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Weather in the general media (Newspaper features etc)

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5 hours ago, Walsall Wood Snow said:

I noticed in the Daily Star today they were reporting that Christmas Day this year is predicted to be the warmest on record. It's the first instance I've heard of such a claim. Is this even likely. They also claimed that 2017 is set to be the UK's warmest year on record. I can perhaps buy that, but it hasn't felt particularly like it ought to be and has seemed pretty average to me at least and if it is above, I'd be surprised if it was by anything significant.

Daily Star another pathetic red top rag...only 2 weeks ago they were saying (front page) that it was 'odds on' for a white Xmas in the UK, several forecasters online Brian Gaze etc. told the paper what synoptical conditions could cause snow in the weeks ahead and of course the journalist interpreted this as a forecast - duh!:nonono:

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 25 December—Sunday 31 December
From High to Low

High pressure will give way to several areas of low pressure this week resulting in a change to more unsettled weather.

Christmas day will remain mild and rather cloudy across much of England and Wales. Over Scotland and Northern Ireland the heavy rain will give way to colder, showery weather and yes, the showers turning to snow on higher ground. The colder weather will extend across most other parts on Christmas night and into Boxing Day with outbreaks of heavy rain and stronger winds. Sunshine and showers will follow during Boxing Day with the showers in the north falling as snow. It will feel noticeably colder across all parts so extra layers will be required if you are heading out for some fresh air.

We will have a more changeable period of the weather leading up to the end of the year. There will be sunny spells and scattered showers, the showers most frequent in the north and west, falling as snow on high ground. There will be periods of more persistent rain at times too. We are expecting a spell of particularly wet weather to cross south Wales and southern England on Tuesday night and Wednesday morning, with even some snow possible on higher ground for a short time. It will turn a little milder by the weekend as winds come in from the southwest.

Monday 1 January—Sunday 7 January
New year, same weather

It does look as though 2018 will start off in a very similar note with unsettled weather conditions across the British Isles. Areas of low pressure will continue to move in from the Atlantic bringing spells of wet and windy weather. The heaviest rain and strongest winds are always most likely to be across western Scotland and Northern Ireland. There will be a chance of snow in the north too, mainly over high ground. In between the weather systems there will be drier, brighter interludes with lighter winds and sunny spells by day but clear skies and a frost at nights.

Monday 8 January—Sunday 21 January
Something a little bit quieter

The second week of 2018 will still have a changeable look with further spells of wet and windy weather. However there are signs of low pressure giving way to high pressure around the middle of the month. This means longer periods of drier, more settled conditions, especially over more southern parts of the British Isles and even in the north, there will be more in the way of drier weather and not as windy. The position of the high pressure will be crucial for our temperatures At this stage it looks like our air will still come in from the Atlantic, keeping temperatures on the mild side but light winds and clear skies at nights would still lead to a touch of frost.

Next week

Any sign of prolonged cold, wintry weather? .

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by 2030

A model of the Sun's magnetic activity suggests the River Thames may freeze over within two decades, experts say.

A mini ice age that would freeze major rivers could hit Britain in less than two decades, according to research from universities in the UK and Russia.

A mathematical model of the Sun's magnetic activity suggests temperatures could start dropping here from 2021, with the potential for winter skating on the River Thames by 2030.

A team led by maths professor Valentina Zharkova at Northumbria University built on work from Moscow to predict the movements of two magnetic waves produced by the Sun.

It predicts rapidly decreasing magnetic waves for three solar cycles beginning in 2021 and lasting 33 years.

Very low magnetic activity on the Sun correspond with historically documented cold periods on Earth.

Professor Zharkova claims 97% accuracy for the model which dovetails with previous mini ice ages, including the Maunder Minimum period from 1645 to 1715 when frost fairs were held on the frozen Thames.

But she cautions that her mathematical research cannot be used as proof that there will be a mini ice age this time around, not least because of global warming.

"I hope global warning will be overridden by this effect, giving humankind and the Earth 30 years to sort out our pollution," she said.

But Professor Zharkova warned that any downward impact on global warming will last only until the Sun's two magnetic waves become active again in the 2050s.

"We have to be sorted by that time and prepare everything on Earth for the next big solar activity," she said.

https://news.sky.com/story/scientists-predict-mini-ice-age-could-hit-uk-by-2030-11186098

 

 

Edited by pip22
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Posted (edited)

BBC monthly outlook

*Dates are all to pot but it is the correct update*

Monday 1 January—Thursday 7 December
Wet and windy

Happy New Year! The weather has started on a very lively note in the wake of Storm Dylan. Low pressure is dominating the UK and will bring a succession of fronts across our shores. Wet and windy weather can be expected through the week at times, the rain heavy and the winds strong for some. The weekend looks set to quieten down with the brakes applied to the Atlantic mobility. It will become colder and more settled across the UK.

Friday 8 December—Thursday 14 December
A cold snap?

The cold weather looks set to firmly establish itself over the UK by the first part of next week. We can look forward to mainly dry weather, but with the risk of some widespread overnight frosts. There is great uncertainty as to how long this cold snap will last into next week. As fronts try to push back across the UK from the Atlantic we may see some significant snowfall in some areas.

Friday 15 December—Thursday 21 December
A return to milder conditions?

Frontal zones are likely to attempt to restore some Atlantic mobility with a renewed threat of snow. There are weak signals for unsettled, milder weather to return by the middle of January.

Next week

We will look again at the potential threat of snow and if or when the milder conditions may be set to return.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

Edited by Summer Sun

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Oops! January 1st to December 7th?!:drunk-emoji::rofl:

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1 hour ago, Ed Stone said:

Oops! January 1st to December 7th?!:drunk-emoji::rofl:

Global cooling, no summer this year! 

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This link to the US/Canada weather is well worth watching;

see the dog with a sledge, not only does it slide all the way down, it then tries to take tthe sledge back up to do it again-brilliant!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-42576978

Some the actual temperatures are mind boggling, add on the wind chill and -79!!

Cars frozen into floods, keep it I prefer here with a bit of frost and if I'm lucky snow once in a while

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 8 January—Sunday 14 January
Cold start, less cold but more unsettled later

It will be a fine and bright start to the week for many of us but chilly with a widespread frost. However, in the south of the country, cloud will be dragged up from the continent, leading to slightly less cold weather. The cloud will continue northwards through the day, reaching Lincolnshire by lunchtime and the Scottish borders by night. Monday night will again be cold but less so than the previous night.

Tuesday morning will see a lot of low cloud, with mist and hill fog across the country. We hold on to the cloud throughout the day, with some drizzle at times. By the end of the day, a band of rain will start to push in from the west across Northern Ireland and into the South West and Wales. This will slowly move northeastwards through the night, getting lighter and patchier as it does so, although as it hits the hills of Scotland we could see some snow. The last of the rain could take until the end of Thursday to fully clear the north east of Scotland but for much of the rest of the country there will be cloud and sunny spells through the end of Wednesday and Thursday. Where we have breaks in the cloud we could see fog forming on Thursday morning.

Friday will again see a mix of cloud and sunny spells across the country, with a band of heavy rain waiting in the west, ready to move across the country later in the day and into Saturday. This will fall as rain for most but we could again see some snow on the hills in the north and it will bring breezy conditions.

Sunday may turn more settled for a time, before the next weather system reaches us.

Monday 15 January—Sunday 21 January
Staying unsettled with some drier interludes

The unsettled weather is set to continue into next week, with fronts coming in off the Atlantic from the west or south west. This will bring wet and windy weather, with the risk of gales and some heavy downpours. We will also have the chance of snow over the mountains in Scotland. It is not all doom and gloom though, as we should have some drier and brighter interludes between the fronts. Temperatures will be around average, with some frosty nights.

Monday 22 January—Sunday 4 February
North west/south east split

During this period, we are likely to see a bit of a split across the country, with wet and windy weather in the north west and drier and brighter weather in the south east. The wet weather will be due to fronts pushing in from the Atlantic, although there will be breaks in between fronts, allowing everywhere to have some drier spells.

Next week

Will we get any more snow to top up the slopes? Check back next week for the latest.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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Not sure where to put this so mods please move if you think it necessary

Just had an e mail for Roger Brugge, COL editor that Philip Eden has died,

this from his brothers

Announcement: Philip Eden, 1951-2018

I have this morning received the following message from Philp Eden's 
brothers, John and David:

   It is with profound sadness that we have to report the death of 
   our brother, Philip Eden (Geoffrey Philip Eden), Meteorologist, 
   Broadcaster and Author, on 4th January 2018. He had been suffering 
   from Lewy Bodies dementia, but died as the result of head injuries 
   sustained after collapsing and falling several days earlier. He died 
   peacefully in a nursing home whilst receiving palliative care.

   Please pass this sad news on to colleagues who knew or worked with Philip.

   Details of the funeral arrangements will follow in a few days, but 
   anyone interested in attending should contact David Eden 
   at [email protected]

   John and David Eden (brothers)

Members will join with me in expressing condolences to Philip's family, 
and mourning Philip's passing. COL will be represented at Philip's funeral, 
and myself or Roger will gladly pass on any messages from members.

Stephen Burt
COL Chairman
10 January 2018

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57 minutes ago, johnholmes said:

Not sure where to put this so mods please move if you think it necessary

Just had an e mail for Roger Brugge, COL editor that Philip Eden has died,

this from his brothers

Announcement: Philip Eden, 1951-2018

I have this morning received the following message from Philp Eden's 
brothers, John and David:

   It is with profound sadness that we have to report the death of 
   our brother, Philip Eden (Geoffrey Philip Eden), Meteorologist, 
   Broadcaster and Author, on 4th January 2018. He had been suffering 
   from Lewy Bodies dementia, but died as the result of head injuries 
   sustained after collapsing and falling several days earlier. He died 
   peacefully in a nursing home whilst receiving palliative care.

   Please pass this sad news on to colleagues who knew or worked with Philip.

   Details of the funeral arrangements will follow in a few days, but 
   anyone interested in attending should contact David Eden 
   at [email protected]

   John and David Eden (brothers)

Members will join with me in expressing condolences to Philip's family, 
and mourning Philip's passing. COL will be represented at Philip's funeral, 
and myself or Roger will gladly pass on any messages from members.

Stephen Burt
COL Chairman
10 January 2018

Such very sad news John.

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Latest MetO forecast 16th to 25th is bizarre given latest model guidance, no idea where they see milder spells.

" Overall there will be a cold feel with frost overnight under clear skies but milder spells are also expected at times, especially in the south"

If they stated, "perhaps becoming less cold from the West later in the period" it would at least represent the less favourable output for cold.

Milder spells is something you would state with a typical zonal flow.

Edited by Mucka

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 15 January—Sunday 21 January
Mild, wet and windy to start, quickly turning cold

There is a very unsettled start to the new working week in store with strong winds across the UK and a band of very wet weather quickly pushing southeastwards. As that rain moves through, some of us could also see some thunderstorms. Once the rain clears away it is going to turn much colder. Then, for much of the rest of the week, we will keep that colder feel with a mixture of sunny spells and blustery showers. Winds will be strong, adding a significant wind chill. Some of us will see hail and thunder and there will also be snow showers too, especially for northern parts of the UK. Around midweek, and especially on Thursday, we are expecting to see a spell of very wet and windy weather. The strongest winds are likely to be across England and Wales and have the potential to be disruptive, though confidence is low at this stage. At the same time, we may also see some more significant snowfall.

Monday 22 January—Sunday 4 February
Turning warmer, but not for long

Looking towards the end of January, a brief spell of somewhat milder weather is on the cards; however, this less cold feel will be accompanied by thick cloud, outbreaks of rain and perhaps some strong winds too. This spell will be short-lived and quickly replaced by another spell of colder weather.

Monday 5 February—Sunday 11 February
North west/south east split

Throughout the beginning of February, conditions are most likely to be similar to what we have seen so far this winter. Brief periods of milder weather, with thick cloud and outbreaks of rain will be interspersed by longer spells of cold weather and overnight frost and fog. During these colder spells we could also see some wintry showers, but there will also be a fair amount of sunshine.

Next week

Is there any sign of an early spring?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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