Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

March CET


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: bright & frosty/snowy; summer: hot and sunny.
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland

7.0ºC for me please.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, convective precipitation, snow, thunderstorms, "episodic" months.
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire

6.7C please.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Filton, Bristol (62m ASL 210ft)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold, frosty / Warm but not hot with a steady breeze
  • Location: Filton, Bristol (62m ASL 210ft)

Am I too late?

If not then 6.1 please

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
  • Weather Preferences: 30 Degrees of pure British Celsius
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham

Yikes I'm late! - I'll guess at another mild one, 8.1c

Edited by Froze were the Days
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

Oops, first time I've missed the deadline I think. Oh well, I'll go with 7.0C.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

A reminder of the revised late rules for this year.

Entries on the 1st of the month incur a 10 pt penalty.

Entries on the 2nd of the month incur a 20 pt penalty.

Entries on the 3rd of the month incur a 30 pt penalty.

No later entries are allowed,

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
Posted · Hidden by Roger J Smith, March 6, 2012 - No reason given
Hidden by Roger J Smith, March 6, 2012 - No reason given

Final Table of entries (and data) for March CET

__________________________________

10.0 . Craig Evans, Robbie Garrett

9.9 ...

9.8 ...

9.7 ...

9.6 ...

9.5 ...

9.4 ...

9.3 ...

9.2 ... warmest (1957)

9.1 ... second warmest (1938)

9.0 ...

8.9 ...

8.8 ... Gavin D

8.7 ...

8.6 ...

8.5 ...

8.4 ... third warmest (1997)

8.3 ... fourth warmest (1948 & 90)

8.2 ... warmest of 18th century (1750)

8.1 ... BornFromTheVoid*

8.0 ...

7.9 ...

7.8 ... warmest of 19th century (1822)

7.7 ... Snowstorm1, Optimus Prime,

7.6 ... summer blizzard

7.5 ...

7.4 ... Scorcher, mark4

7.3 ... AtlanticFlamethrower

7.2 ... Tellow

7.1 ... geoffw

7.0 ... Stargazer, the PIT, DR Hosking, Polar Gael, Froze were the Days*

6.9 ... Hedgehog4, Sunlover, Roger J Smith

6.8 ... Alex, Norrance, damianslaw, reef, davehsug

6.7 ... Solar Sausage, Koppite, Fozfoster, Thundery winter showers

6.6 ... Alza 2, Milhouse, Don ....... ------ mean 1981-2010 -----

6.5 ... A Scottish Winter's Tale, TonyH, sundog, Ben_Cambs

6.4 ... ledders69, Steve B, Jackone, DAVID SNOW, stormmad26,

6.3 ... Bluebreezer54, coram, Great Plum, Mark Bayley ... ----- mean 1971-2000 -----

6.2 ... Ferryhill Weather, godber

6.1 ... Styx, Stationary Front, Aceman*

6.0 ... Isolated Frost, Mr_Data, Duncan McAlister, Paul T*

5.9 ... Deep Snow, Jack Wales, AderynCoch

5.8 ... Terminal Moraine

5.7 ... March Blizzard, alex131297, BurwellWeatherWatch ..... ----- mean 1961-90 -----

5.6 ... virtualsphere, Kentish Man

5.5 ... mulzy

5.4 ... Bottesford

5.3 ... stewfox

5.2 ... Aaron, Midlands Ice Age

5.1 ... Goku

5.0 ... Rainbow Snow

4.9 ...

4.8 ...

4.7 ...

4.6 ...

4.5 ... BARRY

4.4 ...

4.3 ...

4.2 ...

4.1 ...

4.0 ...

3.9 ...

3.8 ...

3.7 ...

3.6 ...

3.5 ...

3.4 ...

3.3 ...

3.2 ...

3.1 ...

3.0 ...

2.9 ...

2.8 ... coldest of 20th century (1962 -- ranked 16th coldest all time)

2.7 ...

2.6 ...

2.5 ... 2006 sat around this value as late as 20th then warmed to 4.9

2.4 ...

2.3 ...

2.2 ...

2.1 ...

2.0 ... mean of 1784-86 (talk about climate change)

1.9 ... fourth coldest (1883)

1.8 ... third coldest (1748)

1.7 ...

1.6 ...

1.5 ...

1.4 ...

1.3 ...

1.2 ... second coldest (1785)

1.1 ...

1.0 ... coldest (1674)

________________________________________________________

* entries one day late

Link to comment
Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire

Hadley is 7.0C to the 5th.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

A small fall in the next couple of days before things turn much warmer into the weekend. We could potentially be quite a way above average by mid-month.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Correct me if i am wrong but i believe that the average for mid-month is about 5.5C so a good chance that we will be near 8C to mid-month.

Edited by summer blizzard
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

I have reproduced the table of entries as it's too late to edit out a mistake (two entries were reversed) ...

Final Table of entries (and data) for March CET

__________________________________

10.0 . Craig Evans, Robbie Garrett

9.9 ...

9.8 ...

9.7 ...

9.6 ...

9.5 ...

9.4 ...

9.3 ...

9.2 ... warmest (1957)

9.1 ... second warmest (1938)

9.0 ...

8.9 ...

8.8 ... Gavin D

8.7 ...

8.6 ...

8.5 ...

8.4 ... third warmest (1997)

8.3 ... fourth warmest (1948 & 90)

8.2 ... warmest of 18th century (1750)

8.1 ... Froze were the Days*

8.0 ...

7.9 ...

7.8 ... warmest of 19th century (1822)

7.7 ... Snowstorm1, Optimus Prime,

7.6 ... summer blizzard

7.5 ...

7.4 ... Scorcher, mark4

7.3 ... AtlanticFlamethrower

7.2 ... Tellow

7.1 ... geoffw

7.0 ... Stargazer, the PIT, DR Hosking, Polar Gael, BornFromTheVoid*

6.9 ... Hedgehog4, Sunlover, Roger J Smith

6.8 ... Alex, Norrance, damianslaw, reef, davehsug

6.7 ... Solar Sausage, Koppite, Fozfoster, Thundery winter showers

6.6 ... Alza 2, Milhouse, Don ....... ------ mean 1981-2010 -----

6.5 ... A Scottish Winter's Tale, TonyH, sundog, Ben_Cambs

6.4 ... ledders69, Steve B, Jackone, DAVID SNOW, stormmad26,

6.3 ... Bluebreezer54, coram, Great Plum, Mark Bayley ... ----- mean 1971-2000 -----

6.2 ... Ferryhill Weather, godber

6.1 ... Styx, Stationary Front, Aceman*

6.0 ... Isolated Frost, Mr_Data, Duncan McAlister, Paul T*

5.9 ... Deep Snow, Jack Wales, AderynCoch

5.8 ... Terminal Moraine

5.7 ... March Blizzard, alex131297, BurwellWeatherWatch ..... ----- mean 1961-90 -----

5.6 ... virtualsphere, Kentish Man

5.5 ... mulzy

5.4 ... Bottesford

5.3 ... stewfox

5.2 ... Aaron, Midlands Ice Age

5.1 ... Goku

5.0 ... Rainbow Snow

4.9 ...

4.8 ...

4.7 ...

4.6 ...

4.5 ... BARRY

4.4 ...

4.3 ...

4.2 ...

4.1 ...

4.0 ...

3.9 ...

3.8 ...

3.7 ...

3.6 ...

3.5 ...

3.4 ...

3.3 ...

3.2 ...

3.1 ...

3.0 ...

2.9 ...

2.8 ... coldest of 20th century (1962 -- ranked 16th coldest all time)

2.7 ...

2.6 ...

2.5 ... 2006 sat around this value as late as 20th then warmed to 4.9

2.4 ...

2.3 ...

2.2 ...

2.1 ...

2.0 ... mean of 1784-86 (talk about climate change)

1.9 ... fourth coldest (1883)

1.8 ... third coldest (1748)

1.7 ...

1.6 ...

1.5 ...

1.4 ...

1.3 ...

1.2 ... second coldest (1785)

1.1 ...

1.0 ... coldest (1674)

________________________________________________________

* entries one day late

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Could anybody calculate the CET to the 15th?

Not quite sure how warm it can get given that days are still marginally shorter than nights however if we see a similar pattern to the proposed one lasting until the end of the month then i think we could well aim for the gap between first and second.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

Likely to be appreciably above the average CET figure come mid month - with means by the weekend and into next week comfortably coming in close to the 10 degree mark I suspect (averages of 13-14 degree maxes, and 6-7 degree mins), maxes could be higher when sun breaks but conversely lower mins if we see clear skies at night.

It already looks a very tall order to achieve a below average CET this month - even at this very early stage, but stranger things have happened take last month with the major switcharound, and late March certainly can deliver chilly conditions if we see any northerly/northeasterly airstream.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

6.6C to the 6th so a fall of 0.4C.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

6.6C to the 8th.

Onwards and upwards from here so the CET could well be above 8C to mid month.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
  • Weather Preferences: 30 Degrees of pure British Celsius
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham

Just like to say thanks to Jackone for praising my accuracy on the CET prediction over the winter, always had a hunch it would be a milder than average winter but not particularly so with a cold spell 'thrown' in some where.

It's the first total winter CET predictions I think I've done, so if anybody would like to PM for winter 2012/13 then I'll let you know my thoughts for a small fee! :D Watch me be a mile out with my CET for March!

Edited by Froze were the Days
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire

Hadley is 6.9C to the 9th.

This could potentially be a very warm first half of the month. GFS has us on 8.2C to the 16th and thats with the usual scenario of seeing higher max temps than shown.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Yup. With the models indicating that high pressure will rebuild as well we could well see us hitting that third place gap that i spoke of.

Also a possibility of date records/20C on Thursday and/or Friday as the advancing high pressure pulls up warmer uppers for the south east.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

GFS18z would smash the records for warmest and sunniest March on record, bar the blip next weekend.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

7.3C to the 10th

http://www.metoffice..._info_mean.html

Yesterday was 11.3C. Minimum today is 5.1C while maxima should be around 15C, so an increase to 7.6C tomorrow is likely.

After that, going by the 06z GFS...

7.8C to the 12th (9.8]

8.0C to the 13th (10.7)

8.2C to the 14th (10.8]

8.4C to the 15th (10.8]

8.4C to the 16th (9.6)

8.5C to the 17th (10.0)

8.5C to the 18th (8.1)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-29 07:13:16 Valid: 29/03/2024 0600 - 30/03/2024 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - FRI 29 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    Difficult travel conditions as the Easter break begins

    Low Nelson is throwing wind and rain at the UK before it impacts mainland Spain at Easter. Wild condtions in the English Channel, and more rain and lightning here on Thursday. Read the full update here

    Netweather forecasts
    Netweather forecasts
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-28 09:16:06 Valid: 28/03/2024 0800 - 29/03/2024 0600 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - THURS 28 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather
×
×
  • Create New...