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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

'Monday misery': Weather warnings as heavy rain and snow forecast days after heatwave

Temperatures in some parts will struggle to rise above 5C (41F) on Monday with up to 70mm of precipitation on higher hills.

At present, the weather is expected to perk up for the bank holiday weekend with highs of up to 18C (64.4F) on Saturday.

https://news.sky.com/story/monday-misery-weather-warnings-as-heavy-rain-and-snow-forecast-days-after-heatwave-11351865?dcmp=snt-sf-twitter

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 30 April—Sunday 6 May

Cold and wet at first. Warmer later on.

Monday will become cold, wet and windy right across England and Wales with further chances of sleet on hills. The eastern half of England will have the heaviest rain with winds gusting 40-55 mph but winds will increase everywhere. Remaining mostly dry over Scotland and Northern Ireland apart from a little rain in the Borders.

A transient high pressure ridge should make Tuesday become drier but a frontal system looks like bringing rain right across the country around Wednesday. More rain and showers look like moving across northern areas during Thursday and Friday and fresh to strong winds, especially for Scotland, while the south becomes drier, although probably rather cloudy at times.

All the while there will be a warming trend with temperatures up to at least the high teens by Friday afternoon. Mostly dry and warmer for the weekend with highs of around 20 C or just over in the Southeast. Any rain will probably be confined to the NW. Rather humid, though, with overnight mist, fog and low cloud patches possible.

Monday 7 May—Sunday 27 May

Unsettled for a time but then becoming dry

The more settled and warmer conditions could last through Monday but it looks like the weather will soon take a turn for the worse with low pressure becoming more dominant again during the week, so periods of wet and breezy weather will alternate with drier, calmer spells. It won't really be cool, though, temperatures most likely near average. The forecast could go wrong in two ways - either even wetter and windier, so broadly not much different, or more likely there'll be a chance of continental high pressure building more strongly and pushing a warmer and drier air mass towards the UK. It's about a 30 % chance. It looks like a build of high pressure across the UK from Scandinavia will settle the weather down again in the second half of May - drier and calmer but not necessarily notably warm. With higher pressure potentially laying more across the north of the country rather than the south this would mean any rain chances would be more for the south than the north but with risks of becoming more widespread if high pressure weakens more quickly than expected.

Next Update

So if more settled and drier weather develops after mid-May as now expected there are a couple of questions: are there chances of getting significantly warmer; and will those conditions last until the end of the month? Or will high pressure recede back to the Nordic regions and open the door to rain from the south and west?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Skelmersdale
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: 6-10 degrees. Spring 12-16 degrees. Summer 17-22 degrees.
  • Location: Skelmersdale

Well every weather site that uses the ECM shows a max of 22c in london next week :rofl:

Sad state of affairs if Nathan Rao trumps the "experts"

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

UK hot weather RETURNS: Britain to sizzle in 2-week HEATWAVE in time for May Bank Holiday

THE UK is about to bake in a two-week heatwave with temperatures tipped to nudge 30C (86F) over the May Bank Holiday.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/953244/UK-weather-hot-forecast-heatwave-May-2018-Bank-Holiday-Met-Office-sun

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Sunny Bank Holiday weekend to bring respite after winds and rain

Temperatures will soar to 21C over the long weekend in some parts of the country - higher than the average for May.

https://news.sky.com/story/sunny-bank-holiday-weekend-brings-respite-after-winds-and-rain-11355617

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

UK weather SCORCHER: Britain set for HOTTEST May Bank Holiday EVER - Met Office confirm

SCORCHING sunshine and blue skies will see Britain swelter in the hottest early May Bank Holiday on record, forecasters say.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/954162/UK-weather-forecast-hottest-May-Bank-Holiday-weekend-Met-Office-latest-hot-weather

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Royal wedding: Prince Harry and Meghan Markle set for dry and warm weather on big day

The couple could enjoy highs of 19C in Windsor on 19 May, judging by past statistics for the month.

https://news.sky.com/story/royal-wedding-prince-harry-and-meghan-markle-set-for-dry-and-warm-weather-on-big-day-11356024

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

UK weather weekend forecast: Bank holiday to kick off HOTTEST May in FOUR DECADES

BRITAIN is about to bake in some of the hottest May temperatures in more than FOUR DECADES as the nation gears up for a record-breaking bank holiday scorcher.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/954845/UK-weather-forecast-weekend-heatwave-May-2018-Bank-Holiday-Met-Office-forecast

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC Weather: Scorching highs of 27C to 'SMASH' Bank Holiday weekend record - HOTTEST ever

BBC WEATHER has forecast the hottest Bank Holiday Monday on record as scorching temperatures sweep across the country this weekend.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/955421/BBC-Weather-forecast-Bank-Holiday-weekend-Met-Office-hottest-record-temperature

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

UK weather weekend forecast: Pollution cloud to ENGULF Britain in Bank Holiday SCORCHER

A TIDE of pollution about to sweep in on a plume of roasting air from the Continent has sparked warnings to take extra care while out and about this bank holiday.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/955443/UK-weather-forecast-May-Bank-Holiday-weekend-Met-Office-latest-forecast-hot-weather

 

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Posted
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, cold!
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
15 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

BBC Weather: Scorching highs of 27C to 'SMASH' Bank Holiday weekend record - HOTTEST ever

BBC WEATHER has forecast the hottest Bank Holiday Monday on record as scorching temperatures sweep across the country this weekend.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/955421/BBC-Weather-forecast-Bank-Holiday-weekend-Met-Office-hottest-record-temperature

This hottest ever May Day bank holiday mantra is misplaced I think.  The bank holiday was only instigated in 1978 so there's much less data to go on than for the individual daily temperature records, which go back much further. I'd bet the daily temperature records for all of May 1 to May 7 are all higher than the 23.6C for the bank holiday.

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Bank Holiday Monday weather to break records, with 27C forecast

With glorious temperatures of 29C (84.2F) possible on Monday, weather forecasters predict this bank holiday will smash records.

https://news.sky.com/story/bank-holiday-monday-weather-to-break-records-with-27c-forecast-11359443

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Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
3 hours ago, Mike Poole said:

This hottest ever May Day bank holiday mantra is misplaced I think.  The bank holiday was only instigated in 1978 so there's much less data to go on than for the individual daily temperature records, which go back much further. I'd bet the daily temperature records for all of May 1 to May 7 are all higher than the 23.6C for the bank holiday.

You are probably correct re 1-7th, however that is not what the headline so why query it?

Perhaps to be precise they might have said in the last 40 years since this actual May Day BH was started?

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

HOT weather forecast: Summer 2018 SCORCHER as Britain to be hit by 4 MONTHS of blazing sun

A RECORD-breaking Bank Holiday scorcher will dish up a taste of things to come over the next few weeks with a blowtorch heatwave tipped to kick off summer. Freakishly high temperatures are forecast through June as the nation gears up for the first decent holiday season in years.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/955733/UK-hot-weather-long-range-summer-forecast-bank-holiday-BBC-weather-Met-office

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Stay cool! It could be the hottest Bank Holiday ever

With temperatures of 29C (84.2F) possible on Monday, weather forecasters predict this Bank Holiday will smash records.

https://news.sky.com/story/stay-cool-it-could-be-the-hottest-bank-holiday-ever-11359443

Record-breaking temperatures forecast to end bank holiday weekend

Britain looks set to enjoy record-breaking sunshine, with highs of 28C predicted on the final day of the bank holiday weekend.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-44026544

Britain braced for HOTTEST May Day in 100 YEARS: Shops prepare for Bank Holiday rush

SUPERMARKETS are braced for a stampede of sweltering Britons to strip the shelves of party food and drinks ahead of the hottest May Day in history. A whole raft of weather records could tumble over the coming days as Britain basks in some of the highest mid-spring temperatures in almost a century.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/955863/Weather-forecast-latest-Bank-Holiday-hot-UK-weather-Met-Office-latest

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Saturday 5 May—Sunday 13 May

A dry and warm Bank Holiday but cooler by midweek

Western and northern Scotland will often be cloudy on Saturday with occasional light rain or drizzle and hill fog, while banks of low cloud and mist may affect western Britain at times. Elsewhere, it will be warm with light winds and lots of sunshine. Over the next few days, high pressure will dominate, so there will be a lot of dry weather but north and north-west Scotland will have a chance of rain on Sunday and perhaps again on Tuesday, with occasionally fresh winds. However, much of the country will be dry and warm with lots of sunshine and temperatures perhaps reaching 26 or 27C in the south-east on Monday and Tuesday.

After the high pressure and warm weather this weekend and early next week, a return to a west or south-westerly airflow from the Atlantic can be expected later in the week. Frontal systems, bringing bands of cloud and rain will attempt to invade the country from the north-west, perhaps bringing some remnant cloud and patchy rain into south-east England at times too. The wettest and windiest weather, as well as coolest temperatures, will be reserved for Scotland, with temperatures around or perhaps slightly above average elsewhere. By the weekend, it looks like high pressure will attempt to build across the southern half of the country from the south-west, attempting to bring drier conditions, although there is still the potential for some showers or patchy frontal rain to affect western Britain for a time. Temperatures will still remain around average.

Monday 14 May—Sunday 20 May

High pressure dominating - dry, settled and warm

During the beginning of the following week, high pressure is expected to ridge towards the UK from the south-west; there are then robust signals for high pressure to dominate through the middle of May, not just across the UK but across much of northern Europe and Scandinavia too. Such a 'blocking' high pressure area often becomes very stubborn to move anywhere very fast, and this certainly looks to be the case. There will be a lot of dry weather with light winds too, with Atlantic fronts kept at bay well to the north and west of the UK. The only meaningful rainfall may come from slow-moving thunderstorms edging towards the UK from the near Continent. These may produce locally torrential downpours across southern, and perhaps at times, central areas but many areas are expected to remain dry. Therefore, this does give a risk of some heavy, thundery showers for the Royal Wedding on the 19th although statistically speaking there is still a greater chance of it remaining dry. Some early morning mist may develop at times inland although this should soon dissipate once the Sun rises. Additionally, temperatures are expected to be above average for the entire country. The warmest spots will be in the south, where already warm air will waft in our direction from France, Germany and the Low Countries. There is a small chance of some low cloud and mist lapping at North Sea coasts of northern England and eastern Scotland, should winds veer a little more to the north-east, although this appears unlikely at present.

Monday 21 May—Sunday 3 June

High pressure still firmly in the driving seat.

The pattern of high pressure dominance across the UK and much of N Europe is expected to continue, with current indication for the centre of the high to drift east from Scandinavia towards the UK. Low pressure areas and associated rain bands are likely to remain well to the south of the UK. The greatest risk of thundery showers or thunderstorms would remain across the southern half of the UK, where high pressure is expected to have less of an influence and a rather summer-like pattern of convective precipitation may develop here. Somewhat breezier conditions may develop at times across southern Britain too, as an easterly airflow blows around the southern periphery of the high. Often fine and settled weather with light winds can be expected for much of northern Britain, while temperatures are likely to be above average for most of the country. How warm it will get depends on a fine balance between the wind direction and wind strength - any easterly wind flow will likely bring cooler temperatures, especially to eastern Britain, as the waters of the North Sea typically remain rather cold well into May. Model ensembles suggest a 25% chance of low pressure located close to Iceland becoming more influential, allowing a cooler and more 'progressive' westerly airflow from the Atlantic to move across the UK. This would bring wetter, windier and cloudier conditions for most. However, the signal from the models over the last few weeks has been remarkably consistent with high pressure dominating for much of May - and so it would be tough to be against them.

Next Update

What will June, the first month of Meteorological Summer have to offer on the weather front?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

HOT weather forecast: UK set for second weekend HEATWAVE as hot spell to last until JUNE

BRITAIN is just days away from another blistering heatwave with blazing sunshine and blue skies forecast into the second half of May.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/956814/UK-hot-weather-forecast-weekend-heatwave-long-range-summer-2018-forecast-June-Met-Office

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Posted
  • Location: Lower Brynamman, nr Ammanford, 160-170m a.s.l.
  • Location: Lower Brynamman, nr Ammanford, 160-170m a.s.l.
18 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

HOT weather forecast: UK set for second weekend HEATWAVE as hot spell to last until JUNE

BRITAIN is just days away from another blistering heatwave with blazing sunshine and blue skies forecast into the second half of May.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/956814/UK-hot-weather-forecast-weekend-heatwave-long-range-summer-2018-forecast-June-Met-Office

Nathan in the Express. I'll get my thermals back out of the cupboard, in that case.

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