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Historical Data And A Look At Last Season


Paul Sherman

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Just occurred to me that my Blog is not in my Signature at the moment, so to save the Newbies who are starting to look at the StormChase Area time trawling through all last years threads I am attaching my Blog which shows all the 2010 Chases from April 29th through to June 8th.

http://plainschaser.blogspot.com/

When you get onto the Blog the last Chase is the top Report, when you get to the bottom click "Older Posts" and you should see the rest of the Trip, I suppose when you have all the Older posts opened you could start from the bottom and work your way up :wacko: :lol:

Also if you want to see the 2009, 2008, 2007 Seasons they are all on there as well. I only have 2006, 2005 & 2004 to Upload.

Hopefully those Accounts will show partly what it is like on a StormChase Day, if you want to match the days with the Original Threads on here (Pages 1-4) the Discussion Pages are pretty good to look through as they show our Forecasts and Discussion on the Morning of the Chases as well.

Regards

Paul S

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=storm-chase-highlights;sess=

Also for the Newbies above is the Link to some of the Highlights from last year - Some Briefings and Some Footage of Tornadoes. When you click the Link the other Clips are on the Right hand side.

Paul S

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  • 1 month later...
Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Going to do 1 of these for each of our Chase Dates over the next 7 weeks, so seeing as we are Starting our Chase this year on April 30th here are some Stats on this date and where we are likely to be Chasing. This also should be a good exercise to show how the Season Transitions from South to North and also ultimately will show the hottest day statistically in the last 12 years I already know it but it will be good to put it out there

There have been 105 Tornadoes on April 30th in the Period 1999-2010 which works out at an average of 8.9 Per Day. The Largest has been Classed as EF4/F4

By State these 105 Tornadoes are broken down as Follows

April 30th

TEXAS - 26

MISSOURI - 19

ARKANSAS - 15

ALABAMA - 12

ILLINOIS - 8

IOWA - 6

MISSISPI - 4

WISCONSN - 4

KANSAS - 3

KENTUCKY - 3

COLORADO - 2

TENNESSE - 2

NEW MXCO - 1

And by Year

1999 - 6 Tornadoes (5) Texas and (1) New Mexico

2000 - 14 Tornadoes (14) Texas Panhandle

2001 - 4 Tornadoes (1) Texas and (3) Iowa

2002 - 4 Tornadoes (2) Mississippi (1) Alabama and (1) Tennessee

2003 - 22 Tornadoes (7) Illinois (6) Missouri (3) Kansas (3) Iowa (2) Colorado (1) Texas

2004 - 2 Tornadoes (2) Texas Panhandle

2005 - 13 Tornadoes (11) Alabama and (2) Mississippi

2006 - 3 Tornadoes (2) Missouri and (1) Illinois

2007 - 3 Tornadoes (3) Texas Panhandle

2008 - 0 Tornadoes

2009 - 3 Tornadoes (2) Kentucky and (1) Arkansas

2010 - 31 Tornadoes (14) Arkansas (11) Missouri (4) Wisconsin (1) Tennessee (1) Kentucky

Will do 01st May next for you and at the end will compile all dates to see who comes out on top.

One of the most staggering things about this date is the Zero Tornadoes for Oklahoma :whistling:

Paul S

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Moving onto the 1st May now and we see as expected a shift upwards of Tornado Numbers

There have been 144 Tornadoes on the 1st May in the period 1999-2010 which works out at an average of exactly 12 per day - The largest once again rated EF4/F4

By State these 144 Tornadoes are broken down as Follows

May 1st

TEXAS - 20

ARKANSAS - 16

TENNESSEE - 16

KANSAS - 15

OKLAHOMA - 14

ILLINOIS - 14

MISSISSIPPI - 13

IOWA - 7

MINNESOTA - 7

MISSOURI - 6

KENTUCKY - 5

WISCONSIN - 3

INDIANA - 2

PENNSYLVANIA - 2

NEBRASKA - 1

OHIO - 1

GEORGIA - 1

NEW YORK - 1

And By Year

1999 - 10 Tornadoes - (10) Texas Panhandle

2000 - 3 Tornadoes - (3) Kansas

2001 - 10 Tornadoes - (7) Minnesota and (3) Wisconsin

2002 - 15 Tornadoes - (14) Illinois and (1) Georgia

2003 - 14 Tornadoes - 8 Oklahoma (2) Arkansas (2) Indiana (1) Nebraska (1) Ny

2004 - 10 Tornadoes - (4) Missispi (3) Texas (1) Iowa (1) Arkansas and (1) Missouri

2005 - 0 Tornadoes

2006 - 0 Tornadoes

2007 - 10 Tornadoes - (4) Kansas (3) Texas (2) Pennsylvania and (1) Ohio

2008 - 23 Tornadoes - 8 Kansas (6) Oklahoma (6) Iowa and (3) Missouri

2009 - 7 Tornadoes - (3) Texas (2) Arkansas and (2) Tennessee

2010 - 42 Tornadoes - (14) Tennessee (11) Arkansas (9) Missispi (5) Kentucky (2) MO (1) Tex

Next up is 2nd May

Regards

Paul S

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Posted
  • Location: Scarborough, North Yorkshire - 80m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Tornadoey
  • Location: Scarborough, North Yorkshire - 80m ASL

Do you have to remind me of May 2nd 2008.. I so wish I'd chased into AR that day.... ;)

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Lol same here Mate - We took the decision after ending up in Independence like yourself that Michael Fish would not be up for the trip - Mahoooosive Mistake as he was surprised when we landed at the Big Texan on the 3rd why we did not Chase on the 2nd :wallbash::rolleyes:

He was well up for the Trip chase and the mileage :nonono:

14 Of the buggers coming including a few EF3's

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

As promised and especially for Gorky ;) the 2nd May now and we see some good numbers again - The 3rd and 4th coming Up see some Big Hitters including 2 of the biggest EF5/F5's in History in Kansas and Oklahoma

There have been 94 Tornadoes on the 2nd May in the period 1999-2010 which works out at an average rounded up of 8 per day - The largest rated EF3/F3 in Arkansas in 2008 :doh:

By State these 94 Tornadoes are broken down as Follows

May 2nd

TEXAS - 23

ARKANSAS - 15

MISSISSIPPI - 11

NEBRASKA - 10

TENESSEE - 5

MISSOURI - 4

VIRGINIA - 4

KENTUCKY - 4

OKLAHOMA - 3

LOUISIANA - 3

KANSAS - 2

NEW MEXICO - 2

ALABAMA - 2

SOUTH DAKOTA - 1

ILLINOIS - 1

GEORGIA - 1

MARYLAND - 1

S CAROLINA - 1

N CAROLINA - 1

And By Year

1999 - 10 Tornadoes - (10) Nebraska

2000 - 3 Tornadoes - (3) Texas

2001 - 2 Tornadoes - (2) Texas

2002 - 3 Tornadoes - (2) Virginia and (1) Maryland

2003 - 1 Tornadoes - (1) South Carolina

2004 - 5 Tornadoes - (2) Virginia (1) Georgia (1) Illinois and (1) N Carolina

2005 - 0 Tornadoes

2006 - 8 Tornadoes - (5) Texas (1) S Dakota (1) Kentucky and (1) Louisiana

2007 - 8 Tornadoes - (6) Texas and (2) New Mexico

2008 - 39 Tornadoes - (14)Ark (7) Ms (5) Ten (4) MO (3) Texas (3) Okla (2) Louis (1) Kansas

2009 - 11 Tornadoes - (4) Texas (4) Mississippi (2) Alabama and (1) Arkansas

2010 - 4 Tornadoes - (3) Kentucky and (1) Kansas

Next up is a Biggie with the 3rd May

Regards

Paul S

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Posted
  • Location: Scarborough, North Yorkshire - 80m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Tornadoey
  • Location: Scarborough, North Yorkshire - 80m ASL

42 last year :o That was the High risk in Arkansas?

It was the day after the back to back High Risks, although many of the tornados were a continuation into the early hours of the overnight outbreak which started the previous day in Arkansas. There were only 5 or 6 confirmed in Arkansas if I remember correct of which one was the DeWitt tornado you guys saw. None caused significant damage in the High Risk area but there were 4 fatalities the following evening in Missisppi from a number of strong tornadoes after dark.

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Moving on to one of the Biggies and Namely May 3rd - This obviosuly Dominated by 1999 with a Devastating F5 That hit an area from Lawton to Oklahoma City Metro - This Outbreak Injured 675 in Oklahoma and There were 40 Fatalities, Also on this day was another Big Tornado that hit the main Metro Area near Wichita in Kansas and rated as F4 - This Tornado injured 150 people and claimed the lives of 6

There have been 129 Tornadoes on the 3rd May in the period 1999-2010 which works out at an average rounded up of 11 per day - The largest rated EF5/F5 in Oklahoma in 1999

By State these 129 Tornadoes are broken down as Follows

May 3rd

OKLAHOMA - 58

TEXAS - 14

NEBRASKA - 13

ALABAMA - 7

COLORADO - 6

MISSISSIPPI - 6

LOUISIANA - 6

KANSAS - 5

MISSOURI - 4

S DAKOTA - 3

ARKANSAS - 1

TENESSEE - 1

VIRGINIA - 1

UTAH - 1

S CAROLINA - 1

N CAROLINA - 1

And By Year

1999 - 71 Tornadoes - (58) Oklahoma (7) Nebraska (3) Kansas (2) S Dakota (1) Texas

2000 - 1 Tornadoes - (1) Texas

2001 - 2 Tornadoes - (2) Texas

2002 - 0 Tornadoes

2003 - 13 Tornadoes - (6) Nebraska (6) Texas (1) S Dakota

2004 - 0 Tornadoes

2005 - 1 Tornadoes - (1) Florida

2006 - 5 Tornadoes - (3) Missouri and (2) Kansas

2007 - 13 Tornadoes - (6) Colorado(3) Texas (2) Louisiana (1) Missouri and (1) Arkansas

2008 - 0 Tornadoes

2009 - 22 Tornadoes - (7) Albma (6) Missipi (4) Louis (1) Tx (1) Ten (1) Virg (1) NC (1) Ut

2010 - 1 Tornadoes - (1) S Carolina

Next up is another Biggie with the 4th May

Regards

Paul S

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

We now move onto one of the most Active Days Statistically in the last 12 years namely May 4th - This obviously Dominated by the Massive and 1st ever EF5 in 2007 which struck the farming community of Greensburg (Kansas) in Kiowa County at 950pm that night as a 1.8 Mile Wide Wedge Tornado. Also on this date was the huge Outbreak in 2003 with 4 Dual State F4's and 7 F3's which Injured 346 People with 38 Fatalities. One Tornado from SE Kansas into SW Missouri was on the ground for 86 Miles.

There have been 195 Tornadoes on the 4th May in the period 1999-2010 which works out at an average rounded down of 16 per day - The largest rated EF5/F5 in Kansas in 2007

By State these 195 Tornadoes are broken down as Follows

May 4th

KANSAS - 42

MISSOURI - 30

TEXAS - 27

ARKANSAS - 22

OKLAHOMA - 20

TENESSEE - 17

KENTUCKY - 11

NEBRASKA - 8

S CAROLINA - 5

LOUISIANA - 3

S DAKOTA - 3

ILLINOIS - 3

VIRGINIA - 1

COLORADO - 1

WISCONSIN - 1

MISSISSIPPI - 1

And By Year

1999 - 45 Tornadoes - (12) Oklahoma (12) Texas (12) Kansas (7) Arkansas (1) Missouri (1) Lou

2000 - 6 Tornadoes - (6) Arkansas

2001 - 13 Tornadoes - (4) Nebraska (3) Texas (3) Oklahoma (3) Missouri

2002 - 12 Tornadoes - (9) Texas and (3) S Carolina

2003 - 81 Tornadoes - (25) MO (17) Ten (11) Kentcky (10) Kansas (9) Ark (4) Neb (4) Ok (1) SD

2004 - 0 Tornadoes

2005 - 0 Tornadoes

2006 - 4 Tornadoes - (3) Texas and (1) Louisiana

2007 - 28 Tornadoes - (20) Kansas (3) Illinois (2) Okla (2) S Dakota and (1)Colorado

2008 - 0 Tornadoes

2009 - 5 Tornadoes - (2) S Carolina (1) Missip (1) Virginia (1) Louisiana

2010 - 1 Tornadoes - (1) Wisconsin

Next up is yet another Biggie with the 5th May

Regards

Paul S

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

We now move onto another of the really active days Statistically in the last 12 years namely May 5th - Once again 1999 features heavily with Tennessee this time getting hit with an F4 Tornado that unfortunately killed 3 People with 17 Injuries. Also of note was the Plains Outbreak High Risk of Saturday May 5th 2007 coming a day after the EF5 Tornado that hit Greensburg and in the Same area of Kansas as well. 90 Tornadoes would touch down this day in a swathe from Oklahoma to South Dakota, fortunately only 1 Fatality about 2 Miles North of Ellsworth in Kansas where the Netweather Team stayed that night after we had to vacate our Hotel with a Wedge Tornado in the Vicinity.

There have been 204 Tornadoes on the 5th May in the period 1999-2010 which works out at an average of exactly 17 per day - The largest rated F4 in Tennessee in 1999

By State these 204 Tornadoes are broken down as Follows

May 5th

KANSAS - 49

TEXAS - 44

S DAKOTA - 24

TENNESSEE - 20

OKLAHOMA - 15

NEBRASKA - 14

MISSISSIPPI - 9

N CAROLINA - 8

IOWA - 4

S CAROLINA - 2

INDIANA - 2

KENTUCKY - 2

IDAHO - 2

MINNESOTA - 2

MISSOURI - 1

UTAH - 1

ILLINOIS - 1

ARKANSAS - 1

COLORADO - 1

WISCONSIN - 1

MICHIGAN - 1

And By Year

1999 - 16 Tornadoes - (6) Ten (4) Misspi (2) Indiana (1) Ktcky (1) Utah (1) Wis (1) Illin

2000 - 0 Tornadoes

2001 - 6 Tornadoes - (3) Texas (2) Oklahoma (1) Kansas

2002 - 34 Tornadoes - (18) Texas (12) Kansas (2) Oklahoma and (2) Nebraska

2003 - 25 Tornadoes - (14) Ten (5) Misspi (2) SC (1) MO (1) Ktcky (1) Ark (1) Michigan

2004 - 0 Tornadoes

2005 - 4 Tornadoes - (2) Idaho and (2) Minnesota

2006 - 18 Tornadoes - (18) Texas

2007 - 90 Tornadoes - (36) Kansas (24) SD (12) Neb (10) Okla (4)Iowa (3) Texas (1) Colorado

2008 - 3 Tornadoes - (2) Texas and (1) Oklahoma

2009 - 8 Tornadoes - 8 North Carolina

2010 - 0 Tornadoes

Next up is 6th May

Regards

Paul S

Edit So Far as Follows & Mainly For Tour 1

Apr 30th : 105 Tornadoes

May 01st : 144 Tornadoes

May 02nd : 94 Tornadoes

May 03rd : 129 Tornadoes

May 04th : 195 Tornadoes

May 05th : 204 Tornadoes

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Moving onto the 6th May now and we see the Tornadoes are shared between 26 of the 52 States and also Texas starting to lose it's early Season Grip. There have been quite a lot of Dixie Alley Outbreaks on these days in the last 12 years. The most notable outbreak on this day in the Historical Period was in 2003 with quite a large Outbreak seeing 74 Tornadoes, the biggest rated F4 In Illinois which Killed 2 and Injured 33 People, this Tornado was on the ground for 54 Miles.

There have been 140 Tornadoes on the 6th May in the period 1999-2010 which works out at an average rounded up of 12 per day - The largest rated F4 in Illinois in 2003

By State these 140 Tornadoes are broken down as Follows

May 6th

MISSOURI - 27

ALABAMA - 21

KENTUCKY - 10

ILLINOIS - 9

TEXAS - 8

KANSAS - 8

S CAROLINA - 8

GEORGIA - 7

OKLAHOMA - 6

MISSISSIPPI - 6

IOWA - 4

WISCONSIN - 4

ARKANSAS - 3

WYOMING - 3

ARIZONA - 2

NEW MEXICO - 2

NEBRASKA - 2

OREGON - 2

COLORADO - 1

MICHIGAN - 1

N CAROLINA - 1

N DAKOTA - 1

TENNESSEE - 1

FLORIDA - 1

VIRGINIA - 1

WASHINGTON - 1

And By Year

1999 - 6 Tornadoes - (3) S Carolina (1) N Carolina (1) Georgia (1) Michigan

2000 - 3 Tornadoes - (3) Wyoming

2001 - 5 Tornadoes - (3) Oklahoma (2) Texas

2002 - 3 Tornadoes - (2) Wisconsin (1) Kansas

2003 - 74 Tornadoes - (27) Mo (10) Kty (9) Ala (9) Ill(6) Geor (5) SC (3) Msspi + 5 Singles

2004 - 0 Tornadoes

2005 - 5 Tornadoes - (2) New Mexico (2) Wisconsin and (1) Colorado

2006 - 2 Tornadoes - (2) Texas

2007 - 16 Tornadoes - (6) Kansas (4) Iowa (2) Tex (2) Okla (1)Nebraska (1) Florida

2008 - 3 Tornadoes - (1) Texas (1) Nebraska and (1) Arizona

2009 - 22 Tornadoes - (12) Alab (3) Ark (3) Misspi (2) Oregn (1) Virg (1) Washington

2010 - 1 Tornadoes - (1) Kansas

Next up is 7th May

Regards

Paul S

Edit So Far as Follows & Mainly For Tour 1

Apr 30th : 105 Tornadoes

May 01st : 144 Tornadoes

May 02nd : 94 Tornadoes

May 03rd : 129 Tornadoes

May 04th : 195 Tornadoes

May 05th : 204 Tornadoes

May 06th : 140 Tornadoes

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Moving onto the 7th May now and nothing too inspiring apart from a Mini Outbreak in 2002 in Kansas which spawned a few F3 Tornadoes with just a few Injuries. Apart from that an average type of day over the last 12 years. There was also quite a few Tornadoes in a mini outbreak in 2003 on this day.

There have been 101 Tornadoes on the 7th May in the period 1999-2010 which works out at an average rounded down to 8 per day - The largest rated F3 in Kansas in 2002

By State these 101 Tornadoes are broken down as Follows

May 7th

KANSAS - 22

ALABAMA - 14

TEXAS - 10

NEBRASKA - 10

OKLAHOMA - 8

MINNESOTA - 7

GEORGIA - 4

ARKANSAS - 4

N CAROLINA - 3

S CAROLINA - 3

MISSISSIPPI - 3

ILLINOIS - 2

VIRGINIA - 2

MARYLAND - 2

LOUISIANA - 2

OHIO - 1

WYOMING - 1

COLORADO - 1

MISSOURI - 1

N DAKOTA - 1

And By Year

1999 - 4 Tornadoes - (3) Alabama (1) Georgia

2000 - 7 Tornadoes - (5) Minnesota (2) Nebraska

2001 - 0 Tornadoes

2002 - 22 Tornadoes - (17) Kan (3) Tex (1) Arkansas (1) Illinois

2003 - 29 Tornadoes - (11) Ala (3) Tex (3) Mispi (3) Arkan (3) Geor (2) Lou (1) Col (1) Virg

2004 - 2 Tornadoes - (1) Virginia & (1) Illinois

2005 - 8 Tornadoes - 8 Nebraska

2006 - 11 Tornadoes - (5) Kansas (3) S Carolina (2) Minnesota and (1) North Dakota

2007 - 2 Tornadoes - (2) Oklahoma

2008 - 11 Tornadoes - (6) Oklahoma (4) Texas and (1) Wyoming

2009 - 4 Tornadoes - (3) North Carolina and (1) Missouri

2010 - 1 Tornadoes - (1) Ohio

Next up is 8th May

Regards

Paul S

Edit So Far as Follows & Mainly For Tour 1

Apr 30th : 105 Tornadoes

May 01st : 144 Tornadoes

May 02nd : 94 Tornadoes

May 03rd : 129 Tornadoes

May 04th : 195 Tornadoes

May 05th : 204 Tornadoes

May 06th : 140 Tornadoes

May 07th : 101 Tornadoes

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Now onto the 8th May and we start to see a definate shift Northwards now and leave Texas Behind, although Texas can light up much later than this in the Season it would appear the 8th May has not seen much action, Kansas and Missouri right in the Middle of both Tornado and Dixie Alley are the Bullseye areas. There was quite a large Outbreak once again in 2003 with an F4 Injuring 134 People in Oklahoma in Cleveland County.

There have been 171 Tornadoes on the 8th May in the period 1999-2010 which works out at an average rounded down to 14 per day - The largest rated F4 in Oklahoma in 2003

By State these 171 Tornadoes are broken down as Follows

May 8th

KANSAS - 40

MISSOURI - 23

OKLAHOMA - 18

ILLINOIS - 12

TENNESSEE - 11

VIRGINIA - 9

IOWA - 8

ALABAMA - 8

MISSISSIPPI - 7

COLORADO - 5

N CAROLINA - 5

KENTUCKY - 4

OHIO - 4

TEXAS - 3

NEBRASKA - 3

MINNESOTA - 3

MARYLAND - 2

N DAKOTA - 1

S DAKOTA - 1

FLORIDA - 1

LOUISIANA - 1

WASHINGTON - 1

INDIANA - 1

And By Year

1999 - 0 Tornadoes

2000 - 4 Tornadoes - (3) Illinois and (1) Florida

2001 - 3 Tornadoes - (3) Kansas

2002 - 21 Tornadoes - (13) Kan (4) Iowa (1) Ohio (1) Oklahoma (1) Misspi and (1) Illinois

2003 - 47 Tornadoes - (21) Kan (11) Oklahoma (5) Col (3) Msspi (2) Ill (1) Neb (1) Ten (1) Virg (1) Ktcky (1) Indiana

2004 - 4 Tornadoes - (2) Nebraska and (2) Iowa

2005 - 6 Tornadoes - (3) Minnesota (1) Kansas (1) N Dakota and (1) S Dakota

2006 - 1 Tornadoes - (1) Louisiana

2007 - 9 Tornadoes - (6) Oklahoma and (3) Texas

2008 - 28 Tornadoes - 8 Alab (5) Virg (3) Misspi (3) N Carolina (3) Ohio (2) Kansas (2) Tenesse and (2) Maryland

2009 - 47 Tornadoes - (23) Missouri 8 Ten (6) Illin (4) Virginia (3) Kentcky (2) North Carolina and (1) Iowa

2010 - 1 Tornadoes - (1) Washington

Next up is Tour 1's last Chase Day in 2011 - 9th May

Regards

Paul S

Edit So Far as Follows & Mainly For Tour 1

Apr 30th : 105 Tornadoes

May 01st : 144 Tornadoes

May 02nd : 94 Tornadoes

May 03rd : 129 Tornadoes

May 04th : 195 Tornadoes

May 05th : 204 Tornadoes

May 06th : 140 Tornadoes

May 07th : 101 Tornadoes

May 08th : 171 Tornadoes

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Finally onto the last Chase Day of Tour 1 and some quirky and strange facts about this day, the Shift Northwards is still apparant but the amazing fact is Kansas has not had a single Tornado in the last 12 years but ALL States around it have :wacko: There was one notable Outbreak again in 2003 with 31 Tornadoes but overall not a record setting day. Strange that California has had more Tornadoes on this day than both Kansas and Colorado as well. Just 1 Killer Tornado occured on the 9th May 2006 in Westminster (Texas) of which I chased.

There have been 95 Tornadoes on the 9th May in the period 1999-2010 which works out at an average rounded up to 8 per day - The largest rated F3 in Oklahoma in 2003 and Texas in 2006

By State these 95 Tornadoes are broken down as Follows

May 9th

OKLAHOMA - 13

MINNESOTA - 13

N CAROLINA - 12

TEXAS - 11

S DAKOTA - 8

ARKANSAS - 6

MISSOURI - 5

VIRGINIA - 5

OHIO - 4

INDIANA - 3

IOWA - 2

ILLINOIS - 2

ALABAMA - 2

CALIFORNIA - 2

WASHINGTON - 2

NEBRASKA - 1

COLORADO - 1

WYOMING - 1

VERMONT - 1

IDAHO - 1

And By Year

1999 - 12 Tornadoes - 8 S Dakota (3) Texas and (1) Washington

2000 - 8 Tornadoes - (4) Arkansas (3) Ohio and (1) Indiana

2001 - 10 Tornadoes - (9) Minnesota and (1) Nebraska

2002 - 3 Tornadoes - (1) Colorado (1) Ohio and (1) Illinois

2003 - 31 Tornadoes - (10) Oklahoma (9) N Carolina (5) Virg (5) Missouri (Ill) (1) Indiana

2004 - 7 Tornadoes - (4) Minnesota (2) Iowa and (1) Indiana

2005 - 4 Tornadoes - (2) California (1) Washington and (1) Idaho

2006 - 10 Tornadoes - (5) Texas (3) Oklahoma and (2) Alabama

2007 - 3 Tornadoes - (3) Texas

2008 - 4 Tornadoes - (3) North Carolina and (1) Wyoming

2009 - 3 Tornadoes - (2) Arkansas and (1) Vermont

2010 - 0 Tornadoes

Next up is the first Changeover Day namely 10th May which last year saw a Massive Outbreak in Oklahoma with a few EF4 Tornadoes and unfortunately some Fatalities

Final Figures for Tour 1 to look over sees a Healthy Chase Period with the following numbers

Apr 30th : 105 Tornadoes

May 01st : 144 Tornadoes

May 02nd : 94 Tornadoes

May 03rd : 129 Tornadoes

May 04th : 195 Tornadoes

May 05th : 204 Tornadoes

May 06th : 140 Tornadoes

May 07th : 101 Tornadoes

May 08th : 171 Tornadoes

May 09th : 95 Tornadoes

So there were 1,388 Tornadoes in This Period which is an average of 139 in the 10 Chase Days or an Average Tornado Count per day of 12 Rounded Up.

Paul S

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Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL

Final Figures for Tour 1 to look over sees a Healthy Chase Period with the following numbers

Apr 30th : 105 Tornadoes

May 01st : 144 Tornadoes

May 02nd : 94 Tornadoes

May 03rd : 129 Tornadoes

May 04th : 195 Tornadoes

May 05th : 204 Tornadoes

May 06th : 140 Tornadoes

May 07th : 101 Tornadoes

May 08th : 171 Tornadoes

May 09th : 95 Tornadoes

So there were 1,388 Tornadoes in This Period which is an average of 139 in the 10 Chase Days or an Average Tornado Count per day of 12 Rounded Up.

Paul S

So rounded up, is there a chance I'll see more than one touchdown this year? :cray:

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Lol Quentin

Just think if changeover day had happened a day later and Campo (31st) had been a day earlier then you would have seen 6 Tornadoes - I cant make the weather happen on a certain day as you know. Just remember I know some people that have been going for 5 years and not seen a Photogenic Tornado, it even took Nathan (Gorky) 3 years to see a Tornado worthy of a Picture.

Paul S

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Posted
  • Location: Scarborough, North Yorkshire - 80m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Tornadoey
  • Location: Scarborough, North Yorkshire - 80m ASL

4th trip for the first photogenic one for me actually. Though I blame the weather patterns and my timing for most of that. 2008 was a great year in general but I arrived just after one outbreak and left before the next big one. Don't even start about 2009! Luckily I more than made up for that last year ;)

I imagine May 10th will be another biggie. Large events in 2003/2008/2010 come to mind.

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Hi Nathan

Yes May 10th is another Biggie! Includes 3 x EF4's including the 21 Fatalities at Pitcher (Ok) in 2008 along with the Outbreak in 2010 and another biggie in 2003 which had 3 or 4 F3 Tornadoes in Illinois.

Another Big Day!

Paul S

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

May 10th Now and this is a Changeover day for 2011 so lets hope it is not an active date. This day falls 2nd in the days we have covered so far with 198 Tornadoes and 3 Notable Outbreaks in the last 12 years. In 2003 Fifty one Tornadoes tore across the Mid West with 2 Notable F3 Tornadoes in Illinois injuring 65 people, again in 2008 and this time it was Oklahoma's turn with Pitcher in NE Oklahoma taking a direct hit with an EF4 Tornado which unfortunately killed 22 and injured 375 People including the Death of a EMS Spotter. And History was to repeat last year in 2010 with another High Risk Outbreak with 2 notable EF4 Tornadoes with 2 Fatalities confirmed in Oklahoma. So this day settles in between May 4th and May 5th.

There have been 198 Tornadoes on the 10th May in the period 1999-2010 which works out at an average rounded up to 17 per day - The largest rated EF4 in Illinois in 2003 and in Oklahoma in both 2008 and 2010

By State these 198 Tornadoes are broken down as Follows

May 10th

OKLAHOMA - 44

ILLINOIS - 29

KANSAS - 22

IOWA - 22

MISSOURI - 15

ARKANSAS - 14

TEXAS - 11

COLORADO - 8

INDIANA - 7

ALABAMA - 7

LOUISIANA - 4

MISSISSIPPI - 4

PENNSYLVANIA - 2

WISCONSIN - 2

NEBRASKA - 2

GEORGIA - 1

KENTUCKY - 1

N CAROLINA - 1

MICHIGAN - 1

OHIO - 1

And By Year

1999 - 10 Tornadoes - (6) Texas (2) Kansas (1) Oklahoma and (1) Georgia

2000 - 1 Tornadoes - (1) Pennsylvania

2001 - 13 Tornadoes - (12) Iowa & (1) Illinois

2002 - 2 Tornadoes - (2) Texas

2003 - 51 Tornadoes - (24) Il (12) MO (7) Iow (2) Kan (2) Wis (1) NC (1) Ind (1) Kty (1) Ark

2004 - 11 Tornadoes - 8 Colorado and (3) Illinois

2005 - 5 Tornadoes - (3) Iowa and (2) Nebraska

2006 - 20 Tornadoes - (6) Ind (3) Lou (3) Tex (2) Ala and 1 Each for 6 other states

2007 - 3 Tornadoes - (2) Kansas and (1) Pennsylvania

2008 - 38 Tornadoes - (13) Oklahoma (12) Arkansas (5) Ala (3) Kan (3) MO (2) Missispi

2009 - 2 Tornadoes - (1) Louisiana and (1) Mississippi

2010 - 42 Tornadoes - (29) Oklahoma and (13) Kansas

Next up is the first day of Tour 2 namely 11th May

Apr 30th : 105 Tornadoes

May 01st : 144 Tornadoes

May 02nd : 94 Tornadoes

May 03rd : 129 Tornadoes

May 04th : 195 Tornadoes

May 05th : 204 Tornadoes

May 06th : 140 Tornadoes

May 07th : 101 Tornadoes

May 08th : 171 Tornadoes

May 09th : 95 Tornadoes

May 10th : 198 Tornadoes

Top 3 days Bolded Above so far.

Paul S

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Posted
  • Location: south London
  • Location: south London

looking forward to see which was the most active dates and least at the end of this...

nice info Paul.must of taken you ages to gather this all together...but a very nice job :drinks:152246287ilgepvtb.gif

Edited by dogs32
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