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Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
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Short Range Forecasting

ZONE 51

By ZONE 51
in Spring Weather Discussion

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Model Output Data  

17 members have voted

  1. 1. Favourite model?

    • ECM
      10
    • UKMO
      4
    • GFS
      2
    • All 3
      1
    • Other
      0

  2. 2. Prefer NMM or NAE?

    • NMM
      4
    • NAE
      10
    • Both
      3
    • Other
      0

  3. 3. How many days ahead in the model output do you have confidence in?

    • 1 day
      0
    • 2 days
      2
    • 3 days
      7
    • 4 days
      1
    • 5 days
      4
    • 5 or 6 days no further
      1
    • up to 7 days
      1
    • 14 days
      0
    • Not to Sure it varies
      1

  4. 4. Do you think precipitation model data to actual radar data is becoming less or more better?

    • Model precipitation data is getting better and more reliable
      3
    • Model precipitation data is getting worse and less reliable
      2
    • Not to sure it varies
      12

  5. 5. What is short range forecasting to you?

    • only 1 day
      3
    • 2-3 days
      14
    • 3-5 days
      0
    • 6-7 days
      0

Recommended Posts

ZONE 51 Community Regular

ZONE 51

Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
Posted (edited)

Thought this might spark some interest with all the discussion recently with the precipitation models and radar data, i have also included a few questions based around what the topic is about.

I really am not sure why the precipitation prediction models are changing in a short space of time with where they place the rain/snow with each run, the data is collected from the atmosphere and then fed into the computers which then roll out what is called a run, this is the model output as we know it, some models have a new updated output at varied times of the day or night, so why do they change so much? one run can present itself with snow fans dreams! and then the next output its vanished, and quite possibly it would be back on again in not so many hours, so why can they have such extremes? and how many days into the model output do you trust to materialise? I have plenty to chat about on this subject and im sure many of you do to!

Here are the questions from the poll:

1 - Favourite Model?

2 - Prefer NMM or NAE/Both/Other?

3 -How many days ahead in the model output do you have confidence in?

4 - Do you think precipitation model data to actual radar data is becoming less or more better

5 - What is short range forecasting to you?

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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