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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Heatwave forecast: Britain's bank holiday scorcher as tropical blast sends mercury soaring

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http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/845937/weather-forecast-heatwave-this-weekend-uk-august-2017-bank-holiday

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 28 August—Sunday 3 September
A hot bank holiday....

This week starts with the late August bank holiday, and it's shaping up to be a hot one for parts of England and Wales. The record was set in 1990 with 28.3 C; and with favourable conditions of clear skies and light winds a new record may be on the cards. It's a different picture further north as an active weather front brings rain and strong winds to Scotland and Northern Ireland, sinking south into northern England later. This front will eventually spread cooler weather across much of the UK through Tuesday. The far south-east may hang on to some more humid conditions leading to the odd thundery shower. Midweek looks rather changeable with rain and showers in most areas and temperatures around normal; however high pressure looks set to take charge as we head toward the weekend, bringing more generally settled and dry weather for much of the UK.

Monday 4 September—Sunday 10 September
A fair start to Autumn...

Much of the UK will be dry, fine and settled in the first week of climatological Autumn with temperatures on the higher side of average. However north-western areas are likely to start to see a change to more windy and damp conditions, while the south will still be prone to thunderstorms in any warmer plumes of air. The more changeable, windy and at times wet conditions are likely to spread south into England and Wales; however the south east may still hold on to some residual warmth and trigger some thundery downpours.

Monday 11 September—Sunday 17 September
A change back to more settled weather?

Mid-September has been rather settled over the last couple of years with high pressure dominating the UK. We could see a repeat performance this year with some computer models in favour of this scenario, however the signals are shrouded with uncertainty at this point...

Next week

Will next week bring any signals for a more Autumnal feel in the long range outlook?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Nairn
  • Location: Nairn

The seasonal forecast headline is for the meteorological autumn to  be milder than average. At this very early stage we expect the most likely scenario is for a mobile weather pattern to continue into early December and possibly last until the Christmas period. That suggests predominantly unsettled weather. Incursions of colder air more likely in the north of the UK. Therefore our initial "forecast" for Christmas Day 2017 suggests a low probability of snow generally, but a higher one in the north than south.   

Chance of snow on Christmas Day

North of Yorkshire / Lancashire:14%
South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 7%

Update 1, 01/09/2017

Updates are usually weekly.

The Computer says

  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south.
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in Wales.
  • Cold conditions in the Midlands are expected. Marginal for rain or snow.
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in the north.
  • Snow is expected in Scotland
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in Northern Ireland
  • It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Republic of Ireland
  • Cold but dry conditions are expected in the Netherlands

 

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/Christmas-weather-forecast

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Tropical Cyclone 10 path: Britain in firing line as SUPERSTORM threatens to batter UK

http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/849018/Tropical-Cyclone-10-weather-forecast-UK-weather-superstorm-September-2017

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 4 September—Sunday 10 September
Fairly quiet to start, but a more active finish.

The first full week of September looks like kicking off on warm and humid note. Sunshine may be at a bit of premium, but if it does come out, then you'll be reminded that we are only in the early days of Autumn. But by midweek, a passage of a cold front will lead to our weather will be streaming in from the North Atlantic, meaning a cooler and fresher feel for all of us, with a mixture of sunshine and showers.

We ramp it up a gear in time for the weekend, as a rather more disturbed weather pattern may develop with deep areas of low pressure rattling in from the Atlantic. This could potentially bringing the first widespread gales of the Autumn season. Mists and mellow fruitfulness on hold for now...

Monday 11 September—Sunday 17 September
Like the first week, but in reverse order.

The wet and windy weather of the previous weekend is likely to spill into the start of this week. However, as the week progresses, most of the computer models suggest a settling down of the weather, with high pressure taking charge. With this will come some pleasantly warm days, but with the likelihood of chilly nights and perhaps some early morning fog - at last mists and mellow fruitfulness!

At this time of year, Atlantic hurricanes can have an influence on our weather, and all eyes at the moment are on Hurricane Irma. As this storm potentially threatens the eastern USA, the warm air it drags north across the Atlantic can help build pressure towards our shores. It is this process which may see our weather calm down towards the end of this period.

Monday 18 September—Sunday 1 October
Towards climatology is our best guess

Confidence in the forecast is low looking this far ahead, primarily because of the potential for on-going Atlantic tropical storm activity. There is also a lack of any strong global drivers (e.g. an El Niño) in the weather at the moment. Therefore, we are uncertain what these weeks will bring.

Thus our best estimate for the second half of September and start of October is for our weather to revert to something close to what we'd expect at this time of year. This means that northern and western parts of the UK stand the greatest chance of seeing periods of wind and rain, and the further south and east you are the drier and brighter it should be, though even here some rain is likely at times.

Next week

We'll find out if Hurricane Irma can, admittedly indirectly, bring us a period of fine and settled weather.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Skelmersdale
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: 6-10 degrees. Spring 12-16 degrees. Summer 17-22 degrees.
  • Location: Skelmersdale
11 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

Could this mean the end of the Express weather stories?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41198388

The Daily Mirror is just as bad for spurious weather stories: get sunshine in spring/summer and its "britain to bask/bake in temps hotter than (insert namer here) or get a snowflake in winter and its "britain to freeze in temps colder than (insert name here).

They're all crap-rags.

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 11 September—Sunday 17 September
Cool, showery and often windy. Drier later.

The week begins with a yellow warning in place for southwest England and South Wales for strong westerly winds. But all parts will be cool and breezy with heavy and locally thundery showers, with sunny intervals in between.

Tuesday daytime will see sunshine and fewer showers, before wet and very windy weather sweeps eastwards overnight, followed by westerly gales in some areas - these winds may be disruptive.

Wednesday and Thursday will be blustery, cool days with heavy showers in most areas, but by next weekend the weather will be turning calmer with more dry weather around, although there could still be a few showers - in southeast England on Saturday, and in the northwest on Sunday.

Monday 18 September—Sunday 24 September
More settled - and a little warmer

By the 18th high pressure will be bringing mostly dry weather to much of the country. Temperatures will be back up to normal by day but with some chilly nights leading to early fog in places. North and west Scotland and Northern Ireland will keep more cloud and patchy rain at times. This pattern is expected to last through much of the week, with a lot of dry weather with some sunshine. Many places should become rather warm but still with some overnight fog taking a while to shift in the mornings. By the weekend there's the likelihood that unsettled weather over N and W Scotland will spread across all parts, with the breeze increasing and temperatures dropping back to normal.

Monday 25 September—Sunday 8 October
Maintaining the trend for plenty of dry weather

In contrast to August and early September, for the end of the month and the start of October there's a signal that high pressure will dominate the UK's weather patterns. This would bring predominantly dry weather with variable amounts of cloud and some sunshine. Along with this pattern come chilly nights with some early ground frosts and the continuing prospect of foggy starts in places. Overall, temperatures won't be far from normal and rainfall totals will be below average. The one caveat to this optimistic story is that we are having an active Atlantic hurricane season. Occasionally, the remnants of these tropical systems can have significant downstream impacts on the weather patterns over northwest Europe, even if they don't cross the Atlantic, so confidence in the longer range forecasts can never be high at this time of year.

Next week

We'll focus on whether the transition to drier weather is looking more likely, despite the Autumn equinox's reputation of being a period when strong winds are common.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

The Mirror are getting ahead of the Express...

UK weather: Long range forecast reveals if it is going to be a white Christmas

It’s 100 days to Christmas , but it’s highly unlikely the UK will be covered in snow on the Big Day. Long-range forecasting is always a hazard for British weather, but early models point to a continuation of the wet and windy conditions which have dominated for the past few weeks.

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-weather-long-range-forecast-11177317

 

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

FLOOD ALERT

UK weather braced for floods as thundery showers batter UK – with record ‘SEVEN storms with 90mph winds’ set to hit UK before Christmas

https://t.co/0KW82vvubR

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 18 September—Sunday 24 September

Weather starting to settle down

We will see the first signs of something more settled during the first half of this week. A ridge of high pressure will continue to edge in from the west during Monday and Tuesday and bringing a lot of dry and bright weather with sunny spells. There will still be some showers running down the east coast of Scotland and England with scattered showers developing inland on Monday and Tuesday afternoons. Still quite cold at nights too and daytime temperatures also a little below normal.

Towards the middle part of the week we lose the cold northerly winds and instead begin to pick up a milder southwesterly breeze. This will be one of the main changes during the week as night times become much milder and temperature during the days also a few degrees higher.

The drier, warmer weather will continue in the east on Wednesday and into Thursday but western areas will see some wet and windy weather. The rain edging eastwards to many places later on Thursday. Over next weekend, south and eastern areas will be mostly dry with sunny spells. Northwestern areas will be cloudier and breezy for time with a little rain.

Monday 25 September—Sunday 1 October

September to end on a high

The last week of September is looking more promising with the possibility of high pressure dominating our weather. There is still some uncertainty due to active storms in the tropical Atlantic and the remnants of some of them will move northwards into the mid latitudes. This can quite often have a beneficial effect on our weather by helping to reinforce high pressure close to the British Isles. So the weather looks set to be mostly dry with some sunshine but perhaps occasional rain and stronger winds at times towards the northwest. However high pressure at this time of year does bring its own set of problems. The combination of clear skies and light winds will lead to quite cold nights. Also there is likely to be some overnight mist and fog patches. As the strength of the sun becomes less, it will take longer after sunrise for the fog patches to disperse and some areas could well see some fog lingering till the middle part of the morning. However daytime temperatures will be on the warm side and with light winds, ingredients are there for some fine late September days.

Monday 2 October—Sunday 15 October

How long will the settled weather last?

As we move into October and the second month of the meteorological autumn, we look set to start off on a fairly settled note. At this stage, high pressure is still expected to be close to the British Isles maintaining a lot of dry and quite warm weather. There are indications that weather fronts bringing rain and strengthening winds will begin to edge into more north and western parts of the British Isles, with the driest, brightest and warmest weather becoming confined to more southern and eastern areas.

Next week

Will the second half of October turn cold and wintry or wet and windy?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

What is THAT heading for Britain? Terrifying map shows HUGE Atlantic storm hurtling to UK

Quote

A POTENTIALLY violent weather system about to form in the Atlantic could give rise to autumn’s second named storm – Brian. Government forecasters are “keeping an eye” on developments over ocean waters which could end in a full-blown assault this weekend. Worrying weather charts show a huge area of low pressure forming south of Greenland late on Thursday night. It deepens as it moves eastwards towards Britain on Friday evening and appears to clip the north overnight into Saturday. The Met Office said it is closely watching the charts but insisted it is still too early to make a call on whether this will cause problems.

 

http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/855681/Weather-forecast-2017-UK-Storm-Brian-path-Atlantic-storm-map-track

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Posted
  • Location: Atherstone on Stour: 160ft asl
  • Location: Atherstone on Stour: 160ft asl

"Mega, killer death storm" warning from Accuweather >> http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/646059/uk-weather-forecast-storm-britain-path-track-rain

 

*rolls eyes*

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Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire

Posted this in the Hurricane Maria thread but certainly appropriate for this thread.

'Hurricanes Maria and Jose head towards Britain to unleash devastating storms after leaving trail of destruction in Caribbean' 

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/hurricanes-maria-jose-head-towards-11211044

Of course when you actually read the story it's not as dramatic as the headline makes out. :doh:

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Posted
  • Location: Skelmersdale
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: 6-10 degrees. Spring 12-16 degrees. Summer 17-22 degrees.
  • Location: Skelmersdale
13 minutes ago, matt111 said:

Posted this in the Hurricane Maria thread but certainly appropriate for this thread.

'Hurricanes Maria and Jose head towards Britain to unleash devastating storms after leaving trail of destruction in Caribbean' 

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/hurricanes-maria-jose-head-towards-11211044

Of course when you actually read the story it's not as dramatic as the headline makes out. :doh:

The Mirror is not far from the Express for sensationalist weather stories. No wonder they want to buy them out.

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester
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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 25 September—Sunday 1 October
Autumnal weather is on the way

This week begins with the calmest weather we're likely to see for a while. Things will be slow moving through Monday with pleasant sunshine for Northern Ireland, western Wales and southwest England. Elsewhere it will be a mainly cloudy day with patchy rain. There may be one or two sunny spells in the east but these will be unreliable. Tuesday looks set to bring more of the same with the exception of some patchy fog to start and strengthening winds in the west later on.

The middle part of the week will see a transition into more unsettled weather as a band of rain moves in from the west with strong, occasionally gale force winds. At times this rain will be heavy and we may see some localised surface water issues. Thursday will slowly improve as this band of rain clears eastwards but we end the week and head into the weekend with further rain bands crossing the country from west to east.

Monday 2 October—Sunday 8 October
Surely things will settle down soon?

Low pressure will still be very much in charge of our weather at the start of this week with bands of rain and strong winds punctuated by short, dry spells with some sunshine. The best of any dry weather will be in the east whilst the west bears the brunt of the rain. Temperatures look set to be around average by day but the mainly cloudy and breezy weather will hold overnight lows up above average. There is a chance towards the end of this week that we could experience a period of settled weather but confidence in this is very low at this stage. It's all going to come down to how Hurricane Maria develops in the Atlantic.

Monday 9 October—Sunday 22 October
Nothing lasts forever

With weather systems running across the country fairly quickly you won't have to wait long for the weather to change. In the longer term we look set to maintain the theme of breezy and unsettled weather with large day to day variations. Again the west will bear the brunt of the rain and the east will be driest, but all of us will be reaching for the umbrella at some point. Temperatures will be around average for the time of year.

Next week

Can we finally expect some prolonged dry weather?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
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Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
16 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Was wondering what was taking them so long. :rofl:

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
3 minutes ago, matt111 said:

Was wondering what was taking them so long. :rofl:

They STILL haven't told us it's going to be the coldest and snowiest winter in X amount of years yet! :shok:

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Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
2 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

They STILL haven't told us it's going to be the coldest and snowiest winter in X amount of years yet! :shok:

Meybe if they don't it might happen. :db:

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