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damianslaw

April Cet

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With less than a week left of March, think it is time to start an April CET thread.

Please post your projections.

I don't have the CET average values for April, would appreciate someone posting these please.

Jackone edit : - The 1981-2010 average is 8.5c

I'll reserve my thoughts until later next week, my projections in recent months have been way off the mark coming well under on many occasion. I will be surprised to see this April ending up a particularly warm one, but thats all I'm saying at this stage.

Last April was exceptional and the odds of a similiar April are very slim indeed.

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I have been continuously low for 7 months running now so i am going to go high to hopefully reverse the trend.

A very mild 9.3c

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Hard to say..

Strengthening -QBO and weakening La Nina point to low GLAMM and a neutral to negative AO.

Stratosphere still below average at 10hpa will likely overide this signal and so a neutral AO is likely, possibly positive for at least the first half of the month.

Mean zonal winds over the pole have recently increased.

I would say that the first half will feature a mix between high pressure over the UK as we have seen and bouts of retrogression westward but never really leaving us fully, the second half at this stage is likely to lead to a much more normal N/S divide (Bartlett High).

Above average but less so than March so 9.5C, 1C above the 1981-2010 average.

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I have been continuously low for 7 months running now so i am going to go high to hopefully reverse the trend.

A very mild 9.3c

When I get around to make my guess, I'll more than likely employ your logic, too...No doubt ushering in the cruellest wintry weather that April has ever known? :help:

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I will go for 9C, like many i keep going way below so will go above average for a change :)

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Fed up with being miles to low so going for 10C bloomin warm

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April should start settled and warm but eventually things should cool down for a while but I think a warm end to April is likely.

So I think April warmth will cancel out any cold spell so I'm going for 8.6C.

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10.1 thanks

Spring starts seem always warmer than what they should be

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Was going to go with 12.3*C, due to the fact the rest of my previous CET guesses like some of the others on here being too low, but will go with 9.4*C instead.

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looks to me like everyone has been fooled into going too high now! Im not making a prediction yet but I reckon it could be on the cool side!

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7.4c a way over due below average April

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A bit more of a mixed bag than March but still above average - I'll say 8.7.

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I'll go for a thoroughly uninteresting 8.5C, please...

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8.1c nothing spectacular! Northern blocking prevalent at times. However possibly warmer by month end.

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