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Storm Eleanor to SMASH UK: Hurricane-force winds will sweep Britain amid flood alert TODAY

A COLOSSAL storm brewing in the Atlantic will unleash hurricane-force winds across Britain from tonight.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/898717/Storm-Eleanor-UK-weather-warning-flood-alert-hurricane-winds-gales-Met-Office

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With state of the art technology and the latest info available at the flick of a switch I fail to see why the public should have to put up with out of date forecasts. In this fast moving situation its

I've only gone and done it. This went to the Press Complaints Commission this morning....         1i) The Press must take care not to publish inaccurate, misleading or distorted information, including

Some more images from London this morning  

Posted Images

BBC monthly outlook

*Dates are all to pot but it is the correct update*

Monday 1 January—Thursday 7 December
Wet and windy

Happy New Year! The weather has started on a very lively note in the wake of Storm Dylan. Low pressure is dominating the UK and will bring a succession of fronts across our shores. Wet and windy weather can be expected through the week at times, the rain heavy and the winds strong for some. The weekend looks set to quieten down with the brakes applied to the Atlantic mobility. It will become colder and more settled across the UK.

Friday 8 December—Thursday 14 December
A cold snap?

The cold weather looks set to firmly establish itself over the UK by the first part of next week. We can look forward to mainly dry weather, but with the risk of some widespread overnight frosts. There is great uncertainty as to how long this cold snap will last into next week. As fronts try to push back across the UK from the Atlantic we may see some significant snowfall in some areas.

Friday 15 December—Thursday 21 December
A return to milder conditions?

Frontal zones are likely to attempt to restore some Atlantic mobility with a renewed threat of snow. There are weak signals for unsettled, milder weather to return by the middle of January.

Next week

We will look again at the potential threat of snow and if or when the milder conditions may be set to return.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

Edited by Summer Sun
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This link to the US/Canada weather is well worth watching;

see the dog with a sledge, not only does it slide all the way down, it then tries to take tthe sledge back up to do it again-brilliant!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-42576978

Some the actual temperatures are mind boggling, add on the wind chill and -79!!

Cars frozen into floods, keep it I prefer here with a bit of frost and if I'm lucky snow once in a while

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 8 January—Sunday 14 January
Cold start, less cold but more unsettled later

It will be a fine and bright start to the week for many of us but chilly with a widespread frost. However, in the south of the country, cloud will be dragged up from the continent, leading to slightly less cold weather. The cloud will continue northwards through the day, reaching Lincolnshire by lunchtime and the Scottish borders by night. Monday night will again be cold but less so than the previous night.

Tuesday morning will see a lot of low cloud, with mist and hill fog across the country. We hold on to the cloud throughout the day, with some drizzle at times. By the end of the day, a band of rain will start to push in from the west across Northern Ireland and into the South West and Wales. This will slowly move northeastwards through the night, getting lighter and patchier as it does so, although as it hits the hills of Scotland we could see some snow. The last of the rain could take until the end of Thursday to fully clear the north east of Scotland but for much of the rest of the country there will be cloud and sunny spells through the end of Wednesday and Thursday. Where we have breaks in the cloud we could see fog forming on Thursday morning.

Friday will again see a mix of cloud and sunny spells across the country, with a band of heavy rain waiting in the west, ready to move across the country later in the day and into Saturday. This will fall as rain for most but we could again see some snow on the hills in the north and it will bring breezy conditions.

Sunday may turn more settled for a time, before the next weather system reaches us.

Monday 15 January—Sunday 21 January
Staying unsettled with some drier interludes

The unsettled weather is set to continue into next week, with fronts coming in off the Atlantic from the west or south west. This will bring wet and windy weather, with the risk of gales and some heavy downpours. We will also have the chance of snow over the mountains in Scotland. It is not all doom and gloom though, as we should have some drier and brighter interludes between the fronts. Temperatures will be around average, with some frosty nights.

Monday 22 January—Sunday 4 February
North west/south east split

During this period, we are likely to see a bit of a split across the country, with wet and windy weather in the north west and drier and brighter weather in the south east. The wet weather will be due to fronts pushing in from the Atlantic, although there will be breaks in between fronts, allowing everywhere to have some drier spells.

Next week

Will we get any more snow to top up the slopes? Check back next week for the latest.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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Not sure where to put this so mods please move if you think it necessary

Just had an e mail for Roger Brugge, COL editor that Philip Eden has died,

this from his brothers

Announcement: Philip Eden, 1951-2018

I have this morning received the following message from Philp Eden's 
brothers, John and David:

   It is with profound sadness that we have to report the death of 
   our brother, Philip Eden (Geoffrey Philip Eden), Meteorologist, 
   Broadcaster and Author, on 4th January 2018. He had been suffering 
   from Lewy Bodies dementia, but died as the result of head injuries 
   sustained after collapsing and falling several days earlier. He died 
   peacefully in a nursing home whilst receiving palliative care.

   Please pass this sad news on to colleagues who knew or worked with Philip.

   Details of the funeral arrangements will follow in a few days, but 
   anyone interested in attending should contact David Eden 
   at [email protected]

   John and David Eden (brothers)

Members will join with me in expressing condolences to Philip's family, 
and mourning Philip's passing. COL will be represented at Philip's funeral, 
and myself or Roger will gladly pass on any messages from members.

Stephen Burt
COL Chairman
10 January 2018

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57 minutes ago, johnholmes said:

Not sure where to put this so mods please move if you think it necessary

Just had an e mail for Roger Brugge, COL editor that Philip Eden has died,

this from his brothers

Announcement: Philip Eden, 1951-2018

I have this morning received the following message from Philp Eden's 
brothers, John and David:

   It is with profound sadness that we have to report the death of 
   our brother, Philip Eden (Geoffrey Philip Eden), Meteorologist, 
   Broadcaster and Author, on 4th January 2018. He had been suffering 
   from Lewy Bodies dementia, but died as the result of head injuries 
   sustained after collapsing and falling several days earlier. He died 
   peacefully in a nursing home whilst receiving palliative care.

   Please pass this sad news on to colleagues who knew or worked with Philip.

   Details of the funeral arrangements will follow in a few days, but 
   anyone interested in attending should contact David Eden 
   at [email protected]

   John and David Eden (brothers)

Members will join with me in expressing condolences to Philip's family, 
and mourning Philip's passing. COL will be represented at Philip's funeral, 
and myself or Roger will gladly pass on any messages from members.

Stephen Burt
COL Chairman
10 January 2018

Such very sad news John.

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Latest MetO forecast 16th to 25th is bizarre given latest model guidance, no idea where they see milder spells.

" Overall there will be a cold feel with frost overnight under clear skies but milder spells are also expected at times, especially in the south"

If they stated, "perhaps becoming less cold from the West later in the period" it would at least represent the less favourable output for cold.

Milder spells is something you would state with a typical zonal flow.

Edited by Mucka
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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 15 January—Sunday 21 January
Mild, wet and windy to start, quickly turning cold

There is a very unsettled start to the new working week in store with strong winds across the UK and a band of very wet weather quickly pushing southeastwards. As that rain moves through, some of us could also see some thunderstorms. Once the rain clears away it is going to turn much colder. Then, for much of the rest of the week, we will keep that colder feel with a mixture of sunny spells and blustery showers. Winds will be strong, adding a significant wind chill. Some of us will see hail and thunder and there will also be snow showers too, especially for northern parts of the UK. Around midweek, and especially on Thursday, we are expecting to see a spell of very wet and windy weather. The strongest winds are likely to be across England and Wales and have the potential to be disruptive, though confidence is low at this stage. At the same time, we may also see some more significant snowfall.

Monday 22 January—Sunday 4 February
Turning warmer, but not for long

Looking towards the end of January, a brief spell of somewhat milder weather is on the cards; however, this less cold feel will be accompanied by thick cloud, outbreaks of rain and perhaps some strong winds too. This spell will be short-lived and quickly replaced by another spell of colder weather.

Monday 5 February—Sunday 11 February
North west/south east split

Throughout the beginning of February, conditions are most likely to be similar to what we have seen so far this winter. Brief periods of milder weather, with thick cloud and outbreaks of rain will be interspersed by longer spells of cold weather and overnight frost and fog. During these colder spells we could also see some wintry showers, but there will also be a fair amount of sunshine.

Next week

Is there any sign of an early spring?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 22 January—Sunday 28 January
A change of air

For much of the past week, the air covering the British Isles has been coming all the way from Greenland and hence temperatures have been well below what we would normally see in the middle of January. For much of this coming week, the source of our air will be over the Azores and we will all notice a substantial rise in temperatures. We may even hear the words 'spring like' being used in some areas during the first half of this week. However, there will still be a very changeable look to this week's weather. On Monday, after some early rain in the southeast, it will be mainly dry with some sunshine breaking through and temperatures rising into double figures. Similar mild temperatures on Tuesday, but we will see outbreaks of rain pushing in from the west during the day, the rain accompanied by strong southwesterly winds. Wednesday and Thursday will be more showery with a little sunshine and still quite windy. There will also be a temporary dip in temperatures as we get a brief feed of Icelandic air. The milder southwesterly winds will become established again as we head into the weekend. There will also be an area of high pressure edging into more southern parts of the British Isles bringing mostly dry, settled weather. The rain will become increasingly confined to the north and west of Scotland where it will remain windy.

Monday 29 January—Sunday 4 February
January set to end on a High

High pressure will begin to dominate our weather as we head up to the end of January. This will mean a lot of dry weather with winds becoming light. The exact position of the high pressure will be key to the amount of sunshine we will see and also how warm or cold it will feel. At this stage, it does looks as though the high pressure will be positioned over more southern parts of the British Isles. This will maintain the feed of milder air coming in from the southwest with daytime temperatures staying a little higher than normal for this time of year. However, clear skies and light winds at night will allow temperatures to fall low enough for a touch of frost. Any rain and stronger winds are likely to be confined to more northern parts of Scotland but even here it will become drier and more settled.

Monday 5 February—Sunday 18 February
A quiet look to February

Signals from the various weather models all point to high pressure remaining close to the British Isles during the first half of February. This will result in a good deal of dry weather with mostly light winds. There will be sunny spells by day but problems with frost and fog at nights. Every so often, the high pressure will slip away and allow spells of wet and windy weather to affect more northern parts of the British Isles but these conditions will not last for too long. Temperatures are still expected to be above the February average, but on days when fog is slow to disperse it will remain cold.

Next week

Does winter have a sting in it tail?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 29 January—Sunday 4 February
Colder but brighter

A cold front will move southwards across the country through Monday, bringing rain and gusty winds. Ahead of the front it will be cloudy but mild and behind it will be cold but sunny with wintry showers. The front will take until late evening to clear the far south, so although it will feel much colder compared to the weekend for northern and central areas, the south will continue to feel mild.

Overnight into Tuesday some showers will continue in the north but for most parts it will be dry with largely clear skies, it will be a much colder night than of late, with a widespread frost to start the day. There will be a lot of dry and bright weather on Tuesday but feeling chilly, however rain, with sleet and snow over the hills, will push into northwest Scotland. We may also have some light rain or drizzle across the far south towards the end of the day.

The rain will push southwards through the night into Wednesday, with showers behind. These showers will continue throughout the day and turn wintry, particularly over the hills, but we may see some sleet or snow in towns and cities too. There will be a cold northwesterly wind, giving a chilly feel.

The showers will mostly die out overnight into Thursday but we will hold onto the cold winds. It'll be a frosty start but mostly dry and sunny throughout the day.

It'll be a dry and frosty start once again on Friday but through the morning a band of rain and snow will push in from the west across the country.
It'll remain cold into the weekend with a mix of sunshine and showers, interspersed with longer spells of rain. The best of the drier weather will be in the south and stronger winds are most likely in the north and west.

Monday 5 February—Sunday 11 February
Turning settled

At first we will hold on to the mix of bands of rain, sunshine and showers, which could be wintry at times. Later in the week we are likely to see high pressure dominating, leading to lights winds, frosty nights and largely dry conditions, though we could see a few snow showers in the east.

Monday 12 February—Sunday 25 February
Wetter and milder weather returning

Looking further ahead, we look set to see a return to fronts pushing in from the west, bringing some wet weather but also milder conditions. It won't be all wet though as we should also have some drier but possibly colder interludes.

Next week

Come back next week to see further details of what to expect in February.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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UK SNOW FORECAST Britain set for FOOT of heavy snow NEXT WEEK in COLDEST freeze for decade

BRITAIN is facing the most severe winter freeze for almost a decade with more than a foot of snow forecast widely as temperatures plummet to -15C (5F) within days.

The entire nation is on heightened alert for a savage winter blast to unleash chaos amid warnings cold weather so far has only been a taste of things to come. Forecasters, heath experts and safety campaigners have sounded alarm bells to ‘be prepared’ and stock up ahead of extreme weather after the weekend.Roads, motorways and bridges are likely to be hit by delays and closures with disruption expected at airports and on transport networks. Heavy snow will blanket Scotland, Wales and most of England from mid-week with powerful Arctic gales threatening blizzards and mammoth snow drifts.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/913821/Uk-snow-forecast-cold-weather-Met-Office-heavy-snow-coldest-freeze

Edited by Summer Sun
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I think the point to remember here is that the contingency planners forecast was probably written based on stuff from at least a few days ago. Models can and do change quite suddenly and that new state of affairs is what Fergie is telling us about. No doubt the contingency planners will be advised of such changes . So actually its because they do have clue that they have spotted the chance of an SSW having increased greatly.

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