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Here comes the sun! Met Office says UK will be up to 14 degrees WARMER in just THREE days

BRITAIN can finally look forward to some warmer weather with temperatures set to soar as we enter next week, according to the latest Met Office forecast.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/926801/uk-snow-weather-forecast-met-office-warning-flood-alert-warmer-temperature-latest-update

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 5 March—Sunday 11 March
A reduced intensity of cold and snow

With the North Atlantic jet stream still predicted to be displaced well to the south of the UK (over Spain, France and Italy) early next week, we cannot expect a rapid change to mild conditions any time soon. Indeed, temperatures remain below average for early March and further overnight frosts expected, especially in the north. With low pressure areas nearby, further snowfall is expected, especially over northern hills, but the risk is much lower from the Midland southwards. Daytime temperatures should be a little higher than this week, rising to 4-7C quite widely, locally 8-9C in far SW. Winds are unlikely to be very strong and will be much lower than normal in the north.

Low pressure areas will continue to influence the UK during the end of next week, meaning that conditions will remain unsettled. While there is a good chance that winds will pick up at times, after the low wind speeds of earlier in the week, the threat of a strong wind event is low. Temperatures are expected to stay colder than normal for March, especially so over central and northern areas of the UK, with night frosts ongoing. Snowfall can still be expected, particularly on the northern edge of individual low pressure areas, but certainly a lower risk than the past few days.

Monday 12 March—Sunday 18 March
Classic springtime weather - a bit of everything!

The middle part of March will very likely see a real mixture of weather, as high pressure ridges alternate with low pressure influence. However, it seems more likely that the third week of March will be influenced by low pressure on many days, with above normal rainfall amounts, especially in the south. Temperatures struggling to rise above the seasonal average, and snow is still likely to be a threat over some northern hills. However, in the sunshine and out of the wind, it will likely feel quite pleasant and spring like. As we head through to late March, it is more likely that high pressure ridges will develop more widely close to the UK again. This could bring some chilly weather, with frost at night, but in the daytime sunshine, temperatures creeping into the teens.

Monday 19 March—Sunday 1 April
A chillier end to March

As we move towards the end of March, indications are that high pressure should become centred to the west over the mid-Atlantic. This could allow another wave of cold air to sink south across the UK, bringing below average temperatures and a risk of springtime frosts. Rainfall should be near to below normal. The greatest chance of occasional wet weather appears to be across the east rather than the west, but snow should be mostly restricted to northern hills.

Next Update

We will be trying to accurately predict where the high pressure ridges will end up being located during the next few weeks. Wind direction is very important at this time of year for dictating temperature and whether we will see warm sunny days, or cold frosty ones under a high pressure area!

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Met Office chief Rob Varley quit in middle of the storm

Quote

The head of the Met Office secretly quit last week as Storm Emma hit Britain.

Rob Varley stepped down from his role as chief executive last Thursday after an investigation identified mismanagement relating to spending controls and governance, according to a Whitehall source.

Mr Varley is a former weather forecaster and in 2014 he became the first internal candidate to be appointed chief executive in the history of the Met Office. He was in charge in 2015 when the office lost the contract that it had held for almost a century to provide forecasting for the BBC.

Mr Varley, 55, left after a conversation with Alex Chisholm, permanent secretary at the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy.

The department announced Mr Varley’s departure yesterday and said that the delay in making it public had been because of the storm and Siberian winds that had battered Britain. “The priority last week was to ensure that Met Office resources were devoted to providing essential safety of life services given the severe weather events,” the department said.

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/met-office-chief-rob-varley-quit-in-middle-of-the-storm-pf62gjwbp

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Did anyone else see the BBC forecast at 9.55 last night clearly showing quite a lot of snow for Saturday? It was the longer one on BBC News but I can’t find anyone else at all saying this really. No one on here or Meto or other channels. But he seemed pretty confident! Am I going mad?!! :cc_confused:

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1 hour ago, knocker said:

Sad he was another one of my era, mind you very much younger than me, I think he was a HQ Defence bloke before I retired?

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5 hours ago, Snowmusic said:

Did anyone else see the BBC forecast at 9.55 last night clearly showing quite a lot of snow for Saturday? It was the longer one on BBC News but I can’t find anyone else at all saying this really. No one on here or Meto or other channels. But he seemed pretty confident! Am I going mad?!! :cc_confused:

I did Darren Bett said mainly over the hills of northern England as low levels will see temps around 7c

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Thanks, SS. That sounds much more sensible. It wasn’t Darren on the one I saw and I was really surprised because whoever it was didn’t mention elevation  etc (which I would have expected). Perhaps I had nodded off and was dreaming of snow!! :sorry:

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Posted (edited)
52 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

UK weekend weather: Low pressure system pushes WARM AIR to Britain - Sunday to reach 20C

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/929386/Weather-forecast-BBC-weather-warm-Spring-Weekend-weather-Sunday-Saturday

Doesn’t say that in the article though gav

it says temps will be up to 20 c higher than they were during the freeze 

headline is patently not true based on the article below it

Edited by bluearmy

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 12 March—Sunday 18 March
Mild, wet and windy mid-week. Colder end.

Mostly cloudy on Monday, with rain over east and south-eastern England early on and then a weak front spreading a new band of rain into western areas of the UK on Monday evening. A short-lived high pressure ridge on Tuesday will bring plenty of dry weather to western areas, but a weak front over central and eastern England will bring patchy rain in the morning and a few heavy showers over the Midlands and East Anglia in the afternoon. Turning wet and windy from the west on Wednesday, with increased probability of strong southerly winds over southwest England, Wales and Irish Sea areas with gusts of 50-60mph possible here. Widespread heavy rain moving slowly eastwards, heaviest in the west. Slight risk of local frost in northeast Scotland on Tuesday morning. Otherwise, frost free.

Low pressure becomes slow moving across the UK through the remainder of the week, as high pressure intensifies over Scandinavia. Mild, especially in the south, until the weekend, with showery conditions, some heavy and thundery. As low pressure weakens, the winds will ease by Friday and the weekend. A trend to colder conditions over Scotland seems most likely during the weekend, with increased risk of widespread frost and some snow showers here. The biggest uncertainty is how quickly the cold air will filter south-west across the UK, with a chance it will be delayed into the following week, if low pressure is more stubborn to decay.

Monday 19 March—Sunday 25 March
A cold spell looms - less severe than previously

The final ten days of March are looking increasingly likely to see a return to more widespread cold conditions. North or north-easterly winds developing as high pressure intensifies to the north of the UK and low pressure areas are more focused over central and south-eastern parts of Europe rather than across the UK. However, it seems very unlikely that a cold spell of the magnitude that we saw in late February and the start of March will develop. That was produced by an exceptional set of circumstances in the atmosphere, which forced bitterly cold air rapidly south-westwards from Siberia, before it had chance to be modified by the milder Atlantic winds. This time, a more typical early springtime cold spell seems more likely, with the northern half of the UK most exposed to more sustained cold anomalies than further south. Because we expect winds from the north-east, and with high pressure closer to Scotland than Kent, then it seems likely the wettest and windiest weather will be found over southern areas, while north-western Scotland enjoys a break from the normal deluges and has some dry spells.

Monday 26 March—Sunday 8 April
A windy, unsettled and chilly start to April.

Into the start of April, the most likely outcome is for low pressure areas to reside close to the UK, while high pressure intensifies over Spain and southern France. This will mean unsettled, windy conditions are more likely than sustained periods of dry and calm weather. Additionally, with the winds blowing from the northwest more often than from the south and southwest, then the number of chilly days will still outnumber the milder days. Not only are the latest weather computer models trending towards this scenario, but our long range forecasters have spent time analysing recent global weather patterns and identifying previous years which saw similar patterns. Their results support the model guidance, which increases confidence in our predictions.

Next Update

The expectation of another cold spell is always cause for interest and concern. While there are certainly signs of something colder to return, after the brief bursts of spring warmth over the next week or so, at this kind of range the forecast is never a certainty! We will be assessing the latest forecast signals to see if the risk of another cold spell has increased or decreased.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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