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March CET

North-Easterly Blast
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North-Easterly Blast Community Regular

North-Easterly Blast

Posted
  • Location: Ossett, West Yorkshire
  • Location: Ossett, West Yorkshire
Posted

With only a week to go it is time to start the March CET topic.

Along with January and February, March has also often been very mild throughout the last 22 years. Last year was about average at 6.1*C, 2009 was quite warm at 7.0*C, 2008 was also about average too. The last colder than average March was 2006, and before that in 2001 and 1996.

So, what will March bring this year? February looks set to be a very mild month with a CET likely to be close to 6.5*C, and in the last two decades mild Februarys have often been followed by mild Marches, although just one exception was 1995, when March was actually colder than the very mild February that year.

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SteveB Veteran

SteveB

Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
Posted

6.3c for me please.

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DAVID SNOW Veteran

DAVID SNOW

Posted
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
Posted

With only a week to go it is time to start the March CET topic.

Along with January and February, March has also often been very mild throughout the last 22 years. Last year was about average at 6.1*C, 2009 was quite warm at 7.0*C, 2008 was also about average too. The last colder than average March was 2006, and before that in 2001 and 1996.

So, what will March bring this year? February looks set to be a very mild month with a CET likely to be close to 6.5*C, and in the last two decades mild Februarys have often been followed by mild Marches, although just one exception was 1995, when March was actually colder than the very mild February that year.

A colder than average march ( recent times)

1996

2001

2006

And the next number in that sequence should be.... 2011 ( just for fun?)

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BornFromTheVoid Maestro

BornFromTheVoid

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
Posted

After a cool start it will be mild, dry and sunny, 7.5C please!

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Optimus Prime Rising Star

Optimus Prime

Posted
  • Location: G.Manchester
  • Location: G.Manchester
Posted

A colder than average march ( recent times)

1996

2001

2006

And the next number in that sequence should be.... 2011 ( just for fun?)

That's wrong.

2010 6.1c (-0.2c)

2008 6.1c (-0.2c)

Since 1995, 6 have been below average.

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Thundery wintry showers Accomplished

Thundery wintry showers

Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, convective precipitation, snow, thunderstorms, "episodic" months.
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
Posted

I'm going for 6.4C for now- a warm start but cold interludes mid to late month.

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summer blizzard Maestro

summer blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted

I see quite a few conflicting signals at the moment. I can see a signal for very cold weather, but also warm weather. Based on the warm weather winning out during February and a +QBO leading to a late breakdown of the Polar Vortex, i will call for 1.5C above average at this stage.

I will update on the 28th.

What is the 1981-2010 average for March???

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted (edited)

7.6C.

One Northerly toppler at the start of the month followed by frequent South West'erly. winds with some rainy days, but mainly a sunny month.

Edited by Backtrack
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North-Easterly Blast Community Regular

North-Easterly Blast

Posted
  • Location: Ossett, West Yorkshire
  • Location: Ossett, West Yorkshire
  • Author
Posted

That's wrong.

2010 6.1c (-0.2c)

2008 6.1c (-0.2c)

Since 1995, 6 have been below average.

No, I mean by 1961-90 standards. There have been only three Marches since 1987 below the 61-90 mean, 1996, 2001 and 2006. Last year and 2008 were both above the 61-90 mean but below the 1971-2000 mean., so in between these sets of averages.

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Going for wait for it wait for it 7.5C

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Koppite Rookie

Koppite

Posted
  • Location: North Worcestershire, Midlands. 158m A.S.L.
  • Location: North Worcestershire, Midlands. 158m A.S.L.
Posted (edited)

6.8C for me please.

Edited by Koppite
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Paul T Explorer

Paul T

Posted
  • Location: Portishead
  • Location: Portishead
Posted

Looking at some early data and trends, i believe that the UK will be shrouded in circa -5 850's for the first half followed by a high pressure loitering around ireland, giving fairly high maxes, but decent mins.

3.8oc for me, top 60 CET finish.....although i will prob update this as data gets more reliable towards the end of feb.

Paul

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LomondSnowstorm Accomplished

LomondSnowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: cold and snowy in winter, a good mix of weather the rest of the time
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
Posted

5.9C

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summer blizzard Maestro

summer blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted

We don't use the 61-90 average...

81-2010 average is 6.6c

Based on the updated average being 6.6C, my prediction for now is 8.1C, 1.5C above average.

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shuggee Maestro

shuggee

Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
Posted

5.6ºC - cold second half that will annoy more people than it will delight others.

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Milhouse Seasoned

Milhouse

Posted
  • Location: Keyingham, East Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish plumes, hot and sunny with thunderstorms
  • Location: Keyingham, East Yorkshire
Posted

Fairly average temperature wise but a dry month overall. 6.7c

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summer blizzard Maestro

summer blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted (edited)

3.8C: Paul T

5.3C: Summer Of 95

5.6C: Shuggee

5.8C: Pete Tattum

5.9C: Lomond Snowstorm

6.0C: Jonothan F

6.2C: Snowstorm 1

6.3C: Steve B

6.4C: Thundery Wintry Showers

6.7C: Milhouse

6.8C: Koppite

7.3C: Mr Data

7.5C: Born From The Void

7.5C: The Pit

7.6C: Backtrack

8.1C: Summer Blizzard

8.1C: Nathan B

Edited by summer blizzard
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