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Posted
  • Location: Wokingham
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny summers and snowy winters
  • Location: Wokingham

The Express forecasting Snowmageddon for the 50th time in the last 4 years.....

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1076753/uk-weather-forecast-uk-snow-latest-met-office-forecast

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Extreme weather: Australia breaks heat records as US shivers in big freeze

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Adelaide has endured the highest-ever temperature in a major Australian city, but as the heatwave continues Down Under, parts of the US could see Siberian-like lows of -45.5C (50F). Melbourne also had its hottest day in five years. Temperatures hit 42.8C (109F) early on Friday afternoon - reaching 46C (114.8F) at the city's airport.

The US is also experiencing its own extreme weather, with the National Weather Service (NWS) saying wind chill temperatures this weekend in parts of Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota could plunge to between -40C (-40F) and -45.5C (-50F).

 

https://news.sky.com/story/extreme-weather-australia-breaks-heat-records-as-us-shivers-in-big-freeze-11617048?dcmp=snt-sf-twitter&utm_source=t.co&utm_medium=referral

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Staying unsettled and cold at times

Saturday 26 January—Sunday 3 February

A cold week with a chance of snow

The weekend is expected to be unsettled as a low pressure system moves eastwards across the United Kingdom. Saturday will be a mainly cloudy day with rain in the north and west of the country, and some snow for northern Scotland. Central, southern and eastern parts of the UK should be dry for much of the day, but will see rain later in the afternoon and during the evening. It will be a relatively mild day for the time of year. Sunday will see showers and perhaps some more widespread rain affecting the country. There will be some sunny spells, but it will feel chilly as a strong northerly wind affects all areas. Next week will be unsettled and chilly as low pressure systems continue to move east or southeastwards across the country.

We're seeing day-to-day differences in the detail of the forecast, but the first half of the week looks cold and showery, with the chance of some snow in places, chiefly the north of the country. The second half of the week is likely to see a large low pressure system moving out of the North Atlantic towards the UK. This system may bring more widespread snow to the UK, although the details of the snow risk remain uncertain. The same low pressure system is also likely to bring a spell of southerly or south-westerly winds, so the second half of next week looks milder than the first half of the week, although it will still be rather cool.

Monday 4 February—Sunday 10 February

Staying cold with the risk of snow

The first full week of February is likely to continue the pattern we're expecting at the end of January. The most likely case is for the weather to remain cold and unsettled as low pressure systems pass close to or across the UK. However, there is low confidence in the forecast at this range, mainly because there are some indications that we could see a more 'blocked' pattern, with high pressure extending across Europe and less of an Atlantic influence on the weather.

If this happens, then there could be a spell of colder weather for Eastern and Central Europe. Whether any colder air would reach as far as western Europe is uncertain, but there aren't any signs of sustained cold and snowy weather for the UK. One other option is that we see much more activity in the North Atlantic, with deeper low pressure systems pushing into western Europe. In this case, the UK would probably be milder, wetter and windier than expected. This option is the least likely, but with current levels of uncertainty it cannot be ruled out.

Monday 11 February—Sunday 24 February

Unsettled but maybe a bit less cold

The two key features of the forecast for the middle of February are that it will remain unsettled with low pressure systems continuing to affect the UK, but it should become a little less cold. Atlantic low pressure systems are quite likely to continue to move east or southeast into Europe. It looks like the track of these low pressure systems will shift a little further north compared to the start of the month.

The UK is still expected to be affected by these weather systems, so further showers and rain are likely, and there will be the chance of some windy weather at times. However, there will also be more of a chance of less cold or mild southwesterly winds reaching us. This means that although temperatures are expected to be a little below normal for the time of year, and some cold spells of weather are likely, there should be some milder spells of weather at times too. We still don't see any sustained cold weather or any prolonged easterly winds at this stage. In fact, the most likely alternative pattern is for milder weather if the Atlantic becomes more active than we expect.

Next Update

Any more snow on the way for the end of February?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Little SSW influence for now

Quote

Unlike the start of 2018, the Sudden Stratospheric Warming that has taken place early this year has had little effect on our weather so far. How can the same event have such differing effects? It's all down to something called the North Atlantic Oscillation as BBC Weather's Simon King explains.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/47006603?ns_linkname=news_central&ns_source=twitter&ns_campaign=bbc_weather&ns_mchannel=social

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Latest 3 monthly forecast from the weather company

IBM Seasonal Outlook: Cold, Dry Weather to Persist Through February in Northern/Western Europe
 

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Active Storm Track to Keep Southern Europe Wet and Windy

Andover, MA

For the aggregate February-April period, The Weather Company, an IBM Business, is forecasting below-normal temperatures across the northwestern half of Europe, with above-normal temperatures confined to Southeast Europe.

“The long-anticipated pattern change towards more sustained colder weather has finally occurred as we head towards the end of January,” said Dr. Todd Crawford, chief meteorologist with The Weather Company. “The obliteration of the polar vortex that occurred via the sudden stratospheric warming event that began on 1 January has resulted in an atmospheric adjustment that will allow a sustained “blocking” pattern over the North Atlantic. This blocking will allow for a long period of colder and drier weather across northwestern Europe as high pressure pushes in from the north and east. This will suppress the storm track to southern Europe, where a wet and windy month is expected in February.”

For the February-April 2019 period, The Weather Company is forecasting the following temperatures.

February

Nordic region – Colder than normal

U.K. – Colder than normal

Northern Mainland – Colder than normal

Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal east, colder than normal west

Nordic region – Colder than normal

March

U.K. – Warmer than normal

Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal

Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal

April

Nordic region – Warmer than normal

U.K. – Warmer than normal

Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal

Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal east, cooler than normal west

https://business.weather.com/news/ibm-seasonal-outlook-cold-dry-weather-northern-western-europe

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Weatheronline's latest monthly forecast

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Valid from 01/02 to 28/02 2019

Issued: Saturday 26th January 2019
Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling

Chilly overall, mixed with risk of rain, sleet and snow, milder later

Chilly conditions are expected to prevail for most of February. There is a risk of rain, sleet and snow with low pressure being close to the south. Conditions may become milder later in the month as low pressure retreats to the west and the flow becomes more southerly.

*1/2/19 - 7/2/19*

Chilly start to month. Risk of rain, sleet and snow. Windy at times. Coolest in east.

*8/2/19 - 14/2/19*

Higher pressure builds to the east. Flow becomes more easterly. Colder, frosty north. Risk sleet & snow in south.

*15/2/19 - 21/2/19*

Low over southern UK. High to north. Staying chilly to cold. Risk of rain, sleet and snow. Highest snow risk north.

*22/2/19 - 28/2/19*

Perhaps milder as low pressure retreats west. Drier in the east. Wet to the west.

 

https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/reports/month-ahead.htm

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
Quote

 

UK weather: Heavy snowfall could cut off villages in south east of England this week, Met Office warns

Heavy snowfall could cut off villages in the south-east of England this week, the Met Office has warned. A band of rain pushing eastwards across the country is likely to turn to snow on Tuesday evening, with up to 3cm likely going into Wednesday.  

The south east is set to bear the brunt of the Arctic blast and the Met Office has issued a Yellow weather warning for snow on Tuesday and Wednesday - with travel delays on roads and rail likely and a chance that "some rural communities could become cut off" as the weather deteriorates. 

 

http://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/weather/uk-weather-heavy-snowfall-could-cut-off-villages-in-south-east-of-england-this-week-met-office-warns/ar-BBSNeV9?li=AAnZ9Ug&ocid=ACERDHP17

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Staying unsettled and cold at times

Wednesday 30 January—Sunday 3 February

A cold end to the week with a chance of snow

The weather will remain chilly and changeable for the rest of this week. On Wednesday, many areas of the UK will be dry with some winter sunshine, although there will be wintry showers for north-west Scotland. Wintry showers could also affect parts of Wales, Northern Ireland and a few showers are possible in some western counties of England. It will be a cool day despite any sunshine. Wednesday night will be a cold night with a widespread frost.


Thursday will see a weather system moving in from the Atlantic. There is some uncertainty over the exact details, but there will be a chance of snow as this system pushes bands of rain into the cold air lying over the UK. Central and southern parts of the UK are most likely to see snow, this mainly on Thursday afternoon, evening and night. Other parts of the country will be relatively dry and chilly.


Friday could see further rain and snow affecting the country as Thursday's low lingers. The best chance of dry and bright weather will be in the west. It will be a cold start to the coming weekend, with some showers likely on Saturday but with some sunshine too. We should see Atlantic weather systems moving in from the west later in the weekend, although Sunday looks to be largely dry. Sunday night will be cloudier and so doesn't look as cold but could still see a frost in some northern and eastern areas. Chance of rain in the west.

Monday 4 February—Sunday 10 February

A little less cold but staying unsettled

The weather will remain changeable next week as we continue to see weather systems moving in from the Atlantic. These systems will bring showers and more widespread rain to many areas of the country, although there will be some drier and calmer spells of weather too. The start of next week is likely to be chilly, although it should be less cold than this week. The trend for next week is for temperatures to rise a little to near or perhaps locally a little above normal for the time of year. This is mainly due to broadly westerly winds, which should replace the north-westerly winds we've seen so often in recent weeks.


Although we expect our weather to be coming in from the west, we will be watching developments over north-eastern and eastern Europe very closely. There is a chance that there will be an intensification of the area of high pressure currently sitting over north-eastern Scandinavia and Russia. This could have two effects on our weather. It would slow the progress of Atlantic weather systems, making it colder but probably drier and less windy for the UK. It could also generate easterly winds across eastern and central Europe, sending cold air towards western Europe. Although we think there is a slight chance of this happening this early in February, it is more likely to occur around the middle of the month.

Monday 11 February—Sunday 24 February

Chance of colder weather setting in

There is an increasing risk of significant cold weather as we move through the middle of February. This is because we expect the high pressure currently situated over Scandinavia to shift westwards towards north-west Europe. The effects of this are similar to those described for the first full week of February i.e. reduced 'mild' westerly winds from the Atlantic, and an increasing chance of cold east or north-easterly winds reaching the UK. If this happens there will be an increased risk of snow and ice affecting the UK.

Although the risk of cold weather has increased, it is by no means certain. There is a chance that the Scandinavian high pressure area will remain less of a feature, leaving the UK in a cool and unsettled pattern with winds coming in from the west or north-west. There is a roughly 30% chance of this, underlining that the forecast for this period of the winter remain rather uncertain.

Next Update

The chances of cold weather for the middle and end of February should be a little clearer.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

'Don't breathe or go outside': Americans told as polar vortex freezes US

Quote

 

Americans are being told to limit their breathing and the amount of time they spend outside as temperatures in parts of the country are forecast to drop as low as -70C (-94F).

In Minnesota, where temperatures could drop as low as -70C (-94F) because of wind chills, the local National Weather Service office (NWS) tweeted an ominous warning.

"These are VERY DANGEROUS conditions and can lead to frostbite on exposed skin in as little as five minutes where wind chill values are below

 

https://news.sky.com/story/dont-breathe-or-go-outside-americans-told-as-polar-vortex-freezes-us-11622160

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Prankster dupes BBC weather forecaster by sending in snow picture claiming his name is 'I C Rhodes'

A prankster duped a weather forecaster on the BBC by pretending his name was “I C Rhodes”. BBC Weather’s Simon King was talking to viewers about the UK’s frosty forecast on Tuesday in front of a background which showed a road blanketed in snow in Strathaven.

However, eagle-eyed viewers noticed the picture was sent in by a prankster called “I C Rhodes”. The windup was branded “genius” by some on social media, while another wrote: “A photo of a snowy road has been sent in by ‘I C Rhodes’. I think the BBC have been had here.”

http://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/prankster-dupes-bbc-weather-forecaster-by-sending-in-snow-picture-claiming-his-name-is-i-c-rhodes/ar-BBSXE8v?li=BBoPWjQ&ocid=ACERDHP17

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If anyone who enjoyed Discovery Channel Storm Chasers was wondereing where Reed Timmer is these days. 

He is working for Accuweather and currently reporting on the deep cold that is affecting the north and midwest USA. See the link below

https://www.accuweather.com/en/videos/storm-chasers/2ad234bf4f014a83a4b7d626ca63693c

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Posted
  • Location: Home :Peterborough Work : St Ives
  • Location: Home :Peterborough Work : St Ives

Clearly  A bust forecast...this is the video screenshot that is on Met Office Site yesterday with today's rainfall

image.thumb.png.6a31b8ffba114b68483e2b4d16a2614a.png

 

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Staying unsettled and cold at times

Saturday 2 February—Sunday 10 February

Becoming a little milder but staying unsettled

The current cold spell will continue this weekend. Saturday will be a chilly day and although many parts of the country will see some winter sunshine, there will be a few wintry showers too. The showers will be mainly in the north and east, although western Wales and South West England could see the odd shower too. Saturday night will be largely dry with long clear periods, so it will become cold with a widespread frost expected.

Sunday will start dry, clear and cold, but a front will move eastwards across the country during the day. This will bring outbreaks of rain to many areas, and perhaps some sleet or snow. Snow is most likely on high ground in the north of the country, chiefly over Scotland and northern England but cannot be completely ruled out in other areas.

The weather will remain changeable next week as weather systems move in from the Atlantic. These systems will bring showers and more widespread rain to many areas of the country, although there will be some drier and calmer spells of weather too. The start of next week is likely to be chilly but temperatures should pick up to around normal for the time of year, perhaps locally a little above normal. This means that snow is more likely to be confined to high ground in the north of the country. We could still have some chilly nights, although not as cold as we've seen in the last seven days.

Monday 11 February—Sunday 17 February

Becoming a little less mild

In our last update, we mentioned that there was a chance of some colder weather arriving around the middle of February. The reason for this was because we expected high pressure currently over the east and north-east of Europe to start to extend westwards towards the UK, with cooler easterly winds potentially reaching our shores. Whilst this scenario still looks possible, it now seems more likely a little later in the month, with high pressure and cold air slower to spread westwards.

However, we do think that after a relatively mild spell, it will become a little cooler towards the middle of the month. This is mainly due to an expected reduction in the broadly westerly winds coming in from the Atlantic. In this case, it would also become drier. It should be stressed that there is quite a lot of uncertainty for this period of the February, as there is low confidence in the timing of the transition from unsettled westerlies to more of a blocked, settled pattern. We could potentially see low pressure systems continuing to push in from the west, with the weather remaining unsettled, wet and windy but mild. There is only a small risk of anything substantially colder at this stage.

Monday 18 February—Sunday 3 March

Chance of colder weather setting in

It is likely that the final third of February will see a cold spell developing across the UK. This is most likely to be due to a 'blocked' pattern across northern Europe, this preventing our usual mild flow in from the Atlantic, with an increased chance of easterly or north-easterly winds developing. All areas of the country look colder than normal, and many areas will be drier and less windy than normal. There will be an enhanced risk of snow to lower levels and overnight frosts.

There is some uncertainty over the duration and magnitude of this cold spell, and it seems likely that it will be a relatively short spell of cold weather, with things perhaps returning to nearer normal for the start of March.

Whilst a spell of cold weather is the most likely story, there is an alternative scenario which suggests that we could see the Atlantic maintaining some influence on the weather. This would mean that it wouldn't be as widely cold - temperatures would be nearer normal - and there would be a reduced risk of snow. However, it would probably still be cooler than average for the time of year.

Next Update

We should be able to offer a little more detail regarding the intensity and duration of the cold spell expected later this month.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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