Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

Uk Convective General Discussion & Forecasts, 16th August 2012>

Coast

By Coast
in Storms & Severe Weather

 Share

Recommended Posts

Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted (edited)

Chief Forecaster at the Met Office states there is scope for 25mm rainfall in an hour locally with some places looking at 50-75mm within the period.

Not good at all.

Can't see it up here based on the latest modelling? NAE and GFS both agree any precipitation will be negligible away from Wales/SW England, both having downgraded precipitation rates overnight.....even in the aforementioned areas.

Put it this way, I've never ever seen both the GFS and the NAE both out by 45-70mm at this range!

Edited by CreweCold
Link to comment
Share on other sites
toggerob Veteran

toggerob

Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
Posted

I'm pretty glad I decided to skip today doing the Gritstone Way again, given the forecast yesterday was ebbing between just being overcast and damp to today's probability of storms embedded within this system. A flimsy tent in high winds and driving rain isn't much fun for anybody.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
andymusic Accomplished

andymusic

Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
Posted (edited)

absolutely throwing it down in biblical/apocalyptic amounts here right now - typical welsh weather

Edited by andymusic
Link to comment
Share on other sites
lilclairey2012 Rookie

lilclairey2012

Posted
  • Location: Hebburn, Tyne and Wear
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, or any other powerful storms
  • Location: Hebburn, Tyne and Wear
Posted (edited)

Hi everyone!

Just wondered if anybody knew if any decent storms were likely to happen in Tyne and Wear?

By looking at the storm thing - i'm assuming there's a high chance. But, i'm new to all of this.unsure.png

I have also looked on the Cape, only it seems like not much is happening in my area according to that.

Just to add: We have had a downpour, almost torrential style - only that has passed now, and it actually looks quite nice out!

Edited by lilclairey2012
Link to comment
Share on other sites
AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted

Can't see it up here based on the latest modelling? NAE and GFS both agree any precipitation will be negligible away from Wales/SW England, both having downgraded precipitation rates overnight.....even in the aforementioned areas.

UKMO High Res charts show some heavy rain for your region.

post-12721-0-67883600-1345203602_thumb.ppost-12721-0-43408700-1345203611_thumb.j

I guess this is what they are basing there warnings upon!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Carl46Wrexham Rising Star

Carl46Wrexham

Posted
  • Location: Wrexham, North East Wales 80m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Wrexham, North East Wales 80m asl
Posted

UKMO High Res charts show some heavy rain for your region.

post-12721-0-67883600-1345203602_thumb.ppost-12721-0-43408700-1345203611_thumb.j

I guess this is what they are basing there warnings upon!

You have a gift for understatement!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted

UKMO High Res charts show some heavy rain for your region.

post-12721-0-67883600-1345203602_thumb.ppost-12721-0-43408700-1345203611_thumb.j

I guess this is what they are basing there warnings upon!

Looks that way.....no idea how accurate they are as I've never seen them before. Where did you find them? Shows the heavy rain in a narrow strip running west of here

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Phantom2 Explorer

Phantom2

Posted
  • Location: Rhoose, South Wales
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: Rhoose, South Wales
Posted

Just had 30 minutes of some of the most intense rain I have ever seen ..jeepers, time to build an ark !

Link to comment
Share on other sites
AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted

Looks that way.....no idea how accurate they are as I've never seen them before. Where did you find them? Shows the heavy rain in a narrow strip running west of here

Got them from Ian Fergusson over on twitter. They are about as High-Res as you can get apparantely.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted

Got them from Ian Fergusson over on twitter. They are about as High-Res as you can get apparantely.

Ahhhh ok....I did wonder as they don't look like something the METO would want freely dished out.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
johnholmes Maestro

johnholmes

Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
Posted

Can't see it up here based on the latest modelling? NAE and GFS both agree any precipitation will be negligible away from Wales/SW England, both having downgraded precipitation rates overnight.....even in the aforementioned areas.

Put it this way, I've never ever seen both the GFS and the NAE both out by 45-70mm at this range!

He may not be including Crewe at the moment but to disregard the top man watching events minute by minute is a rather cavalier attitude perhaps?

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted

He may not be including Crewe at the moment but to disregard the top man watching events minute by minute is a rather cavalier attitude perhaps?

No disregarding John. More of a shock that the GFS and NAE have downgraded totals whilst the Metoffice are suggesting 3 inches. That's significant model divergence......even if the NAE and especially GFS are lower resolution.

This being said, I've always maintained I'd back the Metoffice pros in such situations; despite some of the opinions on here.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
andymusic Accomplished

andymusic

Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
Posted

help!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! - i'm drowning - what a world...... whata world!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted

Some very heavy outbursts here now causing surface water everywhere.

I'm not even in the main firing line either, I hate to think what its like the other side of the river.

post-12721-0-31443600-1345205247_thumb.j

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Carl46Wrexham Rising Star

Carl46Wrexham

Posted
  • Location: Wrexham, North East Wales 80m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Wrexham, North East Wales 80m asl
Posted

help!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! - i'm drowning - what a world...... whata world!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Get a grip! Man up and get yer canoe ready like the rest of us here in Walesblum.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Luke Newbie

Luke

Posted
  • Location: Halesowen, West Midlands
  • Location: Halesowen, West Midlands
Posted

Does anyone else think the worst of it doesn't seem to be where the amber warning is?

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Hodgheg Community Regular

Hodgheg

Posted
  • Location: Near Hull
  • Weather Preferences: Severe storms and heavy snow
  • Location: Near Hull
Posted

help!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! - i'm drowning - what a world...... whata world!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

That does look pretty amazing on radar, dont think ive ever seen such widespread torrential rainfall. Must be the orographic lifting over the hills and mountains, by the time it reaches here itll be just light rain no doubt

Link to comment
Share on other sites
AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted

Chris Fawkes on the BBC one O clock news mentioned Thunderstorms over South West England & Wales this afternoon, then later into the Midlands today???

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Luke Newbie

Luke

Posted
  • Location: Halesowen, West Midlands
  • Location: Halesowen, West Midlands
Posted

Just mentioned heavy rain for Birmingham/Wolverhampton/Walsall area within the next hour on the news.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Andy Bown Accomplished

Andy Bown

Posted
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
Posted

Chris Fawkes on the BBC one O clock news mentioned Thunderstorms over South West England & Wales this afternoon, then later into the Midlands today???

Just wondering if anything thundery will form on the Eastern edge of the main band or even slightly detached from it.

In Warminster we've had several sharp showers along with warm hazy sunshine from time to time and the sky to the SE is quite clear so plenty of heat feeding

into the system from the S/SE. Might be interesting as these showers move NE.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Darren Bown Community Regular

Darren Bown

Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
Posted

The main rainband looks to be weakening?

I agree, unless with the timing at highest

Daily maxima the moisture will be sucked up into the atmosphere as its incredibly humid here.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
 Share
Go to topic listing

  • Latest Weather News

    European State of the Climate 2023 - Widespread flooding and severe heatwaves

    The annual ESOTC is a key evidence report about European climate and past weather. High temperatures, heatwaves, wildfires, torrential rain and flooding, data and insight from 2023, Read more here

    Jo Farrow
    Jo Farrow | 
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    Chilly with an increasing risk of frost

    Once Monday's band of rain fades, the next few days will be drier. However, it will feel cool, even cold, in the breeze or under gloomy skies, with an increasing risk of frost. Read the full update here

    Netweather forecasts
    Netweather forecasts | 
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    Dubai Floods: Another Warning Sign for Desert Regions?

    The flooding in the Middle East desert city of Dubai earlier in the week followed record-breaking rainfall. It doesn't rain very often here like other desert areas, but like the deadly floods in Libya last year showed, these rain events are likely becoming more extreme due to global warming. View the full blog here

    Nick F
    Nick F | 
    Latest weather updates from Netweather 2
×
×
  • Create New...