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Southern England Regional Discussion Thread - Part 2

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The rain turned to sleet here and then onto a snowy/sleety mix. Snowflakes covered the car and we had a slushy covering shortly after. Temperature nose dived as the rain began being at 4.6c @ 7:25pm and by 7:50pm it was 2.2c.

Just had some of that Mark...temp falling 3.3c here with some big white blobby bits mixed in the sleety rain :good:

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Yea think we might be more lucky then lol,now wee need a nice warm spring.rain on coast for sunday eve.cooler avrage temps before then.all could change as the mods arnt shure.im just going by local forcast for my location wich is nearly 80% all the time.

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Guest archiesmummy

So, a weather warning for ice in London and south east, does look like it will be cold just don't think snow will feature but if it doesn't I am just happy will be cold as it should be when its winter, just sick of the mild and dreary!

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So, a weather warning for ice in London and south east, does look like it will be cold just don't think snow will feature but if it doesn't I am just happy will be cold as it should be when its winter, just sick of the mild and dreary!

Unfortunately it's only for a tiny slither of the far West of the SE corner (Wiltshire / Gloucestershire area), I wouldn't even consider that SE to be honest.

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Guest archiesmummy

Just seen that, but its very cold out there tonight and we had some very icy rain about hour ago, least the temps are looking more wintry rather than 13c!

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Just so you know I feel fairly confident that tomorrow COULD be good for some but with the usual unfavoured places missing out.

Reason 1:

Precipitation charts shown here and by others on this thread, see frames 18,24 and 30 and you can see the general movement of expected precipitation

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=nae&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prty&HH=12&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

Reason 2:

My personal opinion as quoted earlier in the chat room.

Northern England and Scotland good for a covering, although mostly of the WET SNOW variety. Then later on into the afternoon and evening, I predict the precipitation band to sink southwards and produce SNOW for the midlands slowly moving into the southeast. Let's hope we get some to STICK and then we can have snowball fights or somesuch.

Kind Regards

gottolovethisweather

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PPVM89.png

120 fax

PPVO89.png

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=charts;type=fax;sess=

see how the atlantic stalls as it hits the russian high

shame the 528 dam line is slightly away from the uk

i think the east will win over the atlantic here

if cold enough where that front stalls someone

could get a nice snowfall event from it..

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PPVM89.png

120 fax

PPVO89.png

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=charts;type=fax;sess=

see how the atlantic stalls as it hits the russian high

shame the 528 dam line is slightly away from the uk

i think the east will win over the atlantic here

if cold enough where that front stalls someone

could get a nice snowfall event from it..

A question regarding the second chart for Tuesday - that trough sitting across Germany...if that continued on a westward track would it push the 528 dam line ahead of it and bring snow? Long shot I know as we're talking over four days away...

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A question regarding the second chart for Tuesday - that trough sitting across Germany...if that continued on a westward track would it push the 528 dam line ahead of it and bring snow? Long shot I know as we're talking over four days away...

hi snowgirlkent

what we want to see is the russian high move west about 100 miles

that will create a better block and should move the 528 dam line

over us again

if that low headed north west that would be nice :)

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hi snowgirlkent

what we want to see is the russian high move west about 100 miles

that will create a better block and should move the 528 dam line

over us again

if that low headed north west that would be nice :)

So just a few puzzle pieces to fall into place then! I think a few may have fallen down the back of the sofa :)

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if you read the model thread you would probably be hiding behind it :rofl:

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http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

MT8_London_ens.png

fi starts on the 30th-31st

over 10 degree difference

this is due to the fact the models and pros cannot

work out how strong the russian high is, expect changes

again tomorrow.

the fax tomorrow night should tell us hopefully where

the russian high will sit on wednesday.

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PPVM89.png

120 fax

PPVO89.png

http://www.netweathe...;type=fax;sess=

see how the atlantic stalls as it hits the russian high

shame the 528 dam line is slightly away from the uk

i think the east will win over the atlantic here

if cold enough where that front stalls someone

could get a nice snowfall event from it..

Excellent Fax charts JP. In my humble opinion, the system to the West is being over amplified by some of the models, hence why the MetO guru's have used their knowledge and produced stunning Fax charts :D:cold::clap:

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We just need the air off the Continent to pick up mositure and it could be party time for Kent. There will be some snow about but it'll be light at first and close to the Coasts and in flurries

Like John says above the Fax is looking good for Tuesday+

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Very good runs this morning from the 00z

I certainly think we will be seeing some of the White stuff over the next few days

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and the Mirror:

UK set for snow as temperatures plummet to -8C

http://www.mirror.co.../#ixzz1kdsDUxuN

and the Telegraph!

Winter weather arrives as cold snap brings fresh snow showers

Britain should brace itself for up to a month of bitterly cold weather as winter finally arrives, forecasters have warned.

http://www.telegraph...ow-showers.html

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GFS still farting around with the potential for snow and if you believe the 00z run from last night (Maybe it's on the right track? :unknw: ) the snow never really gets far inland in our region:

post-6667-0-16329100-1327650978_thumb.pn

But I am taking comfort from the fact that it has, over the last few days, shown some snow at every point for the beginning of next week in the South and the local BBC forecast showed snow on the graphics for Monday. In summary, I'm remaining upbeat for possibilities! :clapping:

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The ECM is showing 1987 Synoptics in FI!

http://www.wetterzen...cs/Recm2162.gif

As Steve would say... Boom! Well supported by its ensembles to according to Matt Hugo... (who is he?)

I used to know of him in my uk.sci.weather newsgroup days, here is his twitter account - http://twitter.com/matthugo81 I just wish he would post more in these forums. However he often posts on one of our competitors forums and of course, he's busily involved in a weather company.

Re: the Fax charts, they are invaluable at this range and with the current uncertainty. I might be wrong by hasn't the 528dam line already passed over us from west to east on the chart JP has shown?

Kind Regards

gottolovethisweather

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Preliminary extreme alert has been issued to Croydon Council for sub zero temperatures and heavy snowfall. MetO are being very cautious as always, but are very confident the Siberian Big Freezing Train is on it's way.

I'll post later on with more updates. Time for me to ramp bit by bit :cold::clap::yahoo:

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The atlantic front doesnt even seem to make it into the west country now!?

I wanted a westerly shift but now its going to struggle to reach lizzard point!! :search::lazy:

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Good ol yammers is on the ramp. Always puts a smile on my face.

MetO forecast temps have dropped a bit for my area, but I must say the outlook is rather dry? I have noticed in the past 24hrs the forecast wind direction was ESE and has now changed to NE ENE.

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