The Winter 2011/2012 Prediction Thread And Poll

[A Winter's Tale]

All issues in by 1st December 0000hrs.

Questions:

1. When Will the First -7C be Reached: 12th December

2. When Will the First -10C be Reached: 28th December

3. Will -15C be Reached: 4th January

4. When is the First Ice Day going to Happen: 12th December

5. When is the first City Snowfall Going to take Place: 22nd December

6. What will be the Lowest Temperature: -17C

7. The Coldest Month of the Winter: December

8. How many Nights below 0C: 38

9. Will there be a White Christmas: Yes

10. The largest Snow Depth of the Winter: 55CM

11. Will there be a Big Freeze: Yes

12. Will there be a Sub Zero Month: No

13. What Will be the Mean Temperature for the Winter: 3.0C

14. How many Snow Lying Days will Your Location Have: 12

15. How many Snowfalls will you Have: 14

[Backtrack]

1. When Will the First -7C be Reached: January 21st.

2. When Will the First -10C be Reached: It won't.

3. Will -15C be Reached: It won't.

4. When is the First Ice Day going to Happen: Unlikely away from the Scottish Highlands.

5. When is the first City Snowfall Going to take Place: January 23rd - Inverness.

6. What will be the Lowest Temperature: -8C

7. The Coldest Month of the Winter: All way above average - Probably February being slightly below.

8. How many Nights below 0C: 12

9. Will there be a White Christmas: No

10. The largest Snow Depth of the Winter: 12cm - Aviemore.

11. Will there be a Big Freeze: Lol. No.

12. Will there be a Sub Zero Month: No

13. What Will be the Mean Temperature for the Winter: 6.2C

14. How many Snow Lying Days will Your Location Have: 0

15. How many Snowfalls will you Have: 0

The poll:

When Will Winter (Weather) Arrive in the UK? Not at all.

What Will be the Lowest Temperature? -5C to -10C

How Do you Expect the Winter to be Overall? Above average

What will the largest snowfall event be like? 0-5CM (Away from Scottish Highlands)

Do you expect a period of 7 or more days of below average temperatures and snowfall? Not at all.

I just can't see us having a Winter this year. Sorry.

[Aaron]

Good idea.. there's a similar thread on TWO.

--------------------------

1. When Will the First -7C be Reached: 19 December

2. When Will the First -10C be Reached: 7 January

3. Will -15C be Reached: 4 February

4. When is the First Ice Day going to Happen: 3 January

5. When is the first City Snowfall Going to take Place: 25 November

6. What will be the Lowest Temperature: -17

7. The Coldest Month of the Winter: February

8. How many Nights below 0C: Depends from north to south

9. Will there be a White Christmas: No

10. The largest Snow Depth of the Winter: 50 cm in the highlands

11. Will there be a Big Freeze: No

12. Will there be a Sub Zero Month: No

13. What Will be the Mean Temperature for the Winter: 4.1

14. How many Snow Lying Days will Your Location Have: 19

15. How many Snowfalls will you Have: 7

I guess there's a bit of IMBYism here, but I will definitely see snow this winter, and will definitely see a snow accumulation.

Edited November 12, 2011 by Aaron

[Richard Lake]

What will the largest snowfall event be like?

Not everyone uses centimetres ya know - even for us young ones (am 34) - inches in brackets would have helped enormously.

[Aaron]

Most people use cm's, this isn't the US of A!

[Mark Bayley]

When Will the First -7C be Reached: 20 December

When Will the First -10C be Reached: 22nd December

When Will -15C be Reached: 10th January

When is the First Ice Day going to Happen: 10th January

When is the first City Snowfall Going to take Place: 15th of December

What will be the Lowest Temperature: -15

The Coldest Month of the Winter (most below average?): February

How many Nights below 0C: Countless

Will there be a White Christmas: Yes

The largest Snow Depth of the Winter: 30cm

Will there be a Big Freeze: Yes

Will there be a Sub Zero Month: No

What Will be the Mean Temperature for the Winter: 3.9c

How many Snow Lying Days will Your Location Have: 17

How many Snowfalls will you Have: 25

[Backtrack]

What will the largest snowfall event be like?

Not everyone uses centimetres ya know - even for us young ones (am 34) - inches in brackets would have helped enormously.

1 inch = 2.54cm.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

these questions depending on elevation and location, white Xmas, yes scotland (300m) no, low lying England and wales

my location 0 snow days, 0 snow lying days

largest snow depth of winter 30cms (highland Scotland)

big freeze, yes for northern UK, no southern uk

coldest month of winter likely December

sub zero month, possibly parts of Scotland, elsewhere , no

first ice day, England and wales, not this winter, Scotland probably 10th Dec

[Isolated Frost]

For my location, PICKTREE DURHAM 49M ASL

1. When Will the First -7C be Reached: 11th December (9th December Benson)

2. When Will the First -10C be Reached: None here (10th December Santon Downham, Benson)

3. Will -15C be Reached: None here (18th January Altnaharra)

4. When is the First Ice Day going to Happen: 25th January (1 January Braemar)

5. When is the first City Snowfall Going to take Place: Glasgow/Inverness from a polar maritime source on 8th December

6. What will be the Lowest Temperature: -8c here (-17c Braemar)

7. The Coldest Month of the Winter: January

8. How many Nights below 0C: 35 here

9. Will there be a White Christmas: No, nowhere will see one

10. The largest Snow Depth of the Winter: 15cm here on January 26, 40-45cm in w scotland and lake district, over 1m above 750m in the highlands

11. Will there be a Big Freeze: What on earth constitutes a big freeze? Kent seeing an inch of snow??

12. Will there be a Sub Zero Month: No

13. What Will be the Mean Temperature for the Winter: 4.1c here, 4.4c in the CET zone.

14. How many Snow Lying Days will Your Location Have: 13

15. How many Snowfalls will you Have: So if you get 10 flurries in 2 days, does that count as 10 snowfalls? If you mean snow falling days, about 17.

Average winter, maybe slightly cooler, maybe a bit cooler in northern and western parts.

[Bristawl Si]

Excuse me for being MrThickie, but what does Above Average or below Average mean in terms of The Winter Overall - is this average temps, rainfall, snowfall??? Please define - regards BB

[Isolated Frost]

N Scotland- temperature average, rainfall slightly above, snowfall slightly above.

W Scotland- temperature slightly below, rainfall average, snowfall above.

S Scotland- temperature average, rainfall slightly above, snowfall slightly below.

E Scotland- temperature slightly above, rainfall average, snowfall average.

N Ireland- temperature slightly below, rainfall slightly above, snowfall above.

N Wales- temperature average, rainfall slightly below, snowfall average.

Mid Wales- temperature average, rainfall average, snowfall average.

S Wales- temperature average, rainfall average, snowfall average.

NW England- temperature slightly below, rainfall average, snowfall slightly above.

NE England- temperature average, rainfall average, snowfall slightly below.

W Midlands- temperature average, rainfall slightly above, snowfall slightly above.

E Midlands- temperature slightly above, rainfall average, snowfall slightly below.

E Anglia- temperature slightly above, rainfall average, snowfall slightly below.

London and the SE- temperature slightly above, rainfall slightly below, snowfall below.

SW England- temperature average, rainfall slightly below, snowfall slightly above.

All my estimates, but I do believe this winter will be dominated by HP to our west and south west, low pressure to our north and north west, and a domination of north and north west winds, with south west winds at times, and some easterly attempts, especially in February and March. The further north and west, the colder I think.

[D.B.]

I just can't see us having a Winter this year. Sorry.

Go away.

[Backtrack]

Go away.

No. I was here first.

Edited November 12, 2011 by Backtrack

[BarometerBunts]

1. When Will the First -7C be Reached: 18th December

2. When Will the First -10C be Reached: 21st December

3. Will -15C be Reached: 28th December

4. When is the First Ice Day going to Happen: 18th December

5. When is the first City Snowfall Going to take Place: 27th December

6. What will be the Lowest Temperature: -20

7. The Coldest Month of the Winter: January

8. How many Nights below 0C: 22

9. Will there be a White Christmas: Yes

10. The largest Snow Depth of the Winter: 45CM

11. Will there be a Big Freeze: Yes

12. Will there be a Sub Zero Month: No

13. What Will be the Mean Temperature for the Winter: 2.8

14. How many Snow Lying Days will Your Location Have: 22 (well one can dream)

15. How many Snowfalls will you Have: 34 (zzzzzzz)

[BlueHedgehog074]

1. When Will the First -7C be Reached: December 10th

2. When Will the First -10C be Reached: December 12th

3. Will -15C be Reached: January 2nd at 5:00am

4. When is the First Ice Day going to Happen: Probably around December 1st in the mountainous areas and around December 12th for lower areas.

5. When is the first City Snowfall Going to take Place: November 31st at Aberdeen

6. What will be the Lowest Temperature: - 20.5*C

7. The Coldest Month of the Winter: January at 1.9*C.

8. How many Nights below 0C: 23

9. Will there be a White Christmas: Hard one, probably around a 30 to 35% chance for the South. And probably around 45% chance for the North

10. The largest Snow Depth of the Winter: 51cm in the Highlands

11. Will there be a Big Freeze: Probably, reckon around late December onwards

12. Will there be a Sub Zero Month: No

13. What Will be the Mean Temperature for the Winter: 3.8*C

14. How many Snow Lying Days will Your Location Have: 20

15. How many Snowfalls will you Have: 14

Extra question - 16. Are Rainbow Snow's Expectations too high?: Probably (he he hee)

Although I feel Winter forecasts from the likes of James Madden maybe overhyped, I have this sick feeling that all the Euro blocking that has (and still is) taken place will lead to a cold Winter, but with chances of the Atlantic trying to break free from its cage now and again.

[BLAST FROM THE PAST]

.

I just can't see us having a Winter this year. Sorry.

Yet you say -10c will be reached? Thats winter weather whether you like it or not.

BFTP

[Isolated Frost]

Winter is the coldest 3 months of the year every single year- we always have a winter.

[Backtrack]

Yet you say -10c will be reached? Thats winter weather whether you like it or not.

BFTP

Tbh I was on a bit of a wind up mission.

I know we will be having some cold this winter, but I can see it being very average and somewhat boring as I think any cold spells will be well scattered and weak in intensity.