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Summer Here? (Warm Spell Discussion)


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Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, convective precipitation, snow, thunderstorms, "episodic" months.
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire

Well, the models are certainly a lot more "bullish" about extending high pressure northwards this morning, particularly the ECMWF and its ensembles which were previously showing the high rooted to the SW of the British Isles. There are strong hints that after an initial burst of tropical maritime air which may bring relatively cloudy conditions (especially to the north) on Sunday/Monday, a brief polar maritime incursion may be followed by a more extensive build of pressure. This sort of synoptic pattern quite often leads into a few days to a week of dry sunny weather, largely clear skies, and increasing warmth- temperatures start off in the low 20s and then increase into the mid to high 20s as surface heat builds due to insulation and we often pick up some warm stable air off the continent.

Many people might see the above as a "ramp" especially coming from me, as I normally tend to preach caution in these situations. The key period is still a fair way off- about a week away- so there is plenty of scope for the above to be revised downwards into something cooler and cloudier, but I can't deny that for those after a significant spell of warm dry sunny weather with little cloud cover, you can't do much better than the last few frames of the operational ECMWF run, and the ensemble mean looks quite similar.

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Posted
  • Location: Newbury Berkshire
  • Location: Newbury Berkshire

Thanks Ian for sharing your thoughts. Cautiously optimistic is how I feel.

I just want to be able to use my BBQ and to play some golf in pleasant conditions. :D

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Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
  • Weather Preferences: Unseasonably cold weather (at all times of year), wind, and thunderstorms.
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)

High teens, sunny spells and light winds would do me fine.

Totally with you on that, although I do like thunderstorms and torrential downpours too.

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Posted
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but mild south-westeries in winter
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl

Is it possible to discuss the possiblity of summer returning i.e what peoples hopes or expectations are. I dont recall any cold spell discussion during the winter ending up like this, or warm lovers saying how much they hate the cold. It was 100% discussion about the upcoming cold spell.

My hopes and expectations are it will remain cold and cloudy. Get over it. I'm not going anywhere. Edited by Aaron
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Posted
  • Location: Berlin, Germany
  • Weather Preferences: Ample sunshine; Hot weather; Mixed winters with cold and mild spells
  • Location: Berlin, Germany

My hopes and expectations are it will remain cold and cloudy. Get over it. I'm not going anywhere.

I think you'll find that will quickly change if you continue to speak to people like that.

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Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

I would love to take some summer now, whilst extreme weather is fun to a degree it would be nice to see a few settled days/weeks and be able to enjoy the "summer" weather for once, I really need to be out and top up the image cache ready for the winter for my artwork.

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Posted
  • Location: Mid-Somerset
  • Location: Mid-Somerset

Hooray - a lovely warm weekend coming up - and one when I am free as well!! Probably I'll test my tent out (for a late summer jaunt to the Med) and see my other sun and warmth-loving friends!! gathering.gifclap.gifdrinks.gif

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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District. 290 mts a.s.l.
  • Weather Preferences: Anything extreme
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District. 290 mts a.s.l.

I really can't believe that when the first signs of any sort of good weather is starting to show, it gets completely played down & hijacked by those who are constantly seeking cloud and rain... we all have our preferences, but seriously, get a grip! You'll find that the other 95% of the UK would like to enjoy some summer warmth and sunshine without being constantly reminded of the prospect of less daylight (which is hardly noticeable yet).

So please, let us enjoy a bit of summer without whining, and make this post the last off-topic post in the thread, and keep it to the targeted subject? This being SUMMER (heat & warmth)

Rant over.

As one of the small minority who has enjoyed the summer so far it certainly wasn't my intention to hijack anyone's thread.

It's a very lonely furrow to plough when you have weather preferences like mine. Can't talk to family and friends about it because they all like it warm and sunny at this time of year, find yourself nodding and smiling a lot when people you meet complain how wet and cold it's been. So, when you get on the internet and find a few disparate souls on weather forums with similar tastes it's a great temptation to express solidarity and chuck in a few empathetic posts.

Contrary to the beliefs of another poster I do get out quite a bit, in fact I've worked outdoors for over 40 years, 6 or 7 days a week.

Perhaps my love of rain/cold/fog etc gives some people the impression that I'm some twisted Victor Meldrew like character who inhabits a dripping cave furnished with moss and wet leaves but nothing could be further from the truth. In fact I have a real house with chairs and carpets and everything; and it's all dry!

If the weather turns dry, warm and sunny I won't be whining about it, I just won't say much at all as even I expect it happen during summer at some point. I completely understand why people prefer it 'summery' it's just that I find it much more interesting when it's not.

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Posted
  • Location: Cardiff
  • Location: Cardiff

I'm feeling quite optimistic about the possible warmer, sunnier weather coming the end of this week and the end of the month. Maybe I'm just wishful hoping as I can't stand this cloudy, dull, rainy, drizzly, crap weather.

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Frankly bizarre that after 4 months of pouring rain, a miserable spring and a summer you can't do outdoor, healthy activities in without feeling cold, wet and miserable, and the kids too, at the first sign of a warmish day and some people are delighting in wanting more rain and cold. I'm afraid i know who are the weird ones. i love winter in winter and summer in summer. we've been deprived of even a half way decent spring and summer - its not just been poor, it's been appalling, witness the floods , week upon week of rain every single day, heaps of outdoor events cancelled at great cost and upset.

i like to get outdoors and socialise. I can't at the moment without it being a real bother and my house is damp. Those who are wanting yet more rain and cool this year of all years, after what we've had, are very strange, and i can only assume are on the wind up.

Edited by jamesay
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Posted
  • Location: G.Manchester
  • Location: G.Manchester

Those who are wanting yet more rain and cool this year of all years, after what we've had, are very strange, and i can only assume are on the wind up.

So I guess that makes the entire population of Shetland, strange then?

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Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire

As one of the small minority who has enjoyed the summer so far it certainly wasn't my intention to hijack anyone's thread.

It's a very lonely furrow to plough when you have weather preferences like mine. Can't talk to family and friends about it because they all like it warm and sunny at this time of year, find yourself nodding and smiling a lot when people you meet complain how wet and cold it's been. So, when you get on the internet and find a few disparate souls on weather forums with similar tastes it's a great temptation to express solidarity and chuck in a few empathetic posts.

Contrary to the beliefs of another poster I do get out quite a bit, in fact I've worked outdoors for over 40 years, 6 or 7 days a week.

Perhaps my love of rain/cold/fog etc gives some people the impression that I'm some twisted Victor Meldrew like character who inhabits a dripping cave furnished with moss and wet leaves but nothing could be further from the truth. In fact I have a real house with chairs and carpets and everything; and it's all dry!

If the weather turns dry, warm and sunny I won't be whining about it, I just won't say much at all as even I expect it happen during summer at some point. I completely understand why people prefer it 'summery' it's just that I find it much more interesting when it's not.

Sorry TM, my post wasn't aimed directly at you, you're one of the few who do enjoy the variety of the elements who do not actually complain about it.

It was aimed at those who actually complain when the weather is nice!

I'm really looking forward to some heat, and will use it to my advantage by getting outside every minute possible! :D

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Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)

Interesting views in here(have read them all), what i think would be a good idea is that considering this discussion has taken off well but under a slightly wrong title, then the title could be changed mods?

--

I had read something yesterday about just how severe the cool/wet weather has affected nature, months ago nature ugently needed rainfall, now it needs some dry weather, really quite amazing. I like convective weather but front after front of boring rainfall is not any interest to me as such, or 'normal rain' i want blue skies inbetween downpours and storms, i look foward to clear blue skies that lasts a week or two even without convective activity, just want some sunshine and heat so i can go out in the evening and feel warm, but as someone said in this thread that with the heat and how much someone likes it, it does depend on your home, the flat i was in before i moved was hotter then outside during warm/hot spells. I can understand those that want cool weather in summer, as much as those that want mild weather in winter. We have had so much rain here i need some days of sunny dry conditions, not to hot though! although any heatwaves i find interesting and they are weather events to me, and not always bring thunderstorms, in fact i think cool/warm air with hot sunshine is more likely to bring storms under the right conditions, were's we can have an unstable southerly airmass for a few days and not get any storms.

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

So I guess that makes the entire population of Shetland, strange then?

Maybe, OP, maybe. So why did that question conjure-up an image of sheep?help.gif

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I've found that in some recent poor summers, especially those with a dull/wet June, it is normally the late July period that brings the sunny warm weather. Last year and 2008 spring to mind, although I would like it to continue in to August this time, unlike in those years.

Always nice to have any sunny spell running over the weekend for a true summer feel, out in the garden with friends and a few beers. Hopefully we get that because it will be autumn before we know it.

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Posted
  • Location: South Yorkshire
  • Location: South Yorkshire

It was aimed at those who actually complain when the weather is nice!

That'll be me,then! S'ok, I don't mindsmile.png ! But how many times when you're out and about do you hear in the general course of conversation "oh it's raining again/ it's too cold / windy / dull" etc? It's like some folk moan about every weather type going except for unbroken sunshine. Maybe I should think myself lucky that prolonged hot,sunny periods aren't too common,but my pain threshold for anything remotely summery is dangerously low! Did someone just mention autumn?

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Posted
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but mild south-westeries in winter
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl

Sorry TM, my post wasn't aimed directly at you, you're one of the few who do enjoy the variety of the elements who do not actually complain about it.

It was aimed at those who actually complain when the weather is nice!

I'm really looking forward to some heat, and will use it to my advantage by getting outside every minute possible! biggrin.png

You have completely missed the point.. for us, this weather is nice. TM is probably the one who is enjoying this weather the most!

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Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks

if only everyone could post their preferences in the same manner as TM does without trying to wind anyone else up or coming across as confrontational. The man is a model for everyone on Net Weather for his quiet statements of what he prefers and not spouting off like some do when his preference is not occurring.

end of TM promotional-cash please TM no cheques!

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Posted
  • Location: Newton Aycliffe, County Durham
  • Location: Newton Aycliffe, County Durham

It should be snowy and cold from November to March, and hot and sunny from April to October.

This summer has been an outrage, every day I see the same forecast "rain moving in during the afternoon, becoming prolonged and heavy. Cool" I just want to telephone boxing scream.

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Look's like there is some light at the end of the tunnel with the Jet Stream looking likely to move north next week. This should bring more normal summer weather - probably in time for the Olympics. "Around the middle of next week, pressure will build - the Azores high," said BBC weather presenter Cecilia Daly. "This would allow our weather to take on more normal summer characteristics."

_61481042_jetstream_map_464_2.gif

_61481040_jetstream_map_464.gif

But changeable weather can be expected until that point, especially in north-western parts of the UK. The anticipated change would put an end to an intense period that has seen serious flooding in most parts of the UK, with several areas experiencing an entire month's rain in a single day.

"What that means is it's taking those weather systems further north with it, so things should really settle down a little bit more over the south," said Dave Britton of the Met Office. "But [it will be] bringing more in the way of wet conditions to northwest Scotland."

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-18868494

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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District. 290 mts a.s.l.
  • Weather Preferences: Anything extreme
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District. 290 mts a.s.l.

if only everyone could post their preferences in the same manner as TM does without trying to wind anyone else up or coming across as confrontational. The man is a model for everyone on Net Weather for his quiet statements of what he prefers and not spouting off like some do when his preference is not occurring.

end of TM promotional-cash please TM no cheques!

LOL cheers for that John.

I'll leave the cash in a brown envelope, under the park bench by the elm tree next to the ......

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Posted
  • Location: Dronfield, South Yorkshire (S18)
  • Weather Preferences: Storms
  • Location: Dronfield, South Yorkshire (S18)

Oh I do hope this warm and dry spell can hang on into the first few days of August! I'm heading south for a short holiday with some friends! It looks good at the moment - average temps and drier than average conditions currently modelled for the SE for the beginning of August. I'm sure there will be some changes though!

Finally, some promising weather :)

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Posted
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury
  • Weather Preferences: Enjoy the weather, you can't take it with you 😎
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury

Potential for heat and Humidity across the Uk from the weekend onwards for a few days, But, localized or even widespread downpours coming out of this scenario during this period. This really is a messy synoptic situation!

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post-6830-0-74263800-1342553335_thumb.pn

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Posted
  • Location: Keyingham, East Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish plumes, hot and sunny with thunderstorms
  • Location: Keyingham, East Yorkshire

On the BBC news front page i see the article entitled 'Warm weather on the way' is the most read article. This must be the most anticipated long awaited warm spell in history. The way the models are looking i would say that 30c is a distinct possibility early next week. Before that its such a relief to have a weekend of reliable weather. Weekends so far have only seen one day at best that is good for spending time outdoors. However this Saturday and Sunday look equally as good. Rather winds on west facing coasts on Sunday though but it will be a very warm day on eastern coasts.

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