Weather in the general media (Newspaper features etc)

[Summer Sun]

WHITE FRIGHT Up to 4 INCHES of snow forecast in -5C ‘white Halloween’ – see if YOU are affected with our UK weather maps

People in North London, Cambridge and parts of Surrey and Kent may even see a scattering of snowflakes on Saturday evening, weather charts predict

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/7559675/uk-weather-forecast-white-halloween-inch-snow-maps-local-area/

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Tuesday 23 October—Sunday 28 October

Later this week, much chillier than recently.

A dry and bright day for large parts of England and Wales on Wednesday with spells of sunshine, these longest in the south and east. It will be another mild day in the south and east too with highs of around 15 or 16 Celsius. Meanwhile, much of Scotland and Northern Ireland will have a cloudy and breezy day, albeit less windy than on Tuesday. There will be some spots of rain for western areas with more persistent rain for the north-west Highlands. Staying drier and brighter though over eastern Scotland. On Thursday, central, southern and eastern areas of the UK will be mostly dry and bright again with some hazy sunshine. North-western areas will again see more cloud and some spots of rain; heavier rain for north-west Scotland. Indeed, this heavier rain will be associated with a cold front that will sweep southwards on Thursday night, introducing colder air originating from the Arctic. Friday will then be a chillier day than for most than of late, with a brisk north to north-westerly wind.

Any rain will clear southwards, leaving most areas with some bright or sunny spells. However, there will also be showers, these most frequent over north Wales and northern Scotland, where some hail and upland snow could be mixed-in overnight. This weekend will then be a much colder with highs of only 5-10 Celsius quite widely; last weekend highs reached nearer 20 Celsius in places. Most areas will have some decent bright or sunny periods but there will be further showers in places. The showers are likely to be focused over northern Scotland, near to North Sea coasts and also through the Irish Sea, into parts of west Wales and Cornwall. Indeed, the showers moving over western fringes of Wales and into Cornwall could form into a line, know as the Pembrokeshire Dangler, bringing more persistent rain and hail for some. Indeed, some of the showers could have a wintry flavour with upland snow mixed-in. A risk of frost in the nights this weekend, too.

Monday 29 October—Sunday 4 November

A change of month, a change in the weather

A cold start to the week with highs only reaching around 5-10 Celsius on Monday with a chilly north or north-easterly wind in places. Early in the week, showers or some longer spells of rain are likely to be focused over eastern and north-eastern fringes of the UK with the best of the drier and brighter conditions over central and western areas. Again, there is a risk of overnight frost under any prolonged clear breaks. As the week progresses, we should gradually lose the feed of cold air from the north-east, eventually becoming replaced by milder air from the south-east for the first days of November. Indeed, the risk of overnight frosts will decrease as the week progresses. Meanwhile, it is likely to become wetter in places. Outbreaks of rain could become quite widespread over England and Wales through the week with a risk of some high rainfall totals. Meanwhile, Scotland and Northern Ireland is likely to have mixed conditions through the week with rain at times but also some drier and brighter days. The main uncertainty to the forecast for next week is over the timing of milder air arriving; there is a slight chance that it remains chilly through much of the week.

Monday 5 November—Sunday 18 November

Wet and breezy. No prolonged cold expected

Much of early to mid-November is expected to experience rather wet conditions with brisk winds at times. Indeed, it looks as though there will be a lack of any prolonged dry and settled weather. Outbreaks of rain could be quite widespread for a time but there are indications that the focus of the wet weather could be over western and northern areas of the UK by the middle of the month. Rainfall amounts are favoured to return to nearer normal for November over eastern areas of England. This is because an area of high pressure may develop to the east of the UK by the middle of the month. Meanwhile, temperatures are likely to be quite variable, with mild spells interspersed by occasionally chillier weather moving in from the north or north-west. However, it looks as though any cold spells should be fairly short-lived; no signs yet of any significant wintry weather ahead in the outlook. The main area of uncertainty is over the track of low pressure areas expected near to the UK through this period. There is a chance that low pressure ends up being further to the east or south-east than expected, which would allow for some lengthier drier, settled periods but this would also bring a higher chance of overnight frost and fog. Currently, though, the main focus appears to be on wet and breezy conditions for many.

Next Update

We will take another look to see if rain and wind are likely to be more predominant than dry weather and frosts. Will we have a damp squib for Guy Fawkes Night?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

[Summer Sun]

Next week

Unsettled
Showers at times
Drier interludes
Average temperatures

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46012207 

[Summer Sun]

Next week

Unsettled
Wet and windy at times
Drier interludes
Temperatures near average

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46026009

[Summer Sun]

Next week

Milder
Low risk of frost
Some sunny spells
Some rain at times

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46038345 

[Summer Sun]

Another belter from the express

UK weather forecast: European SNOW CLOUD to chill UK with FREEZING winds

THE UK is in the grips of a cold snap, and now a European snow cloud is poised to hit Britain with freezing winds.

"This week temperatures will struggle to reach above 10C as winter well and truly sets in" 

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1038484/UK-weather-forecast-European-snow-cloud-snow-radar-forecast-met-office-long-range

[Summer Sun]

Next week

Milder days
Much milder nights
Rain at times
Drier sunnier spells

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46052384

[Summer Sun]

Next week

Generally mild
Often cloudy and windy
Rain at times

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46065926 

[Bobafet]

Interesting report on BBC website.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-46064266

 

[Summer Sun]

Some interesting lines within the report 

•  

  Quote

   

  • The hottest days have become almost 1C hotter, warm spells have increased, while the coldest days are not as cold.

  • The number of so-called tropical nights - when temperatures stay above 20C - is increasing.

  • The coldest days and nights have also become warmer, with temperatures on average 1.7C milder in recent years.

   

  The hottest days are getting hotter whilst the coldest days are getting warmer

 

 

[Jo Farrow]

The data looks at 

The information is presented to compare the most recent year (2017) to the most recent decade (2008 - 2017) and the standard reference climatology periods of 1981 - 2010 and 1961 - 1990.

 

No mention of 1971-2000, is that just comparing as far back as possible with a good chunk of data, to this recent decade? 

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

Let’s hope the mini ice age kicks in soon with record cold temperatures  

Edited November 2, 2018 by prolongedSnowLover

[Froze were the Days]

Hahahaha!!...just heard Darren Bett present the BBC lunch time forecast and finished off by saying next week looks like being milder and frost free (as if we've been inundated with frost this autumn) and said 'which will be nice'...now is it me with all the hoo haa about rising global and UK temperatures today in the news that he should not be sharing his own personal preferences with us?... as he's seems to do since he's been a presenter at the BBC.

Edited November 2, 2018 by Froze were the Days

[Jo Farrow]

1 hour ago, Jo Farrow said:

The data looks at 

The information is presented to compare the most recent year (2017) to the most recent decade (2008 - 2017) and the standard reference climatology periods of 1981 - 2010 and 1961 - 1990.

 

No mention of 1971-2000, is that just comparing as far back as possible with a good chunk of data, to this recent decade? 

Answer from Met Office - The standard reference climatology periods are 1961-1990 for climate change purposes (providing a static baseline) and 1981-2010 for operational purposes as the most recent 30 year period. We stopped using 1971-2000 when 1981-2010 were available and will move to 1991-2020 in a few years time. 

The 1971-2000 is still a valid period of time, but for brevity we retain just two baseline references.

[The PIT]

To me it's a too short a time period to make such conclusions. I believe at the start of the new century the prediction was that we would be dry with some streams and rivers would never run again. John Craven standing in river bed which was dry role onto 2007 and he couldn't get anywhere near it.

I remember a long spell where we never got any shower activity then a couple of years ago we started getting showers again. We used to get Thunderstorms and now we lucky to get one and even then they are normally a Thundery shower. The flooding in Sheffield in 2007 we were told that it was a very rare event I did a check through the records we still had at home and found out large amounts of rainfall weren't that rare. They have declined in frequency here but again no doubt a blip. I reckon again we will get Thunderstorms. We had a long period where didn't get any wind storms and I'm not counting a half hour windy session on front. For me a wind storm I'm looking half a day to a full day or longer. Longer term members will remember a long period where we didn't record a below average month we now get them again.  

It will be interesting what the next comparison will be if they do it again in the future. Perhaps they should.

[Summer Sun]

Into next weekend

Generally mild
Rain at times
Often windy
Perhaps a little cooler later

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46080147 

[Summer Sun]

Next weekend onwards

Generally mild
Some rain
Windy at times
Perhaps a little cooler later

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46085587 

[Summer Sun]

Further ahead

Westerly winds
A little cooler
Wet & windy at times

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46085587 

[Summer Sun]

UK weather forecast: Atlantic storms to rip through Britain - SUPERCHARGED jet stream hits

BRITAIN is about to swelter in a 10-day blast of almost spring-like warmth as a supercharged jet stream pulls a swathe of tropical air in from the Continent.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1040820/uk-weather-forecast-november-storms-met-office-forecast-latest-winter-sunshine

[Summer Sun]

BBC monthly outlook

Saturday 3 November—Sunday 11 November

A wet, windy weekend for some. Mild and changeable

The start of the week will see a large low pressure system to the west of the UK, with high pressure to the east, centered over Scandinavia and NW Russia. 
This pattern will bring southerly winds across the UK, so after the recent cold weather, this week looks to be warmer than normal for the time of year. 
Despite the relatively mild weather, thelow pressure system to the west will be close enough to bring some wet and perhaps windy weather to the country, interspersed with drier and calmer spells. The west and southwest are most prone to seeing rain with some eastern and northeastern areas expected to stay drier than normal.

Monday 12 November—Sunday 18 November

Mainly mild but wet and windy in the northwest.

The split in the weather is likely to become more of a northwest-southeast split by the time we get to the middle of November. The high pressure system expected to sit to the east of the UK week will move a little further south and west across Europe, with Atlantic low pressure systems then able to pass to the north and west of the UK. As a result of this change in pressure pattern, the north will also see wet weather, whilst the south and east should stay relatively dry. There will be a similar pattern with the winds with north-western parts of the country most likely to see spells of windy weather. This is actually a fairly normal pattern for the UK. 

Unusually for the time of year, there will be southwesterly winds across the whole of the UK. Although we are reasonably confident in the forecast for the middle of the month, there is a chance of one or two alternatives occurring. We could see high pressure moving closer to the UK and perhaps stretching across the country. If this happens then the weather is more likely to be drier and less windy. However, at this time of year high pressure tends to mean cooler nights despite the days probably being relatively bright.

Monday 19 November—Sunday 2 December

The northwest/southeast split could continue.

The end of November and start of December are not expected to bring any major changes in the weather pattern. Westerly or southwesterly winds are expected to dominate, with the strongest winds likely across the north and west of the UK. There will be a chance of gales at times and perhaps some spells of very wet weather too. The south and east will again be more likely to be drier and calmer than normal for the time of year with the south and east warmest, whilst the north and west, particularly Scotland will see temperatures close to or a little above normal.  There is around a 30% chance that we will see with high pressure to the west of us and a spell of pretty cool weather for most areas.

Next Update

As the festive season approaches, will it remain mild as we go through December?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Edited November 5, 2018 by Summer Sun

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

Not very festive weather then

[Froze were the Days]

This certainly differs (MeteoGroup) from the MetO forecast going into fairly late November/early December....have to say this looks very disheartening but early days.

Edited November 5, 2018 by Froze were the Days

[Summer Sun]

Next week

Generally mild
Often windy
Rain at times
Wettest in west

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46104640

[Summer Sun]

This weekend

Mild
Windy with some showers

Next week

Remaining mild
High pressure or low pressure to become more dominant? 
 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46118553

[Summer Sun]

Further ahead

High pressure building
Chilly nights
Foggy mornings
Anticyclonic gloom

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46147156