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Posted
  • Location: Dunoon, Argyll, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Sun and Snow
  • Location: Dunoon, Argyll, Scotland

    Yes certainly looking windy for all of the UK and Ireland this weekend.

     

    Saturday morning windy across the west 30 to 38mph and showers being widespread. During the afternoon the wind eases slightly in the west but now the entire UK and Ireland experience 28 to 32mph with showers pushing in from the West. Overnight into early Sunday morning the wind eases down to 22mph over England, Wales and Ireland but the low moves in over Scotland bringing 40mph winds and gusts of 50mph. It will dry up for most but some heavy rain will be over Scotland when the low and strong winds move in. For the rest of Sunday only the far North of Scotland remains windy with 35mph but rest see 15 to 22mph and the sun comes out for England, Wales and Ireland.

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    Posted
  • Location: Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Wind, Sunny, Warm, Thunderstorms, Snow
  • Location: Devon
    Posted Image

     

    Has anyone seen this chart from GFS weather charts from T360 (I think) for sea level pressure, it kind of vears towards iceland after looking like it was coming in our direction (grrr they always pinch the lows!)  That's a pretty impressive low though even for a novice like me to notice, maybe this is somethign for us to keep an eye on potentially....

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Dunoon, Argyll, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Sun and Snow
  • Location: Dunoon, Argyll, Scotland

    Perhaps although it is in deep FI and has disappeared on the 12z run as you would expect. With the hurricane season still going expect more strong lows appearing in FI every so often and who knows they might come true.

    Edited by weathermaster
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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Surprised nobodies mentioned Sunday and Monday. GFS is still strengthening the low pressure area and it's beginning to look at lot more interesting or scary for more areas of Northern and Eastern UK. Update just seen the 06oz and it's a massive downgrade. Still time for changes though. So on the 06oz looking limited to North Eastern Scotland.

     

     

    post-2404-0-56566200-1378980833_thumb.pn

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    Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)

    Have done a blog re Sunday/Monday's storm - based on the 00z model runs:

     

    http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=news;storyid=5411;sess=

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Have done a blog re Sunday/Monday's storm - based on the 00z model runs:

     

    http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=news;storyid=5411;sess=

    Interesting read. Now it's a question of watching the updates.

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Warnings out for the low on Sunday and Monday covering Scotland, parts of Northern Ireland and Northumberland.

     

    All other parts of the UK are not under a warning currently

     

    Issued at:
    1044 on Thu 12 Sep 2013

     

    Valid from:
    1500 on Sun 15 Sep 2013

     

    Valid to:
    2359 on Mon 16 Sep 2013

     

    A spell of gale force westerly winds is expected later Sunday and through Monday across much of Scotland and perhaps the north of Northern Ireland. The public should be aware of the potential for some minor disruption to travel.

     

    Chief Forecaster's assessment

     

    A deep area of low pressure is expected to develop in the Atlantic on Sunday, tracking eastwards to be centred to the north of Scotland on Monday. This will bring some heavy rain on Sunday followed by squally showers on Monday. A swathe of very strong westerly winds is expected to develop later on Sunday and probably peak on Monday morning. Gusts of 50-60mph are likely, with the potential for 70mph across exposed coasts and hills, and a low risk briefly through the Central Lowlands of Scotland. As is usual in this situation there is some uncertainty over the track and intensity of the depression, and this alert may be updated over the coming days.

     

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1379199600&regionName=uk

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Ahh that's ruined it. Weather warning means max gust 10mph.

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    Posted
  • Location: Dunoon, Argyll, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Sun and Snow
  • Location: Dunoon, Argyll, Scotland

    At the moment its still over 96 hours away so some changes will happen but the models in the last day have gained confidence on the area's that will be hit the worse which looks to be Northern and Eastern Scotland. The 06z GFS has average wind speeds of 55 to 60mph in these parts especially for Orkney and Shetland the far Northern Isles and the gust charts show 68 to 78mph gusts for these areas as well.

     

    Wind

     

    post-6686-0-65213000-1378988711_thumb.pn

     

    Gusts

     

    post-6686-0-82657400-1378988723_thumb.pn

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    Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: RACY, Extratropical Storm, Barocyclonic Leaf
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District

    Some big swells due to come in off the North Atlantic with the usual places (western & northern Scotland) expected to see some significant waves rolling in.

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    Posted
  • Location: Pershore
  • Location: Pershore

    Jo's put together a video about the 'Hoolie' this weekend

    http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=news;storyid=5408;sess=

     

    And Nick has also made a blog with details on our first proper storm of the season

    http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=news;storyid=5411;sess=

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Well another run of downgrades in the 12oz. Still time to for this to be reversed but normally the downgrades continue.

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    Posted
  • Location: Swindon/Reading
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Swindon/Reading

    Gonna be a little windy, by the looks of it.

     

    Posted Image

     

    Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    New warning today the bulk of England remains warning free

     

    Issued at:
    1113 on Fri 13 Sep 2013

     

    Valid from:
    1500 on Sun 15 Sep 2013

     

    Valid to:
    2359 on Mon 16 Sep 2013

     

    A spell of gale force westerly winds is expected later Sunday and through Monday across much of Scotland, the north of Northern Ireland, and then perhaps parts of northwest England and North Wales. The public should be aware of the potential for some minor disruption to travel. This is an update to the Alert issued on Thursday to include parts of northwest England and North Wales.

     

    Chief Forecaster's assessment

     

    A deep area of low pressure is expected to develop in the Atlantic on Sunday, tracking eastwards to be centred to the north of Scotland on Monday. This will bring some heavy rain on Sunday followed by squally showers on Monday. A swathe of strong westerly winds is expected to develop later on Sunday, with the first peak in wind speed across Scotland on Sunday afternoon/evening. This may be followed by a lull inland overnight before renewed strength develops on Monday, by which time gusty winds may extend through the Irish Sea into coastal parts of northwest England and North Wales. Gusts of 50-60mph are likely, with the potential for 70mph across exposed Scottish coasts and hills, and a low risk briefly through the Central Lowlands of Scotland. However, some sheltered locations within the yellow area will miss the worst of the winds. As is usual in this situation there is some uncertainty over the track and intensity of the depression, and this alert may be updated over the coming days.

     

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&regionName=uk&fcTime=1379199600

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    Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks

    I can't wait.

     

    not heard of him before but a well presented and well explained video.

    the above refers to the video Coast put up!

    Edited by johnholmes
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    Posted
  • Location: Isle of lewis
  • Location: Isle of lewis

    We are ready to get battered up here. This is what we have had in previous winters highest wind speeds.

     

    Highest wind speeds in the last few winters in the western Isles 

    113.0 mph 12/13 Ness and 78 mph in Stornoway and 84 mph South Uist
    100.9 mph 11/12 Ness
    103.6 mph 10/11 Ness 
    78.8 mph 09/10 Ness 
    105.9 mph 08/09 Ness 
    94.4 mph 07/08 Ness 

    134 mph North Rona, 116 mph Carloway, 106 mph Barra, 103 mph Benbecula and 101 mph Stornoway from 04/05

    To note only Stornoway and South Uist readings are official from Met office stations and North Rona is not accepted as a lowland reading.

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    Posted
  • Location: Dunoon, Argyll, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Sun and Snow
  • Location: Dunoon, Argyll, Scotland

    Update using the 12z

     

    Saturday night and the early hours of Sunday morning,

     

    The low deepens to the SE of Iceland and very strong winds move across Western Scotland,

     

    post-6686-0-40138300-1379106270_thumb.pn

     

    Gusts over 60mph,

     

    post-6686-0-89158200-1379106287_thumb.pn

     

    By Sunday afternoon the low continues to deepen near Iceland the wind speeds up there are very high for this time of year 60mph with gusts over 80mph, for Northern parts of the UK 50mph gusts 65mph.

     

    post-6686-0-25087600-1379106422_thumb.pn

     

    During Sunday night into early Monday the low slowly weakens and moves South which brings very strong North Westerly winds to Northern parts of the UK 45mph gusts 60mph.

     

     post-6686-0-75607500-1379106684_thumb.pn

     

    Things get very windy for the North West during Monday afternoon 50mph,

     

    post-6686-0-23783300-1379106787_thumb.pn

     

    Gusts of 70mph or more likely during that time as well,

     

    post-6686-0-89774100-1379106821_thumb.pn

    Edited by weathermaster
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    Guest William Grimsley

    I can't wait for tomorrow's storm. There should be gusts of at least 30 mph, maybe 40 mph from the SW tomorrow, here. Posted Image

    Edited by William Grimsley
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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    We should hit fifty here during Sunday and then a very slow moderating of the winds after that. Something of interest at least.

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    Guest William Grimsley

    We should hit fifty here during Sunday and then a very slow moderating of the winds after that. Something of interest at least.

    Easily for you it might be one hell of a struggle to hit that though, here.

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    Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks

    What has interested me is the changing positions of where the centre has been predicted, by all the models, UK Met and their Fax charts just the same. Their 12z Monday position was initially north of the Faroes, then on one output it was over Kirkwall (Orkney), now they show it just south east of the Faroes.

     

    I suspect the problem has been which model output of the jetstream position do they believe. I think that in fact the jet has not really moved all that much from its original position. The origin of the surface low does appear to have shifted from just WSW of Iceland to just off southern Greenland, where the jet was originally predicted to be?

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

    Looks like quite a blow the further North you are:

     

    Posted Image

     

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    Posted Image

     

    Posted Image

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