Wales (Cymru) - Regional Weather Discussion (part 2)

[J10]

My post from MOD

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/72352-model-output-discussion-06z-27th-january/page__view__findpost__p__2225576

[keithlucky]

Much more positive from news 24 front to stall over central Wales sleet and Snow mostly snow giving a covering even in s west England. Staying around Sunday afternoon and Monday as well.

Edited January 27, 2012 by keithlucky

[TonyH]

What a fascinating week coming up. If GFS comes off it's going to be mighty cold by the end of the week, I will be below -10c!

However. after our rain, sleet or snow, dry from Tuesday onwards, with high pressure in control.

[keithlucky]

What a fascinating week coming up. If GFS comes off it's going to be mighty cold by the end of the week, I will be below -10c!

However. after our rain, sleet or snow, dry from Tuesday onwards, with high pressure in control.

Yes Tony bloomin cold but there is colder pool over central Europe with -20 coming this way frightening lol.

[TonyH]

That would quite an experience if that made it to Wales Keith, I remember Jan 87, my car radiator froze on the way to work, maximum -6c, I had to walk 2 miles in it to get to a phone box. Then got on a bus the rest of the way to Warwick, I remember that although it was nearly midday, all the windows of the bus being frozen on the inside!

Edited January 27, 2012 by TonyH

[kold weather]

UKMO is quite abit more agressive then the GFS/ECM, so even though I would expect some snow from this, I wouldn't read too much into the forecast as that may well change, especially if the UKMO is being for once overzealous on the front.

If I was in SW Wales on higher ground though I'd be feeling rather confident right now!

[andymusic]

GFS 18z - still on track - snow for evening sunday night right through (if believed) to Monday afternoon - Front stalls right over Wales - and then when the cold just sits there from the easterly - it will keep all that lovely snow on ICE for us! - till the next batch!

Edited January 27, 2012 by andymusic

[kold weather]

It'll probably be a rain-snow type event for most and pretty marginal stuff, at least at first. As the front starts to decay and slip southwards then we'll see a better chance of snow, especially as it looks like it'll be timed with night-time mins as well.

[soupsurfer7]

Hmmm... I have an exam on Monday afternoon, should I be worried :o

I do want to see snow, but typical for it to come that day of all days haha

[andymusic]

GFS keeps daytime temps well low (below freezing) over the following days after Monday - more so than in central England - presumably factoring in the cold freezer effect from the snow fallen from Sunday/Mondays event! LOL

[Snowmadsam]

GFS 18z - still on track - snow for evening sunday night right through (if believed) to Monday afternoon - Front stalls right over Wales - and then when the cold just sits there from the easterly - it will keep all that lovely snow on ICE for us! - till the next batch!

Pasting for us down west according to this run?

[andymusic]

GFS 18z is AWESOME!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! following the 12z - THE BEAST FROM THE EAST LIVES AGAIN - the cold will be mind numbing - freezing days and well below freezing nights - and any precip will be of the white kind - WINTER HAS FINALLY STRUCK BACK - after all our patience!

[Snowmadsam]

GFS 18z is AWESOME!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! following the 12z - THE BEAST FROM THE EAST LIVES AGAIN - the cold will be mind numbing - freezing days and well below freezing nights - and any precip will be of the white kind - WINTER HAS FINALLY STRUCK BACK - after all our patience!

Verified?

[TonyH]

GFS keeps daytime temps well low (below freezing) over the following days after Monday - more so than in central England - presumably factoring in the cold freezer effect from the snow fallen from Sunday/Mondays event! LOL

Yes Andy, that's how I read it too, over the hills I guess.

[worldairgroup]

having trouble viewing GFS 18z, andy can you post it pls.

Verified?

[chubbystuff]

i'm really excited Andy music is on about the beast from the East went and bought extra milk and bread today guys so hope you are right

[benb]

Jeez-

Ice day on Friday?!

[ourson]

Model thread is going a bit nuts at the mo. Upardes-R-us!!

Happy daze !!

[TonyH]

This shows the very cold air arriving Thursday:

[andymusic]

having trouble viewing GFS 18z, andy can you post it pls.

here's GFS 18z - 144 for ya - amazing

Edited January 27, 2012 by andymusic

[worldairgroup]

Jeez-

Ice day on Friday?!

now not that i am an expert, but i tend to marginally agree with you, i am thinking next weekend is looking to be a BLINDER, if of course charts dont change!

here's GFS 18z - 144 for ya - amazing

thanks andy! cheers mate

[andymusic]

Here's quite a nice one too - Eskimo weather anyone?

-9 overnight temps anyone?

This just in for Sunday late afternoon coutesy of the NAE (it can only get snowier from here) - we'll know more in the morning!

Edited January 27, 2012 by andymusic

[Snowmadsam]

Here's quite a nice one too - Eskimo weather anyone?

-9 overnight temps anyone?

This just in for Sunday late afternoon coutesy of the NAE (it can only get snowier from here) - we'll know more in the morning!

It's on me

[keithlucky]

We look like getting a few cms of snow Sunday Monday but by the end of the week they be sending in the Army to dig out London lol.

[Bonjangle]

It's on me

Aint on me ;-(