South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion ~ November 24th 2012>

[john pike]

http://www.xcweather...GB/observations

checking this the low has taken a north east shift

agree with boar but these things have a mind of their own

Edited November 25, 2012 by john pike

[Ice Day]

I would say anything between the 90% and bottom 30% lines on the chart within the SE areas are the 70mph risk areas before 9am (North Kent, Essex, E Anglia) Outside of that area, go for 50-60mph. Just a rule of thumb, since this thing seems to be associated with the occluded front (which is why I am using the RH chart)

Please don't take my word for it, though; keep an eye on what the MetO says.

Cheers BW. So it's time to batten down the hatches and expect a broken night's sleep!

[VillagePlank]

http://www.xcweather...GB/observations

checking this the low has taken a north east shift

agree with boar but these things have a mind of their own

I don't think it's the low, per se, rather the positioning of the occluded front embedded on it's southern flank that will determine, ultimately, who gets what. Unusually, as well, it might well be the case that severe winds will occur with no rain and clear(ing) skies!!!

Edited November 25, 2012 by Boar Wrinklestorm

[john pike]

thats what im working with boar

the more north east this moves the more likely areas futher east will be effected

[Mark Neal.]

Christ almighty! Just about to go asleep and the rain is hammering down again after easing in last hour. Looking at radar seems the system is going to head through here with heavy pulses. Wind gusts also starting to pick up, not pretty! But nothing on what poor folk are dealing with in SW; horrendous there!

[Lauren]

Sheesh. Getting much windier now. Hope yhe huge tree that towers over our house stays up!t

As much as I enjoy the extremes, I pray everyone is safe tonight

[Keraunic]

You've got a very novel approach to things Keraunophile.

Ooh! You wouldn't believe the half of it, matey.

[john pike]

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

http://www.sat24.com/en/eu

hard to tell what thats doing at present

is it me or has it slowed down

[gottolovethisweather]

Oh dear god or somesuch.

There appears to be a well defined eye on the radar.

And furthermore, I'm in the middle of it and my head is spinning (probably the whisky/ey liquer though).

Edited November 25, 2012 by gottolovethisweather

[afcone]

30 minutes ago I started reading this thread wondering how it could be so quiet outside, but the noise of the wind is really starting to pick up now...

Oh dear god or somesuch.

There appears to be a well defined eye on the radar.

Am I right in thinking the winds will be at their maximum to the south of that?

[Mark Neal.]

Interesting to just read that Brize has 3mph in Heavy Rain and its now got upto 11c. A few miles south and winds really picking up. This weather front is showing a case of big variances in reasonably short spaces. Anyway, GTLTW that radar image shows me under the dark orange/red and it is tipping it down would be an understatement.

[gottolovethisweather]

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

http://www.sat24.com/en/eu

hard to tell what thats doing at present

is it me or has it slowed down

Yes and the southern section has a similar shape to it to Thursday's hook like development IMO.

At the same time peeps, let's have a level headed view from our far safer surroundings, than those elsewhere.

What do you reckon of my post here, good idea?

http://forum.netweat...60#entry2414327

I may well be getting caught up in the hype but sometimes I feel so frustated by all these recurring events and statistics.

Edited November 25, 2012 by gottolovethisweather

[Jason T]

Oh dear god or somesuch.

There appears to be a well defined eye on the radar.

And furthermore, I'm in the middle of it and my head is spinning (probably the whisky/ey liquer).

Here we go, 1987..Hopefully not as severe,But the way these lp's been crashing through,No one or any pc can predict the true outcome. Options open for me.

[gottolovethisweather]

30 minutes ago I started reading this thread wondering how it could be so quiet outside, but the noise of the wind is really starting to pick up now...

Am I right in thinking the winds will be at their maximum to the south of that?

pass.

[Alpine glow]

Here in Brighton, the winds are sustained now and I hear bins going over. It suddenly picked up quite wildly

[Snowangel-MK]

Where's MK when you need her?

I'm here now....what was it you needed me for exactly ?

[gottolovethisweather]

Here we go, 1987..Hopefully not as severe,But the way these lp's been crashing through,No one or any pc can predict the true outcome. Options open for me.

Jason.................................. please don't.

I think we'll get away with things for now but you just wait for the snow, channel low anyone?

I'm here now....what was it you needed me for exactly ?

Just being here is enough for now, MK.

I think I should be heading to bed, now that you have arrived from your partying the night away.

Edited November 25, 2012 by gottolovethisweather

[snow raven]

Blimey, not often you get me up past Midnight discussing the weather, but the winds have woke me up!

[john pike]

hi gtltw

we need a good dollop of snow next weekend

that will calm you down

ensembles to view when drunk

[Snow and storms]

Went out for a drive, when I left it was quite windy, 30mins later i arrive back home and it gone from quite windy to very wild. Maybe gusting 60mph now, strongest wind I have seen for a long time here and still lots more fuel to go in the fire.

[Alpine glow]

Went out for a drive, when I left it was quite windy, 30mins later i arrive back home and it gone from quite windy to very wild. Maybe gusting 60mph now, strongest wind I have seen for a long time here and still lots more fuel to go in the fire.

That's what I was going to ask, are we at the peak here on the south coast or do we have worse to come?

[Ice Day]

Winds really starting to whip up here now. Do we know if the low's still deepening?

[Snow and storms]

It will peak for you and me between about 2:30-3:30am I would say things are slightly stronger than predicted at the moment, but not to far above. I think we will see some places reporting 85mph on south east coast.

I have not heard the wind whistle round this house until now.

It will be deepening all the way out into the north sea, but the strongest winds will end up... in the sea of the east coast maybe 90mph out there?

Edited November 25, 2012 by Snow and storms

[fUnKy]

How's the north bucks area? Worried for my dad's fence, as was looking a bit shakey last storm. My mum and dad are in Abu Dhabi staying with my brother and when I spoke to my bro this evening he was complaining saying he'd had a few drops of rain. Had to laugh!

[Alpine glow]

It will peak for you and me between about 2:30-3:30am I would say things are slightly stronger than predicted at the moment, but not to far above. I think we will see some places reporting 85mph on south east coast.

I have not heard the wind whistle round this house until now.

It makes me wish I had double glazing! Tonight is the first night in a long time that I have felt this unsure about the weather. It has a kind of unpredictable feel to it. It's certainly not letting up now!