The Midlands Regional Winter Discussion

[A.J]

Ok, a nice, clean & polished thread for you all, so carry on here

old thread can be found here --------->

[Gord]

Wow, just posted at the final second in the last thread before it was locked!

Anyway, all I was saying was something about frost and fog and rain and model runs and forecasts and being patient... blah blah blah

You get the picture!

[A.J]

Sorry for cutting you off in mid flow!....I didn't see you typing away!......cut & paste it across if you want

[Gord]

That's alright...not a problem!

I think my last post summed it up better anyway.

Particularly the blah blah blah bit, a good response to recent model output I feel!

Edited December 18, 2012 by Gord

[Costa Del Fal]

Cool and Misty tonight but high cloud preventing fog and colder temperatures. Very wet over the next few days. Dont mind cloudy, unsettled conditions over Christmas. Makes it more homely inside and more excuse for a hot drink and a mince pie as the Christmas lights twinkle away and more excuse to whack on a film.

[Gord]

Cool and Misty tonight but high cloud preventing fog and colder temperatures. Very wet over the next few days. Dont mind cloudy, unsettled conditions over Christmas. Makes it more homely inside and more excuse for a hot drink and a mince pie as the Christmas lights twinkle away and more excuse to whack on a film.

Completely agree, but last year's weather also meant that we could add a walk over Clent Hills to that list!

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Cool and Misty tonight but high cloud preventing fog and colder temperatures. Very wet over the next few days. Dont mind cloudy, unsettled conditions over Christmas. Makes it more homely inside and more excuse for a hot drink and a mince pie as the Christmas lights twinkle away and more excuse to whack on a film.

Hope not wet, wanna see things improve, tomorrow looks dryish, maybe damp later, thursday torrential rain all day, friday looks dryish

then 12Z gfs suggests cold Xmas eve and Xmas day with temps of 1C

[A.J]

Cool and Misty tonight but high cloud preventing fog and colder temperatures. Very wet over the next few days. Dont mind cloudy, unsettled conditions over Christmas. Makes it more homely inside and more excuse for a hot drink and a mince pie as the Christmas lights twinkle away and more excuse to whack on a film.

don't forget to add tucking into gargantuous quantities of food and drinking enough booze to sink a battleship...When that occurs, who gives a stuff what's happening outside...lol

[mackerel sky]

Who keeps playing with the gridding on the precipitation charts? I liked the pixelated version.

Minimum curvature gridding please!

[conor123]

So Saturday's gone from being a 12c washout to a 3/4c washout over recent runs, lets hope this southerly trend continues, you just know it won't though.

[Snowy Easterlies]

the GFS 12z gave most temps of 1c on xmas eve and xmas day, now the 18z gives us an ugly mild fest with them days being 11c, am i surprised ? not in the slightest, i bet it dosen't even rain it will just be a typical partly cloudy mild xmas day

meh

Edited December 18, 2012 by Snowy Easterlies

[conor123]

Surprise surprise charts now backed off the southerly trend of the weekends low completely, urgh that's December to the bin then.

[Gord]

Deary me, every night i come home hoping to see things looking up. Granted there's hints here and there of something decent happening...but the overall picture remains grim.

However, I'll keep looking...and waiting...and hoping.

I mean it's only the 19th December...still a lot of waiting time left!

Edited December 19, 2012 by Gord

[TonyH]

Sure to be more flooding across the Midlands today, coventry just had its wettest Dec day for 10 years with 20mm. See the bablake school site

[TonyH]

Here;

http://bws.users.netlink.co.uk/

[cyclonic happiness]

Sure to be more flooding across the Midlands today, coventry just had its wettest Dec day for 10 years with 20mm. See the bablake school site

Had to ride through 3 floods to get back from Nuneaton to Bedworth, Astley pool had actually broken it's banks and flooded the road, the last time it did that was in 2007's 'summer'.

It's getting really serious here now with a great amount of flooding of countryside and less than a month since the last floods too :-(

Stay safe out there folks!

[I remember Atlantic 252]

I expect stafford town centre to flood on Xmas eve, not bad yet, although reports of flooding in Stone, this autumn to continue for a bit yet,

[Costa Del Fal]

I expect stafford town centre to flood on Xmas eve, not bad yet, although reports of flooding in Stone, this autumn to continue for a bit yet,

Its NOT Autumn.

[Terminal Moraine]

23.3 mm of rain here yesterday brings the two day total to 51.5 mm , very much in line with the total forecast by the NMM model.

I have a lot of faith in that model with regard to projected rainfall totals, it's proved to be accurate, to within a few mm, time and again.

Edited December 21, 2012 by Terminal Moraine

[Barbmac]

A welcome dry slot for today, feels quite mild at 5^oC, have a safe festive season everyone.

[azores92]

Its NOT Autumn.

think he means autumnal weather

[picog]

Doesn't seem as wet as originally forecast — hopefully, not famous last words!

[Gord]

Very mild air just lurking to our south-west now...high dew points with them hence the mist and fog that's formed recently here.

Wonder if anywhere can squeeze a 15c this afternoon. If it's going to be this mild, it might as well really go for it!

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Yeah, autumn like weather all year round, today and tomorrow likely to be warmer than child of nadine, 24th-25th Sep, and Whit holiday 3-5th June

12C with wind and rain is autumn, had it in june, sept, now Dec

[Gord]

Welcome to the eastern end of the Atlantic Ocean!