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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Wet and windy this week, but becoming drier

_________________________________

Wednesday 13 March—Sunday 17 March

Very windy this week with heavy rain in places.

The unsettled, wet and windy weather will continue for most of the rest of this week. It should finally start to settle down later this weekend, but it will become chillier. 'Storm Gareth' will be close enough to the UK on Wednesday to bring strong winds to many areas of the country, with showers and longer spells of rain too. Wednesday evening looks relatively dry, but the next Atlantic weather system will move in from the west on Wednesday night so most areas will have a wet start to Thursday. Thursday itself will see rain clearing to sunny spells and showers in most areas, but it will be another windy day.

There will be another brief respite on Thursday evening before another low pressure system moves in from the west of Friday. There is some uncertainty over the track of this low, but there is the potential for another spell of very wet and very windy weather. Friday's low will slowly move away on Friday night but yet another low is likely to move across the UK on Saturday. Sunday should bring improving conditions though, as a ridge of high pressure starts to build in from the south-west. Whilst it will become much drier and calmer on Sunday weather, it will become colder. Sunday night will be rather chilly and there may be a frost in some areas.

Monday 18 March—Sunday 24 March

Much less wet and windy for all areas.

A chilly start to next week with the chance of a frost on Monday morning and with daytime temperatures a bit below normal too. However, it will be much less windy and wet than it has been over recent days thanks to a ridge of high pressure which is expected to be situated close to or over the south of the UK. This ridge is expected to remain nearby for most of next week, so southern parts of the UK should see a lot more dry and calm weather than of late.

There will be the chance of some rain at times, but there will be a lot more dry weather. Temperatures should recover too, and by mid-week will be near normal for the time of year, perhaps a little above in places. The north of the UK will be furthest from the ridge of high pressure, so will have more changeable weather. Some rain is likely at times and it may become rather breezy, although it will not be as wet and windy as the current week. Temperatures will recover too after a chilly start to the week, returning to near normal for the time of year.

Monday 25 March—Sunday 7 April

Dry and mild in the south, changeable in the north

High pressure is expected to remain near or over the south of the UK during the last week of March. It should bring drier, calmer and slightly milder weather to most of England, Wales. However, Northern Ireland and Scotland will see rainfall and winds nearer normal, as the Atlantic keeps some influence on the weather across the north of the UK. There will be little change as we move into April, with southern areas generally drier, calmer and milder than normal, whilst northern areas see occasional rain.

As always when forecasting the weather at this range, there are alternate scenarios. In this case, the most likely alternative picture is that high pressure will remain a little further west than we expect it too. This would allow cooler, wetter and windier weather to extend from the north at times, with northern and eastern parts of the UK potentially becoming wetter than normal. There is a roughly 25% risk of this happening.

Next Update

Will there be any sign of anything interrupting the spring weather we're expecting at the end of March and start of April?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Met office 10 day trend

Next week

Calming down
Frosts return
Unsettled in north-west

Later next week

Much drier
Less windy
Maybe warming up

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook

  • Stormy weather subsides
  • Drier and warmer spell
  • Lingering frost risk

Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers*  https://weathertrending.com/2019/03/15/john-hammond-month-ahead-calm-down/

*Subscription is free but you must sign up to view 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Settling down after a cool, wet, windy weekend

_________________________________

Saturday 16 March—Sunday 24 March

Becoming calmer after a windy weekend

The recent spell of very unsettled, wet and windy weather is about to come to an end, but not until after a deep area of low pressure has moved across the UK on Saturday. A ridge of high pressure will start to build in the south from Sunday, and this ridge will remain across the south of the UK for much of next week.

In more detail, a developing low pressure system will move eastwards across the UK on Saturday. The centre of the system will pass across Northern Ireland first, then move across southern Scotland and northern England. This weather system will bring another spell of wet and windy weather to many areas of the UK. Gales are possible in some areas, coupled with widespread, locally heavy rain. Central and northern Scotland should avoid the worst of the winds, but will be likely to see snow, this potentially down to low levels.

The low pressure system will move away on Saturday night and on Sunday, but it will be slow to do so, so Sunday is expected to be a windy day with sunny spells and heavy, blustery showers. Later on Sunday, a ridge of high pressure will start to build in from the west. This will mark the start of a spell of much calmer weather. The ridge will remain across the south of the UK for most of next week, so it will be much drier and calmer than it has been recently, although with occasional rain for some northern parts of the country. However, there could be a brief spell of unsettled weather next weekend. Sunday and Monday will be chilly days and there may be a frost in some areas each night. Temperatures will return to near normal, perhaps locally above normal, next week.

Monday 25 March—Sunday 31 March

Much less wet and windy for all areas

After the often wet and windy start to the month, March does indeed look likely to 'go out like a lamb'. High pressure is expected to remain nearby throughout the last week of March. It is most likely to be centred close to or over the south of the UK, but it may expand northwards at times. The upshot of this is that the southern half of the UK is likely to remain relatively settled and dry with light winds. The north of the country will also have some calm and dry weather, although there could be occasional spells of rain and it may become rather breezy at times. Temperatures will be near or a little above the average for the time of year.

The main alternative pattern for the end of March is that we could see low pressure areas developing over Scandinavia or the North Sea, moving into Central Europe. This would tend to make it breezier and cool for the UK and Ireland, with a chance of frequent showers in the north, these perhaps wintry on hills. However, there is a relatively low chance of this, with March much more likely to end on a relatively dry and settled note.

Monday 1 April—Sunday 14 April

Drier, calmer and a little warmer than normal

The most likely weather pattern for the start of April has high pressure lingering close to the UK. It looks most likely to be near the west of the country, blocking the usual eastwards progression of Atlantic weather systems. As a result, the first couple of weeks of April are most likely to be both drier and less windy than normal for the time of year, although still with a chance of spells of wetter, breezier weather for Scotland. It also looks a little warmer than usual in most areas.

However, as always when forecasting the weather at this range, we tend to see one or more alternate patterns. The main alternative to our expected picture is for the ridge of high pressure to stay further west, which would allow low pressure systems to move close to or just to the east of the UK. This would mean cooler, wetter and windier weather. There is also a chance that the ridge of high pressure will move to the north-east of the UK. This too would result in cooler and breezier weather, but it would remain relatively dry. There is a roughly 60/40% split between our most likely scenario and our two alternatives.

Next Update

Will high pressure cling on into the second half of April, or will we see some more traditional April showers?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Climate change: Water shortages in England 'within 25 years'

Within 25 years England will not have enough water to meet demand, the head of the Environment Agency is warning. The impact of climate change, combined with population growth, means the country is facing an "existential threat", Sir James Bevan told the Waterwise Conference in London.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47620228

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Posted
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine and 15-25c
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
1 hour ago, Summer Sun said:

Climate change: Water shortages in England 'within 25 years'

Within 25 years England will not have enough water to meet demand, the head of the Environment Agency is warning. The impact of climate change, combined with population growth, means the country is facing an "existential threat", Sir James Bevan told the Waterwise Conference in London.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47620228

Crap and outdated infrastructure followed by population increase is the main factor here..bog all to do with climate change..water companies lose millions of gallons a water a day through breakages and leaks ..to my knowledge the UK hasn't got any drier in the last 150 years

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
9 minutes ago, cheeky_monkey said:

Crap and outdated infrastructure followed by population increase is the main factor here..bog all to do with climate change..water companies lose millions of gallons a water a day through breakages and leaks ..to my knowledge the UK hasn't got any drier in the last 150 years

It's got everything to do with climate change, CM: warmer weather causes increased water consumption...Must we keep up this denialist nonsense for ever?

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Posted
  • Location: Torrington, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: storms - of the severe kind
  • Location: Torrington, Devon

so water shortages and stand pipes in 1976... no-one mentioned climate change.. it was caused by two dry summer's in a row

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Extended fine and settled weather next few weeks

_________________________________

Wednesday 20 March—Sunday 24 March

Becoming colder and more unsettled

Much of the UK will see mild and settled weather until Friday, with a cloudy warm sector lingering across the country at times. This will bring rather cloudy conditions for many today, and there will be some patchy rain or drizzle across Scotland and Northern Ireland. The best of the sunshine will be across central and eastern Britain, where it will be very mild for the time of year. Clear spells with occasional mist or fog patches across England and Wales tonight, but remaining breezier with outbreaks of rain in Scotland.

High pressure will linger just to the south of the UK on Thursday, maintaining largely dry conditions with sunny spells, although there could be a few spots of drizzle in the west. A slow-moving front will bring persistent rain at times to north-west Scotland, which will continue overnight, but it will remain very mild for all. A deep area of low pressure is expected to move to the north-west of Scotland on Friday, bringing strong winds to northern Scotland and the Northern Isles, while a cold front will push a band of increasingly patchy rain south-east across central and northern Britain. The best of the sunshine will be in southern and central areas. It will become colder in the north overnight, with hail, sleet and snow showers for western Scotland.

Winds will ease for all on Friday, with settled and dry weather for England and Wales, although the sunshine will be rather hazy. Further blustery wintry showers will affect Scotland, perhaps with the odd rumble of thunder. A cold night will follow with a frost in places. It will remain windy in the north on Sunday, with further showers or longer spells of rain, but dry and breezy with sunny spells in the south.

Monday 25 March—Sunday 31 March

High pressure dominating

Through next week, high pressure will dominate the weather across much of the country. Monday may start off on a chilly note across eastern Britain, perhaps with the odd shower, although high pressure will soon build in from the west, giving a dry and settled end to the day, and winds will become light. Some mist or fog may form overnight, and it will be rather chilly locally. These largely dry and settled conditions will be maintained on Tuesday and Wednesday, thanks to high pressure located right on top of the country. Although the nights may be cold with some fog patches, the days will be fine with a good deal of sunshine.

After midweek, high pressure may slip a little to the south or south-west of the UK, allowing fronts to bring cloud and occasional bands of rain to north-western areas; particularly across Scotland and Northern Ireland. It will become increasingly breezy here too, although winds will remain light elsewhere. It will remain on the mild side for all areas though, with south-westerly flows predominating. By the end of the week, the main alternative pattern is for low pressure to extend its grip more widely across the UK from the north-west, leading to windier and wetter conditions, particularly in the north.

Monday 1 April—Sunday 14 April

Fine, warm and largely dry

By the first week of April, it looks like high pressure will build more strongly north across the UK and indeed much of northern Europe. The widespread extent of high pressure will prevent Atlantic lows areas from making their traditional approach towards the UK, forcing them to skirt closer to Iceland. Therefore, there will be a lot of dry, calm weather across central and southern Britain in particular, while weak fronts could bring patchy rain to northern Britain at times, perhaps lingering close to north-west Scotland where the rain could be persistent. An isolated weak front could even bring a few spots of rain to England and Wales, interrupting the otherwise dry, fine and settled weather here.

With winds often from the south or south-west, temperatures will be above average for all, particularly across England and Wales where the strengthening sunshine will boost temperatures further.

As we look towards the middle of April, there is still a consistent signal for high pressure to remain quite extensive across and close to the UK. This should be more widespread across the UK and north-east Atlantic than early in the month, and so we expect it to become drier and calmer more widely, including across northern Britain. There is a risk of occasional short northerly airflows bringing colder bursts of air to the north and east of the country, but temperatures should still remain above average for all areas, with winds remaining light and a good deal of sunshine during the days. There is, however, some uncertainty regarding the exact orientation and location of the high, with a slight risk that low pressure becomes more influential towards the UK, as the main high pressure areas shifts further east towards Scandinavia.

Next Update

How far into April can we expect to see the fine and settled conditions last?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook

  • Several more fine days
  • Rain by the end of the month
  • April looking showery

Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers*  https://weathertrending.com/2019/03/22/john-hammond-month-ahead-all-sorts-april/

*Subscription is free but you must sign up to view 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Mostly fine weather with a brief unsettled period

_________________________________

Saturday 23 March—Sunday 31 March

High pressure dominating

This weekend will see some briefly unsettled conditions, mainly in the north, as a frontal system moves northeast of Scotland bringing some stronger winds and scattered sharp showers to Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England. Further south it will stay largely dry and fine, however. Through next week, high pressure will dominate the weather across much of the country. Monday may start off on a chilly note across much of Britain, but clear skies and light winds will make for a settled day. This trend is expected to continue through the working week, with largely clear skies and light winds with increasingly mild afternoons as the week goes on.

By Thursday and Friday highs will likely be in the mid-to-upper teens across England. Overnight, widespread fog is expected, especially in the Midlands and East Anglia, although valleys in Wales and Scotland like see some fog too. This could become dense in places, resulting in some morning travel disruptions. The main exception to the fine and settled weather will be northern Scotland and the Northern Isles, where weak fronts will approach from the north throughout the week. The high to the south will keep the fronts from getting too close, but they will still bring in cloudy skies and patchy light rain with a moderate breeze. Over the weekend of the 30th and 31st the high pressure will gradually shift eastwards into Central Europe, which will allow a frontal system to move in from the northwest. This will likely bring rain to mostly northern and western counties, while central and eastern Britain stays mostly dry but becomes increasingly cloudy.

Monday 1 April—Sunday 7 April

Temporarily more unsettled, wetter, and windier

Following on from the previous weekend, Monday looks to see a very gradual shift in the pattern from high pressure dominating to more unsettled weather with low pressure in charge. The high will likely be sluggish to shift eastwards, so this transition is expected to be very gradually with western and northern areas becoming wet and windy one or two days before central and eastern areas do. Occasional fronts will move in, pushing ever further eastwards before dissipating.

Some strong winds are likely for Scotland and Northern Ireland at times Low pressure is expected to dive south into the western Mediterranean in the second half of the week and into the weekend. While this low is over the UK it will be rather showery across the country, but these will gradually shift southward as the low heads across France. But even after the low heads off to the south, a large low pressure trough will remain over the UK which will generally keep things unsettled. High pressure building in the east will strengthen through the end of the week and weekend, and herald things to come for the UK, although its impacts during the first week of April will likely be minimal.

Monday 8 April—Sunday 21 April

Fine, warm and largely dry

High pressure will gradually build over the UK and Central Europe, bringing a return of the settled weather from the end of March. Conditions will likely be settled, calm, and dry for most of the country, although once again the notable exception to this will be northern Scotland and the Northern Isles, where weak fronts will bring light rain and mostly cloudy skies. Overall high pressure is expected to be a major player in the weather for the rest of April, however there will likely be some day-to-day variations beyond the middle of the month. Strong high pressure building in the North Atlantic could lead to a wavier pattern over Europe, which will bring some dry, settled periods interspersed with some transient wetter spells as the high centre shifts slightly to the west or east, allowing some weak lows to move close.

There are good signals in place for mostly prolonged high pressure building in from the southwest, which will let up tap into some warmer African air. April is expected to be a generally above average month in terms of temperatures, with some very mild days with afternoon highs for much of the country in the mid-to-upper teens. Spring looks to be rearing its head at long last. There is a degree of uncertainty remaining for mid-to-late April on just how settled things will be. There is a risk that things could take a much stormier turn if high pressure shifts too far eastwards, allowing stronger frontal systems to push in. This is unlikely to result in any widespread and prolonged cold, however.

Next Update

Is winter truly finished for 2019, or might we see a few more cold snaps later in April?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Weather Online May and June outlook

Mixed May

Mild June

Issued: Sunday 24th March 2019
Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling

*May*

  • A mixed month.
  • Spells of dry weather, but some spells of showery weather too.
  • There could be some heavy showers, especially mid month.
  • Cool spells.
  • Probably best in east.


*June*

  •  
  • Ridge of high pressure is likely to bring a fair start.
  • Probably a drier than average month.
  • Driest in the south.
  • Milder for all too.

https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/reports/seasonal-outlook.htm

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Portugal wildfires: Country on high alert after soaring temperatures spark early fires

Portugal is on high alert for wildfires after unseasonably soaring temperatures for March and a prolonged dry spell. The warning is in place until Sunday because of what authorities say is a "significant worsening of the wildfire risk". Some regions have seen temperatures of 28C (82.4F), much hotter than it normally is at this time of year and there is no rain in sight

https://news.sky.com/story/portugal-wildfires-country-on-high-alert-after-soaring-temperatures-spark-early-fires-11676477

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

A changeable outlook; unsettled for a time next week

_________________________________

Wednesday 27 March—Sunday 31 March

Patchy rain on Saturday; otherwise settled.

Through the rest of this week, much of the UK will see often dry and settled weather thanks to an area of high pressure in the south. Much of the UK will also have some decent periods of sunshine through the coming days. The days will become rather warm in the south, too, with highs reaching the mid to high teens Celsius. However, the nights will still be quite chilly, particularly in the south, with a touch of frost possible in sheltered rural areas. Patchy mist and fog are likely, too, over the southern half of the UK during the nights and early mornings. One exception to the dry and settled weather will be over northwest Scotland, where brisk westerly winds are likely to bring a lot of cloud and some occasional rain and drizzle. On Saturday, a weak front will move southwards across the whole country, bringing a band of cloud and patchy rain. Otherwise, many areas will have a predominantly dry week.

Monday 1 April—Sunday 7 April

Chillier, breezier and showery for a time.

On Monday, many central, southern and eastern areas of the UK should hold onto mainly dry and settled conditions. However, fronts will approach from the north-west, heralding a change in the weather with brisk winds and rain starting to reach north-western parts of the country. Breezier, chillier and showery conditions are then likely to sweep southwards across the UK through Tuesday and Wednesday. Some of the showers are likely to be wintry, with hail and hill snow mixed-in.

However, there should be some sunshine at times. The nights are likely to be rather cold for April with a frost in places. The second half of next week should see a high pressure area move nearer to the UK again, bringing somewhat drier and less windy weather. However, a few showers could persist. By the very end of the week, we may see further wet and breezy weather spread from the north.

Monday 8 April—Sunday 21 April

Changeable but trending drier and milder later

Changeable conditions are likely for a time but there are indications for a trend towards lengthier dry and settled periods of weather as the month progresses. Through the second week of April, we expect another spell of wet and breezy weather to extend from the north for a time (although confidence regarding this is low). However, any unsettled spell should be fairly short-lived with the best of the drier and calmer weather most likely later in the week. Temperatures are expected to be near to the seasonal average. Into the third week of April, we should experience some lengthier periods of dry and settled weather as high pressure moves nearer to the UK again.

Temperatures are likely to lift too, rising a little above the seasonal average. Indeed, it should feel pleasant in any lengthier periods of sunshine. However, there will continue to be the potential for a few chilly nights and frosts cannot be ruled out. The main uncertainty is over the persistence of the high pressure area - there are chances that it could stay further away to the south-west, which would lead to a continuation of more changeable conditions with some rainfall and brisk winds at times.

Next Update

We will take another look to see whether April is likely to trend drier and calmer after a breezy and chilly start.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook

  • Chillier winds to start April
  • Sunshine and heavy showers
  • Drier later in the month

Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers*  https://weathertrending.com/2019/03/29/john-hammond-month-ahead-clocks-forward-winter-back/

*Subscription is free but you must sign up to view 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Unsettled next week, then drier and calmer

_________________________________

Saturday 30 March—Sunday 7 April

Becoming cooler this weekend. Unsettled next week.

The recent period of dry and calm weather will last into the weekend for most areas of the UK. A cold front will move southwards during Saturday, but this will be an increasingly weak feature, with the rain along the front tending to ease as it crosses Scotland. By the time the front reaches northern England on Saturday afternoon the rain will be very light and intermittent. Central and southern areas will remain dry and warm, but northern Scotland will become cool and windy with scattered showers. There may be some patchy rain in northern England on Saturday night, but most areas will be dry. It will be a chilly night in the north.


Sunday will be a cool day in all areas but it will be largely dry, and Sunday night will be dry and chilly, with the chance of a more widespread frost than Saturday night. Next week is expected to be a more unsettled week. Monday will see another front pushing down from the north-west, this bringing outbreaks of rain to many areas during the day or overnight. Tuesday looks very breezy or windy and chilly, with showers affecting many areas. The rest of the week will see low pressure near or over the UK, so further showers and rain are likely, although with some drier and calmer spells too. It will remain cool for the time of year and there could be the occasional overnight frost.

Monday 8 April—Sunday 14 April

Chillier, breezier and showery for a time.

The unsettled weather may continue into the start of the week, but there is increasingly high confidence that we will see a change to more settled weather during the week. There may be some showers or rain at the start of the week, perhaps accompanied by windy conditions in some areas. The low pressure area responsible for this unsettled weather should gradually move southwards or south-eastwards away from the UK in the first part of the week. At the same time, a ridge of high pressure will build across Scandinavia and this will start to influence our weather.

It should become drier and less windy in all areas, with rainfall generally near or below normal. Temperatures are also expected to rise from a little below normal, with the chance of a couple of chilly nights at the start of the week, to a degree or two above normal in most areas by the middle and end of the week. There is a little uncertainty over the details, and we may see high pressure building becoming more influential from much earlier in the week. If this happens then expect it to be dry, calm and perhaps a little less cold for most of the week.

Monday 15 April—Sunday 28 April

Dry with light winds. Warmer than normal.

The second half of April is expected to be fine, dry and settled as high pressure moves across the UK. This high pressure will continue to block Atlantic weather systems, preventing them reaching most of northern Europe. As a result, we expect all areas of the UK to be a lot drier than normal with lighter winds. Temperatures are expected to be a bit above normal, but there will still be the chance of some chilly nights, especially where skies remain clear and winds remain light.

The main alternative to our preferred dry and calm pattern involves the high pressure area shifting further west or south-west, allowing Atlantic low pressure systems to push across the UK and northern Europe at times. Even in this scenario, we would still expect any wet and breezy weather to be intermittent, with drier and calmer spells too. Temperatures would tend to vary around normal, with only a small chance of some colder northerly winds developing.

Next Update

We'll give more daily detail on the unsettled weather towards the end of the week, and we will see if there is any threat to the dry and calm weather currently expected for the middle and end of the month.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex

I wonder what makes the Daily Star reporters write such OTT headlines?  I think there could be something in the water supply!  It is something that the Daily Express regularly does.

Edited by Katrine Basso
Got the wrong name of the newspaper
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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Unsettled this week, then drier and calmer

_________________________________

Wednesday 3 April—Sunday 7 April

A brief return to winter

The UK is currently under the grip of a significant early spring cold spell, with many areas waking up to an air frost on Wednesday morning, with sleet and snow falling to low levels in northeast England and eastern Scotland for a time. There will be further wintry showers with hail, thunder and lightning, across Wales and central England today, with more general cloud and wintry precipitation lingering in the north, while there will be gales in western and northern Scotland. On Friday, many central and eastern areas will be dry with sunny spells, although it will be rather cloudy and wet in the west and far north.

Temperatures will climb closer to average for many areas, however, much of Britain should remain dry with banks of cloud and some sunny spells on Saturday, although cloud and rain will tend to linger across SW England and Wales for much of the day, with a few spots of rain for Scotland too.  It will be a touch milder for most over the weekend. By Sunday, an east to northeasterly airflow will become established, and there should be a lot of dry but quite cloudy weather, with a few spots of rain or light showers still possible.

Monday 8 April—Sunday 14 April

Largely settled, but cloudy at times

In stark contrast to this week, next week will be dominated by high pressure building to the north and northeast of the UK. This will maintain an easterly airflow during the first half of the week, although this won't bring any cold air from Scandinavia. In fact, temperatures will be about normal for the time of year, and there will be a lot of dry weather too, with the winds often light. However, areas of low cloud may move across the country from the North Sea at times, and these could be thick enough to produce a little patchy rain or occasional light showers. The sunniest and driest weather is most likely to be found across central and eastern Britain. 

There are indications that high pressure could briefly extend further southwest across the UK for a time around the middle of the week, allowing one or two colder and clearer nights to develop, although largely dry conditions are still expected. Towards the end of the week, an area of low pressure will slide southeast to the west of Britain, and this could push one or two weak fronts into southern and southwestern areas, where some patchy rain or showers could develop. Many central and northern areas should remain dry with occasional banks of cloud and spells of sunshine.

Monday 15 April—Sunday 28 April

High pressure giving a warm end to April

Around the middle of April, there may still be unsettled and showery days across southern Britain, as low pressure remains close for a time. This is not expected to last, as high pressure is expected to re-establish itself from the east or northeast, bringing a return to drier and calmer conditions once again. There may be some large diurnal temperature variations - with rather warm and sunny afternoons, but chilly nights developing under relatively clear skies. Occasional banks of low cloud or mist may drift into eastern coasts from the North Sea, limiting daytime temperatures here.


During the final week of the month, a number of different sources continue to support a rather 'blocked pattern', with high pressure near to or situated directly over the UK. This should allow lengthy periods of dry and calm weather for many areas. It is likely to be warm, with temperatures above normal for the time of year, although the nights could still be quite chilly at times. Towards the end of the month, wetter and windier conditions may return to northern Scotland, as low pressure develops to the north.

Next Update

Will April will end on a dry and warm note, or could low pressure return as we head into May?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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