South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - July 30th 2012>

[john pike]

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_warnings.html?day=2

weather warning for saturday

not effecting us though

[WheresTheSnow]

And as ive seen people say on the model output discussion before, the GFS sometimes underestimates the temps by a few degrees, meaning it could be a bit warmer than those charts show. Im just guessing though. Good times ahead next week MAYBE, and thanks for posting them charts John.

[john pike]

And as ive seen people say on the model output discussion before, the GFS sometimes underestimates the temps by a few degrees, meaning it could be a bit warmer than those charts show. Im just guessing though. Good times ahead next week MAYBE, and thanks for posting them charts John.

i agree

gfs does sometimes undercook the temperature

no problem doing the charts i am glad you find them useful

just my thoughts again

around 16th-17th onwards the jet should weaken giving us a

shot at an easterly,

this would dry things out and give us some nice warm weather

this wont be hot but pleasant,the only downside will be cloudcover

but much rather that than atlantic rubbish

[Keraunic]

Mornin each. Quite a pleasant morning in Ippy. Some cloud cover and blue sky, slight breeze and sun. Hope you're all ready for weekend and hope you all have a good one.

[Steve C]

Afternoon All.

I've just looked at the Hi Res model, to see if it's worth me getting out and about tomorrow morning.

It definitely looks like the north of our region is more favoured for storms tomorrow (although northern England is better still) Hi Res model and GFS charts (both from 6:00 run this morning) for 15:00 hours tomorrow shown

Maybe Sunday and Monday will have better chances for more of us in the SE? Again GFS charts shown for both days.

Edited August 3, 2012 by Steve C

[Guest archiesmummy]

Weather warning for tomorrow seems to cover more areas now, but says Essex although the graphics don't suggest the same?

Just had 5minute honking shower here and now sun is out again!

[Steve C]

Weather warning for tomorrow seems to cover more areas now, but says Essex although the graphics don't suggest the same?

Just had 5minute honking shower here and now sun is out again!

I'm wondering whether the warning area just clips the far northwest of the county, around Saffron Walden?

[Steve C]

Weather warning for tomorrow seems to cover more areas now, but says Essex although the graphics don't suggest the same?

Just had 5minute honking shower here and now sun is out again!

Your shower has just reached my area (near Chelmsford)

[Coast]

Just chucking it down here and no sign of a let up. Looking at the NW video forecast for the week from Michael Fish, it doesn't look like there is much let up for a few days yet either.

[Guest archiesmummy]

I'm wondering whether the warning area just clips the far northwest of the county, around Saffron Walden?

Yeah saw that, think your right, seems the warnings cover Sunday too?

Is it me but have these warnings become a bit cry wolf? Especially with regards showers, if it was persistent heavy rain I would get it, I know is hard to forecast showers specifically, just feels like they are handed out bit willy nilly at the mo?

[Keraunic]

Nothing in Ippy but I see there is lightning north of Norwich. Bet it's all cleared by the time I get back off 6pm train.

[Methuselah]

Nothing here, either! Yesterday was better...

[Kent Snow]

Another pleasant day with long sunny spells. A few very light showers moved through during the afternoon. Max 21C.

[lottiekent]

Another nice day here too, high of 22.3c with only two very light showers. Just worked out our average high temperature this week has been 21.5c! Not bad for a period of bad weather

[Snowangel-MK]

Evening all, I don't suppose you want me to tell you it's in the low 30's here and I've spent the afternoon round the pool drinking cocktails...so I wont

[abruzzi spur]

Evening all, I don't suppose you want me to tell you it's in the low 30's here and I've spent the afternoon round the pool drinking cocktails...so I wont

Funny how Skegness has it's own micro-climate. Enjoy!

[Keraunic]

Evening all, I don't suppose you want me to tell you it's in the low 30's here and I've spent the afternoon round the pool drinking cocktails...so I wont

Oooh hi there Hun. Hope you're enjoying your hols. Weather not too bad here really.

[Jason T]

Oooh hi there Hun. Hope you're enjoying your hols. Weather not too bad here really.

[Keraunic]

LOL.

[Keraunic]

Saw some lovely big towering clouds on way from Ipswich to Norwich whilst on the train......but alas! Ah well, supposed to be some fire in the sky for this region tomorrow. Hmmm, we'll see.

[john pike]

south east looks not too bad tomorrow

there is a chance of the odd shower but nothing too heavy

cloud may be an issue .

the further north of london the higher the shower risk

still think this is the best day for the south east for storms

storms will be slow moving and torrential rain where they hit

cape stays fairly strong even overnight

and holds right through monday

early monday morning shows a storm potential

still a chance of some thundery rain although not as potent as sunday

tuesday dry am some rain pm

wednesday looks dry in the south east

but chance of some rain in east anglia up to lunchtime

wednesday looks dry and fairly warm

thursday looks warm

and dry

friday looks very warm

but low pressure over the south east will be heavy rain

slim cape but still a chance here

long way out

but that would be nice

[john pike]

oy mk

pleeeeeeeeeeease

[Mesoscale]

I bet linconshire gets it tomorrow haha.

[john pike]

these ensembles although quite wet

are looking a lot warmer

one of the ensemble members put the 10th at 33 degrees

safe to say models are getting ready for a change

[Norfolk Sheep]

Morning all Heading back to Norfolkshire today after a pleasant sojourn in the South - I think we were very lucky with the weather, only one sharp shower at the hockey on Tues and a hot day at Greenwich on Mon, the rest of the week has been more dry than wet thankfully. Looks like showers (standard version) for home for the next few days.