Weather in the general media (Newspaper features etc)

[Summer Sun]

Into next week

Windy
Rain in northwest
Drier to southeast
Mostly mild

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/51027014

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Mild outlook but often wet and windy in the north

_________________________________

Saturday 4 January – Sunday 12 January

Quite mild for most but wet in the northwest

The coming week is likely to see a large contrast in the weather of western Scotland and the weather in south-eastern areas of the UK. North-western parts of the UK will be often wet and windy with northwest Scotland seeing the most prolonged and heaviest of the rain. Meanwhile, the south-eastern quarter of England will be often dry and calmer with only infrequent rainfall. This weekend, we will already see this contrasting weather pattern with north-west Scotland seeing some prolonged outbreaks of rain. Other northern areas of the UK will be cloudy at times and breezy with patchy rain on Saturday giving way to more prolonged rain on Sunday.

The southern half of the UK will be largely dry and bright this weekend. Through Monday and Tuesday, it will become more widely wet and windy at times across the country with outbreaks of rain spreading from west to east. On Tuesday, gales or severe gales could bring damaging gusts of wind for a time in northwest Scotland. However, it will be mild for all. The middle to latter part of next week will also be rather mild for many but with rain and brisk winds most frequent in the north-west. Further south and east, it should often be dry and less breezy.

Monday 13 January – Sunday 19 January

A mild outlook - wettest in the northwest

Often mild conditions are likely to persist into the third week of January. Similar to the preceding week, north-western areas of the British Isles are likely to be wettest and windiest with frequent rainfall bringing above normal rainfall amounts. Western Scotland, Northern Ireland and Cumbria would be favoured as seeing the highest rainfall amounts. Further south and east, across much of the rest of the UK, conditions are likely to be more variable because of an area of high pressure expected over the near-continent.

There is likely to be occasional wet and breezy weather but with high pressure exerting its influence at times, bringing some lengthy periods of dry and calmer weather here too. Overall, temperatures are expected to be above average for January although occasional night frosts can be expected, particularly in the south and east of the country.

Monday 20 January – Sunday 2 February

More widely drier for a time, then wetter later

Late January is favoured to see high pressure shift nearer to the UK for a time. This means we should see more widely drier and calmer conditions for a while over the country with rainfall in the north-west becoming less frequent. No significant or lasting cold weather is expected but we can expect some night frosts and fog at times due to winds falling lighter, particularly over England and Wales.

By the very end of the month and into the start of February, there are hints that high pressure could move further away to the south-east again. Therefore, we could well see wetter and breezier conditions returning from the Atlantic then. However, there are chances that high pressure stays more stubborn or shifts further north than currently expected, which would bring a persistence of dry and calmer weather with a greater risk of some cold weather at times, particularly in the south.

Further ahead

We will take another look to see whether north-western parts of the UK can expect to see a temporary respite from the rain and wind later this month

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

[mountain shadow]

14 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

 

By the very end of the month and into the start of February, there are hints that high pressure could move further away to the south-east again. Therefore, we could well see wetter and breezier conditions returning from the Atlantic then. However, there are chances that high pressure stays more stubborn or shifts further north than currently expected, which would bring a persistence of dry and calmer weather with a greater risk of some cold weather at times, particularly in the south.

 

Champion fence sitting again

[Summer Sun]

Into next week

Windy and mild
Rain in northwest
Drier to southeast

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/51040356

[Summer Sun]

Met office 10 day trend

Next 10 days

Wind and rain
Often mild

Next week

More wind & rain
Very mild
Improving later?

 

[Summer Sun]

Vehicles stuck on the A7 as snow hits the Borders

Quote

 

Drivers are being warned about wintry conditions hitting a number of routes in south east Scotland. Some vehicles were reported to be getting stuck on the A7 near Ashkirk and also near Mosspaul following heavy snow on higher ground.

Stretches of the A68 have also been affected, along with both the A73 and A72 in Peeblesshire. Scottish Borders Council said a number of school buses had been cancelled but no schools had been closed.

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-south-scotland-51046986

[matty40s]

Never mind the models, telecasting or met office long view, Winter is upon us.....

UK snow latest: 19 INCHES of snow and vicious winds batter nation as flood warnings issued | Weather | News | Express.co.uk

WWW.EXPRESS.CO.UK

---

UP TO 19 inches of snow will blanket parts of the UK next week, as the country braces for brutal conditions throughout January.

 

[Summer Sun]

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook

• More mild and wet weather
• Drier spell emerging
• Chillier weather arriving

Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers* https://weathertrending.com/2020/01/10/john-hammonds-month-ahead-any-chance-change/

 

[Summer Sun]

Next week

Mild
Potentially disruptive winds
Heavy rain at times
Drier later?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/51069670

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Mainly mild with spells of wet and windy weather

_________________________________

Saturday 11 January – Sunday 19 January

Mixed this weekend and stormy at times next week

The weather this week has been wet and windy at times, but there have been some drier and calmer periods too. Temperatures have, on the whole, been above normal for the time of year. There will be little change to this pattern this weekend.

Saturday will be a very windy day across all areas of the UK, with gales and severe gales for some and with rain moving south-eastwards to affect all but the south east of England during the day. This rain will be heavy in some areas. The rain will continue south-eastwards overnight and by Sunday morning, will only be affecting the South East, with most of the rest of the UK set to enjoy and dry, bright start to the day. The rest of Sunday will see sunny spells in most areas, but there will be the chance of showers. It will be less windy than Saturday.

Next week will be unsettled with weather systems moving in from the Atlantic at times to give us further spells of wet and windy weather. After a chilly but bright morning in most areas on Monday, the first of the Atlantic systems will start to move in during the second half of the day, with all areas cloudy and windy with a spell of rain. Tuesday looks likely it could be even windier with gales or severe gales possible and widespread, locally heavy rain moving in from the west.

Wednesday should bring a respite, but another Atlantic weather system is likely to affect us on Thursday and Friday before conditions turn a little less wet and windy next weekend as high pressure to the south starts to exert an influence.

Monday 20 January – Sunday 26 January

Mild, wet and windy

The first half of the week should be relatively dry and calm compared to this week as high pressure centred to our south become more of an influence on our weather for a time. Temperatures look milder than average too.

The relatively settled weather isn't set to last though, as the ridge of high pressure will decline around mid-week, and the end of the week will see more of an Atlantic influence on our weather. The UK as a whole looks wetter and windier than average, with the north and west generally wettest, albeit with spells of rain pushing into southern and eastern areas at times. There will be a similar pattern to the winds - the south and east will see spells of windy weather but the north and west will be the windiest part of the country.

Temperatures are set to remain above normal for the time of year in all areas, so there will be a reduced risk of overnight frosts compared to the average winter. That said, there will still be a chance of the odd cooler night.

Monday 27 January – Sunday 9 February

Becoming less unsettled in February?

There will be little change in the pattern as we move through the last few days of January. The weather across the UK looks wetter and windier than average, with the north and west generally wettest and windiest, whilst the south and east are drier and calmer. Temperatures will still be above normal for the time of year.

As we move into the start of February, we see a slight change in the pattern merging. Low pressure systems which have been tracking across northern and Europe are likely to track a bit further southwards into Europe. This would mean that although still unsettled, we would see less sustained wet and windy weather and should see some drier and calmer periods.

However, after quite a long run of temperatures either at or above normal, it looks as though February will see temperatures generally near normal, or perhaps a little below normal at times. It is worth noting that we still don't see any signs of any sustained spells of cold weather developing.

The main uncertainty to the forecast is how active low pressure will be across northern Europe at the end of January and to what extent activity declines at the start of February. There is a chance that the very unsettled weather persists into the start of February, which would limit the cooler conditions, but this less likely than our expected pattern.

Further ahead

We will take another look at the forecast for the start of February, to see if the cooler weather still looks likely.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

[cheshire snow]

Week ahead forecast Basicaly wet and windy snow for high ground Scotland by weekend dry but turning colder.

C.S

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Often wet and windy but some drier spells

_________________________________

Wednesday 15 January – Sunday 19 January

Stormy for a time; more settled this weekend

After a fairly stormy start to the week, the second half of the working week is likely to stay pretty unsettled and stormy at times. High pressure is gradually expected to build in from the southwest over the weekend, bringing some more settled, drier, and calmer weather.

With Tuesday's strong winds and heavy rain still fresh in everyone's minds, Wednesday is likely to seem relatively calm. Early rain in the southeast is likely to clear away to the east by midday, but some stronger gusts are expected along the south coast. Gales continue for Scotland with scattered squally and heavy showers, with sleet and snow in the Highlands. Elsewhere, however, it will be a rather dry, if a bit breezy, day with some good sunny spells through the morning and afternoon.

Thursday, however, will see another weather front move in from the west, bringing bands of heavy rain and another round of strong winds to most places. This is not expected to arrive until the afternoon though in the east. Gales again expected in the west and southwest, especially on the coasts, but rain will tend to clear away overnight as the winds ease.

Friday and through the weekend will see low pressure and weather fronts retreat to the north as high pressure builds in from the south and southwest. Showers on Friday will give way to drier weather for much of England, Wales and Northern Ireland by Saturday, with settled weather eventually spreading across Scotland on Sunday. Temperatures will take a dip and return to nearer to average after a very mild week. We can expect a return to some night frosts in places.

Monday 20 January – Sunday 26 January

Calm start, but turning mild, wet, and windy

The first half of the week should be relatively dry and calm compared to this week as high pressure centred to our south becomes more of an influence on our weather for a time. However, it is likely to feel cooler than this week, particularly in the south, which has been generally mild recently. While high pressure is in place, expect calm, clear, and cold nights with frost in the morning or perhaps some fog in places.

The relatively settled weather isn't set to last though, as the ridge of high pressure will decline around mid-week. The end of the working week and into the weekend will turn increasingly more unsettled as low pressure tracks encroach from the north and northwest. The UK as a whole looks wetter and windier than average by the weekend, with the north and west generally wettest, albeit with spells of rain pushing into southern and eastern areas at times. There will be a similar pattern to the winds - the south and east will see spells of windy weather but the north and west will be the windiest part of the country.

Temperatures will likely return to well above normal for the time of year in all areas for the second half of the week, so there will be a reduced risk of overnight frosts and snow compared with a normal winter. That said, there will still be a chance of the odd cooler night, especially in the northern half of the country.

Monday 27 January – Sunday 9 February

Often unsettled but occasional drier spells

There will be little change in the large scale weather pattern as we move through the last few days of January. The weather across the UK looks wetter and windier than average, with the north and west generally wettest and windiest, whilst the south and east are drier and calmer. Temperatures will still be above normal for the time of year.

As we move into the start of February, we see some early signs of a slight change in the pattern. Low pressure systems which have tended to stay north of the UK are expected to shift south, passing over or south of the UK more regularly. This will mean the unsettled weather will be expected more widely across the country, even in the south and east. High pressure is likely to cling on nearby, and between Atlantic weather fronts we will likely see one or two days of more settled and drier weather.

Temperatures are expected to remain above normal overall, but with high pressure temporarily moving in between weather systems, there will likely be some colder days and nights where temperatures may even dip below average. However, there are currently no strong signals for prolonged cold.

The main uncertainty to the forecast is how active low pressure will be across northern Europe at the end of January and to what extent its activity declines at the start of February. There is a chance that we see a much stronger high pressure ridge over western Europe which would tend to keep things settled and dry here.

Further ahead

Next Update: Early February details remain elusive, but we will be able to take a closer look at early February and hopefully pin down a little more certainty.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

[Summer Sun]

Next week

Quiet start
Largely dry
Becoming unsettled
Wet and windy

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/51127699

[Summer Sun]

Met office 10 Day trend

Next 10 Days

Calmer and colder and drier... for how long

Weekend

All change
Calmer and drier
Frosty mornings

Next week

Largely dry
Colder
Lighter winds

 

[Summer Sun]

Passenger hurt when wave smashes Great Western Railway train windows

 

Quote

A passenger has been left injured after a wave hit a coastal railway train, smashing windows. Great Western Railway's (GWR) 10:57 GMT service from Exmouth to Paignton, in Devon, was damaged by "sea debris" as it travelled along the coast. Paramedics were called to Dawlish Railway Station at midday and treated one patient for a minor injury.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-devon-51139119?ns_source=twitter&ns_campaign=bbc_weather&ns_linkname=news_central&ns_mchannel=social

 

[Summer Sun]

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook

• Frosty spell
• Eyes to the north
• Drier again into February

Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers* https://weathertrending.com/2020/01/17/john-hammonds-month-ahead-time-dry-out-last/

 

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Milder than average with some long dry spells

_________________________________

Saturday 18 January – Sunday 26 January

Clear, cold weekend followed by a dull, dry week

After a fairly stormy and unsettled week, this weekend we will see a strong high pressure system build over the UK from the southwest. This will push stronger winds and rain into extreme northern Scotland and the Northern Isles, leaving the rest of the country dry and fine. However, clearer skies and calmer winds will make for some chilly nights, with temperatures widely dropping below zero overnight. Frost is likely for many and there may be pockets of freezing fog in places. Next week, high pressure is likely to cling on and prevent any rain from falling anywhere away from northern Scotland but there will be a change nonetheless.

A very weak weather front is expected to slowly slide southwards from Scotland on Monday. This will bring milder air into Scotland but also thick low cloud across the UK by Monday night. This will lead to milder nights for the working week. However, it will also tend to be rather dull and dreary during the day with overcast skies. Any glimpses of sunshine will likely be at a premium for most. This pattern will stay in place into the following weekend, with weak fronts bringing light rain or drizzle into northern Scotland while the rest of the country is grey but dry. It is likely there will be a gradual pattern shift on Saturday 25th and Sunday 26th with high pressure declining slightly. This will allow rain to reach ever further south, although it will probably be quite dry in the southwest.

Monday 27 January – Sunday 2 February

Gradually more unsettled and less mild

The end of January and first few days of February will continue the gradual pattern shift that started the previous weekend. High pressure is likely to slink away to the southwest while low pressure become stronger and more widespread in Scandinavia. This will see temperatures overall become less mild (but still a touch above average) throughout the UK while things turn windier and a bit wetter. Most of the rain is expected to stay in northern counties, mainly Scotland but occasionally fronts will reach all areas. Winds will bring in cooler air and brisk winter winds along the east coast may feel quite biting. There may be a few very windy days for Scotland and perhaps Northern Ireland, with fronts likely to spend a good deal of time draped across the northern coast.

With near normal temperatures there is a risk of lowland snow for far northern Scotland but it is not expected to impact the Central Belt. Further south, wintry weather is not expected although there may be one or two chilly and frosty nights. These will tend to be associated with clear skies and therefore, dry weather. The main uncertainty with the forecast is that the UK is on a knife edge between two different weather patterns and minor shifts in the expected location of the high pressure system could make for a rather different looking forecast. There is a roughly 35% risk that it could look a bit drier and calmer, with mild air maintaining its presence over the country. There are not any strong signals for prolonged cold outbreaks though, so lowland snow for most of the UK is unlikely.

Monday 3 February – Sunday 16 February

Overall mild and dry; occasional rain in places

The first half of February looks like it will tend to be on the milder side of average with high pressure likely to linger nearby or overhead. This will mean a continuation of the calm, dry weather for the southern half of the country as weak fronts are pushed off to the north. However, there will be some rainy spells at times as fronts make it into the UK and it is likely there will be a few chillier days and nights despite the overall mild trend. High pressure is expected to amplify in early February as the low pressure over Scandinavia from late-January weakens. This will bring in some mild, tropical air from the southwest and push weather fronts off to the north. It is likely that the Northern Isles will stay wet and windy while further south the weather will tend to be fine and dry.

Heading into the second week of February low pressure tracks will likely creep closer to the UK from Iceland, bringing a return of more unsettled weather and some stronger winds, especially for Northern Ireland and Scotland. Occasionally during some weaker lulls in the ridge of high pressure, a front will cross the UK and bring rain into England and Wales. However, it is likely that they will be few and far between, with some lengthy dry spells. Similarly to the end of January, there is some uncertainty in the exact strength and location of the high, and since we are on the edge of it this could lead to large variations in the forecast. Confidence overall is only medium as a result but there is high confidence that it won't be colder than average and winter weather is expected to be confined to the Scottish Highlands.

Further ahead

While it doesn't look like February will be too cold, we will try to pin down the high pressure and see just how mild it might get.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

46 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Milder than average with some long dry spells

_________________________________

Saturday 18 January – Sunday 26 January

Clear, cold weekend followed by a dull, dry week

After a fairly stormy and unsettled week, this weekend we will see a strong high pressure system build over the UK from the southwest. This will push stronger winds and rain into extreme northern Scotland and the Northern Isles, leaving the rest of the country dry and fine. However, clearer skies and calmer winds will make for some chilly nights, with temperatures widely dropping below zero overnight. Frost is likely for many and there may be pockets of freezing fog in places. Next week, high pressure is likely to cling on and prevent any rain from falling anywhere away from northern Scotland but there will be a change nonetheless.

A very weak weather front is expected to slowly slide southwards from Scotland on Monday. This will bring milder air into Scotland but also thick low cloud across the UK by Monday night. This will lead to milder nights for the working week. However, it will also tend to be rather dull and dreary during the day with overcast skies. Any glimpses of sunshine will likely be at a premium for most. This pattern will stay in place into the following weekend, with weak fronts bringing light rain or drizzle into northern Scotland while the rest of the country is grey but dry. It is likely there will be a gradual pattern shift on Saturday 25th and Sunday 26th with high pressure declining slightly. This will allow rain to reach ever further south, although it will probably be quite dry in the southwest.

Monday 27 January – Sunday 2 February

Gradually more unsettled and less mild

The end of January and first few days of February will continue the gradual pattern shift that started the previous weekend. High pressure is likely to slink away to the southwest while low pressure become stronger and more widespread in Scandinavia. This will see temperatures overall become less mild (but still a touch above average) throughout the UK while things turn windier and a bit wetter. Most of the rain is expected to stay in northern counties, mainly Scotland but occasionally fronts will reach all areas. Winds will bring in cooler air and brisk winter winds along the east coast may feel quite biting. There may be a few very windy days for Scotland and perhaps Northern Ireland, with fronts likely to spend a good deal of time draped across the northern coast.

With near normal temperatures there is a risk of lowland snow for far northern Scotland but it is not expected to impact the Central Belt. Further south, wintry weather is not expected although there may be one or two chilly and frosty nights. These will tend to be associated with clear skies and therefore, dry weather. The main uncertainty with the forecast is that the UK is on a knife edge between two different weather patterns and minor shifts in the expected location of the high pressure system could make for a rather different looking forecast. There is a roughly 35% risk that it could look a bit drier and calmer, with mild air maintaining its presence over the country. There are not any strong signals for prolonged cold outbreaks though, so lowland snow for most of the UK is unlikely.

Monday 3 February – Sunday 16 February

Overall mild and dry; occasional rain in places

The first half of February looks like it will tend to be on the milder side of average with high pressure likely to linger nearby or overhead. This will mean a continuation of the calm, dry weather for the southern half of the country as weak fronts are pushed off to the north. However, there will be some rainy spells at times as fronts make it into the UK and it is likely there will be a few chillier days and nights despite the overall mild trend. High pressure is expected to amplify in early February as the low pressure over Scandinavia from late-January weakens. This will bring in some mild, tropical air from the southwest and push weather fronts off to the north. It is likely that the Northern Isles will stay wet and windy while further south the weather will tend to be fine and dry.

Heading into the second week of February low pressure tracks will likely creep closer to the UK from Iceland, bringing a return of more unsettled weather and some stronger winds, especially for Northern Ireland and Scotland. Occasionally during some weaker lulls in the ridge of high pressure, a front will cross the UK and bring rain into England and Wales. However, it is likely that they will be few and far between, with some lengthy dry spells. Similarly to the end of January, there is some uncertainty in the exact strength and location of the high, and since we are on the edge of it this could lead to large variations in the forecast. Confidence overall is only medium as a result but there is high confidence that it won't be colder than average and winter weather is expected to be confined to the Scottish Highlands.

Further ahead

While it doesn't look like February will be too cold, we will try to pin down the high pressure and see just how mild it might get.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Great.

[Summer Sun]

Canada snowstorms: State of emergency declared

 

Quote

A state of emergency has been declared in Canada after severe snowstorms hit Newfoundland and Labrador. As much as 30 inches (76cm) of snow has fallen leaving some residents trapped in their own homes.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-us-canada-51168462/canada-snowstorms-state-of-emergency-declared?ns_mchannel=social&ns_source=twitter&ns_linkname=news_central&ns_campaign=bbc_weather

 

[Summer Sun]

All change next week or should that be normal service to resume as we lose the high pressure and see a return to low pressure and rain with some snow over higher ground in the north.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/51199360

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Milder than average with some cold, stormy spells

_________________________________

Wednesday 22 January – Sunday 26 January

Fairly dull but mild week. Changes this weekend.

The rest of this working week will be dominated by high pressure extending over the UK from the west. Westerly winds to the north of this high will feed plenty of Atlantic moisture into the UK. This will result in a pretty dull, grey outlook with largely overcast skies and drizzly, misty conditions. Any sunshine will likely be at a premium, and most frequently in the east.
After a chilly start this week, temperatures will tend to be above average as the blanket of low clouds and mist keeps things from getting too cold. Overnight frost is unlikely, but some areas may turn quite foggy, the fog sluggish to clear in the mornings.

Any area that sees some clearer skies overnight will likely see quite dense fog develop, but this will be very patchy. Heading into the weekend, high pressure is expected to decline and shift away to the south, but this will be a very gradual transition taking the entire weekend. A weak front will try and move in from the northwest, but it will take all day Saturday and most of Sunday for it to reach clear into Southeast England. Rain will turn increasingly light and patchy the further south and east the front gets. However, it is a cold front and is likely to clear out the gloom from the week, so Sunday night is looking a bit colder.

Monday 27 January – Sunday 2 February

Stormy start with a midweek cold snap. Mild later

As the trend for high pressure to become ever less influential continues into next week, a strong low pressure system is likely to move in from the Atlantic early on. The first few days of the week are expected to become quite stormy across the whole UK, with some very strong winds and bands of heavy rain sweeping across the country. While the warm front will bring in some sub-tropical, mild air for a time, the strong cold front will herald a return of polar air and bring a cold snap that is likely to last for two or three days around midweek. During this cold snap, low pressure will linger to the north of the UK and keep things unsettled.

Scattered blustery showers are likely to drift in to western and northern areas, and these coupled with the colder air will bring a risk of lowland snow, mainly for Northwest England, Northern Ireland, and Scotland. Overall confidence is high, but there is still a bit of uncertainty on how long the cold air will be with us, and there is a slight chance it may linger clear to the weekend. However, as low pressure centres shift more over Scandinavia later in the week and into February, milder sub-tropical air from the Atlantic will be able to feed in once more. So temperatures will likely return to being above average for the time of year. Atlantic weather fronts will still traverse the UK though, so it will likely continue to be wet and windy, but not as stormy as the start of the week.

Monday 3 February – Sunday 16 February

Mild and changeable with some long dry spells

For the first full week of February, low pressure is expected to continue to linger around Scandinavia to the northeast of the UK with a ridge of high pressure over western Europe and into the North Atlantic. This UK will be on a knife edge between influences from the low pressure system and the high pressure system, so weather will likely be changeable. However, it will be more consistently wet and windy in northern and eastern areas, while staying a bit drier and calmer in the west and south. Temperatures will also tend to be milder than normal, and likely a bit milder than the end of January. Temporary ridges of high pressure that are expected at times may lead to some further cold snaps, but these will tend to be fleeting, lasting only one or two days.

Heading into mid-February, the broad weather pattern is likely to stay mostly the same, but low pressure tracks will move from Greenland, north of the UK, and into Scandinavia.
High pressure to the southwest and south will be able to make its presence felt a bit more often between low pressure systems, but also occasional fronts will bring some rain and winds to all. Southern areas may stay fairly dry though, with lengthy dry spells between weaker fronts that may only manage to bring light, patchy rain. Confidence is reasonably high into mid-February, but the main uncertainty is over how influential and for how long high pressure will determine the weather. There is a robust signal in the models for a distinct lack of prolonged, widespread cold and wintry weather. However, some brief cold snaps are expected, so a few spots may see some lowland snow at times.

Further ahead

We will have a better idea how long cold air will stick around next week, and take a closer look at how mild February may be.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

[Summer Sun]

Met office 10 Day trend

Next 10 Days

Goodbye high
Turning back to wet and windy

Rest of this week

Mostly dry
Murky
Milder nights

Next week

Monday - watching closely
Beyond Monday changeable
Spells of wind and rain
Perhaps a bit colder

 

[Summer Sun]

John Hammond's latest monthly outlook

• Chilly winds next week
• Milder change in the month
• Drier theme for February

Full forecast as ever is here for subscribers* https://weathertrending.com/2020/01/24/john-hammonds-month-ahead-whats-emerging-february/

 

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

A changeable pattern. Wet and windy at times.

_________________________________

Saturday 25 January – Sunday 2 February

A return to windier and unsettled weather

Recently, high pressure has brought rather calm and often dry conditions for many. However, the high pressure area is set to move away, opening the door to wetter and windier conditions from the west. We will start to see changes in our weather this weekend. After a mostly dry but rather cloudy day on Saturday, Sunday looks set to become wetter and breezier with rain spreading from the west. On Sunday night, colder air looks like spreading from the west with a mixture of rain and snow spreading eastwards. Snow will be most likely over hills and in the north, perhaps with some significant snowfall over the Southern Uplands of Scotland.

Chillier conditions will then persist through Monday and Tuesday next week. It is likely to stay breezy with showers, these most frequent over the western UK and southern counties of England. Snow showers are likely over hills in Wales, Northern Ireland, northwest England and Scotland, with accumulations at times. A gradual change to milder conditions looks likely for the middle to latter part of next week. However, it is likely to still be wet and windy at times. The most frequent rainfall looks set to be over northwestern parts of the UK. Western Scotland could be particularly wet.

Monday 3 February – Sunday 9 February

Wet and windy at first but drier later

The first full week of February looks like being a week of two halves. Through the first half of the week, we are likely to see a persistence of wet and windy conditions. Again, the rain could be heavy and prolonged over northwestern areas. Rain should be more infrequent further south and east. There are signs that the second half of the week should see a change in weather as high pressure extends from the south. This area of high pressure is expected to bring a drier and calmer end to the week. However, as winds ease, we could see the return of mist and fog in places, especially over England and Wales. Currently, there is some uncertainty around the timing of this change.

Monday 10 February – Sunday 23 February

More rain and wind at times but mild

Any drier and calmer weather is likely to be short-lived. Through the second and third weeks of February, a return of low pressure systems from the Atlantic look set to bring a return to wetter and windier conditions. Once again, the wettest and windiest conditions are likely to be over northwestern parts of the UK. Western Scotland and Northern Ireland could see well above average rainfall. However, all areas are likely to have some wet and windy weather at times as weather systems move from west to east across the country. Overall, the mild theme is likely to persist, with temperatures often either near or above the February average. There should be a lack of any significant or widespread snow. Night frosts are likely to be less frequent than usual too. There is a risk that we could see one or two stormy episodes for a time.

Further ahead

Will the unsettled but mild outlook continue or could there be signs of more wintry weather on the way?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

[feb1991blizzard]

1 hour ago, Summer Sun said:

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

A changeable pattern. Wet and windy at times.

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Saturday 25 January – Sunday 2 February

A return to windier and unsettled weather

Recently, high pressure has brought rather calm and often dry conditions for many. However, the high pressure area is set to move away, opening the door to wetter and windier conditions from the west. We will start to see changes in our weather this weekend. After a mostly dry but rather cloudy day on Saturday, Sunday looks set to become wetter and breezier with rain spreading from the west. On Sunday night, colder air looks like spreading from the west with a mixture of rain and snow spreading eastwards. Snow will be most likely over hills and in the north, perhaps with some significant snowfall over the Southern Uplands of Scotland.

Chillier conditions will then persist through Monday and Tuesday next week. It is likely to stay breezy with showers, these most frequent over the western UK and southern counties of England. Snow showers are likely over hills in Wales, Northern Ireland, northwest England and Scotland, with accumulations at times. A gradual change to milder conditions looks likely for the middle to latter part of next week. However, it is likely to still be wet and windy at times. The most frequent rainfall looks set to be over northwestern parts of the UK. Western Scotland could be particularly wet.

Monday 3 February – Sunday 9 February

Wet and windy at first but drier later

The first full week of February looks like being a week of two halves. Through the first half of the week, we are likely to see a persistence of wet and windy conditions. Again, the rain could be heavy and prolonged over northwestern areas. Rain should be more infrequent further south and east. There are signs that the second half of the week should see a change in weather as high pressure extends from the south. This area of high pressure is expected to bring a drier and calmer end to the week. However, as winds ease, we could see the return of mist and fog in places, especially over England and Wales. Currently, there is some uncertainty around the timing of this change.

Monday 10 February – Sunday 23 February

More rain and wind at times but mild

Any drier and calmer weather is likely to be short-lived. Through the second and third weeks of February, a return of low pressure systems from the Atlantic look set to bring a return to wetter and windier conditions. Once again, the wettest and windiest conditions are likely to be over northwestern parts of the UK. Western Scotland and Northern Ireland could see well above average rainfall. However, all areas are likely to have some wet and windy weather at times as weather systems move from west to east across the country. Overall, the mild theme is likely to persist, with temperatures often either near or above the February average. There should be a lack of any significant or widespread snow. Night frosts are likely to be less frequent than usual too. There is a risk that we could see one or two stormy episodes for a time.

Further ahead

Will the unsettled but mild outlook continue or could there be signs of more wintry weather on the way?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook