldest (1740)

-2.9 .. ... ... ... third coldest (1814)

-3.0 .. ... ... ... second coldest (1684)

-3.1 .. ... ... ... coldest January or month (1795)

-7.7 ... coldest daily CET mean past 30 yrs (12th, 1987)

-8.4 ... coldest daily CET mean in past 50 yrs (23rd, 1963)

-11.9 ... coldest daily CET mean, 20th 1838

___________________________________________________________

Final 99 entries, the median is 4.2 but the range and clustering continue to suggest a split in opinion about when or if colder air is coming. Jackone if you find a different count, Skeggy blizzard was in at 2.5 and made a late entry at 3.5, I then discarded the original entry.

* one day late

** two days late

Edited by Roger J Smith

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Cheers for doing this as ever Roger.

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February table of entries and CET averages/extremes

12.4 ... warmest Feb day (mean temp) 4th Feb 2004

10.0 ... lowest daily extreme max (16th Feb 1928)

8.0 ... Craig Evans

7.9 ... ... ... warmest month of Feb 1779

7.5 ... ... ... second warmest month of Feb 1869

7.3 ... ... ... tied third warmest month of Feb 1990 and 1998

6.2 ... Sceptical Inquirer, Backtrack

6.1 ... Gavin

5.8 ... Milhouse

5.2 ... Summer of 95, coram

5.0 ... Jason M, davehsug

4.9 ... Stargazer, Froze were the Days

4.8 ... mike Meehan ... ... ... ... ---- mean for 2001-2012 ----

4.7 ... reef, TonyH

4.6 ... Carl46Wrexham, SteveB, Aaron

4.5 ... Mark Neal, DAVID SNOW, The PIT, Gimmesomesnow

4.4 ... Sunlover, Gael_Force, Kentish Man ... ... ... ... ---- mean 1981-2010 ----

4.2 ... A Winter's Tale, cheeky_monkey, Barry95 ... ... ... ... ---- mean for 1971-2000 ----

4.1 ... IanR

4.0 ... Snow White, SnowySouthPennines, Jack Wales ... ... ---- mean for 1801-1900 and 1901-2000 ----

3.9 ...Alex, mulzy, summer blizzard ... ... ... ... ---- mean for 1659-2012 (all 354 years) ----

3.8 ... mikeocarroll, DR(S)NO, DR_Hosking, Don, feb1991blizzard

... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ---- mean for 1961-1990 and 1701-1800 ----

3.7 ... sn0wman, Ferryhill Weather, Rybris Ponce, Thundery winter showers

3.6 ... Styx, Weather-history

3.5 ... Jackone

3.4 ... Norrance, AderynCoch

3.3 ... RAIN RAIN RAIN, chionomaniac, Harve

3.2 ... pjl20101, Stormyking

3.1 ... AVFC, Ice Blast, TomSE20

3.0 ... March Blizzard, Duncan McAlister, Optimus Prime, bradythemole

2.9 ... snowstorm 1, seabreeze86 ... ... ... ... ---- mean for 1659-1700 ----

2.8 ... Isolated Frost, Paul T, model rollercoaster

2.7 ... damianslaw, Great Plum

2.6 ... LomondSnowstorm

2.5 ... sundog, Nigerian Prince

2.5 ... 22nov10blast

2.4 ... geoffw, Stu_London

2.3 ... Atlantic flamethrower

2.2 ... Stationary Front, DiagonalRedLine

2.1 ...

2.0 ...

1.9 ... bobd29, Dunstable Snow

1.6 ... virtualsphere

1.5 ... Polar Gael

0.4 ... saintkiptanui

0.0 ... Terminal Moraine

--0.6 ... godber

--0.8 ... BARRY

--0.9 ... Blast From The Past

--1.0 ... Roger J Smith

--1.1 ... Skeggy Blizzard ... ... ... fifth coldest month of Feb, coldest in recent years 1986

--1.6 ... ... ... fourth coldest month of Feb 1740

--1.7 ... ... ... third coldest month of Feb 1855

--1.8 ... ... ... second coldest month of Feb 1895

--1.9 ... ... ... coldest month of Feb 1947

--2.4 ... highest daily extreme min (29th 1904)

--2.8 ... highest daily extreme min, not leap year day (27th, 1785)

--8.8 ... coldest Feb day (mean temp) 9th Feb 1816

________________________________________________________________

87 entries so far, median is 3.7 C

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Didn't even realise that my 'predictions' for both Jan and Feb are exactly the same..

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Latest Scores for Jan 13 taken from "main" Jan thread.

5 players got it spot on this month.

mulzy , Skeggy blizzard, Ben_Cambs, godber and TomSE20

The overall 1-2-3 in the overall comp is mulzy, TomSE20 and Muffelchen

The overall 1-2-3 in the winter comp is mulzy, Rybris Ponce and seabreeze86

Jan 2013 CET.xls

Jan 2013 CET.pdf

Edited by Jackone

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February table of entries and CET averages/extremes

12.4 ... warmest Feb day (mean temp) 4th Feb 2004

10.0 ... lowest daily extreme max (16th Feb 1928)

8.0 ... Craig Evans

7.9 ... ... ... warmest month of Feb 1779

7.5 ... ... ... second warmest month of Feb 1869

7.3 ... ... ... tied third warmest month of Feb 1990 and 1998

6.2 ... Sceptical Inquirer, Backtrack

6.1 ... Gavin

5.8 ... Milhouse

5.2 ... Summer of 95, coram

5.0 ... Jason M, davehsug

4.9 ... Stargazer, Froze were the Days

4.8 ... mike Meehan ... ... ... ... ---- mean for 2001-2012 ----

4.7 ... reef, TonyH

4.6 ... Carl46Wrexham, SteveB, Aaron*

4.5 ... Mark Neal, DAVID SNOW, The PIT, Gimmesomesnow, BornFromTheVoid*

4.4 ... Sunlover, Gael_Force, Kentish Man, The Watcher** ... ... ... ... ---- mean 1981-2010 ----

4.2 ... A Winter's Tale, cheeky_monkey, Barry95 ... ... ... ... ---- mean for 1971-2000 ----

4.1 ... IanR

4.0 ... Snow White, SnowySouthPennines, Jack Wales, stewfox***

... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ---- mean for 1801-1900 and 1901-2000 ----

3.9 ...Alex, mulzy, summer blizzard ... ... ... ... ---- mean for 1659-2012 (all 354 years) ----

3.8 ... mikeocarroll, DR(S)NO, DR_Hosking, Don, feb1991blizzard, muffelchen***

... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ---- mean for 1961-1990 and 1701-1800 ----

3.7 ... sn0wman, Ferryhill Weather, Rybris Ponce, Thundery winter showers

3.6 ... Styx, Weather-history

3.5 ... Jackone, easy-oasy

3.4 ... Norrance, AderynCoch

3.3 ... RAIN RAIN RAIN, chionomaniac, Harve

3.2 ... pjl20101, Stormyking

3.1 ... AVFC, Ice Blast, TomSE20

3.0 ... March Blizzard, Duncan McAlister, Optimus Prime, bradythemole

2.9 ... snowstorm 1, seabreeze86 ... ... ... ... ---- mean for 1659-1700 ----

2.8 ... Isolated Frost, Paul T, model rollercoaster, dec10snow**

2.7 ... damianslaw, Great Plum

2.6 ... LomondSnowstorm

2.5 ... sundog, Nigerian Prince, Alexisj9***

2.5 ... 22nov10blast

2.4 ... geoffw, Stu_London

2.3 ... Atlantic flamethrower*

2.2 ... Stationary Front, DiagonalRedLine

2.1 ...

2.0 ...

1.9 ... bobd29, Dunstable Snow

1.6 ... virtualsphere

1.5 ... Polar Gael

0.4 ... saintkiptanui

0.0 ... Terminal Moraine

--0.6 ... godber

--0.8 ... BARRY

--0.9 ... Blast From The Past

--1.0 ... Roger J Smith

--1.1 ... Skeggy Blizzard, Midlands Ice Age ... ... ... fifth coldest month of Feb, coldest in recent years 1986

--1.6 ... ... ... fourth coldest month of Feb 1740

--1.7 ... ... ... third coldest month of Feb 1855

--1.8 ... ... ... second coldest month of Feb 1895

--1.9 ... ... ... coldest month of Feb 1947

--2.4 ... highest daily extreme min (29th 1904)

--2.8 ... highest daily extreme min, not leap year day (27th, 1785)

--8.8 ... coldest Feb day (mean temp) 9th Feb 1816

________________________________________________________________

94 entries so far, median is 3.7 C

* day(s) late

Midlands Ice Age posted a forecast in the Jan thread with the Jan forecast.

Have added late and missed (easy-oasy) forecasts

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March CET averages and trivia

14.7 ... Warmest March daily mean (27th, 1777)

10.0 ... Craig Evans

9.2 ... ... ... ... ... ... Warmest March (1957)

9.1 ... ... ... ... ... ... 2nd warmest March (1938)

8.4 ... ... ... ... ... ... 3rd warmest March (1997)

8.3 ... ... ... ... ... ... 4th warmest March (1948,1990, 2012)

8.2 ... Gavin ... ... ... 7th warmest March and warmest before 20th century (1750, tied with 1961)

8.1 ...

8.0 ... backtrack

7.9 ...

7.8 ...

7.7 ...

7.6 ...

7.5 ...Tony H

7.4 ... Boar Wrinklestorm, mark4

7.3 ...

7.2 ... Mark Bayley

7.1 ... Milhouse, BornFromTheVoid, chionomaniac

7.0 ... Polar Gael, M1chaels, A Winter's Tale, Barry 95

6.9 ... virtualsphere, Kentish Man

6.8 ... davehsug, cheeky_monkey

6.7 ... Mark Neal, Jackone ... ... ... ... ... ----- mean of 21st century (2001-2012) -----

6.6 ... Paul T, Alex, Duncan McAlister ... ... ... ... ----- mean of 1981-2010 -----

6.5 ... p j l 20101, DR Hosking, Atlantic Flamethrower

6.4 ... geoff w, AVFC, Midlands Ice Age, RAIN RAIN RAIN, Don

6.3 ... sundog, muffelchen, Dec10snow ... ... ... ... ----- mean of 1971-2000 -----

6.2 ... bobd29, Snowstorm1, Rybris Ponce, reef, keithlucky

6.1 ... Stargazer, damianslaw, Fozfoster, Jack Wales, Thundery winter showers

6.0 ... DR(S)NO, Great Plum, Gael_Force

5.9 ... IanR, Weather-history, The PIT, Ice Blast

5.8 ... jonboy, easy-oasy, The watcher, mulzy ... ... ... ... ----- mean of 20th century (1901-2000) -----

5.7 ... AderynCoch, March Blizzard ... ... ... ... ----- mean of 1961-1990 -----

5.6 ... mikeocarroll, Lomond Snowstorm, Ferryhill Weather, summer blizzard

5.5 ... Stationary Front, alexis j 9, Aaron

5.4 ... Roger J Smith, stewfox, Dunstable Snow

5.3 ... SteveB... ... ... ... ----- mean of all 354 years (1659-2012) -----

5.2 ... coram ... ... ... ... ----- mean of 19th century (1801-1900) -----

5.1 ... hillbilly, Pharoah Clutchstraw, Norrance

5.0 ... DAVID SNOW ... ... ... ... ----- mean of 18th century (1701-1800)

4.9 ... 22nov10blast, seabreeze86, Burwell Weather Watch

4.8 ... godber

4.7 ... BARRY

4.6 ... ... ... ... ... ----- mean of (CET portion of) 17th century (1659-1700) -----

4.5 ...

4.4 ... Harve

4.3 ...

(no colder forecasts)

2.8 ... ... ... ... ... Coldest March of 20th century (1962) -- is tied for 15th coldest all-time

1.8 ... ... ... ... ... 3rd coldest March (1748)

1.2 ... ... ... ... ... 2nd coldest March (1785)

1.0 ... ... ... ... ... Coldest March (1674)

-3.9 ... Coldest March daily mean in last 50 yrs (3rd, 1965)

-6.5 ... Coldest March daily mean (13th, 1845)

__________________________________________________

279 K ... Yarmy (not sure if serious entry or acceptable, is that about 5.9 maybe?)

Without that one, 79 forecasts so far and the median is 6.1 C.

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The scores have been updated and are as follows.

Monthly Comp

2 people got it spot on [3.2c] pjl20101 and Stormyking

Yearly Comp

The Top 3 is TomSE20, chionomaniac and Stormyking

Winter Comp

Final Results are in and the winner was chionomania, with mulzy in 2nd and seabreeze86 in 3rd.

Spreadsheet / PDF

Feb 2013 CET.pdf

Feb 2013 CET.xls

Edited by Jackone
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March CET table of entries, averages and trivia

14.7 ... Warmest March daily mean (27th, 1777)

10.0 ... Craig Evans

9.2 ... ... ... ... ... ... Warmest March (1957)

9.1 ... ... ... ... ... ... 2nd warmest March (1938)

8.4 ... ... ... ... ... ... 3rd warmest March (1997)

8.3 ... ... ... ... ... ... 4th warmest March (1948,1990, 2012)

8.2 ... Gavin ... ... ... 7th warmest March and warmest before 20th century (1750, tied with 1961)

8.1 ...

8.0 ... backtrack

7.9 ... Skeggy summer*

7.8 ...

7.7 ...

7.6 ...

7.5 ...Tony H

7.4 ... Boar Wrinklestorm, mark4

7.3 ...

7.2 ... Mark Bayley

7.1 ... Milhouse, BornFromTheVoid, chionomaniac

7.0 ... Polar Gael, M1chaels, A Winter's Tale, Barry 95

6.9 ... virtualsphere, Kentish Man, Diagonal Red Line*

6.8 ... davehsug, cheeky_monkey

6.7 ... Mark Neal, Jackone ... ... ... ... ... ----- mean of 21st century (2001-2012) -----

6.6 ... Paul T, Alex, Duncan McAlister ... ... ... ... ----- mean of 1981-2010 -----

6.5 ... p j l 20101, DR Hosking, Atlantic Flamethrower

6.4 ... geoff w, AVFC, Midlands Ice Age, RAIN RAIN RAIN, Don

6.3 ... sundog, muffelchen, Dec10snow ... ... ... ... ----- mean of 1971-2000 -----

6.2 ... bobd29, Snowstorm1, Rybris Ponce, reef, keithlucky

6.1 ... Stargazer, damianslaw, Fozfoster, Jack Wales, Thundery winter showers

6.0 ... DR(S)NO, Great Plum, Gael_Force

5.9 ... IanR, Weather-history, The PIT, Ice Blast

5.8 ... jonboy, easy-oasy, The watcher, mulzy, Harve*

... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ----- mean of 20th century (1901-2000) -----

5.7 ... AderynCoch, March Blizzard ... ... ... ... ----- mean of 1961-1990 -----

5.6 ... mikeocarroll, Lomond Snowstorm, Ferryhill Weather, summer blizzard

5.5 ... Stationary Front, alexis j 9, Aaron

5.4 ... Roger J Smith, stewfox, Dunstable Snow

5.3 ... SteveB... ... ... ... ----- mean of all 354 years (1659-2012) -----

5.2 ... coram ... ... ... ... ----- mean of 19th century (1801-1900) -----

5.1 ... hillbilly, Pharoah Clutchstraw, Norrance

5.0 ... DAVID SNOW ... ... ... ... ----- mean of 18th century (1701-1800)

4.9 ... 22nov10blast, seabreeze86, Burwell Weather Watch

4.8 ... godber

4.7 ... BARRY

4.6 ... ... ... ... ... ----- mean of (CET portion of) 17th century (1659-1700) -----

4.5 ...

4.4 ...

4.3 ...

(no colder forecasts)

2.8 ... ... ... ... ... Coldest March of 20th century (1962) -- is tied for 15th coldest all-time

1.8 ... ... ... ... ... 3rd coldest March (1748)

1.2 ... ... ... ... ... 2nd coldest March (1785)

1.0 ... ... ... ... ... Coldest March (1674)

-3.9 ... Coldest March daily mean in last 50 yrs (3rd, 1965)

-6.5 ... Coldest March daily mean (13th, 1845)

__________________________________________________

279 K ... Yarmy (not sure if serious entry or acceptable, is that about 5.9 maybe?)

Without that one, 81 forecasts so far and the median is 6.1 C.

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April CET statistics and trivia, table of entries

19.7 ... ... ... ... warmest April daily mean (29th, 1775)

16.3 ... ... ... ... warmest daily mean 1-15 April (15th, 1945)

12.0 ... Craig Evans

11.8 ... ... ... ... warmest April (2011)

11.6 ... Backtrack

11.2 ... ... ... ... 2nd warmest April (2007)

10.6 ... ... ... ... 3rd warmest April (1865)

10.5 ... ... ... ... 4th warmest April (1943)

9.5 ...

9.4 ...

9.3 ... Polar Gael

9.2 ... --------- average for 2001-12 ---------

9.0 ... DiagonalRedLine ... ... ... ... --------- average for 14 yrs 1862-1875 (surprise?) ---------

8.9 ... Bobd29

8.8 ... davehsug

8.7 ... mikeocarroll

8.5 ... --------- average for 1981-2010 ---------

8.4 ... easy-oasy, Atlantic Flamethrower

8.3 ... Stationary Front

8.2 ... Gavin, dec10snow

8.1 ... virtualsphere, Norrance, Jackone, Jack Wales

... ... ... ... ... ...--------- average for 1971-2000 (and 20th century 1901-2000) (also 1971-2000) ---------

8.0 ... mulzy ... ... ... ... --------- average for 19th century 1801-1900 ---------

7.9 ... Rybris Ponce, The watcher, Great Plum

... ... ... ... ... ... ---------- average for all data 1659-2012, also 1961-1990, also 18th century 1701-1800 ---------

7.8 ... DR(S)NO, Stargazer, Thundery wintry showers

7.7 ... damianslaw, AVFC, Kentish Man

7.6 ... Milhouse, Mark Bayley, The PIT, DR Hosking

7.5 ... summer blizzard, m1chaels, seabreeze86, AderynCoch, weather-history, TonyH, A Winter's Tale

7.4 ... 22nov10blast, reef

7.3 ... jonboy, stewfox, geoffw ... ... ... -------- average for 1659-1700 --------

7.2 ... Portland Paul, sundog, Nbrasso, Harve

7.1 ... pjl 20101, Midlands Ice Age, RAIN RAIN RAIN

7.0 ... IanR, BornFromTheVoid

6.9 ... SteveB, Cymro, Ferryhill Weather, DAVID SNOW

6.8 ... Snow White, Terminal Moraine, aphelion369

6.7 ... ihatetherain, Paul T

6.6 ... godber

6.5 ... CongletonHeat, BARRY, Duncan McAlister

6.4 ... Roger J Smith

6.3 ... coram, March blizzard

6.2 ... Xyplode

6.1 ... Carl46Wrexham

6.0 ... SomeLikeItHot, Gael_Force

5.9 ... Yarmy (posted at 5.85 C)

5.8 ... ... ... ... 18th coldest (tied) 1986 (coldest of past half century)

5.7 ... AWD

5.6 ... be cause (posted at 42F)

5.5 ...

5.4 ... ... ... ... fifth coldest (tied) -- 1917 (coldest 20th century) also 1743,1770,1799)

5.3 ...

5.2 ... ... ... ... third coldest (tied) -- 1782 and 1809

5.1 ...

4.7 ... ... ... ... coldest Aprils (1701 and 1837)

-0.2 ... ... ... ... coldest April daily mean second half (19th, 1772)

-0.5 ... ... ... ... coldest April daily mean (2nd, 1917 and 3rd, 1799)

_________________________________________________

74 on time entries, median is at 7.4 C. A strong clustering in the 7s with consensus about a warming trend relative to normal, few outliers.

I will try to edit in as many late entries as I can, then perhaps re-post this table

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So March 2013 CET has been confirmed as 2.7c, and that isn't an April Fool.

A few years back we were debating whether we would ever get a winter month with a CET sub 3c, now we are getting a spring month with CET under 3c.

Onto the scores this month, not surprisingly no one got it close,

BARRY predicted 4.7c and was the closest, however special mention to Harve who initially predicted 4.4 but changed their mind very late.

Mar 2013 CET.xls (XLS)

Mar 2013 CET.pdf (PDF)

Edited by Jackone
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April CET statistics and trivia, updated table of entries

19.7 ... ... ... ... warmest April daily mean (29th, 1775)

16.3 ... ... ... ... warmest daily mean 1-15 April (15th, 1945)

12.0 ... Craig Evans

11.8 ... ... ... ... warmest April (2011)

11.6 ... Backtrack

11.2 ... ... ... ... 2nd warmest April (2007)

10.6 ... ... ... ... 3rd warmest April (1865)

10.5 ... ... ... ... 4th warmest April (1943)

10.2 ... Gray-Wolf**

9.5 ...

9.4 ...

9.3 ... Polar Gael

9.2 ... --------- average for 2001-12 ---------

9.1 ... feno13* chionomaniac*

9.0 ... DiagonalRedLine ... ... ... ... --------- average for 14 yrs 1862-1875 (surprise?) ---------

8.9 ... Bobd29

8.8 ... davehsug

8.7 ... mikeocarroll

8.5 ... --------- average for 1981-2010 ---------

8.4 ... easy-oasy, Atlantic Flamethrower, Mark Neal*

8.3 ... Stationary Front

8.2 ... Gavin, dec10snow

8.1 ... virtualsphere, Norrance, Jackone, Jack Wales

... ... ... ... ... ...--------- average for 1971-2000 (and 20th century 1901-2000) (also 1971-2000) ---------

8.0 ... mulzy ... ... ... ... --------- average for 19th century 1801-1900 ---------

7.9 ... Rybris Ponce, The watcher, Great Plum, BurwellWeatherWatch* Don*

... ... ... ... ... ... ---------- average for all data 1659-2012, also 1961-1990, also 18th century 1701-1800 ---------

7.8 ... DR(S)NO, Stargazer, Thundery wintry showers

7.7 ... damianslaw, AVFC, Kentish Man

7.6 ... Milhouse, Mark Bayley, The PIT, DR Hosking

7.5 ... summer blizzard, m1chaels, seabreeze86, AderynCoch, weather-history, TonyH, A Winter's Tale

7.4 ... 22nov10blast, reef

7.3 ... jonboy, stewfox, geoffw ... ... ... -------- average for 1659-1700 --------

7.2 ... Portland Paul, sundog, Nbrasso, Harve, muffelchen* NorthNorfolkWeather*

7.1 ... pjl 20101, Midlands Ice Age, RAIN RAIN RAIN

7.0 ... IanR, BornFromTheVoid

6.9 ... SteveB, Cymro, Ferryhill Weather, DAVID SNOW

6.8 ... Snow White, Terminal Moraine, aphelion369

6.7 ... ihatetherain, Paul T

6.6 ... godber, lorenzo*

6.5 ... CongletonHeat, BARRY, Duncan McAlister

6.4 ... Roger J Smith

6.3 ... coram, March blizzard

6.2 ... Xyplode

6.1 ... Carl46Wrexham, hillbilly*

6.0 ... SomeLikeItHot, Gael_Force

5.9 ... Yarmy (posted at 5.85 C), Summer of 95*

5.8 ... ... ... ... 18th coldest (tied) 1986 (coldest of past half century)

5.7 ... AWD

5.6 ... be cause (posted at 42F)

5.5 ...

5.4 ... ... ... ... fifth coldest (tied) -- 1917 (coldest 20th century) also 1743,1770,1799)

5.3 ...

5.2 ... ... ... ... third coldest (tied) -- 1782 and 1809

5.1 ...

4.7 ... Pen* ... ... ... coldest Aprils (1701 and 1837)

-0.2 ... ... ... ... coldest April daily mean second half (19th, 1772)

-0.5 ... ... ... ... coldest April daily mean (2nd, 1917 and 3rd, 1799)

_________________________________________________

* each symbol means one late day

86 entries, median is at 7.5 C.

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Thanks for all the hard work, Roger...Posted Image

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Looks like the mean of the entries for April will be close to the final mark (maybe too high after end of month corrections).

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Table of May CET entries and stats

_____________________________________

 

 

21.2 ... ... ... ...  warmest daily mean (29th, 1780)

 

15.5 ... Craig Evans

15.1 ... ... ... ... (1833) warmest May

14.7 ... The watcher

14.5 ... Backtrack

14.1 ... BlueSkies_do_I_see

13.9 ... ... ... ...  (1848) 2nd warmest May13.8 ... snowstorm1 ... ... ... (1788, 1758) 3rd warmest Mays13.7 ... feno13 ... ... ... ...(1808) 5th warmest May13.6 ... ... ... ... (1992, 1727) 6th warmest May

13.5 ... nn2013

13.4 ...

13.3 ...

13.2 ...

13.1 ... seabreeze86

 

13.0 ...

12.9 ...

12.8 ...

12.7 ... Alex

12.6 ... godber, chionomaniac

12.5 ... Skeggy summer, Gavin, m1chaels

12.4 ... Mark Bayley, Duncan McAlister, davehsug

12.3 ... Polar Gael, Harve

12.2 ... summer blizzard, pjl20101, SteveB, AVFC, DR Hosking, Atlantic Flamethrower

12.1 ... Reef, Don, BornFromTheVoid

 

12.0 ... easy-oasy, mulzy, Jackone ... ...  ------------------------ 2001-2012 average -------------------------

11.9 ... Rybris Ponce, Weather-history, Great Plum

11.8 ... Stargazer, Midlands Ice Age

11.7 ... AderynCoch, Carl46Wrexham, DAVID SNOW, Stationary Front

... ... ... ... ... ... ... ---------------1981-2010 average, 2012 CET -----------------

11.6 ... DR(S)NO, Norrance, sundog, Gael_Force

11.5 ... Ferryhill Weather, BurwellWeatherWatch

11.4 ... Paul T, damianslaw, coram, stewfox  ... ... ... ------------------ 1901-2000 average --------------------

11.3 ... Kentish Man ... ... ... ... ---------------- 1971-2000 average, 1701-1800 average --------

11.2 ... Congleton Heat, BARRY, SomeLikeItHot ... ...  ------ 1961-1990 average, 1659-1700 average ----

11.1 ... virtualsphere ... ...  ---------------------------- 1801-1900 average -------------------------------

11.0 ... Ian R, Milhouse, TonyH

 

10.9 ... Lake District Blizzard, Jack Wales, Terminal Moraine

10.8 ... geoffw, The Pit, Polar Maritime

10.7 ... Roger J Smith, Aphelion369

10.6 ... 22nov10blast, ChrisHell

10.5 ... mikeocarroll

10.4 ... hillbilly

10.3 ... March Blizzard

10.2 ...

10.1 ...

10.0 ...

 

 9.1 ... (1996) ... coldest May in recent years

 

 8.9 ... (1879, 1885, 1902) tied 5th coldest May 8.8 ... (1855) 4th coldest May

 8.7 ... (1817) 3rd coldest May

 8.6 ... (1740) 2nd coldest May

 8.5 ... (1698) coldest May

 

 

3.5 .... mean for 3-5 May, 1877

2.9 .... coldest daily mean (8th, 1861)

__________________________________________________________

 

71 on-time entries, median is 11.8 C.

 

(enter in May thread, some late entries may appear in this table until I run out of editing time)

Edited by Roger J Smith
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I have finally been able to collate the scores, and the PDF format and excel spreadsheet attached as per normal.

 

As previously mentioned there were 7 players who got it spot on.

These being

 

summer blizzard, m1chaels, seabreeze86, AderynCoch ,Weather-history, TonyH and A Winter's Tale

 

The spring 1-2-3 is seabreeze86, summer blizzard and 22nov10blast

 

The Overall 1-2-3 is seabreeze86, mulzy and Weather-history

 

 

Edited by Jackone
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June 2013 Table of entries, CET averages and extremes

 

 

23.0 ... 3rd, 1947, warmest daily mean

 

19.0 ... Craig Evans

 

18.2 ... ... ... ... ... 1846 (warmest June)

18.0 ... ... ... ... ... 1676

 

17.9 ...

17.8 ...

17.7 ...

17.6 ...

17.5 ... Polar Gael

17.4 ...

17.3 ... ... ... ... ... 1826

17.2 ...

17.1 ... ... ... ... ... 1822

17.0 ... ... ... ... ... 1976

 

16.9 ... Roger J Smith

16.8 ...

16.7 ...

16.6 ...

16.5 ... Skeggy summer

16.4 ... mikeocarroll, Atlantic Flamethrower

16.3 ...

16.2 ...

16.1 ... Jack Wales

16.0 ... AderynCoch

 

15.9 ... Gavin

15.8 ... sundog

15.7 ...

15.6 ... Bobd29, easy-oasy

15.5 ... AWD, Stationary Front, Jackone, TonyH

15.4 ...

15.3 ...

15.2 ... DeepSnow

15.1 ... Blue_Skies_do_I_see, Paul T, BornFromTheVoid

15.0 ... nn2013

 

14.9 ... Milhouse, Alex

14.8 ... Yarmy, virtualsphere, Ferryhill Weather, Midlands Ice Age ... ... ... ... ---- average for 2001-2012 ----

14.7 ... hillbilly, nbj2013, Duncan McAlister, Nigerian Prince, Thundery Wintry Showers*

14.6 ... SteveB, Mark Bayley, Phil nw.

14.5 ... seabreeze86, Kentish Man ... ... ... ... ---- average for 1981-2010, also for 1901-2000 ----

14.4 ... NorthNorfolkWeather, reef, davehsug

14.3 ... A Boy Named Sue, Stargazer, jonboy ... ... ... ... ---- average for all years 1659-2012, also 1801-1900 ----

14.2 ... pjl 20101, Norrance, Diagonal Red Line, Gael_Force

 ... ... ... ... ---- average for 1961-1990, also 1701-1800 and 1659-1700 ----

14.1 ... mike Meehan ... ... ... ...  ---- average for 1971-2000 ----

14.0 ... DR(S)NO, Harve, AVFC, The PIT, Weather-history, mulzy

 

13.9 ... BARRY, 22nov10blast, stewfox, Don

13.8 ... masheeuk, godber

13.7 ... SomeLikeItHot, coram

13.6 ... DAVID SNOW, geoffw

13.5 ... summer blizzard ... ... ... ... ---- 2012 mean ----

13.4 ... March Blizzard*

13.3 ...

13.2 ...

13.1 ...

13.0 ...

 

12.9 ... Polar Maritime

12.8 ... Lake District Blizzard

12.7 ... Hot Wet Windy Cold No Snow

12.6 ... trickster

12.5 ... Cloudwatcher

12.4 ... IanR

12.3 ...

12.2 ... Congleton Heat

12.1 ...

12.0 ...

 

11.9 ...

11.8 ... Robbie Garrett ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... means for 1972, 1916, 1909

11.7 ...

11.6 ...

11.5 ... ... ... ... ... 1675 (coldest June)

 

7.3 ... 9th (1816) and 19th (1795) coldest daily means

________________________________________________________

 

As of 0130h on 1st June, 74 entries, and the median at 14.5 C.

 

later entries to be edited in as long as possible. check June thread for later entries than time indicated here: 0130h 1st June.

Edited by Roger J Smith
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Results now in,

 

As mentioned earlier the monthly 1-2-2 was hillbilly, mikeocarroll and March Blizzard

 

The latest Overall standings are seabreeze86, March Blizzard, Weather-history

 

However the big news is that the spring seasonal comp is now over and he final 1-2-3 was

1. 22nov10blast

2. The PIT

3. hillbilly

 

Well done to all the winners

 

Full details below.

 

Posted Image2012-2013 CET Base Data B.xls

Posted ImageMay 2013 CET.xls

 

Mays results from other thread.

 

 
PDF version of May's results not previously published .
Edited by Jackone

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Wow, second overall, I'll enjoy it while it lasts! Shocked to see i have the lowest average error, too. Perhaps i should bet more...

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Now that the figure has been confirmed this months results are in.

 

Well Done to DAVID SNOW and geoffw for getting it spot on.

 

In the seasonal comp, monhtly winners DAVID SNOW and geoffw are 1-2 with summer blizzard in 3rd.

 

OVerall the 1-2-3 is March Blizzard, 22nov10blast and seabreeze86

 

This time the figures have been published in the usual format.

 

XLS Posted ImageJune 2013 CET.xls

 

PDF Posted ImageJune 2013 CET.pdf

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CET averages and extremes

 

25.2 ... 29th, 1948, warmest daily mean

 

20.1 ... Backtrack*

20.0 ... Craig Evans

 

19.9 ...

19.8 ...

19.7 ... Robbie Garrett ... ... ... 2006 (warmest July and month)

19.6 ...

19.5 ... ... ... ... 1983 (2nd warmest July)

19.4 ..

19.3 ...

19.2 ...

19.1 ...

19.0 ...

 

18.9 ...

18.8 ... ... ... ... 1783 (3rd warmest July)

18.7 ... ... ... ... 1852 and 1976 (tied, 4th warmest July)

18.6 ...

18.5 ...

18.4 ... Roger J Smith

18.3 ... AWD

18.2 ...

18.1 ... Atlantic Flamethrower, i.hate.the.rain

18.0 ... Polar Gael, AderynCoch

 

17.9 ... March Blizzard

17.8 ... BornFromTheVoid

17.7 ... Duncan McAlister, Alex

17.6 ... virtualsphere, Summer Sun, Great Plum, davehsug

17.5 ... Harve, Norrance

17.4 ... sundog, Don

17.3 ... hillbilly, Stationary Front, Phil nw

17.2 ... jonboy, easy-oasy, Paul T

17.1 ... mulzy

17.0 ... Staffordshire, Mark Bayley, weather-history, Midlands Ice Age

 

16.9 ... A Boy Named Sue, coram

16.8 ... Milhouse, No-1-as-a-clue, damianslaw, DR Hosking, Jackone, godber

16.7 ... nn2013, reef, summer blizzard, Gael_Force, nbj2013*  ... ---- average for 1981-2010 ----

16.6 ... Kentish Man, TonyH

16.5 ... The PIT, AVFC, stewfox, Jack Wales

... ... ... ... ... ... ...  ---- average for 1971-2000 and average for 2001-2012 ----

16.4 ... DeepSnow, DAVID SNOW

16.3 ... Stargazer, Ferryhill Weather

16.2 ... Diagonal Red Line

16.1 ... Summer of 95, Aphelion369* Seabreeze86*

... ... ... ... ... ... ---- average for 1961-1990, also for 1901-2000 and 1701-1800 ----

16.0 ... BARRY, DR(S)NO  ... ---- average for all years 1659-2012 ----

 

15.9 ... masheeuk, geoffw

15.8 ... cloudwatcher ... ---- average for 1801-1900 ----

15.7 ... Congleton Heat, SomeLikeItHot

15.6 ... SteveB

15.5 ... IanR ...  ---- 2012 mean ----

15.4 ... ...  ---- average for 1659-1700 ----

15.3 ...

15.2 ...

15.1 ...

15.0 ...

 

14.9 ...

14.8 ... Polar Maritime

14.7 ...

14.6 ...

14.5 ... 22nov10blast

14.4 ...

14.3 ...

14.2 ...

14.1 ...

14.0 ... ... ... ... 1965 (coldest since 1922)

 

13.9 ...

13.8 ...

13.7 ... Terminal Moraine (also 1922)

13.6 ... ... ... ... 1879 (4th coldest July)

13.5 ... ... ... ... 1695,1802 (tied 2nd coldest July)

13.4 ... ... ... ... 1816 (coldest July)

 

8.7 ... 20th (1836) coldest daily mean

___________________________________________

 

* late (one day)

 

71 entries, the median (36th value) is 16.8 C ... almost half the field are clustered (hopefully a longer word applies) between 16.3 and 17.3 ... six could astonish (me at any rate) from the far reaches ... liking the fact that I am renting 18.4 to 19.0, now that's cost-efficient.

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Table of entries, August CET (averages and extremes)

24.9 ... warmest August day (1st, 1995)

 

20.0 ... Craig Evans
19.9 ...

~~~
19.2 ... Robbie Garrett ... ... ... ... ... warmest August, 1995

19.1 ...

19.0 ... Polar Gael

18.9 ... ... ... ... ... ... second warmest August, 1997

18.8 ...
18.7 ... ... ... ... ... ... third warmest August, 1975

18.6 ... ... ... ... ... ... fourth warmest August, 1947
18.5 ...

18.4 ...

18.3 ... ... ... ... ... ... fifth warmest Augusts (tied 1747 and 2003)

18.2 ... robthefool ... ... ... ... ... seventh warmest August, 1911

18.1 ... AWD, stewfox ... ... ... ... ... eighth warmest August, 1955

18.0 ... Roger J Smith, Sainsbo ... ... ... ... ... ninth warmest August, 1990

 

17.9 ... 95 degrees

17.8 ... Summer Sun, The PIT

17.7 ... Blue_Skies_do_I_see, geoffw, Harve

17.6 ... summer blizzard, hillbilly

17.5 ... LincolnSnowstorm, easy-oasy

17.4 ... Weather-history, Norrance, Stationary Front,

17.3 ... SteveB, Static Prevails, AVFC, damianslaw

17.2 ... Miguel Hugo Roberto, March Blizzard, coram, Aderyn Coch,

17.1 ... sundog, A Boy Named Sue, Midlands Ice Age, no-1-as-a-clue

17.0 ... nn2013, Ferryhill Weather, seabreeze86, Don,

 

16.9 ... virtualsphere, Milhouse, mulzy, Thundery winter showers, Aphelion369, , DAVID SNOW

16.8 ... reef, Mark Bayley, Terminal Moraine, A Winter's Tale, godber, DR Hosking, Duncan McAlister

16.7 ... Alex

16.6 ... CongletonHeat, DeepSnow, Stargazer, BornFromTheVoid ... ... ... ... ... --- 2012 mean ---

16.5 ... masheeuk, IanR, Jackone ... ... ... ... ... --- average of 2001-2012 ---
16.4 ... Atlantic Flamethrower ... ... ... ... ... --- average of 1981-2010 ---
16.3 ... Bobd29, 22nov10blast, philnw

16.2 ... BARRY, Kentish Man ... ... ... ... ... --- average of 1971-2000 ---
16.1 ... davehsug

16.0 ... DR(S)NO, Isolated Frost, TonyH

 

15.9 ... Gael_Force
15.8 ... SomeLikeItHot  ... ... ... ... ... --- average of 1961-1990, and 1701-1800, and 1901-2000 ---
15.7 ...

15.6 ... ... ... ... ... ... --- average of 1659-2012 ---
15.5 ... Paul T

15.4 ... ... ... ... ... ... --- average of 1801-1900 ---
15.3 ...

15.2 ...

15.1 ... ... ... ... ... ... --- average of 1659-1700 ---
15.0
...

14.9 ...

14.8 ... wimblettben

~~

 

13.7 ... coldest August since 1956 (1986)
13.5 ... coldest August since 1912 (1956)
13.0 ... second coldest Augusts (tie) (1694,95)
12.9 ... coldest August, 1912

9.5 ... coldest day to 16th (16th, 1888) ... earliest sub-10 value in August

8.8 ... coldest August day (26th, 1864) ... although it was 7.1 C on 1 Sept of 1816

_____________________________________________________

 

73 entries so far, median 17.1 C

watch for updates later today

Edited by Roger J Smith
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Scores for July from the other thread.

 

 

This month's winner AWD who got it spot on.

Roger J Smith was 0.1c out and his victory bid scuppered by the big downwards correction.

 

AtlanticFlamethrower and ihatetherain were both 0.2c out.

 

Less new players meant processing this month was a bit better than expcted, so the results also a bit earlier than expected.

 

Posted ImageJuly 2013 CET.xls

 

Posted ImageJuly 2013 CET.pdf

 

In the seasonal comp, a complete change at the top with the new 1-2-3 March Blizzard, coram and Harve

 

Overall, the seasonal form of March Blizzard, gives 1st place, Mulzy up to 2nd with Weather History in 3rd.

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