Uk Convective General Discussion & Forecasts, 17th July 2012>

[chionomaniac]

Lots of convective activity here this morning. Looks promising for later.

[Nick F]

I find it interesting that despite there being a decent risk of storms today for the region, there's not many members from the south-east chatting away about MCSs and "imports"...which, by the way, arise via an entirely different setup than today's.

I put it down to a lack of input from 'select' members, whose words are heeded more than others'.

Did I just say that?

I do live in the SE and if you are refering to me, then I am sorry that I can't be on N-W 24/7 to issue forecasts everyday there's a risk in the UK and when wanted. Unfortunately working long-shifts and bringing up a baby don't allow me to be on Netweather all the time. Though I have issued a storm forecast for today earlier ...

I certainly have no bias to just forecasting for the SE of England - many of the best set-ups this year have avoided the SE anyway! 28/06/12 when I issued a Moderate risk for central/Eastern England a case in point.

[tara303]

Well, the sky has gone very dark towards heathrow/windsor/reading way, temp also feels like it's dropped a few degrees, was nice and sunny. still and warm, now cooling and the light is going very'cool' too, and a sudden gust of wind now from nowhere!

Getting the washing in......!!!

and here comes the rain! blustery and a good 6 or 7 degrees lower temp than just 10 minutes ago... could it...?

[Flash Elvis]

Was it the storms over the North Sea giving a distant display?

It could of been, I'm about 10miles off the coast

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Cor, some brill towers sprouting up around me now!

[D-J-V]

Great little storm cell just went over SW9, pea sized hail, heavy rain, potent down downdraught, some IC and CG lightning nice for a lazy Sunday morning!

[cmimrie]

Just heard a rumble of thunder as a sharp shower passed through here.

[Neilsouth]

Loads of showers n storms about today i see , big one near here

[Kent Snow]

Second sharp shower of the morning passing through currently. Some fabulous cloudscapes out there today with good visibility.

[scud]

Distant rumblings heard here

[Cableguy]

Couple of rumbles of thunder here, just in time for going to watch the womens road bike race!

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Interesting looking cluster looming around The Brum, will keep my eye on that closely as it moves East.

[legritter]

more sun than showers here now ,had a distant rumble 15 mins ago probably north of here cells to my far west looking favourable for about 1 pm ish . pressure just gone up a bit .

[Team Jo]

Corking little hail shower!

[Chris.R]

Lovely and sunny here, anything around the northwest at all or is it business as usuall?

[Hurricane Debby]

Wow - having the most spectacular storm here at the moment. Proper lightening and claps of thunder. Love it !!

[gottolovethisweather]

Absolutely no chance here of any sferics. Expecting on and off drizzle for the day ahead (Bradford and storms go together like pasta and custard lol). The NMM shows that there is very little CAPE around West Yorkshire today, although East Yorkshire looks better. Best chances today are across the Midlands (especially East Midlands) and then East Anglia and the SE look good for later on this afternoon.

Can I hold you to that Supacell, there's a good few showers about it seems, one is knocking on my door at RG14, maybe it'll turn thundery. A fair few not far from you again as well, you may even get a surprise rumble, if you haven't already. Looking very electrical in sw london right now.

[nanu]

Wow - having the most spectacular storm here at the moment. Proper lightening and claps of thunder. Love it !!

Yep.. got that on the horizon and heading my way... already hearing multiple rumbles of thunder.

[Flash Elvis]

Wow!! Storm over Southend

[Staffordshire]

Somehow everything has missed me so far! in actualy fact i cant record anything or a heavy nature ppn wise effecting here since June 28th!

[tara303]

Lights flickered once, can't hear thunder though.... (but I do have a stinking cold so my ears are muffled!) lots of convection over towards windsor/reading....

[gottolovethisweather]

I do live in the SE and if you are refering to me, then I am sorry that I can't be on N-W 24/7 to issue forecasts everyday there's a risk in the UK and when wanted. Unfortunately working long-shifts and bringing up a baby don't allow me to be on Netweather all the time. Though I have issued a storm forecast for today earlier ...

I certainly have no bias to just forecasting for the SE of England - many of the best set-ups this year have avoided the SE anyway! 28/06/12 when I issued a Moderate risk for central/Eastern England a case in point.

Nick, like many, I await your posts with much anticipation each day and when you have not issued a forecast, I think it's safe to say, decent convection is not on the cards. With your UK perspective to your forecasts, I soon get an idea as to whether there is likely to be storms IMBY. It is left trouser legging (spell it right spellchecker) down right now in Newbury (yes and thundering) and I hope folk are staying safe, especially at the Olmypic venues.

A very interesting day convection wise for sure.

Cheers

gottolovethisweather

Edited July 29, 2012 by gottolovethisweather

[dave48]

Great thunderstorm just moved through here, pouring rain, lots of fork lightning and loud thunder. Also some good pea sized hail in there.

[chionomaniac]

Think you've missed my point, Nick. What's this about bias? I didn't even imply that. Of course you're not biased.

My point was simply that certain members' posts are valued more than others. Following on from your forecast on the previous page a case in point.

Well, I must admit not having a clue what you are trying to say here.

Of course some members posts are valued more than others in an open forum. That happens in every forum.

And, value can be added by some members posts, not just in the content, but in how they present their content.

[Supacell]

Can I hold you to that Supacell, there's a good few showers about it seems, one is knocking on my door at RG14, maybe it'll turn thundery. A fair few not far from you again as well, you may even get a surprise rumble, if you haven't already. Looking very electrical in sw london right now.

You can indeed . Already the odd sferic in NE Yorkshire (not West Yorkshire) but loads across the southern East Midlands and the SE. Just moderate rain here, but not disappointed as don't expect anything here today.

Could be a few flashes overnight in the NW too if latest NMM is anything to go by (but not as far east as here)