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Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

The only problem with his forecast is that the low temps in the Atlantic are supposed to disappear by winter

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

The only problem with his forecast is that the low temps in the Atlantic are supposed to disappear by winter

Which makes one wonder at what made him 'forecast' 100 days of snow, the year before last? IMO, he's just another one who likes to pretend he knows things us lesser mortals don't?

Edited by Ed Stone
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Posted
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hoar Frost, Snow, Misty Autumn mornings
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL

The only problem with his forecast is that the low temps in the Atlantic are supposed to disappear by winter

Not according to the ECM long ranger, but it's moot anyway because it doesn't necessarily follow that cold atlantic=cold UK winter. Last year he said we'd have a cold winter because of the easterly QBO, this year it's the cold Atlantic, and next year it will be the Sun or something. The factors change but the outcome is always the same.

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Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

Which make one wonder at what made him 'forecast' 100 days of snow, the year before last? IMO, he's just another one who likes to pretend he knows things us lesser mortals don't?

Like Jo laminated floor who is supposedly qualified always forecasts a cold winter. Conclusion they don't know what they are talking about. Annoying the press take the forecasts to sell papers and then blame the met when they forecasts are crap.

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Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey

I wish James Madden would 'wind down'!

 

Should he forecast 'calmer' weather then  :laugh:

 

BFTP

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Next two years hottest, says Met Office

 

The next two years could be the hottest on record globally, says research from the UK's Met Office. It warns big changes could be under way in the climate system with greenhouse gases increasing the impact of natural trends. The research shows that a major El Nino event is in play in the Pacific, which is expected to heat the world overall.

 

But it also reveals that summers in Europe might get cooler for a while as the rest of the globe warms. The scientists confirm that in 2015 the Earth's average surface temperature is running at, or near, record levels (0.68C above the 1961-1990 average).

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-34226178

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Posted
  • Location: caernarfon, Gwynedd
  • Weather Preferences: very cold or very hot
  • Location: caernarfon, Gwynedd

Met. Office news release.

 

Big changes underway in the climate system?

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2015/big-changes?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

I would like to know from met office where is it warming as I think the years are cooling here in Britain obviously depending where you live. But for me it's cool all year round

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Posted
  • Location: Newton in Bowland
  • Location: Newton in Bowland

Mmm so they're using a natural phenomenon as a reason for warming over the next two years and beyond, or are they implying that temps will rise from here on regardless of what is looking like a Nina following on from this Nino event. I'm remain far from convinced at the attention grabbing headline but warming does look like continuing in the short term for sure.

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Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

I would like to know from met office where is it warming as I think the years are cooling here in Britain obviously depending where you live. But for me it's cool all year round

 

The surface air temperature measurements show most months this year as the warmest on record globally.

The Japanese Meteorological Agency has some easy to view monthly temperature graphs here http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/gwp/temp/jul_wld.html 

 

Mmm so they're using a natural phenomenon as a reason for warming over the next two years and beyond, or are they implying that temps will rise from here on regardless of what is looking like a Nina following on from this Nino event. I'm remain far from convinced at the attention grabbing headline but warming does look like continuing in the short term for sure.

 

Not that warming will be entirely natural, but that natural factors (El Nino, +ve PDO) will accelerate the warming.

 

I think the main thing will be the big regional differences. We may see cooling if the AMO turns -ve, but the rest of the planet may continue warming.

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Posted
  • Location: Strathblane/Killearn nr Glasgow
  • Location: Strathblane/Killearn nr Glasgow

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-34236010

Strongest El Nino since 1950 on the way: An El Nino climate event is under way that could potentially become one of the strongest events since 1950.

That's according to a new Met Office report which says that 2015 has already seen the warmest start to any year on record.

It also outlines that El Nino is one of three key climate patterns that could lead to changes in our global temperature.

The event occurs when the waters of the Pacific become exceptionally warm and distort weather patterns around the world.

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Posted
  • Location: Runcorn New Town 60m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and blisteringly hot
  • Location: Runcorn New Town 60m ASL

I was half-awake this morning but on Radio 4's "Today" Dame Slingo said that while the rest of the world is warming substantially NW Europe will cool - exactly as has happened to the UK over the past few years.  Apparently this cool period could last  for a decade.

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Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne

Met Office Chief Scientist Dame Judith Slingo interviewed here by the BBC’s John Humphrys, long known as a bit of a crank on climate matters.

Slingo calmly brushes his incredulity aside, to explain what those paying attention already know – the Globe is warm, and getting warmer, fast.

 

Edited by knocker
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Posted
  • Location: Atherstone on Stour: 160ft asl
  • Location: Atherstone on Stour: 160ft asl

"UK faces coldest winter for 50yrs" > http://www.express.co.uk/news/nature/604619/Long-range-weather-forecast-Britain-cold-winter-2015-arctic-snow-freeze

 

Naturally James Madden is mentioned  :nonono:

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

"UK faces coldest winter for 50yrs" > http://www.express.co.uk/news/nature/604619/Long-range-weather-forecast-Britain-cold-winter-2015-arctic-snow-freeze

 

Naturally James Madden is mentioned  :nonono:

In that case, 1965 was much colder than I remember it? Though I do, I think, recall some very cold, snowy weather in April of that year...

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Posted
  • Location: Newton in Bowland
  • Location: Newton in Bowland

So if

Met Office Chief Scientist Dame Judith Slingo interviewed here by the BBC’s John Humphrys, long known as a bit of a crank on climate matters.

Slingo calmly brushes his incredulity aside, to explain what those paying attention already know – the Globe is warm, and getting warmer, fast.

So if you question aspects of the science you're a crank then, its funny because I know of no other field in science that takes this approach. Edited by Hocus Pocus
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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

So if So if you question aspects of the science you're a crank then, its funny because I know of no other field in science that takes this approach.

The old rhetorical trick, of asking an intelligent-sounding but scientifically-baseless 'question', has you fooled, eh? Sometimes, thankfully, it's the questioner who ends up sounding like a wazzock! :D

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Posted
  • Location: Newton in Bowland
  • Location: Newton in Bowland

The old rhetorical trick, of asking an intelligent-sounding but scientifically-baseless 'question', has you fooled, eh? Sometimes, thankfully, it's the questioner who ends up sounding like a wazzock! :D

I'm not interested in petty point scoring and it was a direct question.
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Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

I'm not interested in petty point scoring and it was a direct question.

 

Is it a general question or entirely directed at knocker?

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Posted
  • Location: Runcorn New Town 60m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and blisteringly hot
  • Location: Runcorn New Town 60m ASL

In that case, 1965 was much colder than I remember it? Though I do, I think, recall some very cold, snowy weather in April of that year...

It wasn't April, it was January and February.  That winter my school opened its new swimming pool and as I was a non-swimmer I was one of the "elite" who was taught to swim.  The others had to do cross-country in the snow (snigger) because rugby and hockey were snowed off for weeks.

Edited by Wildswimmer Pete
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Posted
  • Location: Newton in Bowland
  • Location: Newton in Bowland

Is it a general question or entirely directed at knocker?

directed at knocker BFTV, I know most scientists and proponents of AGW like to engage in healthy scepticism some don't like any debate, now I'm not implying knocker falls into the latter.
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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

I'm not interested in petty point scoring and it was a direct question.

It was a direct question; it was also one that no scientist would have asked, as he or she would have already known the answer. It's also been asked and answered a zillion times over.

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Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne

directed at knocker BFTV, I know most scientists and proponents of AGW like to engage in healthy scepticism some don't like any debate, now I'm not implying knocker falls into the latter.

 

So what are you implying? I don't have a problem with people questioning aspects of the science providing they use science as the basis of their questioning and don't have some ideologically driven motive.

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Posted
  • Location: Newton in Bowland
  • Location: Newton in Bowland

So what are you implying? I don't have a problem with people questioning aspects of the science providing they use science as the basis of their questioning and don't have some ideologically driven motive.

My mistake then knocker so apologies for that.
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Posted
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.

The Met Office doesn't have a great record with these sort of predictions, who remembers back in 2003 after that summers record breaking heat that we (in the uk) should expect those sort of temperatures (100+F) to occur in 1 in every 3 summers....  15 summers later and it aint happened again, so whatever long range models they use I for one would not take them too seriously............

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