January CET

[Bluebreezer54]

A very close to average 4.6c for me please

[godber]

3.8c for me please.A midish first, half followed by a gradual cool down,aided by some low temperatures due to persistant frosts.

[Michael Fishermans Friend]

Difficult to see us breaking out of this rut but I do expect to see a colder interlude around mid month probably dominated by high pressure so 5.5c for me please!

[Don]

4.7C for me please. Not much chance of any proper cold before the 20th.

[Thundery wintry showers]

5.2C

[AtlanticFlamethrower]

5.0C

[Polar Continental]

I better get mine in quick before i forget again, 1.1c please, hopes for a flip to bitter cold and snow by around the 12th.

[J10]

4,1c

[Evening thunder]

5.1C, can see the mild just about outweighing the cold if I had to give a prediction.

[A Winter's Tale]

My revised prediction is 4.9C

[feb1991blizzard]

Not going with my prediction in the winter forecast thread, there is no point in kidding yourself, i still think we could have a cold end but may be very late and not making up for the mild start.

4.9 please.

[Roger J Smith]

1.9 with a very cold second half ... working on a table that should be ready at 0001 GMT (I have eight more hours of 2011 than most of you).

Happy New Year and thanks to Jackone for all the work on the contest.

[Backtrack]

1.9 with a very cold second half ... working on a table that should be ready at 0001 GMT (I have eight more hours of 2011 than most of you).

Happy New Year and thanks to Jackone for all the work on the contest.

Hi RJS. As a respected forecaster on here, how confident are you on a pattern change around mid-January?

And would that 1.9C be for your location in Canada, or the UK?

[davehsug]

5.0c for me please

[Isolated Frost]

1.9 with a very cold second half ... working on a table that should be ready at 0001 GMT (I have eight more hours of 2011 than most of you).

Happy New Year and thanks to Jackone for all the work on the contest.

Well, you've been pretty spot on regarding daily details , especially stormy ones, in your lrf so this cold prediction is quite notable indeed... thanks for the table as well, your work is fab Roger

[Roger J Smith]

Table of entries Jan 2012

___________________________

"Mayan you gonna be just fine."

8.0 .. Craig Evans

7.9

7.8

7.7

7.6

7.5 ... warmest (1916)

7.4

7.3 ... second warmest (1796 & 1921)

7.2

7.1 ... fourth warmest (1934) ... Snow?Norfolk n chance,

7.0 ... fifth warmest, and warmest since 1934 (2007) ... Optimus Prime

6.9

6.8

6.7

6.6

6.5

6.4

6.3 .. igloo

6.2 .. Cheeky_Monkey

6.1

6.0 .. Robbie Garrett

5.9 .. Scorcher

5.8 .. reef

5.7 .. Norrance, mark4

5.6 .. stewfox

5.5 .. TonyH, Styx, TimmyH

5.4 .. Kentish Man

5.3 .. Milhouse, virtualsphere

5.2 .. coram, Thundery wintry showers

5.1 .. Stargazer, sunlover, Paul T, Terminal Moraine, Stormmad26

5.0 .. The Pit, AtlanticFlamethrower, davehsug

4.9 .. feb1991blizzard, Duncan McAlister, A Winter's Tale

4.8 .. Jack Wales, DR Hosking

4.7 .. Steve B, Harve, Mr_Data, Don

4.6 .. DAVID SNOW, Bluebreezer54, max011293

4.5 .. Solar Sausage, Fozfoster

4.4 .. --- average 1981-2010 -----

4.3 .. AderynCoch, trickydicky

4.2 .. --- average 1971-2000 ----- ... syed2878

4.1 .. claret047, Koppite, Gavin D, Mark Bayley, JACKONE

4.0 .. Backtrack

3.9 .. BornFromTheVoid, summer blizzard

3.8 .. --- average 1961-1990 ----- ... Isolated Frost, Aaron, Midlands Ice Age, snow drift, godber

3.7 .. Tellow, sundog, Rollo, RainbowSnow

3.6

3.5 .. Kentish Kiwi, Gavin P, damianslaw

3.4 .. s4lancia, 22nov10blast

3.3

3.2 .. --- average 1659-2011 ----- .... frozencanals

3.1 .. geoffw

3.0

2.9 .. Ferryhill Weather, ruzzi (snowboy), Stationary Front

2.8 .. BARRY, Snowstorm1

2.7

2.6

2.5 .. Polar Gael

2.4 .. Ben_Cambs

2.3

2.2

2.1

2.0

1.9 .. Roger J Smith

1.8 ..

1.7

1.6

1.5

1.4 ... coldest past 24 yrs (2010)

1.3

1.2

1.1 .. Polar Continental

1.0

0.9

0.8 ... coldest past 30 yrs (1985, 1987)

0.7

0.6

0.5

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

0.0

-0.1

-0.2

-0.3

-0.4 ... last subzero (1979)

-0.5

-0.6

-0.7

-0.8

-0.9

-1.0 ... twelfth coldest (1695)

-1.1

-1.2

-1.3

-1.4 ... eleventh coldest (1940)

-1.5 ... tied for eighth coldest (1709, 1838, 1881)

-1.6 ... seventh coldest (1776)

-1.7

-1.8

-1.9

-2.0 ... sixth coldest (1716)

-2.1 ... fifth coldest, and coldest past 197 yrs (1963)

-2.2

-2.3

-2.4

-2.5

-2.6

-2.7

-2.8 ... fourth coldest (1740)

-2.9 ... third coldest (1814)

-3.0 ... second coldest (1684)

-3.1 ... coldest (1795)

-15 ... considered normal about 20,000 years ago (Craig Evans used to go -7)

____________________________________________________________________

not quite midnight there, posting now to see how it looks ... will edit later entries in ... how confident am I, he asked? why, how confident are you? ... for the CET not my location, I did figure that part out a while ago.

Edited January 1, 2012 by Roger J Smith

[max011293]

4.6 for me

[Great Plum]

3.9c please...

[DeepSnow]

4.0C for me please

[leicsnow]

The current January CET is 10.66... lol

[A Winter's Tale]

DECEMBER WAS:

9.0 .. Craig Evans

8.4 .. sparky1972

7.8 .. Robbie Garrett

7.2 .. The PIT

7.0 .. mrsmall, virtualsphere

6.9 .. stargazer*

6.8 .. reef

6.7 .. Gavin D

6.6 .. snow? norfolk n chance,

6.5 .. Liam J, kold weather, Lynxus, OldGreggsTundraBoy

6.4 .. Paranoid

6.3 .. Optimus Prime, Alex

6.2 .. Aceman, fozfoster, IRON-BRU

6.1 .. Polar Gael

6.0 .. corrigan87, Styx, Jack Wales, Timmy H

5.9 .. Stationary Front, BornFromTheVoid, Mr_Data, geoffw*

5.8 .. Thundery winter showers, Ben_Cambs, IAmJohnnyDisco, Mark Neal Ballooning*

5.7 .. TomSE20, RAIN, RAIN, RAIN

5.6 .. Don, davehsug, Bluebreezer54

5.5 .. Backtrack, Tony H, Scorcher

5.4 .. Roger J Smith, Tellow

5.3 .. SteveB, Kentish Man, Megamoonflake

5.2 .. Mark Bayley, Milhouse, JACKONE, Stormmad26

5.1 .. trickydicky, Lomondsnowstorm, Eugene, ruzzi (snowboy)

5.0 .. frozencanals, Harve, AderynCoch

4.9 .. Isolated Frost, SP1986, BrightInBrighton, Anonymous21, Andy163, stewfox

4.8 .. Pete Tattum, Godber, Terminal Moraine, A Winter's Tale

4.7 .. Feb1991blizzard

4.6 .. Blast from the Past, calum, Great Plum, Midlands Ice Age

4.5 .. damianslaw, The watcher, sundog

4.4 .. Koppite, DR Hosking,

4.3 .. Aaron

4.1 .. summer blizzard, themusicland, DeepSnow

3.9 .. BARRY

3.8 .. coram

3.7 .. Snowstorm1, Atlanticflamethrower

3.6 .. snowlover2009

3.1 .. Polar Continental

2.8 .. Rainbow Snow

2.2 .. Paul T

2.1 .. paul tall

1.5 .. DAVID SNOW

_______________________________________________________________________

Who Was the Closest and How will he/she do for the January CET? What on earth will January Bring and who'll be spot on this time. Worth keeping an eye on RJS's predictions, spot on for December and has one of the lowest predictions there!

It also looks like most members are going for January to be colder month than December. Let's see who has the closest predictions overall for the winter and what January and February will have in store. Maybe, just maybe we'll have another below average winter.

[Polar Maritime]

2.7C is my guess.

Happy New Year.

[The watcher]

Oops, missed my cue.

3.5c please.

[Corrigan87]

Averageish, 4.4 for me :-)

Happy New Year!

[Isolated Frost]

Ouch

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

9.9c to the 1st- one of the mildest new year days?