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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Wednesday 15 August—Sunday 19 August

Breezy, and often wet in the north

After a rather humid, breezy day in the south, with cloud and patchy rain spilling into western and northern Britain, on Wednesday night northern areas can expect to gradually become clearer and drier. A band of fragmented rain will continue to push south-east into central and southern England, however.

By Thursday morning, central and south-eastern England will have a wet start, with persistent rain expected for a time, before the rain eases and the responsible front slowly edges into the North Sea. Northern and western Britain will have a drier and brighter day, with sunny spells but also some heavy, thundery showers moving in from the west.

Friday will see another area of cloud and patchy rain moving into north-west Britain, bringing fresh winds too. Much of England and Wales will remain dry with good spells of sunshine and some fair-weather cloud, although the sunshine may be hazy in the west.

By the weekend, a weak front is expected to straddle central Britain and Ireland, giving a lot of cloud and a few spots of rain on Saturday. Warm to the south of the front, some light showers are likely to affect western Scotland.

More widespread rain looks like moving across central or northern Britain on Saturday night and early on Sunday, but the far north of Scotland and southern England should remain dry. Warm and humid in the south on Sunday, with temperatures reaching the mid-20s Celsius in London, while the rain only slowly eases in the north.

Monday 20 August—Sunday 26 August

Higher pressure in the south

Monday and Tuesday next week will see lighter winds than preceding days, because pressure will rise to the south of the UK. However, a weak front may still bring some patchy rain to central, northern and western parts of the country, while south-eastern England sees the driest and warmest weather.

Northern Britain will see temperatures around, or slightly below normal, with a risk of a few showers developing. By the middle and latter half of the week, high pressure will attempt to ridge across the UK from the south-west.

Although there is some uncertainty regarding how widespread the high pressure will be, it looks like southern Britain will remain closest to the centre of the high, meaning a lot of dry and settled weather is expected here.

Temperatures may rise slightly above average here, with light winds and sunny periods becoming more widespread. For northern areas, particularly Scotland, frontal systems are likely to bring cloudier and damp conditions, with patchy rain at times and somewhat breezier conditions.

The cloud, rain and general westerly airflow from the Atlantic will keep temperatures below average here, although there is a chance that these breezier and cooler westerly air flows may develop further south across England and Wales for one or two days, as weakening fronts encroach south-eastwards.

Monday 27 August—Sunday 9 September

Becoming settled in September

A weak area of high pressure is likely to linger across the UK by the start of the following week, continuing warm and generally dry conditions for southern and central areas. Winds will mainly be light too, and there is a chance that the warmth could become more extensive across the UK for a couple of days during the beginning of the week, as there are signs that the high could become established right across the UK for a time.

During the second half of the week, areas of low pressure will become favoured to the north of Scotland once again, although it is uncertain how quickly this transition will occur. It is likely to become cooler for all, with temperatures falling below-normal across northern Britain.

Fronts will be encouraged to move across much of the country from the north-west, giving a wetter and windier end to the week for all areas, but especially in the north. By early September, a return to high pressure to the west of the UK is favoured, although areas of low pressure could linger for a time early on.

Therefore, the coolest, wettest and breeziest weather looks likely during the first few days of the month, with low pressure systems to the north of Scotland responsible. Then, building high pressure from the south-west is expected to bring a return to more widespread drier and settled conditions.

Next Update

Will we see some late Summer weather in September?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Wednesday 22 August—Sunday 26 August

Becoming cooler, windier and wetter

There will be a change in the weather for most parts of the country over the next couple of days, with it becoming cooler, windier and wetter than it has been for most areas. The change will start on Wednesday, when a cold front will move south-eastwards across the country. This front will bring rain to Scotland, northern England and Northern Ireland in the morning, moving
further southwards and eastwards in the afternoon. It probably won't reach the far south east of England during daylight hours, so that part of the country will remain dry but will also remain rather warm and humid throughout the day. Much clearer and fresher air will move in behind the front, so the north of the UK should have some decent sunny spells but perhaps a few showers too.

Thursday should see the front clearing south east England, with all of the UK then in the cooler and fresher air mass. There will be sunny spells and showers, the showers mainly in the north and west and some of them could be heavy and thundery. Another frontal system will cross the country on Friday, so there will be showers or rain for most areas, but perhaps more importantly, winds will turn more northerly as this system clears. This will have an impact this weekend, with Saturday looking to be a decidedly cool day. Temperatures may not reach 20C, with most areas likely to be limited to daytime highs in the mid-teens. Saturday night looks rather chilly in some areas. A ridge of high pressure should bring a reasonably dry day on Sunday, but the next weather front will be waiting in the wings.

Monday 27 August—Sunday 2 September

High pressure building back across the UK

A front moving from west to east is likely to bring rain to many parts of the country on Monday, although rain is not expected to last all day and there will be a chance of some drier and sunnier weather. With winds coming in from the west, it should be a little warmer too. Tuesday may be another unsettled and windy day for the north of the UK, with the chance of showers and rain, but the south looks likely to remain dry with sunny periods. The general trend for the rest of the week is for high pressure to start to build in from the south-west. This means that the southern half of the country is likely to see an increasing amount of fine and sunny weather, and temperatures should start to lift to average or above average. The north of the country, particularly Scotland, will not see the influence of this high pressure until later in the week so is likely to see further spells of wet and breezy or windy weather. There should be some drier and sunnier spells of weather here too and it should become a little warmer.

Monday 3 September—Sunday 16 September

A lot of warm and dry weather expected

High pressure looks likely to be the main feature of the weather again during the first half of September. In fact, there is pretty good agreement from a variety of forecasting methods for high pressure to build across a lot of north west and central Europe and remain there well into September.

So, what does this mean for the UK? The pressure pattern is fairly similar to that which we saw earlier in the summer, so it isn't much of a surprise that September looks likely to be a relatively dry month, especially in the south and west of the UK. The north could be affected by passing low pressure systems at times, so may see some rain, but even here it looks drier than average. Temperatures are also likely to be above average, although with shorter days and longer nights, it is less likely that we'll see the widespread and frequent hot weather that we saw in July, and no major late summer heatwave is currently anticipated

Next Update

How long will the dry, warm weather hold on for?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook?ns_campaign=bbc_weather&ns_mchannel=social&ns_linkname=news_central&ns_source=twitter

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Posted
  • Location: Atherstone on Stour: 160ft asl
  • Location: Atherstone on Stour: 160ft asl
Posted
  • Location: East Lothian
  • Weather Preferences: Not too hot, excitement of snow, a hoolie
  • Location: East Lothian

I'm not clicking on it but let's hope this means that NR can't post any killer cold, torrential rain and apocalyptic Snow stories this year if he's sticking to this story

He has trapped himself until Christmas with warmth. 

2908nrao.png

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
44 minutes ago, Jo Farrow said:

I'm not clicking on it but let's hope this means that NR can't post any killer cold, torrential rain and apocalyptic Snow stories this year if he's sticking to this story

He has trapped himself until Christmas with warmth. 

2908nrao.png

I'm still waiting for my '100 days of snow'!

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Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
44 minutes ago, Jo Farrow said:

I'm not clicking on it but let's hope this means that NR can't post any killer cold, torrential rain and apocalyptic Snow stories this year if he's sticking to this story

He has trapped himself until Christmas with warmth. 

2908nrao.png

Hope springs eternal is I think the quote that is applicable Jo!

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Warm weather could remain during autumn

Above average temperatures are more likely than below average temperatures for the next two months, but forecasters are wary.

https://news.sky.com/story/warm-weather-could-remain-during-autumn-11489383

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Posted
  • Location: Yorkshire
  • Location: Yorkshire

Summer sun,  your linked article is still running that Motherwell 33.2C record that was rejected because of a nearby parked ice cream van.

https://blog.metoffice.gov.uk/2018/07/05/an-update-on-a-record-breaking-june/

Also, the map says we had a warmest summer ever where we live in Yorkshire. It's very hard to believe. I'd say it's rubbisih in fact. It was very warm through the day for 6 weeks from the last week of June but the nights were not that uncomfortable, especially when we got towards the end of August and I had to put the central heating on in that month for the first time ever! Last week, I walked out of the pub quiz and was lost in a cloud of my own breath. Topcliffe recorded 2.7C and 2.5C in the last two days of August. We've had a warm June and a glorious July - hot but mostly comfortable apart from a few days. August was average at best after a warm start. Our nearest Met Office Station had a summer high of only 29.0C. We beat 30C loads of times in 2006 and 1976. The nights were warmer in 2006 and 1976 days were endlessly roasting with less cloud than this year. 2006 saw lots of time in beer gardens, even after dark. 1976 memories are of a kid finding it too hot to play cricket on baked ground, drinking at each others' houses regularly, and being so thirsty when we wandered off that we drank out of horse troughs after spending all the cash we had on pop. This year needed another week or two of hot weather to match 2006 but was nowhere near 1976 which will take some beating. 1976 was legend yet it hardly shows on that hottest year map. They need to remodel their model.

It has been a great summer, though! We do get them occasionally.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited by Aleman
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Posted
  • Location: redcar,cleveland
  • Weather Preferences: Winter cold,snow and frost. Summer hot and thundery
  • Location: redcar,cleveland

Hottest summer on record I'm sorry but Summer ended here about 6 weeks ago. 1995 was far warmer here. Record from may to July I could believe but August has been average at best.

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Posted
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
  • Weather Preferences: 30 Degrees of pure British Celsius
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
2 hours ago, seabreeze86 said:

Hottest summer on record I'm sorry but Summer ended here about 6 weeks ago. 1995 was far warmer here. Record from may to July I could believe but August has been average at best.

MetO keep churning out that England has experienced it's hottest summer, CET records has shown it's only been the 5th warmest!!

Really surprised nobody on this site has mentioned this, Meto pushing it's own agenda as the weather has been so much in the news this summer?

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Posted
  • Location: redcar,cleveland
  • Weather Preferences: Winter cold,snow and frost. Summer hot and thundery
  • Location: redcar,cleveland
30 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:

MetO keep churning out that England has experienced it's hottest summer, CET records has shown it's only been the 5th warmest!!

Really surprised nobody on this site has mentioned this, Meto pushing it's own agenda as the weather has been so much in the news this summer?

Exactly don't get how it's being allowed to be released to the public it clearly states in the achieves that it's just about in the top 5.  Still a a great summer just not record breaking 

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Posted
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.

Still been hotter than 2003 here though,that wasn`t great in the west.

Maybe third hottest here after 1976 and 1995.

https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/727136/UK-weather-Met-Office-autumn-indian-summer-BBC-weather

This had the other day BBQ heat to last until Christmas yeah right lol.

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
On 29/08/2018 at 15:09, Jo Farrow said:

I'm not clicking on it but let's hope this means that NR can't post any killer cold, torrential rain and apocalyptic Snow stories this year if he's sticking to this story

He has trapped himself until Christmas with warmth. 

2908nrao.png

Shock he's now telling us winter is coming early

Quote

 

UK weather forecast SHOCK: Early winter FREEZE to blast Britain due to CLIMATIC ANOMALIES

BITTER winds and sub-zero temperatures threaten to plunge Britain into an early winter freeze amid predictions Arctic misery will grip the nation WITHIN WEEKS.

A dramatic change in the weather is forecast to set in during the second half of October prompting warnings to wrap up for a bone-numbing end to 2018.

Climatic anomalies associated with colder than normal UK winter weather appear to be building across the globe.

Solar activity forecasts point towards the sun entering a period of reduced output during winter 2018/19 – a so-called solar minimum.

An El Nino warming of the eastern Pacific could also become established by the end of the year while fluctuating sea temperatures around Britain also threaten to drive a trend towards cold weather.

Exacta Weather’s James Madden said the current unusually warm weather should largely hold out until the end of next month before temperatures plummet.

 

 
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Posted
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
6 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

What's shocking is the fact that this cr@p  is continually posted in here!

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Posted
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
  • Weather Preferences: 30 Degrees of pure British Celsius
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
14 hours ago, DAVID SNOW said:

What's shocking is the fact that this cr@p  is continually posted in here!

Sadly your correct and it's been going on for years and by and large it always James bloody Madden...

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Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex

This is the BBC4 TV programme: Horizon 2013-2014 Episode 12 What's wrong with our weather? First shown: 8pm 17th July 2014

I am watching it now on BBC iplayer.

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Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex

There was a very brief mention of about ocean temperatures and solar activity on weather but it was not explored in the programme.

Edited by Katrine Basso
completing sentence
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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

UK weather forecast: El Nino to FREEZE Britain with ICE-COLD winter

THE UK is set to be hit by a freezing winter this year, as experts predict El Nino will strike and deliver cold temperatures, ice and snow

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1016773/uk-weather-forecast-met-office-latest-forecast-uk-long-range-winter-forecast-el-nino

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Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex

The Express experts don't understand that is for Canada and North America and not for us.

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