South East England & East Anglia Regional Discussion - July 12th 2012>

[Methuselah]

Aye peeps. It's here all right. Non-stop peesing...

Four days!

[Jason T]

Rain has set in here... Wish it wasn't this early, as it's going to make the conditions tough for my 5-a-side game tonight! (Which if we win will win us the league)

Ahhhh Saint how you,Bit late but good luck..Where you playing WGC Stadium

[tinybill]

looks like it going to get wet here to-night as if we need more rain!!!

[Guest archiesmummy]

4days? Is Sunday not supposed to be fairly decent?

[john pike]

hi archiesmummy

at present i see a dry day for sunday

may change but fingers crossed

[Jason T]

It's heeeeeere. Why is it that the rain always stays on course and arrives where ever you are....but the storms NEVER do?

Storms are quite localised here-K-. Also we are in northerly flow now so its quite cool as Im sure you have noticed,Probably why we had Storms yesterday with the cooler air coming down from the North. Although a nice humid Spanish plume gate crashing would wake up the party. It would be nice to get a decent warm to hot spell 10 days would do We would see some action then.

[k66yla]

I lost all the footage off my cameras SD card of last nights storm but I did do a few mins filming on the mobile which one of my kids edited for me.

https://www.facebook...151221652349505

sorry don't know how to embed it into the message

[Guest archiesmummy]

hi archiesmummy

at present i see a dry day for sunday

may change but fingers crossed

Thanks John...still on for dry weather at the end of the month? Notice how just clinging to dry now rather than warm!

[Guest archiesmummy]

Sure just heard a rumble of thunder here...

[Jason T]

I think once this low has cleared away,We will have a better idea for what's to come, I know some other statements have written off The rest of July and August,But I'm not so sure now. John Pike what are your thoughts...??

[MagicBat]

Hi, I agree its too early to write of summer just yet. August thro to early Sept is a long way off. One thing is certain, a lot more rain tonight is due. Anyone got rainfall reading for tonight so far?

MagicBat

[john pike]

hi jason

i still think the jet will shift around the 21st for around 10 days

this should start increasing the temperature for us in the south east

see the mean rise around the 21st onwards

also a lot less rain spikes so should be high pressure dominated coming

from the south

i still think we could get some very nice storms from the south towards the end of the month

as for august i think we will see the jet hovering from noth of us to south of us

this will mean a few decent days and a thunderstorm

these are my thoughts at present and i would not write august off at all for the south east at present

fax

low is further south again

more heavy rain

midnight more rain but not as heavy as friday

sunshine and thunderstorms again

i still think this looks dry

proper update tomorrow

ridge of high pressure looks dry but weather fronts seem ominously close again

looks dry and maybe warm

[john pike]

cape of interest

not much else in the reliable timeframe

[Mikel Nimbus]

Hi, I agree its too early to write of summer just yet. August thro to early Sept is a long way off. One thing is certain, a lot more rain tonight is due. Anyone got rainfall reading for tonight so far?

MagicBat

9.4mm here so far

Edited July 12, 2012 by Mikel Nimbus

[Mesoscale]

rains nearlly moved through here already

[Guest archiesmummy]

If above doesn't work this really is worth copy and pasting....that's lightening!

OMG

[ZONE 51]

Thanks JP. It is looking like a Thundery 2 days coming up, some active Thunderstorms developing with flash floods, after this rainfall tonight and what we have had through thursday and after the downpours from the days before we could be looking at some serious local floods. High pressure will come eventually, but how long and how hot is the question, it is easy to get a repeat of the very wet weather once again after any spell of dry weather,

this chart indicates a spike of higher 850s, 17th-19th July, at the same time period it also shows hardly any rainfall(bottom of chart) this indicates high pressure ridge with warmer upper air, as seen on the chart below,

18th July

no rainfall in the South

[Snowangel-MK]

at present i see a dry day for sunday

at present I see lots of rain for Friday the 13th.....

Anyone got rainfall reading for tonight so far?

6mm here so far !

[john pike]

hi electric

sorry forgot to mention about 17th to 19th

you are right and hopefully its the start of

a gradual improvment

i can see our weather drastically improving all of a suuden

and remember we are in july (note i said remember)

so when we get an improvement the temperature can rise very quick

all we can hope for is a lot better than we have now

flooding is becoming a huge issue especially for the next 2 days

[ZONE 51]

Something has happened to weather online....

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The server encountered an internal error or misconfiguration and was unable to complete your request.

Please contact the server administrator, webmaster@weatheronline.co.uk and inform them of the time the error occurred, and anything you might have done that may have caused the error.

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Never seen that before, and not had any problems with WO, what happened to O2!!

Edited July 12, 2012 by ElectricSnowStorm

[ZONE 51]

hi electric

sorry forgot to mention about 17th to 19th

you are right and hopefully its the start of

a gradual improvment

i can see our weather drastically improving all of a suuden

and remember we are in july (note i said remember)

so when we get an improvement the temperature can rise very quick

all we can hope for is a lot better than we have now

flooding is becoming a huge issue especially for the next 2 days

Any heatwave would be a shock! i think it will feel hotter as we are used to the cooler weather now, especially late evening! although the sunshine is hot when out of the breeze.

[Eskimo]

What's this little feature doing growing over the south tomorrow?

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=nae&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prec&HH=24&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=nae&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prec&HH=27&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=nae&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prec&HH=30&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=nae&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prec&HH=33&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=nae&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prec&HH=36&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

[ZONE 51]

Developments though Friday lasting long into the night

light winds in general(not including any convective gusts of tornados!)slow moving storms

Edited July 12, 2012 by ElectricSnowStorm

[Eskimo]

Developments though Friday lasting long into the night

Do you know whether this development will be thundery in the evening?

Edited July 12, 2012 by Perfect Storm

[john pike]

hi perfect them charts tally with the low showing over wales on the fax chart

moving across from west to east on saturday night -morning

looks like plenty of rain again (flooding)