Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

The Far North Of England Regional Discussion Thread


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: cold
  • Location: Sunderland

Dew point at 1430- 1.7c

at 1530- 1.4c

at 1620 (now)- 1.1c

Slowly, but surely heading in the right direction- will be on the mac by 530- so will have a look at the SES build-up.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and heat, North Sea snow
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne

Fairly poor 12z from both the GFS and METO - tonight may be our best shot all week :(

Edited by alza
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: cold
  • Location: Sunderland

I wouldn't worry alza- the 500hpa charts still seem sure of eventual retrogression- and under the current pattern, undercutting and advancing cold upper troughs are likely- anyway, don't look past 96 for your health :)

Radar pepped stuff up it seems-- 12z NMM looks okay, we see -8c and -9c uppers for much of tomorrow.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Jarrow 28m asl
  • Location: Jarrow 28m asl

Rattlesnakes- dew point at 1.8c!

I don't think dew points are expected to drop below freezing until after 9pm tonight, until then i'm not expecting much :rolleyes:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire

Rattlesnakes- dew point at 1.8c!

:rofl: :rofl: :rofl:

Serves you right for all them times you took the mickey out of my temperature! :D :D :D :lol: :rofl:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: cold
  • Location: Sunderland

:rofl: :rofl: :rofl:

Serves you right for all them times you took the mickey out of my temperature! :D :D :D :lol: :rofl:

Pfft, you will most likely see no snow for at least a week-- you had to go to a mountain range to get your snow fix :D

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, convective precipitation, snow, thunderstorms, "episodic" months.
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire

I was surprised at how much shower activity there was out in the North Sea last night, but it made me less surprised at today's convective show. Currently rain and a few blobs of sleet at Cleadon and 2.8C (as a result, I won't be reporting the first sleet/snow free January here since 1992 or 1989). I was out in inland North Yorkshire earlier today where there was a mix of rain, sleet and wet snow and, due to being further inland, temperatures were 1-2C lower.

Tonight's model runs have toned down the pool of warmer drier air at the 500hPa level for Tuesday so we should keep some showers firing off the North Sea during tomorrow and Tuesday, though tending to become lighter and more scattered on Tuesday. As colder air digs in the showers should increasingly turn to snow, though probably not providing more than a dusting at any one location.

The issue from Wednesday onwards is wind direction. I have little doubt that if we keep a generally easterly flow and send that cold pool in off the continent, we will see the convection pep up in the North Sea and bring sharp snow showers to coastal areas, though inland penetration will be dependent on the strength of the airflow. However, tonight's UKMO and GFS have a ridge of high pressure sinking south (a consequence of the Scandinavian/Russian high being too far east and more energy going into the northern arm of the jet), and if the UKMO verifies the easterly and associated showers will have fizzled out already by Wednesday. GFS at least gives us a shot at a day of sunshine and snow showers on Thursday before the ridge to our north collapses south. The pattern for late next week is very volatile though and there is still a chance that the UKMO/GFS could be sinking the ridge too quickly.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl

Temp of 1.1 and dp of -0.3 at medomsley which is the nearest i can find to me,so i'm optimistic

of some wettish snow when the ppn comes in off the coast.

The sky has that pinky colour to it at the moment,which often bodes well.

Edited by Cloud 10
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire

Pfft, you will most likely see no snow for at least a week-- you had to go to a mountain range to get your snow fix :D

That's okay, take your light snow showers whilst I bask in temperatures below -5C struggling to make 0C during the day.

Going to Snowdonia was a great choice, loved it as always. :D

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: cold
  • Location: Sunderland

post-12276-0-96481100-1327861184_thumb.gpost-12276-0-96211800-1327861187_thumb.g

The current scenario- dew points around the wrong side of marginal, 950's on the edge.

post-12276-0-04745000-1327861257_thumb.gpost-12276-0-63242800-1327861260_thumb.g

9pm- dew points borderline freezing, 950's on the right side.

post-12276-0-16494400-1327861310_thumb.gpost-12276-0-41826300-1327861313_thumb.g

Midnight- dew points crawl below freezing, 950's stabilise.

It's going to be VERY interesting- things should cool to allow much of the region to be on the RIGHT side of marginal- apart from the usual suspects.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Chester-le-street,Co.Durham
  • Location: Chester-le-street,Co.Durham

Very heavy rain? btwn The Wear and Tyne....yet another instance of unforecasted precip off the sea...pity it's a couple of degrees too warm!!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Morecambe
  • Location: Morecambe

Bit shocked that some of you found today a bit surprising, it kinda headed as I was expecting, cloudy, misty and showery rain all thanks to a trough which some of you pointed out earlier.

Todays PPN was not convective at all, the speckly PPN over in the North Sea to the east of NE Scotland is convective PPN as the cloud looks more speckly but generally, the air over the North Sea is stable despite the cold uppers hence why I was not too surprised by the GFS PPN charts as the thicknesses were too high despite the cold uppers.

Not too confident about the rest of the week, I always fear a lack of PPN might be an issue here and I could be right.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Chester-le-street,Co.Durham
  • Location: Chester-le-street,Co.Durham

Bit shocked that some of you found today a bit surprising, it kinda headed as I was expecting, cloudy, misty and showery rain all thanks to a trough which some of you pointed out earlier.

Todays PPN was not convective at all, the speckly PPN over in the North Sea to the east of NE Scotland is convective PPN as the cloud looks more speckly but generally, the air over the North Sea is stable despite the cold uppers hence why I was not too surprised by the GFS PPN charts as the thicknesses were too high despite the cold uppers.

Not too confident about the rest of the week, I always fear a lack of PPN might be an issue here and I could be right.

Hindsight's a wonderfull thing!! In post 29 of this thread you appear to suggest little precip today, now as it's happning you're suggesting you knew we would be seeing heavy prolonged rain at the coast?!!

I'm impressed you knew this would happen.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and heat, North Sea snow
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne

The big 3 all show a pretty dry easterly overall, though some of us should still see an inch or two this week I'd have thought.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Showers, Snowy Periods , Blizzards, Cold Weather
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees

The big 3 all show a pretty dry easterly overall, though some of us should still see an inch or two this week I'd have thought.

Starting with tonight?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Showers, Snowy Periods , Blizzards, Cold Weather
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees

2.2c/1.0c currently- give it another 2 hours imo.

Ill check again at 10 then

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-29 07:13:16 Valid: 29/03/2024 0600 - 30/03/2024 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - FRI 29 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    Difficult travel conditions as the Easter break begins

    Low Nelson is throwing wind and rain at the UK before it impacts mainland Spain at Easter. Wild condtions in the English Channel, and more rain and lightning here on Thursday. Read the full update here

    Netweather forecasts
    Netweather forecasts
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-28 09:16:06 Valid: 28/03/2024 0800 - 29/03/2024 0600 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - THURS 28 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather
×
×
  • Create New...