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Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks

not really, sums up this media hype for not necessarily correct information. Sadly my ex company seems to be wanting to join this daft band waggon.

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Second British heatwave could bring hottest ever temperature

 

Some forecasters are predicting that temperatures could even pass Britain's all-time highest temperature of 101F (38.5C)

 

Britain is set to sizzle in a second heatwave at the end of the July when temperatures could soar past 100F to reach the highest level ever recorded in the UK. Last week’s hot spell brought the warmest ever July day but conditions will revert to normal summer conditions for the next fortnight, with showers and temperatures hovering around the low 70Fs. (low 20Cs) However by the end of July and beginning of August a second wave of very hot air is expected to push up from, central and southern Europe bringing sweltering heat.

 

Some forecasters predicted it could beat the all-time record for Britain, when the mercury hit 101F (38.5C) at Brogdale, Kent, on August 10, 2003. Brian Gaze of The Weather Outlook said: “The year’s hottest temperatures usually occur in late July or early August. “As pressure models favour more African hot air over Europe pulsing to the UK, the 101F (38.5C) record could go.â€

 

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/weather/11719200/Second-British-heatwave-could-bring-hottest-ever-temperature.html

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

^^ At least they're only saying it could. :)

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

UK Set To Sizzle Again But Not Before Storms

 

Forecasters say Britain is set for more hot weather later this week, but until then the weather is likely to be a tale of two halves - of the country at least. Warm, dry weather is expected to continue in the South and South East, with the odd patchy shower, but heavy rain and storms are likely in much of the North and West of England, Wales and Scotland until around Wednesday. The mercury this week is unlikely to hit the highs of last week's record-breaking temperatures of 36.7C (98.1F), recorded at Heathrow, while many other areas broke the 30C (86F) mark. Temperatures today will reach around 22C in the South East and London and 20C in Scotland.

 

High of 26C in London are forecast and bright spells expected everywhere else. Amid reports of more record-breaking temperatures at the end of July, Lang says it is not impossible but at this stage should be taken with a pinch of salt.

 

http://news.sky.com/story/1513875/uk-set-to-sizzle-again-but-not-before-storms

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Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne

Look no further.

 

 

James Madden, forecaster for Exacta Weather, said: “Our next major heat surge is more likely to develop in the latter part of July and into August.

This will also precede what is likely to be a Barbecue August for many parts of the country as high pressure and very hot temperatures build from the near continent.â€

 

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/589024/North-south-divide-but-a-new-scorcher-is-on-the-way

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

And since when did 30C equal 91F??  Does the Express ever get anything right!

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Posted
  • Location: Wigan
  • Location: Wigan

a barbecue august yeah right ,  oh god , its going to be a cool and drizzle stratus laden month now  :wallbash:

 

 wait a minute !   could this be the first time they are right, surely it must happen sometime 

 

 

no, I dont think so either :nea:  

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

'More hot summers' for parts of UK

 

Scorching summers such as the one in 2003 look set to become more common in England and Wales, a study suggests. And devastating rains such as in Britain's worst winter in 2013-14 may be less likely in the decades ahead.

Work by the Met Office has calculated the odds of particular weather scenarios striking in future years. The computer simulations-based study, in journal Nature Climate Change, finds that milder winters and drier summers will also become more likely. The work draws on a major analysis, known as UKCP09, released back in 2009 which offered projections of the future British climate divided into 30-year periods. This new research instead provides a more detailed focus by giving projections for winters and summers in each individual year from now until the end of the century. The aim is to take more account of the fact that Britain's weather is notoriously variable - fluctuating for natural reasons year to year regardless of human-induced climate change.

 

'Apparent contradiction'

 

A parallel goal is to make clear that a trend to warmer temperatures does not mean that extremes of cold or rainfall are made impossible - instead, weather that seems to buck the prevailing remains on the cards, if less likely as the century progresses. The 2009 study had suggested that the country faced a future of milder, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers - and the Met Office faced fierce criticism when shortly afterwards Britain was suddenly plunged into the bitterly cold winter of 2009-10. Met Office scientists acknowledge that there was confusion in the public mind about the "apparent contradiction" of hearing a 30-year projection for milder winters only to endure the reality of ice and snow. The authors of the new study hope that coming up with odds for different scenarios for weather in individual seasons will more useful. The paper says that the new approach has two advantages: "First, it allows fair comparisons with recent weather events, for instance showing that recent cold winters are within projected ranges. "Second, it allows the projections to be expressed in terms of the extreme hot, cold, wet or dry seasons that impact society, providing a better idea of adaptation needs".

 

Some key conclusions from the study include:

  • By 2100, the chances of a summer being hotter than the one in 2003 are 89% - that's odds of roughly 9-out-of-10
  • There is still a 35-40% chance of getting a wetter-than-average summer until 2035 but that risk falls to 20% by 2100
  • The chances of a winter with the same kind of rainfall as in 2013-14 fall to just under 10% by the end of the century
  • And the odds of a very cold winter similar to 2009-10 fall to less than 1% over the same period

A co-author of the report, David Sexton, said that basing the projections on 30-year averages, as in the UKCP09 study, risked giving the impression to people that those weather conditions would apply to every single year.

"When I talk to people, they remember the hot summer of 2003 or the wet winter of 2013-14 and they know they were extreme seasons - people can make tangible links to those impacts, they mean something to them personally, and the 30-year averages don't make sense to people in the same way."

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-33417413

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Posted
  • Location: Wigan
  • Location: Wigan

these computer models tend not to pan out as forecast, what about the apparent slowing of the NAO and reducing solar activity? 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Where does last Wednesdays 36.7 come from when Brogdale recorded 37.5, why is it not accepted?

 

Does Brogdale have an official met office station? if not that will be why

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Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam

At least a reliable agency has actually done the calculations this time!

 

Hotter and drier summers and milder winters... yes please. The weather will be taking a turn for the better then? Hopefully that's right. :)

Hmm

To be honest, I hope not from a weather enthusiast point of view. Decreasing variety brings tedium, saw that last year. And that would decrease variety that outlook.

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Posted
  • Location: St Albans, Hertfordshire
  • Location: St Albans, Hertfordshire

Anyone noticed how the BBC forecast have been showing pollen levels and more importantly UV levels a lot more recently, is it typical of them to show forecast UV levels in the summer months?

I dont remember them doing it before and they didnt seem to till the recent heatwave and now they always include it, if not on the UK forecast then the regional

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Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.

Has snowfall ever been recorded in July before, apart from on the mountains?

At the Poles... :ninja: !!

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

At the Poles... :ninja: !!

In that case, we should send them all back to Krakow? :D

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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

This should be archived as the worst weather report in the history of human kind.

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Posted
  • Location: Bewdley, Worcs; 90m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and sun in winter; warm and bright otherwise; not a big storm fan
  • Location: Bewdley, Worcs; 90m asl

I thought the express were bad the sun have just changed my mind!

 

The Expess have seen their superiority challenged! There's no way they'll lie down without a fight, so expect them to fight back big-time. We'll surely be seeing "120F HEATWAVE TO BRING MOSQUITO-BORNE LIGHTNING BLIZZARDS" any day now..

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Location: Leeds

Weather Forecast last night at 8pm by Nina Ridge on BBC News24

 

Did anyone else notice that she constantly talked about what was coming in the South Eastern counties for today.. As the time was progressing over the British Isles, you could see that the cloud cover for today in and around Yorkshire and Humber was patchy at times, as well as some brief sunny intervals. Alas though, we never got a mention. It was all about the South Eastern counties etc.

 

We have had a top temperature of 21C at 2.30pm, and a very light overnight shower. We did see thye sun briefly at times throught the day.

 

Note to BBC weather forecasters: The Yorkshire and Humber areas do have different weather sometimes, and it would be nice to be told beforehand.

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