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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

No snow in Lapland as rising temperatures take sparkle away from dream holidays

Holidays have been cancelled, families are crestfallen, and projections suggest a further decline in snowfall in coming years.

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"Exceptional" weather in Lapland means no snow has fallen on Santa's homeland this year.

Unseasonably mild conditions, which are likely to become more common as climate changes causes global temperatures to rise, has left many families crestfallen by dream holidays that failed to crystallise.

At a time when northern Lapland would normally have 20-30cm of snow on the ground, there are now no more than a couple of centimetres in isolated patches, and the majority of the area has no snow at all.

 

https://news.sky.com/story/no-snow-in-lapland-as-rising-temperatures-take-sparkle-away-from-dream-holidays-11559423?dcmp=snt-sf-twitter

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Cold turkey: New York set for coldest Thanksgiving in century

Central Park in New York City is forecast to endure its coldest Thanksgiving Day temperatures since 1901.

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New Yorkers will need to wrap up warm this Thanksgiving as the annual holiday is set to be the coldest its been in more than 100 years.

Temperatures in the city that never sleeps are forecast to plummet below zero on Thursday morning, with Central Park to endure its lowest Thanksgiving Day temperature since 1901 - when it got down to a bitterly cold -7C (19F).

Currently the temperature in New York - which has already seen some significant snowfall in the past week - is hovering just above that record low.

 

https://news.sky.com/story/cold-turkey-new-york-set-for-coldest-thanksgiving-in-century-11559513

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

A chilly start, but gradually turning milder

Wednesday 21 November—Sunday 25 November

Cloudy and chilly with an easterly airflow

Until Friday, chilly east to south-easterly winds are expected to dominate for most of the country, and will continue to bring in a feed of frequent cloud and patchy rain from the North Sea. There will be some cloud breaks at times too - a widespread air frost will develop in the south on Thursday morning, thanks to clearer skies overnight - but in general, western and southern Britain will be driest with some sunny interludes. A front approaching from the south-west may bring some showers or patchy rain to southern and south-western Britain on Friday night and Saturday. By Sunday, it looks like cloud and patchy rain will linger for the southern and eastern half of the country; some snow flurries are likely over high ground in the north. The driest, sunniest weather looks to be in western Britain this weekend, although even here there is the potential for the odd rogue shower. It will be chilly for all areas, with the coldest weather likely in eastern counties of Scotland and northern England, where a cold east to north-easterly airflow will continue from the North Sea.

Monday 26 November—Sunday 2 December

A chilly easterly at first, but milder later

On Monday, cold east to north-easterly winds will continue across the northern half of the country, continuing to bring a lot of cloud, as well as some showers or patchy rain. Again, western areas are likely to remain driest and brightest. Next Tuesday looks to be drier, as a ridge of high pressure builds across the country, although low cloud may linger in some areas. By Wednesday and Thursday, milder south to southeasterly winds should develop ahead of an active warm front, which will bring rain to most of the country from the south-west, and mountain snow to northern Britain. It then looks likely that we will see more of an Atlantic influence later in the week, with low pressure generally expected to remain close to the west or south-west of the UK. This should continue to bring mild and moisture-laden south to south-westerly airflows, which will favour lots of cloud and frequent bands of rain, particularly for the southern half of the country. Scotland may take longer to warm up during the middle of the week, although it should become milder here too by the weekend.

Monday 3 December—Sunday 16 December

Becoming mild, breezy and wet for many

It still looks like the beginning of December will maintain the rather mild theme expected to develop at the end of this month, with rather mild, breezy and often wet conditions for many areas. A broad west to south-westerly airflow should take charge, bringing frequent outbreaks of rain to southern and central Britain. However, with cold air still lingering over Scandinavia, there could be some chillier interludes from the east or north-east into Scotland, perhaps allowing snow to fall to low levels. By the middle of December, there is unusually high confidence at this range for mild conditions to develop widely across the UK, as a frequent south to south-westerly airflow becomes more likely. With the airmasses being drawn up from the sub-tropics at times, there will be a more widespread risk of heavy rainfall across Scotland and Northern Ireland, and there is a slight risk of some strong wind events across western and northern Britain. Despite the mild conditions, a stiff breeze and rather cloudy weather should take the edge off the temperatures. The main risk by mid-month is that high pressure develops closer to the UK, displacing the low pressure track to the north and bringing drier and cooler conditions for most areas.

Next Update

Could there be hints of some stormier weather developing in the run-up to Christmas?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
3 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Into next week

More uncertain
Some rain
Southwesterly wind
Milder

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46297249

They are uncertain now which tells me,is this low going to make it to the uk?

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
1 minute ago, Allseasons-si said:

They are uncertain now which tells me,is this low going to make it to the uk?

I think all the models agree that it'll be very close by at t144 it's just whether it moves east quickly or stalls out west for a few days

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Posted
  • Location: south wales uk
  • Weather Preferences: hot and sunny
  • Location: south wales uk
43 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Met office 10-day trend

Next week

Starts cold and dry
Probably turning milder

 

What a well explained outlook,always liked Alex Deakin on the bbc very enthusiastic and informs people very well.  

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Posted
  • Location: Shoeburyness, SE Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Cool clear sunny weather all year.
  • Location: Shoeburyness, SE Essex
1 hour ago, Summer Sun said:

Met office 10-day trend

Next week

Starts cold and dry
Probably turning milder

 

What an excellent interesting descriptive forecast.

Maybe you should post this every update in the main forum.

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Unsettled at times, but some calm, frosty spells

 

Saturday 24 November—Sunday 2 December

Becoming mild and unsettled next week

This weekend will see a chilly easterly flow continue for most of the country, bringing a lot of cloud and some patchy rain or occasional showers from the North Sea. More frequent rain may linger across Scotland and northern England, with a little snow likely over the higher mountains too. The most widespread spells of rain and embedded showers will affect southern England and perhaps south Wales, with the odd rumble of thunder possible at times. Next week will start off on a rather chilly, cloudy note, with occasional showers or patchy rain affecting eastern England and Northern Ireland. After a largely clear night, Tuesday morning will be cold with a frost in the countryside, but a strengthening southerly breeze will develop ahead of an advancing warm front from the south-west on Wednesday, which will be a windy, wet day for most with hill snow in the Scottish mountains for a time. The second half of next week will then transition to a mild and unsettled theme, with low pressure generally to the north-west of the UK, and bringing bands of rain and a rather cloudy airmass from the south or south-west. There is a risk of gales at times too, particularly in the north and north-west, although confidence is currently low regarding the timings of any strong winds.

Monday 3 December—Sunday 9 December

High pressure returning

The first week of December will start off on a mild note, with a mild south-westerly airflow and low pressure generally moving north-east to the north of Scotland. The greatest risk of widespread wet and windy conditions will be early in the week, which is when the low pressure will be closest to the UK. It will be mild for all areas, although the rather cloudy and breezy conditions will take the edge off temperatures somewhat. By the second half of the week, there are increasing indications for a build in pressure from the south-west, which would result in drier conditions for all areas, as Atlantic fronts become deflected well to the north. Temperatures may fall closer to average for most of the UK, with chillier north-westerly or even north-easterly airflows becoming more likely. Winds would most likely ease compared to early in the week too, particularly in the south, with the breeziest and wettest weather generally becoming restricted to north and north-western areas. The nights will start to become colder, with a notable increase in overnight frosts, as well as mist and fog. Some models indicate that a stronger high-pressure area could develop to the east of the UK by the end of the week, resulting in chilly easterly airflows reaching the UK once again. However, confidence is low regarding this scenario.

Monday 10 December—Sunday 23 December

Turning milder but more unsettled

Early in the second week of December, there are strong indications for high pressure to intensify close to or over the UK, and so a drier and calmer period of weather is anticipated. Cold and frosty nights should continue, with mist and fog perhaps slow to clear during the day. Occasional fronts could bring some rainfall to Scotland from the south or south-west - any snow will be restricted to only the higher mountains as a result. Later in the week, it looks more likely for low pressure to return close to the UK from the west, with an Atlantic airmass moving in. So, by the end of the week, all areas will become wetter and breezier, with more cloud and a lack of overnight frosts. By the middle of December, there is increasing evidence that Atlantic low-pressure systems will continue to move in from the west, bringing frequent wet and some windy weather to northern Britain, particularly Scotland. It should become drier the further south you go - occasional bands of patchy rain could edge into central Britain, although high pressure moving up from the south-west could bring some quite dry weather to southern areas. It should be milder than normal for all areas.

Next Update

We will see if the unsettled weather is expected to continue later into December.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook?ns_linkname=news_central&ns_campaign=bbc_weather&ns_source=twitter&ns_mchannel=social

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

UK weather forecast: 'Major change' in weather next week as Storm Diana approaches

Britain will be lashed by heavy rain and strong winds when the storm system moves in from the Atlantic early next week.

Quote

The UK is facing a "major change" in its weather next week as Storm Diana lashes the country with strong gusts and heavy downpours.

https://news.sky.com/story/uk-weather-forecast-major-change-in-weather-next-week-as-storm-diana-approaches-11563566

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

THE BIG FREEZE 

The UK faces 32 DAYS of bad weather with snow and ice over Christmas period – see how you’re affected

Forecasters have warned the cold weather in the UK is set to hit as early as next week, with temperatures dipping as low as -13C

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/7822462/uk-weather-forecast-britain-snow-ice-christmas-affected/

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Climate change: UK summers could be over 5C warmer by 2070

Quote

 

In its first major update on climate change in almost 10 years, the Met Office has warned of significant temperature rises in the decades ahead.

The UK Climate Projections 2018 study is the most up to date assessment of how the UK will change over this century.

It says that under the highest emissions scenario, summer temperatures could be 5.4C hotter by 2070.

The chances of a summer as warm as 2018 are around 50% by 2050.

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-46343103?ns_linkname=news_central&ns_campaign=bbc_weather&ns_source=twitter&ns_mchannel=social

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Posted
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine and 15-25c
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
3 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

so not much change from the report 10 years ago...5c hotter by 2080 sea level rise by as much as 1.9 metres.

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Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
3 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

Well I will be 100 years old in 2070 so looking forward to the extra warmth in the summer then.

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Sydney storms: Hundreds call for help amid flash-flooding

Quote

 

More than 500 Australians have called for emergency assistance after storms lashed Sydney and nearby regions, causing floods, power cuts and flight delays. Sydney had its average monthly rainfall within just two hours on Wednesday, according to meteorologists. Authorities said at least 11 people had been rescued from vehicles trapped in floods. One man died in a car accident. Images posted online showed flooded roads, houses and train stations.

Australia's Bureau of Meteorology said it was the region's wettest November day since 1984. "The intensity of that rainfall was phenomenal - 91mm fell in 90 minutes," forecaster Rob Taggart told the Australian Broadcasting Corporation.

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-australia-46366961

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

New El Nino could bring flooding this winter, meteorologists warn

When the weather pattern last occurred in 2015-16, it was linked with droughts, flooding and coral bleaching.

https://news.sky.com/story/new-el-nino-could-bring-flooding-this-winter-meteorologists-warn-11565396?dcmp=snt-sf-twitter&utm_source=t.co&utm_medium=referral

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

No sign of any prolonged cold weather just yet!

Wednesday 28 November—Sunday 2 December

Wet and windy but mild in the south

Wednesday will be a cloudy and very blustery day for most with outbreaks of rain sweeping north-eastwards across the country. Southerly winds will gust over 60mph through the afternoon over some exposed western coasts and hills along as well as over the Northern Isles. However, the rain and wind will ease for a time overnight. On Thursday, further rain and strong winds are expected to spread north-eastwards over England and Wales during the morning. The afternoon will then be brighter and less windy albeit with some heavy showers persisting over western areas. A bright but breezy day for many on Friday with sunny intervals and also a scattering of showers, the showers mainly in the west. This weekend, further outbreaks of rain are likely to spread from the west. There is some uncertainty over the northern extent of this rain. However, central and southern parts of the UK are likely to be often wet. Northern areas will see the best of any drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures often above the seasonal average in the south this week but staying nearer to normal in the north.

Monday 3 December—Sunday 9 December

Turning drier and calmer through the week

A mixed week is likely. The first part of the week is likely to see further outbreaks of rain spreading north-eastwards across the UK, accompanied by brisk winds. However, it will be rather mild. Through the middle to latter part of the week, there are signs that high pressure will move in from the south, bringing generally drier and calmer conditions for many. One or two night frosts are likely but daytime temperatures should be near or above the seasonal average. There is a risk, however, that wet and breezy conditions return to some western areas of the UK by the end of the week.

Monday 10 December—Sunday 23 December

Wet and breezy at times. Often quite mild.

In the second full week of December, we are likely to see the return of rain and brisk winds as low pressure areas re-emerge from the Atlantic. Generally, a lot of cloud is likely at times with outbreaks of rain spreading from west to east across the UK. On the whole, temperatures are expected to be near or slightly above the seasonal average. However, Scotland could be cold enough at times for some occasional snow mixed-in with the rain, even to low levels.

Into the third week of December, there are signs that the wet and windy conditions shift further north, becoming focused over Scotland and Northern Ireland. England and Wales are expected to become less wet and less windy. Southern and eastern areas of England, in particular, should become drier. Winds are likely to be often from a mild west or south-westerly direction with temperatures expected to be above the seasonal average. However, there does appear to be some risk that wet and windy conditions persist more widely across the UK.

Next Update

We will take a look at how the weather is shaping up going into the Christmas period. Will the mild conditions persist or are there chances of snow?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook?ns_linkname=news_central&ns_mchannel=social&ns_source=twitter&ns_campaign=bbc_weather

Edited by Summer Sun
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