Jump to content
Holidays
Local
Radar
Windy?

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Somerset Squall

Tropical Cyclone Kuena

Recommended Posts

An off season tropical cyclone has formed northeast of Madagascar. Convection is.deep over the LLC and some good banding features are developing. Intensity is 35kts. Some strengthening is expected in the short term as shear is low, but this rises to the west, which is where 20S is headed. JTWC expect a peak of 45kts

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

20S has been given the name Kuena, and intensity has risen to 50kts. Kuena has an impressive satellite signature, especially for an off season storm. Shear will soon rise as Kuena passes north of Madagascar, so time is running out for the storm to strengthen.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Shear has really made mince meat of Kuena today. Itensity has fallen to 35kts, and though the LLC is still well defined, it is completely exposed from the shrinking area of convection. If the convection doesn't reform near the LLC then Kuena will be declared a remnant low this afternoon or tonight.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Kuena was declared a remnant low yesterday afternoon. The remnant low is unravelling under continued high shear, and redevelopment is not expected.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

  • Similar Content

    • By Somerset Squall
      A late season tropical storm formed in the early hours in the central-western portion of the Southern Indian Ocean basin, 400 miles south-southwest of Diego Garcia. Fantala has since rapidly strengthened and has winds of 60kts according to JTWC. Further quick strengthening is expected as the storm heads westwards. It is unclear just where Fantala will end up, but Madagascar need to be wary of it, even though the country is not in the immediate firing line.
       

    • By Somerset Squall
      Another tropical cyclone has formed in the South Indian Ocean, in the east of the basin. Uriah formed yesterday, west of Cocos Island, in Australia's area of responsibility, hence it was named by them. Winds are at 45kts according to JTWC. Uriah is forecast to head west-southwest over the coming days and continue to strengthen as shear is low and waters plenty warm. Thereafter, a southward bend in track is predicted as Uriah rounds the western side of the steering ridge. This will force Uriah over cooler waters by day 5, inducing weakening. JTWC are forecasting Uriah to peak at cat 2 hurricane strength.
       
      Uriah will cross 90E and into MeteoFrance's area of responsibility later today. Uriah should not affect land.
    • By Somerset Squall
      After another lull in activity, the next named storm of the season has formed, off the southeast coast of Madagascar. Daya has winds of 35kts. The storm has well developed banding and some moderately deep convection over the LLCC. Due to it's fairly high latitude, Daya is not far from cooler waters, so the window for strengthening is small. JTWC expect a peak of 50kts before Daya slips southeast out of the tropics.
       

       
       
    • By Somerset Squall
      The south indian ocean has awoken from it's slumber with a new tropical storm, named Corentin, located in the central south indian ocean, about 500 miles south of Diego Garcia. Winds are at 35kts. Strengthening is expected, as shear is set to ease, and waters are warm along track. Corentin's peak is expected to be 90kts according to JTWC, before Corentin slips south into cooler water and increased shear with the increasing lattitude. Corentin is not expected to affect land.
       

    • By Somerset Squall
      The first tropcial cyclone of the South Indian Ocean cyclone season 2015-16 has formed about 175 miles south-southwest of Diego Garcia. The system has winds of 35kts according to JTWC, and is characterised by a well defined circulation and good convective banding. Strengthening is expected over the next few days, as outflow remains very good and waters warm in this time. Thereafter, as 03S slips southeast, it'll move over cooler waters and increased shear, inducing weakening.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×