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August CET Watch

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summer blizzard Maestro

summer blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted

17.5C and probably the peak for the month.

16.5C-17C looks the likely range from here.

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TonyH Experienced

TonyH

Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
Posted

For once I hope it nudges even lower.

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summer blizzard Maestro

summer blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted

17.5C to the 20th.

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damianslaw Maestro

damianslaw

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted

Based on the outlook, it looks like we have peaked CET wise and the next few days will see a slow decline. Good bet finishing mark mid 16's, so only just above average.

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BornFromTheVoid Maestro

BornFromTheVoid

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
Posted

Today's minimum is 12.0C and maxima were close to 21C, so a drop back to 17.4C is likely tomorrow.

After that, going by the 12z GFS the CET will be around

17.4C to the 23rd (16.7)

17.3C to the 24th (14.8]

17.3C to the 25th (17.3)

17.2C to the 26th (14.8]

17.1C to the 27th (13.9)

17.0C to the 28th (16.2)

17.0C to the 29th (16.5)

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Kentish Man Contributor

Kentish Man

Posted
  • Location: Teston, Kent (3mls SW of Maidstone)
  • Location: Teston, Kent (3mls SW of Maidstone)
Posted

17.3C to the 23rd. The decline is occurring a little faster than in BFTV's calculations based on the GFS above. The CET may well finish on mid 16's or even marginally below that after the usual month end downward adjustment of around 0.2 to 0.3C.

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summer blizzard Maestro

summer blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted

17.2C to the 24th.

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damianslaw Maestro

damianslaw

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted

Good chance that the remaining 7 days of the month will each deliver a 0.1 degree drop, finishing mark probably 16.5 degrees which would mean a summer very much near average, nothing spectacular but masking some very dissapointingly cool conditions at times, and for the north no proper decent warm spell.. a very poor summer temp wise for the northern half of the country.

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summer blizzard Maestro

summer blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted

17.2C to the 25th.

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BornFromTheVoid Maestro

BornFromTheVoid

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
Posted (edited)

17.1C to the 26th

http://www.metoffice...t_mean_est_2012

Yesterday was 15.4C. Minimum today is 11.3C while maxima are in the 19s, so a drop to 17.1C looks likely tomorrow.

After that, the 06z GFS has the CET around

17.1C to the 28th (17.5)

17.1C to the 29th (15.8]

17.0C to the 30th (15.7)

16.9C to the 31st (13.3)

I'd say between 16.5C and 16.8C after corrections.

Edited by BornFromTheVoid
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snowfluff Newbie

snowfluff

Posted
  • Location: Barkingside, Essex
  • Location: Barkingside, Essex
Posted

17.2C to the 26th

http://www.metoffice...t_mean_est_2012

Yesterday was 15.4C. Minimum today is 11.3C while maxima are in the 19s, so a drop to 17.1C looks likely tomorrow.

After that, the 06z GFS has the CET around

17.1C to the 28th (17.5)

17.1C to the 29th (15.8]

17.0C to the 30th (15.7)

16.9C to the 31st (13.3)

I'd say between 16.5C and 16.8C after corrections.

17.1 to the 26th.smile.png

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BornFromTheVoid Maestro

BornFromTheVoid

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
Posted (edited)

17.1 to the 26th.smile.png

Ah, cheers for that, changed it now.

I was basing it off the 17.15 in the link and presumed they'd be rounding it up!

Edited by BornFromTheVoid
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damianslaw Maestro

damianslaw

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted

Thursday and Friday look cool days with some cool nights which should ensure a finishing mark around the 16.5-16.6 degrees is the final outcome.

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Milhouse Seasoned

Milhouse

Posted
  • Location: Keyingham, East Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish plumes, hot and sunny with thunderstorms
  • Location: Keyingham, East Yorkshire
Posted

A finish of 16.5-16.7c isnt too bad i suppose and would break the run of below average summer months. One these days we will get a summer month where the whole country gets to share in the warmth and not just a very warm month in the SE offset by a cool one in the north west leading to a respectable, but fairly unremarkable CET.

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summer blizzard Maestro

summer blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted

17.1C to the 27th.

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Well today is going to make a big dint in the cet figures. Very cold night and low max yesterday.

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BornFromTheVoid Maestro

BornFromTheVoid

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
Posted

Today's minimum is down as 5.5C, coldest since June 10th. Maxima will lprobably be close to 17C.

Likely to be the coolest mean CET day since mid June,

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Optimus Prime Rising Star

Optimus Prime

Posted
  • Location: G.Manchester
  • Location: G.Manchester
Posted

It was provisionally the lowest August minimum since the 28th August 1974 (which recorded 5.1c) and remarkably, the only night to record a sum in single figures (which may be corrected once other data is included)

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reef Veteran

reef

Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
Posted

Its looking like the provisional finishing point will be 16.7C. If today's maxima is lower than 15.2C it'll be 16.6C.

Ironically it could end up being exactly the same as the 1981-2010 average of 16.4C after adjustments.

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