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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Met office 10 day trend

Next 5 days

Gradually turning milder
Slowly turning wetter
Wettest in west and south

Next week

Low pressure
Wet and breezy
Uncertainty - mild or cold

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook

  • Milder interlude
  • Colder start to December
  • An Advent of drama

Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers* https://weathertrending.com/2019/11/22/john-hammonds-month-ahead-mild-run-christmas/

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Further wet weather to come, then turning colder

_________________________________

Saturday 23 November – Sunday 1 December

Somewhat milder for a time with rain, then colder

Over this weekend, Saturday will be the wetter of the two days for many areas, with spells of heavy rain working their way northwards across the country. On Sunday, some places could start foggy, especially in the south. Many places will then have a dry, if fairly cloudy, day. Further rain arriving in the south-west later. For the first half of next week it looks like further bouts of rain will move across from the west, especially for central and southern areas. For many, it will be somewhat milder than of late, especially by night.

From around mid-week onwards, a colder north-easterly wind looks likely to push across the northern half of the UK, and this colder air will then edge southwards for the end of the week and into the weekend. There is some uncertainty over how quickly this will occur though. This brings the threat of some wintry weather in places, especially in the north, and some sharp overnight frosts. There is also a slight chance of rain and snow pushing into some southern areas as fronts encroach here.

Monday 2 December – Sunday 8 December

Cold at first, but likely to turn milder

The signals for a more unsettled, mild and potentially windy spell of weather through early to mid December are still present, although the latest trends in the guidance tend to push this back a little. The start of this week is likely to be rather cold, with further overnight frosts likely, along with a few wintry showers, especially across northern and some eastern areas. The detail on this is quite complex and will need firming on as we get nearer the time via the short to midrange weather forecasts. Through the course of the week, indications are that the colder air will gradually move away to the south-east, with less cold air arriving from the west and north-west, but confidence is quite low on how quickly this transition may occur.

Through Friday 6th and into the weekend, we can expect the north Atlantic jet stream to become active near the UK, pushing areas of low pressure across us once again. This pattern is suggesting milder, but also potentially very wet and windy conditions. Northern and western area seem most exposed to the worst of the wind and rain. This is because a high pressure ridge over France may still be close enough to the south of the UK to deflect some of the fronts away from here and offer some drier interludes.

Monday 9 December – Sunday 22 December

General Election Week is looking mild but also wet

The outlook during the middle of December should be influenced by an active low pressure track across the north Atlantic, passing close to Scotland and then into Scandinavia. During November, the predominant low pressure track has been over southern England or even down over France and Spain. This has prevented the UK from being influenced by the mild south-westerly winds that often accompany our wet weather in winter, so it has been chilly and also wet. The mid-December pattern should be more typical of a UK winter and bring the heaviest rain and strongest winds to northern and western areas, while the southern and eastern half will have some drier interludes between the fronts. Mild on many days.

So for General Election week, and polling day itself on Thursday 12th, the most likely conditions will be mild, with some spells of rain and blustery winds sweeping across the UK. Any colder interludes between the frontal rain bands should be brief, so at the moment the main weather hazards could be related to the wind and rainfall. On the flip side, high pressure over Spain and France will occasionally nudge up into southern areas and bring some calmer and drier days during mid-December.

Looking beyond mid-month and while most indications are for the mainly mild and quite wet and windy pattern to continue, we cannot rule out another cold snap. Wind and temperature patterns high in the Polar Stratosphere (10-20km above the North Pole) are showing signs of significantly changing during December. This can lead to increased forecast uncertainty for a while, but also the chance for colder air to dig back in from the north.

Further ahead

As the holiday season appears on the horizon we'll take an early look at the chances of any colder weather through the Christmas period.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Storm Sebastien: Flood warnings in place as remnants of tropical storm could batter UK

Quote

 

Flood-ravaged areas are bracing themselves for more heavy rain over the next five days as the UK could feel the remnants of a tropical storm. Storm Sebastien, which formed in the tropical Atlantic last week, is moving northeastwards and looks set to affect the UK by midweek.

Sky News weather presenter Isobel Lang said: "More rain is forecast this week with the focus across southern and northeastern parts of the UK for the heaviest totals at this stage. "The remnants of tropical storm Sebastien will raise concerns too. This storm formed in the tropical Atlantic last Tuesday and had since meandered around looking rather uneventful.

 

https://news.sky.com/story/storm-sebastien-flood-warnings-in-place-as-remnants-of-tropical-storm-could-batter-uk-11868888

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Rest of the week

Mild and misty
Rain and wind at times
Brighter but colder later

Early December

Mostly dry
Cold days
Frosty nights

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/50551066

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Cold and dry for a time, but unsettled next month

_________________________________

Wednesday 27 November – Sunday 1 December

Turning drier but becoming colder too

Low pressure has dominated the weather so far this week, but we are expecting a change to somewhat drier weather over the next couple of days. The catch is that whilst it becomes drier it will also become colder. There is more rain to come before we get to the drier weather. Wednesday will be cloudy with showers and longer spells of rain affecting most parts of the country. Some areas will see fairly persistent rain which may become heavy at times. Thursday should see the rain starting to clear southwards, but it will be a slow affair and the rain is likely to linger across some areas of England and Wales through much of the day. Scotland and Northern Ireland will become drier though but will also see chilly north to north-easterly winds starting to develop. By Friday, most of the UK will be dry with just a few showers along North Sea coasts and perhaps over the far south-west of England too. It will be a cool day and Friday night will bring a widespread frost.

There could also be some mist and fog and perhaps some patches of freezing fog. Saturday will see a low pressure system moving in from the Atlantic. There is some uncertainty over the path this system will follow, but it could bring some rain to South West England and Wales during the day, and southern counties of England overnight. There were some concerns that there was a risk of snow over high ground, but this risk seems to have decreased. The rest of the country should be dry during Saturday and on Saturday night with a frost likely. Sunday should be a largely dry and bright, but will it be chilly - appropriately enough for the start of meteorological winter.

Monday 2 December – Sunday 8 December

Turning milder and more unsettled next week

Next week will start on a chilly note with a frost possible on Monday morning. Apart from the far north of Scotland, it will be a dry day with sunny periods for most areas. Monday night looks to continue the largely dry theme, and it will be another chilly night, perhaps with some mist and fog developing. It looks as though there will be little change on Tuesday, with most of the UK likely to be dry with sunny spells during the day, but another chilly night to follow.

The middle of the week is when we expect to see the beginning of a change in the weather. Winds are expected to turn more westerly, with the Atlantic becoming increasingly influential. The weather is expected to become cloudier, wetter and windier, but it should become milder too with temperatures returning to nearer normal for the time of year. There is a bit of uncertainty over this change from cool and dry to milder and wetter weather. Whilst we expect the transition to begin around mid-week it could be a bit earlier or a bit later. There is also a chance that the far south and south-west of the UK could hold on to the drier conditions almost until the end of the week, depending on how close high pressure remains.

Monday 9 December – Monday 23 December

Staying unsettled with temperatures near normal

The broadly unsettled theme is expected to continue during the middle couple of weeks of December. Low pressure systems are expected to move in from the north Atlantic, passing close to or across the UK as they head towards Scandinavia. During November, the predominant low pressure track has been over southern England or even down over France and Spain. This has prevented the UK from being influenced by the mild south-westerly winds that often accompany our wet weather in winter, so it has been chilly and also wet! The mid-December pattern should be more typical of a UK winter, so whilst it looks like we will see bouts of wet and possibly windy weather, temperatures should be nearer normal for the time of year.

The week of the General Election looks likely to be unsettled with spells of rain and blustery winds sweeping across the UK. Any colder interludes between the frontal rain bands should be brief, so the main weather hazards should be related to the wind and rainfall rather than snow and ice. Looking beyond mid-month and most indications suggest that the unsettled weather will continue. However, we are still monitoring the Arctic stratosphere, as there is a chance that developments here could lead to a spell of colder weather in December. At the moment, whilst there is some uncertainty in the forecast, we don't see any long, drawn out spells of wintry weather developing.

Further ahead

Does the forecast for Christmas week hold any colder weather?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook

  • ‘Chopping and changing‘
  • Impactful rain and snow possible
  • Prolonged cold less likely

Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers* https://weathertrending.com/2019/11/29/john-hammonds-month-ahead-ready-bumpy-ride/

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Often unsettled with swings in temperature

_________________________________

Saturday 30 November – Sunday 8 December

Cold initially, then turning milder and wetter

This weekend will be often dry and bright for most but rather cold with overnight frosts and local fog. However, on Saturday, south-west England will stay cloudier and windy with rain over parts of Cornwall and Devon. Sunday will see a scattering of showers for eastern fringes of England and the far-north of Scotland but otherwise a lot of dry weather. On Monday and Tuesday, an area of high pressure will be in control of the weather over England, Wales and Northern Ireland, bringing a lot of dry and settled weather. It will remain rather cold though with night frosts and a risk of fog, which could linger into the daytime in places. However, over Scotland it will be cloudier at times and breezier with patchy rain.


Through the middle to latter part of next week, the high pressure area should retreat southwards, allowing milder westerly flows to develop. Temperatures are expected to recover near or a little above average across much of the UK as the week progresses. Northern and north-western parts of the UK will gradually become wetter and windier with some prolonged and rather heavy rain likely over western Scotland. The southern half of the UK should stay largely dry through the middle part of the week but some rain is likely, here, too before the end of the week. By the end of next week, chillier conditions may start to spread from the north again, perhaps bringing a return of overnight frost.

Monday 9 December – Sunday 15 December

Windy, showery and chilly

An unsettled and windy week is expected. Winds are likely to alternate between a westerly and north-westerly direction with temperatures alternating between near average and below average across the country. Many areas are likely to have showers and some lengthier outbreaks of rain spreading from the west. Rainfall amounts are favoured to be above average for most, perhaps well-above average over Wales and western England. The showers are likely to become wintry at times over hills, especially through the second half of the week, when northern areas could even see some wintry precipitation to lower levels for a time. There are likely to be some night frosts, too, under any lengthier clear spells at night.

Monday 16 December – Sunday 29 December

Wet and windy at times with variable temperatures

The second half of December is expected to be wet and windy at times with swings in temperature. Low pressure areas are likely to be often nearby, bringing wet conditions with above normal rainfall expected quite widely. The rainfall could lead to some further flood issues too. It is likely to be breezy at times, too. By the festive week, confidence in the forecast falls to low. However, there are some signs that the low pressure areas may track further south with rainfall tending to ease over the northern half of the UK. However, indications are that the north could turn somewhat chillier again, perhaps with wintry precipitation at times, most likely over Scotland. There are chances, though, that the wetter but milder conditions continue to prevail quite widely.

Further ahead

We will take another look at the prospects for December, including the Christmas period.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Week ahead

Cold at first
Mainly dry
Wetter and windier later

Next weekend and beyond

Much more unsettled
Wetter 
Windier

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/50617155?ns_campaign=bbc_weather&ns_source=twitter&ns_linkname=news_central&ns_mchannel=social

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Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL

I see the Daily Star is low on sales again, so is brandishing sensationalist headlines, where in their article they cite

”Ice and snow chaos is set to hit the country in a 40-day freezing blast that will see temperatures drop to -14C”

“ Northern England and Scotland are bracing themselves for up to 40 days of snow and ice while the south can expect up to 20 days.”

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

US weather: At least six die as winter storms sweep across country

 

Casualties have been reported and those attempting to journey back after the holidays have been hit by delays.

https://news.sky.com/story/us-weather-at-least-six-die-as-winter-storms-sweep-across-country-11876474

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

2019 set to be 'one of the hottest-ever years on record'

Quote

 

This year has been one of the hottest on record, the World Meteorological Organisation has said. The UN body says the planet has seen a decade of "exceptional" heat - and since 2015, each year has broken records for being the warmest.

Data from January to October reveals temperatures have been 1.1C above pre-industrial levels, putting 2019 on course to be the second or third-hottest year ever.

 

https://news.sky.com/story/2019-set-to-be-one-of-the-hottest-ever-years-on-record-11877004

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BITTER CHILL - UK weather forecast – 11 inches of snow to hit next week as Britain faces ‘40-day FREEZE’

Quote

 

WEATHER forecasters have warned the UK could be facing a “40-day freeze” as an Arctic blast brings frost and snow to Britain. Temperatures are set to plummet below zero, with 11 inches of snow expected to blanket parts of the UK next week. Scotland and Northern England will be hit the hardest, with the worst of the snow expected to settle in the Highlands.

Snow as deep as 10 inches will have blanketed Scottish Highlands and Inverness by the end of next week, rising to 11 and a half inches by December 18, according to Weathertrending. The Met Office has also issued severe ‘Yellow’ warnings for rain in Scotland on Thursday and Friday this week. Forecasters have warned that heavy downpours will make icy conditions particularly dangerous as temperatures plummet below zero.

 

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/10471152/uk-weather-forecast-cold-forty-day-freeze/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=sharebarweb

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

UK snow forecast MAP: -8C horror freeze to hit - Cold weather alert issued by Met Office

 

Quote

THE Met Office has issued a cold weather alert as air from the Arctic will see temperatures plunge to -8C this week. Here is the latest weather forecast. Temperatures dipped to -10.3C over the weekend, the chilliest night since February, and the Met Office has warned the chilly weather conditions will continue this week. The latest cold snap will see temperatures drop as low as -8C on Wednesday night.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1212318/uk-snow-forecast-map-met-office-cold-weather-alert-uk-weather-latest

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

UK snow forecast: ELEVEN inches of snow and freezing fog grips nation in perilous December

Quote

 

ELEVEN inches of snow will blanket parts of the UK next week, as December sees freezing cold and icy conditions grip Britain. Weather forecasters are warning of treacherous conditions for the month ahead as freezing fog, arctic temperatures, and heaps of snow hit the country. There are warnings from some forecasters that parts of the country could see the mercury drop to -14C in the next 24 hours.

The Scottish Highlands and parts of northern England will see fresh snowfall hit as next week progresses, painting a scene fit for a Christmas card by the weekend of December 14 and 15.  Snow as deep as 10 inches (25cm) will have blanketed Scottish Highlands and Inverness by the end of next week, rising to 11 and a half inches (29cm) by December 18. Temperatures too will remain low in the Highlands over the coming weeks, with next Monday set to see temperatures as low as -10C during the day. In the north of England, a deep layer of up to to seven inches of snow will fall by next weekend.

 

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1212049/uk-snow-forecast-latest-december-2019-update-met-office-temperature-freezing-cold-fog

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