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Weather in the general media (Newspaper features etc)

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 5 June—Sunday 11 June
Unseasonably windy and sometimes wet first week

Prolonged rain will affect Wales and parts of northwest England on Monday, with some very strong winds in the southwest too, these extending eastwards later. The rain will become more widespread over England on Monday night before giving a cool wet and windy day in the northeastern half of the UK on Tuesday. Wednesday will remain windy, and there'll be further blustery showers in the northeast, but many places will have a dry day with some sunshine. Further occasional rain and strong winds will spread to some southern and central parts on Thursday, with scattered showers further north. A brief warmer, drier interlude is likely on Friday before more windy weather with some rain spreads from the west over the weekend.

Monday 12 June—Sunday 18 June
Showery start - turning drier and a little warmer

The middle week of June will begin with a run of southwesterly winds, bringing a mixture of sunshine and scattered showers, most of the showers in the north and west. By midweek most places should be dry with some sunshine and a little warmer too. Its uncertain how long this drier spell will last, and the second half of the week will probably see a return to unsettled weather with rain or showers for a day or two.

Monday 19 June—Sunday 2 July
Some rain and some sun - warm at times in the east

There is no strong indication of what type of weather will prevail in the second half of June. At this stage, the most probable pattern is for winds to mainly come from a west or southwesterly direction. This would give southeastern areas drier and warmer weather than areas further north and west. Even so, all parts can expect some fine days, but equally any fine weather is unlikely to be prolonged - with occasional days of rain punctuating the dry periods. A thundery nature to some of the rainfall events should be expected, especially in the east, associated with the end of the warmer spells.

Next week

With this week's wet and windy spell over, we'll look at the prospects for late June and into early July.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 12 June—Sunday 18 June
A northwest/southeast split, and warming up.

After a windy and showery start across Scotland, much of the UK will enjoy a mostly dry day, although skies will tend to be rather cloudy at times. The odd shower will likely affect northern and western areas at times, with the best of the sunshine reserved for southern and eastern England.

In fact, the pattern of Monday's weather will often be repeated throughout the bulk of this period, with breezy, showery weather crossing Northern Ireland, northwest England and western Scotland on all days. Much of the remaining parts of England and Wales, and also sometimes eastern Scotland, will often be fine and dry. The exception to this rule is that there will be a slight threat of the odd thundery shower crossing the far southeast of England on Thursday.

This general set up is the result of the anticipated jet stream position being just to the northwest of the UK, steering any Atlantic lows and their attendant weather fronts across northwestern regions, and allowing pressure to build from the south.

As we head into the weekend, the weather forecasting models and tools at our disposal suggest that pressure will continue to build from the south, meaning that the majority of the UK should experience some fine and relatively warm weather, with only the extreme north under threat of wetter and windier conditions.

Monday 19 June—Sunday 25 June
Warm and dry for most at first, but for how long?

This period will most likely start on an anticyclonic note, with the majority of the UK enjoying fine an dry conditions. The feel of the weather will however be greatly influence by the exact position of the anticyclone. Should the system be centred slightly to the west, a broadly north to northwesterly flow will maintain average temperatures, which will still feel quite pleasant. However, should the anticyclone be centred over or just to the east of the UK, some very warm air could be drawn up from the near continent. At the time of issue, there is very little computer model consensus on the exact positioning of the anticyclone. So although we are fairly confident in dry conditions for most, just how warm conditions get is still open to some doubt.

As the week progresses, there are increasing signs in the forecast models that the high will tend to break down, and further Atlantic weather systems will begin to impinge on the UK, bringing spells of wet and windy weather again. These unsettled spells will once again most likely be chiefly steered across north western regions of the UK, and it's also probable that temperatures will return to values nearer the average for the time of year.

Monday 26 June—Sunday 9 July
An uncertain picture for late June and early July.

There is always an inherently lower degree of confidence in the forecast detail for the longer range period, but even taking this factor into account, the uncertainty in forecast for the start of July is particularly high. At time of writing, there is very little computer forecasting model consensus for the type of weather pattern we can expect during this period, particularly as we head into early July. During the winter months, in addition to computer models, meteorologists can often use observations in weather patterns and phenomena on the other side of the globe to help shape ideas for longer range forecasts closer to home, but these methods do not correlate as well during the summer.

At the start of this period, conditions will most likely be wet and windy at times, particularly in the north and west, with drier weather often found across eastern areas of the UK. Beyond the end of June, the only consistent signal from the tools available to us is that of slightly higher pressure in the vicinity of the UK during the first week of July. Some models also hint that this pressure anomaly might be positioned slightly to the west. These factors lead us to forecast that for the beginning of July, the most likely prevailing conditions across the UK will be drier than average weather, with a slight downwards trend in temperatures, although with daytime maxima probably still above values normally expected in early July.

Next week

Find out next week if we can firm up on the forecast trends for the first half of July.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 19 June—Sunday 25 June
High pressure is in control

We start this week with hot and sunny weather across the south of the UK and temperatures around 30ºC for many. In the north, across Scotland and to a lesser extent Northern Ireland we have cooler air moving in along with a band of cloud and some patchy rain. This cloud and rain will pull away from the UK by Tuesday and then mid-week it will be replaced by showers from the west. We won't all see these showers though and southern parts of England and Wales may remain completely dry all week. By this point temperatures will be dipping into the low-twenties. Ending the week we'll see a weather front approaching from the northwest bringing cloud and rain to Scotland and Northern Ireland. It's slow progress as this front approaches. England and Wales will remain dry and with warm air being pulled in from the continent, temperatures here look set to climb again. As often seems to be the case, as the weekend approaches, so does the rain and most of us will see some unsettled weather by Sunday. It's worth a mention that for much of this week, both UV and pollen levels are either high or very high.

Monday 26 June—Sunday 2 July
A bit of variety

With high pressure receding away to the near continent, the weather will certainly be more changeable than the previous week. It looks as though we'll get a few showers spreading right across the UK but we'll get some warm and dry days too. It's going to be one of those weeks where you'll need to keep up to date with the forecast fairly often. As pressure begins to build again to the west we'll see more settled weather coming to the fore. This should gradually spread to all parts allowing temperatures to build once more. As this happens we may well get a few thunderstorms developing, particularly during the evening or overnight.

Monday 3 July—Sunday 16 July
Where do you draw the line?

At this stage there is quite a lot of uncertainty in the forecast with hints of high pressure in the south and low pressure at least nearby in the north. This means that generally speaking the south will be fine and settled and the north will see some windy spells with rain at times. That's not to say the start of July will be a washout across Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England. There will be some settled, sunny and even warm weather too. In the same vein, saying that the south will see lots of dry weather doesn't mean no rain at all. Rain in the south looks most likely to take the form of large showers and thunderstorms developing through the heat of the day. All this talk of north and south begs another question in this forecast; where does one become the other? Unfortunately this isn't obvious and where the high pressure sits will determine this. Should the high pressure be centred across central France, we could see unsettled conditions permeating as far south as the Midlands. If it's further north, centred over England, we could see the mainly dry, warm weather pushing as far north as the central belt of Scotland.

Next week

Will it be the weather for beach days or board games?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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erm..... rather embarrassing actually, my daily weather blog on facebook , meant for friends/family, has been picked up and has spread a little.... local rag ran a story quoting me, it was the most viewed story of the day..lol.. the reoprter responsible , and others are quite amazed that i, a third rate amateur, 'beats. the professionals' all because im brave enough to trust in the anomaly charts and predict ahead of where the telly people do...lol.

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 26 June—Sunday 2 July
More of summer on the cards?

This week actually looks poised to remind us more of autumn than summer! The weather is looking very unsettled with frequent spells of rain and a few potential thunderstorms thrown in there too for good measure. The first rain bearing low pressure system will arrive slowly on Monday into Northern Ireland and spread slowly east on Tuesday. Through the remainder of the week this area of low pressure will struggle to clear the UK and will continue to draw in further areas of rain and perhaps even some thunderstorms on Wednesday. Welcome news I'm sure for gardeners and growers but perhaps not so much for those on a summer holiday!

Monday 3 July—Sunday 9 July
Will the weather settle down again?

As we look further ahead in the forecast things look like they should settle down slightly, especially in the south of the UK. It is likely that the changeable weather will continue further north with areas of low pressure continuing to bring strong winds, cloud and rain. At times these low pressure systems will swing areas of rain into southern parts too, however, this will be increasingly interspersed with drier and brighter conditions. Temperatures during this time are expected to continue to be cooler than the recent record breakers but at times it could warm up again, especially in the southeast.

Monday 10 July—Sunday 23 July
Finally something a little more like summer!

Looking in to mid-July the changeable weather is likely to continue in the north bringing more spells of rain and some showers too, but equally some sunnier spells in-between. The theme of seeing the driest and brightest weather in the south is also likely to continue during this period and at times these conditions may spread to all, especially later on. This would mean more sunshine and consequently higher temperatures but with an increase in temperatures the risk of some thundery outbreaks also increases.

Next week

Are there any more signs of the record-breaking warmth returning?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 3 July—Sunday 9 July
Signs of summer resurgence?

We look to start this week with a fairly cloudy picture, but it should quickly improve on Monday morning with some bright spells emerging (good news for the first day of the Wimbledon Championships!). By Tuesday all eyes will be to the west watching a rain band approach central parts but elsewhere, it's another mostly dry day with sunny spells. From mid-week we start to see a fair amount of uncertainty creeping into the forecast with the potential for showery outbreaks of rain to arrive from the south and these could be heavy and thundery. It's looking most likely that southern parts through Thursday and Friday will see some lively showers at times but also temperatures warmer than average. In contrast, northern areas are likely to keep temperatures around the seasonal norm with the potential for both showers and longer spells of rain.

Monday 10 July—Sunday 16 July
A northwest - southeast split continues.

As we look further ahead it looks likely that we will keep a fairly unsettled picture with bands of rain crossing the UK, interspersed by drier and brighter conditions. The best of the sunshine is likely to be in the southeast, however even here the summer threat of thundery showers moving in from the near continent is always present. The northwest is likely to see the lion's share of the wet and windy weather, although there should be some sunnier weather too at times, especially later in the week.

Monday 17 July—Sunday 30 July
Settling down for a time mid-month.

From mid-month, although there is a large amount of uncertainty, there are signals for a more settled period. Then as we head towards the end of the month, the weather looks like it will once again become more changeable, with the best of the warm weather becoming increasingly confined to the south.

Next week

We look ahead to the final month of Summer!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 10 July—Sunday 16 July
An unsettled week with rain and showers

Monday is set to be a rather unsettled start to the week, as a cold front brings rain to the northwest of the UK. Further southeast it will be somewhat muggy, and here there is a risk of thunderstorms and some heavy downpours. It will turn cooler through the week as a northwesterly flow is established. While we will see some rain and showers at times, there will also be a good deal of dry and fair weather through the week; so it's going to be a bit of a mixed bag, and we could see the odd interruption to play at Wimbledon.

Monday 17 July—Sunday 23 July
More of the same?

Next week looks set to continue with the generally mobile and unsettled theme. Showers and longer spells of rain are likely, these more prevalent in the northwest. Turning breezy with a chance of gales at times in the Highlands and Islands, and remaining on the cool side of average. Drier conditions are more likely in the southeast, but with the increased risk of thunderstorms.

Monday 24 July—Sunday 30 July
A return to warmer weather?

The end of July could see a change back to more settled and drier conditions across much of the UK. With the settled weather may come a build of warmth, particularly in the south and east; however there are still some signals that changeable weather could be more prevalent further north.

Next week

We look ahead to the final month of Summer!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 17 July—Sunday 23 July
Two fine days and a thunderstorm!

In a very traditional style, this week is set to fulfil the old summer saying "two fine days and a thunderstorm". Monday and Tuesday will start dry and fine with temperatures building day on day - by Tuesday we could see highs in southeast England approaching 30 Celsius. From late on Tuesday we will start to see thunderstorms approaching from the south and moving north. There will be more thundery showers on Wednesday with the potential for some torrential downpours, though it will still be a very warm day. There is high uncertainty regarding the exact locations of the thunderstorms, but inside the showers there could be some very heavy rain, whereas in the sunnier spells it will feel hot. By the end of the week, though, we will all have a fresher feel with some further outbreaks of rain, especially in the north.

Monday 24 July—Sunday 30 July
Summer set to make a return.

As we look ahead to the end of July, many places should see a continuation of dry, fine and warm weather. Southern parts of the UK are mostly likely to see spells of rain with the chance of heavy, thundery showers pushing north from the near continent. However, the timing and exact location of these potential thunderstorms is very uncertain at this early stage. We are all likely to see temperatures above the seasonal norm through this week, especially overnight, giving some warm and humid nights.

Monday 31 July—Sunday 13 August
A transition on the way mid-month.

At the start of August the dry and settled conditions look likely to continue at first with temperatures still remaining on the warm side. But towards the middle of the month we look likely to make a transition to wetter and windier conditions. This transition is likely to spread in from the northwest, which will start to allow a north-south split to develop. Southern parts are likely to see the best of the drier and brighter weather, whilst northern parts of the UK look favoured to keep more unsettled spells of weather, especially towards the middle of August.

Next week

We look ahead to the final two weeks of summer.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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BBC monthly outlook

Monday 24 July—Sunday 30 July

July set to end on a Low

As we go into the last week of July, there are some typical British summer weather conditions on the way with drier, warmer days but rain never too far away. After the very showery conditions of this past weekend, the early part of the week does look to be drier and brighter with fewer showers and a lot of dry weather. Still some showers over eastern England on Monday otherwise many places will be dry with sunny spells and warm in the sunshine too. These conditions continuing on Tuesday with temperatures not too far from normal for late July and with light winds, it will feel very pleasant in the sunshine. All change for Wednesday, a trough of low pressure will bring a band of rain eastwards across the country during the day.

The rain will be persistent and heavy for a time but moving through relatively quickly. Thursday will see a return to drier and brighter weather, some sunshine and fresh westerly winds. Friday will also see a lot of dry weather with sunny spells but all change again in the west later. As we head towards next weekend, it does look as though another area of low pressure will make its way across the Atlantic towards the British Isles, bringing another spell of wet weather. It will also be windy at times with gales in the north.

Monday 31 July—Sunday 6 August

New month, same old weather

Further areas of low pressure will keep the unsettled theme going into the first week of August. There will be further bands of rain crossing the country with drier and brighter interludes in between. The most prolonged and heaviest rainfall will be across northwestern areas where it will be windy at times too. It will be driest and brightest for longest across more southeastern areas. No heatwave during this period, the air coming in from the Atlantic will keep temperatures close to or even a little below what we would normally expect in early August.

Monday 7 August—Sunday 20 August

High pressure fights back

As we move into the second week of August, there are indications of high pressure beginning to build close to the British Isles. This would suggest longer spells of drier weather with large gaps between the areas of low pressure. Also the areas of low pressure are expected to pass close to northwest Scotland bringing further rain at times here and some rain extending further south at times too. The driest, brightest weather is expected to be over southeast England where temperatures will be on the warm side.

So the weather pattern as we go through August is one we would normally expect to see at this time of year.

Next week

As we head towards the end of the meteorological summer, any hot summer weather on the horizon?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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