Weather in the general media (Newspaper features etc)

[V for Very Cold]

Apparently... accuweather know something we don’t!

 

Cambridgeshire weather: The exact day when snow is predicted to fall - and it's not long to wait - Cambridgeshire Live

WWW.CAMBRIDGE-NEWS.CO.UK

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There's not long to wait

 

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Briefly chilly, then turning milder and wetter

_________________________________

Saturday 19 October – Sunday 27 October

Changeable weather. Wettest in the north.

This weekend, much of the UK will have a mixture of bright spells, banks of cloud and a scattering of showers. However, eastern Scotland and North East England are likely to have more prolonged cloud and rain for a while on Saturday. Temperatures will tend to fall through the weekend, with Sunday feeling quite chilly as a brisk northerly wind develops. Scotland and Northern Ireland are then likely to have a cold and clearer night on Sunday with a frost in places. Into the coming week, the weather will be changeable. The early part of the week will be generally drier, brighter and calmer than it has been, thanks to a high pressure ridge toppling south-eastwards across the country. However, central and southern areas could have a rather cold night on Monday with patchy fog.

The middle of the week is likely to see low pressure to the north-west, drawing in milder air from the south, with some wet and windy weather for western and northern parts of the UK. Towards the end of the week, the forecast details become very uncertain. Most likely is for a battleground to set-up between colder air developing over northern areas of the UK and mild air lingering in the south. On the boundary of the colder and milder air, there is the potential for some very wet weather, perhaps even with some snow mixed in on the northern flank of any bands of rain. However, there is much uncertainty currently over where this boundary will be.

Monday 28 October – Sunday 3 November

Potentially cold at first. Near normal rainfall

A potentially rather cold start to the week with high pressure to the north bringing chillier northerly or easterly winds for a time. The extent of the colder weather is uncertain at present but the northern half of the UK has a greater risk than the south. Some night frosts appear likely with some wintry precipitation possible but with the highest risk for the north and over hills. Later in the week, we should see any cold weather receding, allowing temperatures to recover near or a little above average. There is likely to be some rain at times. Overall, rainfall amounts are likely to be near to the seasonal average for most. There is a chance that milder air moves in much more quickly than expected from the south which would bring a much milder week overall to the British Isles.

Monday 4 November – Sunday 17 November

Turning milder and eventually wetter again

For the first half of November, latest indications are for low pressure areas to be often located to the west or northwest of the British Isles while a high pressure area becomes located over central and eastern Europe. This is a mild scenario for much of the UK with winds often expected to be from the south or west. However, the low pressure areas are likely to bring bands of rain at times and the wind is likely to increase too.

Western and northern areas of the UK are favoured to see the most frequent wet and breezy conditions. Rainfall should stay nearer normal for November over central and eastern areas of England. Overall, we see a suppressed risk of any significant wintry weather through this period. The main risk is that low pressure develops more strongly over the UK, bringing wetter and windier than average conditions.

Further ahead

We will take another look to see if we can still expect a changeable weather outlook through the coming weeks.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

 

[Summer Sun]

This is the best yet

Quote

 

Exact day the first snow is forecast to fall in Surrey

 

Some forecasters are predicting an extremely cold winter with the occasional snow blast to keep us all interested. Exacta Weather is predicting a "colder than average" second half of October, with widespread frosts. The forecaster adds: "This will pave the way for what is shaping up to be a colder than average winter with some extreme cold weather events. “While these could start to make an impact within the next few weeks they will be particularly troublesome from December onwards."

However, long-range weather forecasting specialist AccuWeather is predicting that snow could fall sooner in Surrey. And SurreyLive can now announce the day: Sunday, November 10. Its long-range forecast for several major towns in the county, including Guildford, Woking, Staines, Leatherhead, Reigate and Horley has the little asterisk snow symbol next to a cloud and rain.

AccuWeather predicts for November 10: "Mainly cloudy; a bit of snow and rain at times in the morning followed by a shower in the afternoon." It will be a cold night, hovering around the 0°C mark, peaking at 9°C in the day but feeling like 5°C. There is forecast to be 0.3cm of snow along with 1.5 hours of rain. So while it may be a tad slushy there could be snow nonetheless. 

Unfortunately for snow lovers in Surrey that will be your lot for a while, according to AccuWeather. Christmas Day is forecast to be "partly sunny", with highs of 10°C. It is not all the way until January 11 that we are due to see the white stuff again in Surrey, with 0.3cm falling in the morning in the east of the county. It will reach Guildford and the west of Surrey the following day, January 12, according to AccuWeather.

 

https://www.getsurrey.co.uk/news/surrey-news/surrey-weather-forecast-first-snow-17105570

 

[Summer Sun]

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook

• Major change ahead
• Chance of early wintry spell
• Drier weather emerging

Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers* https://weathertrending.com/2019/10/18/john-hammond-month-ahead-ready-for-fireworks/

[Summer Sun]

Later this week 

Wet and windy north
Warmer south

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/50133030

 

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Chilly and calm next week, then milder and wetter.

_________________________________

Wednesday 23 October – Sunday 27 October

Unsettled weather then colder and drier.

Two bands of rain are going to move across the UK from two directions. The first brings rain across Scotland and Northern Ireland from the northwest, accompanied by strong winds, moving into Wales and northern England for the night-time. The second brings patchier rain from the southeast towards the Midlands. In between these it will be dry and bright for a while. Thursday will see these belts of rain across England and Wales weaken but north and west Scotland will have widespread showers, some heavy, with strong winds, up to gale force or even severe gale force in exposed western regions.

On Friday, southwest winds will bring slightly warmer conditions, especially across southeast England, between high pressure to the southeast and low pressure moving towards southern Ireland. The associated warm front pushes rain across Wales, most of England and southern Scotland, likely heaviest across Wales, northwest England and the north Midlands. Rain will only reach southeast England later in the day but strong winds could develop here. Northern Scotland will have scattered, blustery showers, some wintry at higher elevations. As rain becomes heavier there could also be some wet snow mixing in over the Southern Uplands, the Pennines and Snowdonia.

Rain will only slowly start to clear east and south-eastwards during Saturday and Saturday night, finally leaving Kent late Saturday night or Sunday morning. Northern Ireland and Scotland will have blustery showers, some heavy, widespread in areas exposed to the north-northwest wind. Other areas will have a lot of dry weather but a few stray showers could get pushed southwards. Most notably there will be colder air moving right across the country with temperatures below average everywhere.

Monday 28 October – Sunday 3 November

Rather cold and dry.

"Dry and chilly" would be a simple way to sum up the expected weather during the end of October and start of November. High pressure is expected to move in from the northwest and settle across the UK for a few days. This will mean frosty and occasionally foggy nights but otherwise mostly fine, dry and quite calm weather. However, winds could back north-easterly for a while, and this might cause a few North Sea showers to drift into eastern coastal areas of England and the north and east of Scotland, most likely around Monday 28th -Tuesday 29th October.

These could be wintry over higher ground just inland. There is a slight chance (about 25 per cent probability) that high pressure will become positioned a little farther east, and this would allow milder south to southwest flows into the UK. Later in the week the high pressure could weaken a little, and this could open the door to frontal systems coming across Scotland and then southwards down the North Sea, bringing chances of precipitation across northern and eastern regions.

Monday 4 November – Sunday 24 November

Turning milder and wetter.

There is a chance that high pressure could rebuild for a while near the British Isles during the first half of November, keeping quite dry weather for many areas for a while, although northern and western regions look increasingly likely to catch some rain and occasionally stronger winds. As the month wears on it looks more like that high pressure will slip away south-eastwards into the European continent, with low pressure areas often located to the west or northwest of the British Isles. This should ensure some milder southwest and westerly flows with temperatures lifting near seasonal or slightly above.

However, these low pressure systems are likely to move closer to the UK to bring bands of rain across more of the country, with increasing winds at times. Western and northern areas of the UK would be most likely to have the wettest and windiest conditions. Rainfall amounts should stay near normal for November over central and eastern areas of England.
Overall, we see a supressed risk of any significant wintry weather through this period. The main risk is that low pressure develops more strongly over the UK, bringing more widely wetter and windier than average conditions.

Further ahead

We will see if the set up for mid-November gives us any more detail on when the change from the drier, colder conditions to milder and wetter ones will happen.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook?ns_source=twitter&ns_linkname=news_central&ns_mchannel=social&ns_campaign=bbc_weather

 

[Summer Sun]

Oh dear. They're at it again...

UK snow forecast map: Weather chart shows more than 20cm of snow to engulf UK this weekend

 

BRITONS will be hit by a cold front this weekend in many parts of the country and for some, the cold weather could bring over 20cm of snow, a weather map has revealed.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1195048/uk-weather-forecast-snow-this-weekend-bbc-weather-met-office

UK weather forecast: Yellow weather warning issued as Britain faces 'significant' snowfall

 

BRITAIN will be struck by snow going into the weekend and yet more torrential rain as the Met Office issues a yellow weather warning for the nation.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1194893/uk-weather-forecast-latest-met-office-update-october-2019-autumn-weather-warning

 

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

5 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Oh dear. They're at it again...

UK snow forecast map: Weather chart shows more than 20cm of snow to engulf UK this weekend

 

BRITONS will be hit by a cold front this weekend in many parts of the country and for some, the cold weather could bring over 20cm of snow, a weather map has revealed.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1195048/uk-weather-forecast-snow-this-weekend-bbc-weather-met-office

UK weather forecast: Yellow weather warning issued as Britain faces 'significant' snowfall

 

BRITAIN will be struck by snow going into the weekend and yet more torrential rain as the Met Office issues a yellow weather warning for the nation.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1194893/uk-weather-forecast-latest-met-office-update-october-2019-autumn-weather-warning

 

Do they have a 7-year old child in charge of editing ?

[Summer Sun]

UK weather forecast: Met Office warns a month's rain will fall in just 30 hours

 

Quote

A month's worth of rain is expected to fall over 30 hours today and tomorrow, the Met Office warns. Snow showers will also hit parts of northern Britain today as the first 'significant' mountain snow of the season arrives. Met Office forecaster Aidan McGivern said 100 to 120mm of rain is possible over the peaks of Snowdonia and the Brecon Beacons in Wales.

http://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/weather/uk-weather-forecast-met-office-warns-a-months-rain-will-fall-in-just-30-hours/ar-AAJkfeA?li=BBoPWjQ&ocid=ACERDHP17

 

[Summer Sun]

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook

• Cold end to October
• Milder through November?
• Bullish winter forecasts

Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers* https://weathertrending.com/2019/10/25/john-hammond-month-ahead-early-taste-winter/

 

[Sceptical]

BBC news article on Icelands disappearing glaciers.

Images reveal Iceland's glacier melt

WWW.BBC.CO.UK

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A photography project has highlighted the extent of ice loss from Iceland’s largest glaciers.

 

 

Edited October 25, 2019 by Sceptical

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Chilly and calm next week, then milder and wetter.

_________________________________

Saturday 26 October – Sunday 3 November

Chilly and largely dry. Some rain in the SW later.

The heavy rain band will only slowly clear away southeast through Saturday, with continuing flooding threats across the north of England, the Southwest and Wales, especially the latter. Winds will be strong across southern counties, gusting 40-50 mph. The rain will clear southeast out of Kent late evening or overnight. Colder air already in place over Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England early Saturday will follow the rain clearance. The west and north of Scotland will have a rash of showers, some heavy, and wintry above 500-600 m. Winds here will moderate slightly but increase again later to gust 45-55 mph. Sunday will dawn frosty except in the Southeast and it will stay chilly through the day. There will be a lot of dry and sunny weather around but further showers over northwest and northern Scotland, although these will start to become fewer as winds ease. Just a few isolated showers could drift across SW Scotland, NW England and N Wales.

Monday and Tuesday will be chilly with overnight frosts but many areas will have sunshine. A few showers are possible for N Scotland and could drift from the North Sea onto eastern coasts. Any such showers should shift to southern East Anglia and Kent on Tuesday. S Wales and the SW and far S of England will become cloudier with a chance of a period of rain or drizzle for a time Monday night into Tuesday. The rest of the week has rather low confidence. Many areas should stay dry and chilly, especially the farther north and east you are. There are chances of rain across SW England, Wales and far southern England but it is very uncertain how far this will come, although through the weekend the chances of rain pushing farther north and east increase a little.

Monday 4 November – Sunday 10 November

Chilly for the north, rain risk in south and west

Confidence in the forecast is only moderate at best. Most likely there will be high pressure developing over Scandinavia and exerting its influence sufficiently to maintain chilly and mostly dry weather across northern and north-eastern parts of the UK with just occasional shower chances. It looks like Atlantic low pressure systems will begin to reactivate but indications are that they will tend to move towards western and south-western Europe.

It is therefore questionable how far their influence will extend across the UK but frontal systems should push far enough north to bring chances of periodic rain and increased winds to southern and western regions. This should also bring some milder air across the more southern areas of Britain. The main risk to this forecast is that low pressure systems will push farther north to bring wetter and windier conditions to more of the country by the second week of November.

Monday 11 November – Sunday 24 November

Turning milder and wetter.

Although confidence remains low, what is most likely to happen during mid to late November is that low pressure systems will finally start to have more impact. The low pressure track into W and SW Europe should shift farther north, bringing not only periods of rain and stronger winds but also somewhat milder conditions with temperatures lifting near or a little above seasonal.

If this situation evolves as expected, then wettest and windiest weather would most likely be across northern and western regions of the UK. There looks to be little risk of any significant wintry weather through this period. The main risk is that the atmospheric pattern ends up with stronger high pressure building west of the UK, and this would drive colder and less wet conditions across the country. Nevertheless, even if this less likely situation were to develop then there shouldn't be any risk of severe cold.

Further ahead

We will look again at this expected change further into November. Will there be more confidence on a switch to this wetter, windier and milder pattern, or will low pressure systems continue to slip more into west and southwest Europe?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

 

Edited October 26, 2019 by Summer Sun

[Summer Sun]

Rain causes travel disruption in Wales and Shropshire

Quote

 

Roads and rail services have been affected by heavy rain continues to fall across most of Wales and parts of western England. A Met Office weather warning said many places would see 2in-3in (60mm-80mm) with south-east and south-west Wales expected to be hardest hit. There are also a dozen flood warnings in place across Wales. Traffic Wales said roads in Ceredigion and Powys had been flooded while some rail services have also been affected.

Transport for Wales (TfW) advised rail travellers to check journeys before travelling. Flooding has led to line closures between Shrewsbury and Welshpool, Abercynon and Aberdare and on the Fishguard Harbour Line.

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-50192517?ns_source=twitter&ns_mchannel=social&ns_campaign=bbc_weather&ns_linkname=news_central

 

[Summer Sun]

Into next week

Drier and sunnier 
Cooler

End of next week

Turning unsettled
Milder

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/50196737

 

[Summer Sun]

Weekend

Rain at times
Mild

Into next week

Unsettled
Spells of rain
Windy at times
Generally mild

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/50215251

 

[Sceptical]

51 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Weekend

Rain at times
Mild

Into next week

Unsettled
Spells of rain
Windy at times
Generally mild

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/50215251

 

Ah, that explains why the MOD threas is a tad quieter.

Edited October 28, 2019 by Sceptical

[Summer Sun]

UK weather forecast: Britain facing two weeks of SNOW and Halloween whiteout as cold bites

A PLUME of freezing air from the Arctic is about to descend across Britain putting parts of the nation at risk of snow through the next fortnight.

Quote

 

Wintery flurries are forecast during the tail end of October and possibly into mid-November as bookies start to slash the odds on a Christmas whiteout. It comes amid forecasts temperatures will plummet to -5C (23F) this week with trick or treaters to the far north of the UK facing a White Halloween. Elsewhere a clash in weather systems will bring an unusually dank and ‘murky’ witching hour, forecasters say,

Weather charts show the risk of a flurry in Scotland on the spookiest night of the year although it will be confined to high ground. Britain’s weather will make a dramatic u-turn over the next 24 hours with bitter northerly winds bringing the first taste of winter. An easterly airflow will set in around mid-week ushering a Scandinavian chill across the nation, forecasters warn.

 

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1196732/UK-weather-forecast-snow-warning-Halloween-cold-October-2019-latest

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Drier mid-November, otherwise rather wet

_________________________________

Wednesday 30 October – Sunday 3 November

Becoming milder, wetter and windier

Rain will linger across the southwest of England and over southernmost Wales during Wednesday. This rain will edge into Northern Ireland on Thursday but much of the UK will have another fine day. Towards the end of the day, some heavier rain will push in form the west and spread east across the UK during Thursday night. Milder air will come in with this rain, reducing the chances of frost. Friday will then be overcast, misty and murky with further rain or drizzle for many, there will also be some hill fog. Across Wales and much of England, the rain will become more showery but locally heavy with a chance of thunder. Overnight, rain will steadily clear eastwards but it is likely to stay wet across Scotland and Northern Ireland. Meanwhile, a deepening low pressure system from the west will bring more rain to SW England and parts of Wales, some heavy with thunderstorm risks, winds will also strengthen, with gusts of 50-60 mph possible in the southwest by morning.

Rain is expected to move north and east across all of Wales and England on Saturday, some heavy, especially for Wales and the south and west of England. More significantly, winds could become very strong with gusts of around 50 mph across southern Britain, possibly over 60 mph in the far SW. Rain should push into Scotland later in the day but it will not be as heavy and with easterly winds some sheltered western areas will be drier. On Sunday, low pressure is likely to linger but weaken. This will bring further rain or showers across the country but winds will steadily ease.

Monday 4 November – Sunday 10 November

Chilly for the north. Rain in the south and west

Rain over southern regions looks likely to spread northwards across the rest of the UK for Monday, some of it heavy, especially across the south. There is a slight risk that the responsible low pressure system will be further south than expected, meaning drier and slightly chillier conditions would be possible for Scotland and Northern Ireland. However, confidence is reasonably high that southern regions will be wet and windy. As the week progresses, it becomes more likely that low pressure systems will track rather further south, so although the southern UK should stay wet and reasonably mild with temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average, the north of the country, especially Scotland, will have an increasing likelihood of drier and colder incursions with overnight frosts and fog.

That is not to say that it will be dry every day but any wetter spells would be shorter and less frequent, and with easterly wind flows western Scotland could have some of the country's best weather through the second half of the week. An alternative scenario is for low pressure to weaken more quickly and drop further south with high pressure building more from the north and east. This would produce colder and drier conditions more widely, although especially across the northern half of the country.

Monday 11 November – Sunday 24 November

Turning milder and wetter

Confidence is rather low through this period because we will probably see changes in the weather pattern, and the timing of such changes is uncertain. Nevertheless, around the middle of the month it looks like the jet stream weakens, and thus low pressure systems associated with it become less vigorous and adopt a more southerly track into western and south-central Europe. This is likely to be compounded by high pressure building towards the UK from the north and northeast to deliver a drier, calmer and chillier period across most of the country with more widespread overnight frost and fog risks. T

he highest chance of any rain would be for southernmost regions. The risk to this forecast is that low pressure would linger and cause the mild, wet and windy weather to linger for longer. During the third week of November it looks like low pressure systems will reinvigorate and take a more northern track, thus bringing a return to milder, wetter and windier conditions across the British Isles. It is uncertain exactly when this change back to unsettled weather might occur, and there is about a 30 per cent risk that the high pressure will influence the weather pattern for longer, allowing chilly and rather dry weather to linger until late-November.

Further ahead

We'll take a closer look at how the forecast for the rest of November and early December is shaping up.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

[Summer Sun]

Next few days

Cloudier
Wetter
Windier

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/50255311

 

[Summer Sun]

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook

• Cold air returns next week
• Possible drier spell mid-month
• Mixed messages as winter nears

Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers* https://weathertrending.com/2019/11/01/john-hammond-month-ahead-cold-run-warm-winter/

 

[Summer Sun]

Next 10 days

Very unsettled

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/50269907

 

[Summer Sun]

Live weather updates for Devon and Cornwall: Trees down and ferries cancelled as 100mph winds hit

Quote

 

Trees have fallen on roads across Devon and Cornwall as winds of more than 100mph batter the region. Hundreds of properties across the south west are without power this morning following several power cuts. The Torpoint Ferry and the Dartmouth Higher Ferry are not operating due to stormy weather, which is due to remain for much of the day.

A Met Office warning for high winds, which came into effect at 4am, covers all of southern England. A yellow warning for rain, covering north Cornwall and north Devon, Wales and the north west of England, also came into effect at 6am. The wind warning comes to an end at 6pm, while the rain warning finishes at midnight.

 

https://www.cornwalllive.com/news/live-weather-updates-devon-cornwall-3494581?utm_source=twitter.com&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=sharebar

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Drier and cooler mid-month, otherwise rather wet.

_________________________________

Saturday 2 November – Sunday 10 November

Wet and windy, becoming drier and colder.

Wet and windy through the weekend, especially for Wales and Southwest England. Rain or sowers will be heavy at times with light lightning risks. Rainfall totals of 50-70 mm are possible of Wales and SW England, especially upland locations, and 50-80 mm for northeast Scotland. Western Scotland should become drier on Sunday. A band of rain will move southeast across the country during Monday, leaving drier and brighter conditions to the north but with a few scattered showers and chillier air moving in. That colder air will spread across the whole country on Tuesday as rain departs the Southeast, leaving some sunshine and a few scattered showers, wintry over northern Scotland. Wednesday will also be chilly, with more rain only slowly pushing north-eastwards across the country.

On its leading edge there will be a period of wet snow over Central and Northern Scotland with some accumulations, and temporarily also over the Southern Uplands and North Pennines before soon turning to rain. Rain will steadily clear eastwards but scattered showers will follow across Wales, the south and southwest of England, and for Scotland, where some will be wintry. A sluggish and complex area of low pressure will keep rain or showers over much of the country through Thursday and Friday.
The end of the week looks drier and colder but not extremely so, with high pressure starting to build across Scotland as low pressure systems drive farther south into Continental Europe. A few showers would be possible in the east thanks to chilly north-easterly winds. Overnight frosts will be widespread.

Monday 11 November – Sunday 17 November

Turning milder and wetter.

Confidence is lower through this period, mainly because a change in the weather pattern is expected but it is uncertain exactly when that will occur. The start of the week looks like maintaining the largely dry and chilly weather with high pressure dominating across the north of the country. These conditions could last through midweek but there will be increasing chances of low pressure systems starting to move closer, bringing periods of rain or a few showers, and it would become somewhat milder.

As the start of the week should stay rather cold with overnight frost and patches of fog, through the second half of the week a changeover to more unsettled weather begins to look more likely, with increasing chances of Atlantic low pressure systems bringing a wetter, windier and milder regime late in the week. The greatest uncertainty is around midweek. There is about a 30 per cent chance that this mobile and low-pressure dominated pattern asserts itself more quickly, bringing wet and windy conditions earlier in the week. Alternatively, there is a low probability, around 10 per cent, of the drier, colder high pressure dominance lingering.

Monday 18 November – Sunday 1 December

Monday 18th to Sunday 1st December

It is unlikely that the latter part of November will see a return colder and drier weather once the unsettled conditions become established. In fact, there is no significantly cold weather on the horizon all the way through to early December. Instead, occasional low pressure systems mid-month look like becoming more frequent, bringing bouts of rain and periodic strong winds. With a generally west to south-westerly flow of winds this should be a relatively mild period of weather with temperatures often above the seasonal average, and only dipping near or a little below average between weather systems.

This expectation is based on the probability of high pressure becoming established in the vicinity of Spain and Italy, pushing a vigorous low pressure track towards the British Isles, often with a deep south-westerly flow bringing moisture and mild air. Not only do longer-range models suggest this type of set-up, analogues for later November and December support the idea of a mobile and unsettled pattern with increasing threats of strong winds. There is moderate confidence on with a 25-30 per cent risk of an alternate scenario whereby the Scandinavian high pressure persists more strongly and exerts more influence on the UK and Ireland. That would mean drier and colder conditions than currently expected.

Further ahead

Mild and wet or cold and dry for the rest of November and early December?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

[Summer Sun]

Strong winds: Scaffolding collapses and travel disruption

Quote

 

Cars have been damaged in a street in Dorset after scaffolding collapsed in strong winds. The structure was blown over in Dorset Street, Blandford Forum, during the early hours, closing the road between The Close and Fields Oak. Dorset Police has warned people not to make "unnecessary journeys". A yellow weather warning for strong winds, with gusts of up to 80mph, is in place across the south of England until 18:00 GMT.

Flood warnings have also been issued by The Environment Agency for Preston Beach in Weymouth and Chiswell, West Bay, Lyme Regis and Christchurch. The Environment Agency has also issued 22 flood alerts for rivers across Devon. Western Power Distribution said more than 1,500 properties in Somerset are without power after high winds caused faults.

On the south coast Scottish and Southern Electricity Networks (SSEN) said more than 3,000 homes and businesses including parts of the New Forest and the Isle of Wight are suffering power cuts.

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-50273590

[Summer Sun]

10 day outlook

Starting unsettled
Turning colder
Perhaps drier later

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/50277283