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Posted
  • Location: chellaston, derby
  • Weather Preferences: The Actual Weather ..... not fantasy.
  • Location: chellaston, derby

erm..... rather embarrassing actually, my daily weather blog on facebook , meant for friends/family, has been picked up and has spread a little.... local rag ran a story quoting me, it was the most viewed story of the day..lol.. the reoprter responsible , and others are quite amazed that i, a third rate amateur, 'beats. the professionals' all because im brave enough to trust in the anomaly charts and predict ahead of where the telly people do...lol.

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 26 June—Sunday 2 July
More of summer on the cards?

This week actually looks poised to remind us more of autumn than summer! The weather is looking very unsettled with frequent spells of rain and a few potential thunderstorms thrown in there too for good measure. The first rain bearing low pressure system will arrive slowly on Monday into Northern Ireland and spread slowly east on Tuesday. Through the remainder of the week this area of low pressure will struggle to clear the UK and will continue to draw in further areas of rain and perhaps even some thunderstorms on Wednesday. Welcome news I'm sure for gardeners and growers but perhaps not so much for those on a summer holiday!

Monday 3 July—Sunday 9 July
Will the weather settle down again?

As we look further ahead in the forecast things look like they should settle down slightly, especially in the south of the UK. It is likely that the changeable weather will continue further north with areas of low pressure continuing to bring strong winds, cloud and rain. At times these low pressure systems will swing areas of rain into southern parts too, however, this will be increasingly interspersed with drier and brighter conditions. Temperatures during this time are expected to continue to be cooler than the recent record breakers but at times it could warm up again, especially in the southeast.

Monday 10 July—Sunday 23 July
Finally something a little more like summer!

Looking in to mid-July the changeable weather is likely to continue in the north bringing more spells of rain and some showers too, but equally some sunnier spells in-between. The theme of seeing the driest and brightest weather in the south is also likely to continue during this period and at times these conditions may spread to all, especially later on. This would mean more sunshine and consequently higher temperatures but with an increase in temperatures the risk of some thundery outbreaks also increases.

Next week

Are there any more signs of the record-breaking warmth returning?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 3 July—Sunday 9 July
Signs of summer resurgence?

We look to start this week with a fairly cloudy picture, but it should quickly improve on Monday morning with some bright spells emerging (good news for the first day of the Wimbledon Championships!). By Tuesday all eyes will be to the west watching a rain band approach central parts but elsewhere, it's another mostly dry day with sunny spells. From mid-week we start to see a fair amount of uncertainty creeping into the forecast with the potential for showery outbreaks of rain to arrive from the south and these could be heavy and thundery. It's looking most likely that southern parts through Thursday and Friday will see some lively showers at times but also temperatures warmer than average. In contrast, northern areas are likely to keep temperatures around the seasonal norm with the potential for both showers and longer spells of rain.

Monday 10 July—Sunday 16 July
A northwest - southeast split continues.

As we look further ahead it looks likely that we will keep a fairly unsettled picture with bands of rain crossing the UK, interspersed by drier and brighter conditions. The best of the sunshine is likely to be in the southeast, however even here the summer threat of thundery showers moving in from the near continent is always present. The northwest is likely to see the lion's share of the wet and windy weather, although there should be some sunnier weather too at times, especially later in the week.

Monday 17 July—Sunday 30 July
Settling down for a time mid-month.

From mid-month, although there is a large amount of uncertainty, there are signals for a more settled period. Then as we head towards the end of the month, the weather looks like it will once again become more changeable, with the best of the warm weather becoming increasingly confined to the south.

Next week

We look ahead to the final month of Summer!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 10 July—Sunday 16 July
An unsettled week with rain and showers

Monday is set to be a rather unsettled start to the week, as a cold front brings rain to the northwest of the UK. Further southeast it will be somewhat muggy, and here there is a risk of thunderstorms and some heavy downpours. It will turn cooler through the week as a northwesterly flow is established. While we will see some rain and showers at times, there will also be a good deal of dry and fair weather through the week; so it's going to be a bit of a mixed bag, and we could see the odd interruption to play at Wimbledon.

Monday 17 July—Sunday 23 July
More of the same?

Next week looks set to continue with the generally mobile and unsettled theme. Showers and longer spells of rain are likely, these more prevalent in the northwest. Turning breezy with a chance of gales at times in the Highlands and Islands, and remaining on the cool side of average. Drier conditions are more likely in the southeast, but with the increased risk of thunderstorms.

Monday 24 July—Sunday 30 July
A return to warmer weather?

The end of July could see a change back to more settled and drier conditions across much of the UK. With the settled weather may come a build of warmth, particularly in the south and east; however there are still some signals that changeable weather could be more prevalent further north.

Next week

We look ahead to the final month of Summer!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 17 July—Sunday 23 July
Two fine days and a thunderstorm!

In a very traditional style, this week is set to fulfil the old summer saying "two fine days and a thunderstorm". Monday and Tuesday will start dry and fine with temperatures building day on day - by Tuesday we could see highs in southeast England approaching 30 Celsius. From late on Tuesday we will start to see thunderstorms approaching from the south and moving north. There will be more thundery showers on Wednesday with the potential for some torrential downpours, though it will still be a very warm day. There is high uncertainty regarding the exact locations of the thunderstorms, but inside the showers there could be some very heavy rain, whereas in the sunnier spells it will feel hot. By the end of the week, though, we will all have a fresher feel with some further outbreaks of rain, especially in the north.

Monday 24 July—Sunday 30 July
Summer set to make a return.

As we look ahead to the end of July, many places should see a continuation of dry, fine and warm weather. Southern parts of the UK are mostly likely to see spells of rain with the chance of heavy, thundery showers pushing north from the near continent. However, the timing and exact location of these potential thunderstorms is very uncertain at this early stage. We are all likely to see temperatures above the seasonal norm through this week, especially overnight, giving some warm and humid nights.

Monday 31 July—Sunday 13 August
A transition on the way mid-month.

At the start of August the dry and settled conditions look likely to continue at first with temperatures still remaining on the warm side. But towards the middle of the month we look likely to make a transition to wetter and windier conditions. This transition is likely to spread in from the northwest, which will start to allow a north-south split to develop. Southern parts are likely to see the best of the drier and brighter weather, whilst northern parts of the UK look favoured to keep more unsettled spells of weather, especially towards the middle of August.

Next week

We look ahead to the final two weeks of summer.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Lower Apperley
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but soggy wetness
  • Location: Lower Apperley
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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 24 July—Sunday 30 July

July set to end on a Low

As we go into the last week of July, there are some typical British summer weather conditions on the way with drier, warmer days but rain never too far away. After the very showery conditions of this past weekend, the early part of the week does look to be drier and brighter with fewer showers and a lot of dry weather. Still some showers over eastern England on Monday otherwise many places will be dry with sunny spells and warm in the sunshine too. These conditions continuing on Tuesday with temperatures not too far from normal for late July and with light winds, it will feel very pleasant in the sunshine. All change for Wednesday, a trough of low pressure will bring a band of rain eastwards across the country during the day.

The rain will be persistent and heavy for a time but moving through relatively quickly. Thursday will see a return to drier and brighter weather, some sunshine and fresh westerly winds. Friday will also see a lot of dry weather with sunny spells but all change again in the west later. As we head towards next weekend, it does look as though another area of low pressure will make its way across the Atlantic towards the British Isles, bringing another spell of wet weather. It will also be windy at times with gales in the north.

Monday 31 July—Sunday 6 August

New month, same old weather

Further areas of low pressure will keep the unsettled theme going into the first week of August. There will be further bands of rain crossing the country with drier and brighter interludes in between. The most prolonged and heaviest rainfall will be across northwestern areas where it will be windy at times too. It will be driest and brightest for longest across more southeastern areas. No heatwave during this period, the air coming in from the Atlantic will keep temperatures close to or even a little below what we would normally expect in early August.

Monday 7 August—Sunday 20 August

High pressure fights back

As we move into the second week of August, there are indications of high pressure beginning to build close to the British Isles. This would suggest longer spells of drier weather with large gaps between the areas of low pressure. Also the areas of low pressure are expected to pass close to northwest Scotland bringing further rain at times here and some rain extending further south at times too. The driest, brightest weather is expected to be over southeast England where temperatures will be on the warm side.

So the weather pattern as we go through August is one we would normally expect to see at this time of year.

Next week

As we head towards the end of the meteorological summer, any hot summer weather on the horizon?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC Monthly outlook

Monday 31 July—Sunday 6 August
Change in month, surely a change in weather?

Unfortunately not. Areas of low pressure will continue to dominate the weather across the British Isles during the coming week keeping this very changeable spell of weather going for a wee while longer. The stubborn area of low pressure which was centred to the northwest of Scotland for the latter part of last week and over last weekend will linger on Monday and Tuesday. It will continue to be responsible for a very showery airstream, particularly to the northern half of the UK. So it looks as though Scotland and Northern Ireland will see the most frequent and heaviest showers during the early part of this week with a risk of hail and thunder. Still some showers across England and Wales but fewer than on Sunday with more in the way of sunshine and also feeling warmer. All areas will have a brief respite from the showery conditions on Wednesday morning. However another area of low pressure rushing across the Atlantic will bring a spell of wet and windy weather to all parts later on Wednesday, followed by heavy thundery downpours on Thursday. Then sunshine and further showers on Friday and over next weekend, so once again no prolonged dry weather over this coming week.

Monday 7 August—Sunday 13 August
Where has the high gone?

High pressure is expected to make an appearance as we go into the second week of August but unfortunately it looks like being a pretty weak and feeble affair. This means some drier and brighter weather developing at times next week but the high pressure will quickly be pushed out of the way as another Atlantic area of low pressure brings further spells of wet and windy weather. At least high pressure will stay closer to more southern parts of the British Isles with some drier, brighter and warmer days but even here a spell of wet and windy weather is possible for a time early in the week. Further north there will continue to be a very changeable spell of weather with bands of rain and also drier, brighter weather with some sunshine.

Monday 14 August—Sunday 27 August
Normal service resumes

The signals from all the various weather models point to the last two weeks of August being very close to what we would normally expect at this time of year. Southern and eastern parts of the British Isles will see the best of the drier and brighter weather. We are still likely to see some weather systems pushing in from the Atlantic and they will bring spells of wetter and windier weather especially to western Scotland as well as the north and west of Northern Ireland. Even here some drier, sunny days are expected. The air for much of the time will be coming in from the Atlantic so temperatures always fairly close to or even a little below what we would normally expect during the second half of August.

So as we approach the end of the meteorological summer, it looks like we will end up a fairly typical British summer, never being quite as good as we would like it to be.

Next week

As we head into the meteorological autumn, will we see an Indian summer?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

This is completely false the heat in southern Europe is coming nowhere near the UK and IRELAND

DGj1NhNXgAEp6Kt.thumb.jpg.a6c62279d024b379ee616a92f649582f.jpg

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 7 August—Sunday 20 August
An unsettled week to come.

We've got some more showery days to come first though, with further thundery downpours possible, just like we saw at the weekend. By Wednesday these showers will become confined to the southeast of England as pressure builds from the west, and although quite windy midweek, the northwest of the UK will see some fine weather. Most places will have a dry day on Thursday as a ridge of high pressure topples in, but it does just that, topple and then move away again, leaving the door open for outbreaks of rain later, lasting into Friday. So far, so familiar, but the weekend holds some hope with something a little drier developing across the southern half of the UK. Temperatures will stay close to average, which means the low 20s Celsius across England and Wales, and the high teens for Scotland and Northern Ireland.

Monday 14 August—Sunday 27 August
A little drier for some of us.

During the middle part of the month it looks as though high pressure will sit to the southwest of the UK and try to exert its influence a little further north, across central and southern parts of the UK. This would bring more settled weather to the southern half of the UK, but with weather fronts moving around the northern side of the high there will be rain and strong winds at times further north; no sign of summer here then sadly. By the end of the week the influence of high pressure is likely to remain in place, with temperatures generally staying close to average, perhaps on the warm side for southern England.

Monday 21 August—Sunday 10 September
What about the end of the summer?

Well, a northwest - southeast split seems the most favoured set up. High pressure is likely to be close by, sat to the south of the UK, giving the best of the dry weather across the south and east. More unsettled and changeable conditions are expected across the north and west. Being unsettled doesn't mean a washout though, quite the opposite, and there will still be dry days for Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England. Temperatures look as though they'll stay near normal for most of us but still with a chance of something a little warmer for southern England.

Next week

As we move closer to September, could summer arrive fashionably late to the party?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 14 August—Sunday 20 August
Sunshine and showers, turning cooler later.

After a couple of cool nights through the course of the last weekend, the working week will get off to a similarly clear and chilly start across the extreme east of the UK. Further west though, a low pressures system and its attendant weather fronts will bring outbreaks of often heavy rain, particularly for Northern Ireland, southwest Scotland and later Wales. Many central and eastern areas will stay dry with hazy spells of sunshine through most of Monday though.

Through Monday night into Tuesday, the same area of rain will gradually traverse east, giving a cloudy and wet start to Tuesday in the east, and a brighter start across western areas of the UK. The rain in the east should clear into he North Sea fairly readily though, leaving a theme of sunshine and heavy, thundery showers in place for the rest of the day.

Wednesday will most likely be a dry and bright day for all, following another relatively chilly start. Indeed, despite the sunny spells, temperatures will only just about peak at average across the UK, although conditions should still feel relatively fine in the sunnier intervals.

Overnight into Thursday will bring a further weather system in from the Atlantic, in association with an Atlantic low pressure system. The rain will clear to the east early on Thursday, leaving a legacy of sunshine, heavy thundery showers and a slightly cool feel will follow in its wake. Winds will tend to strengthen across northwestern areas of the UK too.

As we progress through the end of this week, it looks like the low pressure system that arrived close to northwestern regions on Thursday will edge away east, perhaps allowing a more settled start the weekend. At time of writing, most of the forecasting tools at our disposal are indicating that a further Atlantic low will move in to northwestern areas again to bring spells of showery weather, but there are signs that southern and eastern parts of the UK could stay drier and brighter for longer.

Monday 21 August—Sunday 27 August
Events in the western Atlantic affect our forecast

It should be noted that this forecast period is beset with an unusual level of uncertainty. At time of writing, the overwhelming majority of forecast solutions offered by a range of computer models suggest that a relatively deep area of low pressure will be positioned just to the northwest of the UK. Such an eventuality would mean that northwestern regions of the UK would again be under threat of further showers or longer spells of rain, relatively low temperatures for the time of year and strong west to southwesterly winds. Conversely, such a synoptic pattern would mean that southern England will most likely enjoy the best of the weather, with lengthy dry spells and temperatures edging up into the mid-twenties.

As we move through the period, most models suggest a continuation of the theme of low pressure to the north of the UK, with pressure remaining higher to the south, which will translate to weather conditions in the UK being roughly in line with the themes mentioned above.

The source of the uncertainty in forecast details throughout this period lies in the potential for significant tropical storm activity that is anticipated across the warm waters of the Caribbean and western Atlantic. This factor may at first seem rather inconsequential to the weather closer to our shores. It should be noted though that such tropical disturbances can inject a good deal of moisture and energy into the prevailing Atlantic synoptic pattern. The knock on effect is that small perturbations can form in the Atlantic jet stream, which are often missed by the forecasting models. These perturbations can have a large effect on the track of any Atlantic lows that pass close to or over the UK. As a consequence, there is a unusually low level of confidence for the forecast details for this period. Stay in touch with the BBC weather team to find out how the forecast develops over the coming days!

Monday 28 August—Sunday 10 September
Uncertainty continues into climatological autumn

The relatively high level of uncertainty in the forecast details described in the previous section unfortunately continue to be an issue throughout the remainder of August and into the first week of September, which is the start of the climatological autumn. At time of writing, the most likely scenario is that a strong Atlantic jet stream will continue to push weather systems in from the west to bring spells of rain, followed by intervals of sunshine and showers. Models continue to hint that high pressure will on occasion become established across the the southern half the UK, meaning that lengthier dry spells and slightly warmer than average conditions will most likely prevail across southern and eastern England, and perhaps southern areas of Wales at times.

Next week

With summer slowly coming to an end, and at this stage no real sign of any extended periods of hot weather, can we perhaps look into September and hope that early autumn will bring us a warmer spell? Stay across the latest developments in the longer term forecast here at BBC Weather!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
51 minutes ago, Turnedoutniceagain said:
 

Well the period from July 19th to August 11th yes which coincides with the school holidays

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Posted
  • Location: Atherstone on Stour: 160ft asl
  • Location: Atherstone on Stour: 160ft asl
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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 21 August—Sunday 27 August
Some warmth in the south, but wetter in the north

This week begins with a low pressure system centred just to the northwest of the UK. Across the southwestern half of the UK, outbreaks of patchy rain will be accompanied by extensive low cloud and a muggy feel, whereas northeastern regions will begin on a fresher and brighter note. The rest of Monday will see the humid, cloudy and damp conditions move northeastwards towards southern Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England, where rain could turn quite heavy later in the day.

By Tuesday, the rain will be confined to Scotland and Northern Ireland, where it could again turn heavy at times. Further south, skies will often be cloudy, but any brighter spells in the south could permit highs into the mid-twenties. Through Wednesday, a cold front will sweep from west to east across the UK, bringing further spells of rain, to be followed by much brighter conditions later, though still with showers, particularly in the north. A noticeable drop in humidity will accompany the clearer conditions, making for a pleasant feel. Given that the cold front will likely take much of the day to reach the far southeast of England, temperatures here could peak in the high twenties.

For the remainder of the week, and into weekend, at time of writing, the majority of computer models suggest that pressure will remain low towards the north and northwest of the UK. As a result, our best estimate at this stage is that many northern and central parts of the UK will remain breezy with the risk of showers and a cooler feel, though still with the chance of some pleasant sunny intervals. The best chance of drier, brighter and warmer weather will across southern, and particularly southwestern parts of the UK. However, as noted above, there is a considerable amount of uncertainty in the detail for this period, which largely relates to how the jet stream is influenced by tropical developments in the Atlantic. So stay up to date with the latest forecasts throughout the week to make the most of the Bank Holiday weekend.

Monday 28 August—Sunday 3 September
A mixed bag for the start of autumn!

As we move into September, the relatively high level of uncertainty in forecast detail continues to be a feature of the weather forecast. At the moment though, indications from forecast model data do tend to suggest that the Atlantic jet stream will be positioned such that pressure will remain low to the north and northwest of the UK much of the time. This scenario will permit a continuation of the cool and showery theme to the northwest, with the greatest chance of lengthier drier and warmer spells occurring across southeastern parts of the UK. That said, a significant minority of forecasting models do allow pressure to build over a greater proportion of the UK. Should this scenario unfold, much of the UK could enjoy finer weather, with showery conditions limited to the far north. All will depend on how a significant bend in the jet stream way to the south of the UK develops, and at present there is no model consensus on how this feature evolves through the period. As always, we will keep abreast of the latest developments and keep you updated!

Monday 4 September—Sunday 17 September
Still no real agreement!

At time of writing, forecasts from the different computer models for the middle part of September were decidedly divergent! That said, on weight of evidence, it is thought the most likely scenario is for wet and windy conditions to affect most parts of the UK at times, with the possibility of occasional gales, and a generally cooler feel. Conditions will certainly not be continuously poor though, with some drier and brighter spells expected, particularly further south. We await further forecast model data with interest!

Next week

Will next week bring any greater degree of confidence in the longer term forecast!? Will any sign of some early autumnal warmth appear!? Find out the answers to both these questions in next week's issue...

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Atherstone on Stour: 160ft asl
  • Location: Atherstone on Stour: 160ft asl

First rule of journalism: When describing Summer temps - use Fahrenheit. When emphasising a 'Killer Arctic plunge', go for Celsius

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4807406/Summer-returns-Britain-TOMORROW-Hurricane-Gurt-heat.html

 

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