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Stuart

Meto Uk Further Outlook

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Mmm these updates read like a textbook weather book describing average weather conditions you would expect for the time of year. However, they have been very good so far this winter with there persistant unsettled theme, but make for awful reading for anyone hoping for a change to something substantially drier - the betting man will always go for unsettled weather winning out against settled weather given our maritime climate - the odds of a near equal outcome only really surfaces from about late March to early June when the atlantic traditionally runs out of steam..

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I have to disagree about the met office 16 to 30 day forecast being good this winter as it has read like this for most of the season

UK Outlook for Friday 28 Feb 2014 to Friday 14 Mar 2014:

Current indications point towards unsettled conditions persisting for much of this period but not as extreme as recently. The most likely scenario would see northwestern parts of the UK affected by the most frequent spells of unsettled and windy weather. Meanwhile southern and eastern regions should tend to see longer spells of drier and brighter weather than previous weeks, although still with some periods of rain. Temperatures are likely to be close to or slightly above the seasonal average, but with some colder periods possible, and the risk of local frost and ice, and hill snow, especially in the north.

Updated: 1137 on Thu 13 Feb 2014

 

As you can see not correct as we in the south have been getting a soaking while northwestern uk has been drier than normal so IMO the met have failed in 16-30 range this season.

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UK Outlook for Wednesday 19 Feb 2014 to Friday 28 Feb 2014:

It should be largely bright if rather cold on Wednesday, with occasional wintry showers but rain and strong winds are expected to return to the west of the UK later and into Thursday. Temperatures are likely to be around normal in the south but below in northern Britain with frost and ice likely. Thereafter the unsettled theme is likely to continue but conditions are not expected to be as stormy as recent weeks. Northwesterly winds may bring unsettled and wintry weather for a time, and temperatures will be below normal in the north of the UK. Conditions may be less unsettled into the following week with further frost and ice possible, however, a return to more changeable weather is probable by the end of February.

Updated: 1324 on Fri 14 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Saturday 1 Mar 2014 to Saturday 15 Mar 2014:

Current indications point towards unsettled conditions persisting for much of this period but not to the same severity as we have seen recently. The most likely scenario would see northwestern parts of the UK affected by the most frequent spells of unsettled and windy weather. Meanwhile southern and eastern regions should tend to see longer spells of drier and brighter weather than previous weeks, although still with some periods of rain. Temperatures are likely to be close to the seasonal average with colder periods possible. This will maintain the risk of some frosty and icy nights, and also some hill snow, especially in the north.

Updated: 1324 on Fri 14 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Thursday 20 Feb 2014 to Saturday 1 Mar 2014:

An area of rain is expected to cross the UK on Thursday, heaviest in the west and northwest of the UK with snow over hills here. Winds will be strong too. Clearer, showery weather should follow later and last through Friday with winds weakening. Temperatures should be a little above normal in the south and a little below in the north. Sunshine and showers are likely to continue on Saturday but it may turn more generally unsettled form the west during Sunday and into the following week. This is likely to bring stronger winds and further rain, heaviest in the west with snow over northern hills. Temperatures staying slightly above normal in the south and slightly below in the north. Clearer, colder and showery weather is likely between weather systems.

Updated: 1205 on Sat 15 Feb 2014.

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Sunday 2 Mar 2014 to Sunday 16 Mar 2014:

Current indications point towards unsettled conditions persisting for much of this period but not to the same severity as we have seen recently. The most likely scenario would see northwestern parts of the UK affected by the most frequent spells of unsettled and windy weather. Meanwhile southern and eastern regions should tend to see longer spells of drier and brighter weather than previous weeks, although still with some periods of rain. Temperatures are likely to be close to the seasonal average with colder periods possible. This will maintain the risk of some frosty and icy nights, and also some hill snow, especially in the north.

Updated: 1205 on Sat 15 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Monday 3 Mar 2014 to Monday 17 Mar 2014:

Current indications point towards unsettled conditions persisting for much of this period but not to the same severity as we have seen recently. The most likely scenario would see northwestern parts of the UK affected by the most frequent spells of unsettled and windy weather. Meanwhile southern and eastern regions should tend to see longer spells of drier and brighter weather than previous weeks, although still with some periods of rain. Temperatures are likely to be close to the seasonal average with colder periods possible between weather systems. This will maintain the risk of some frosty and icy nights, and also some hill snow, especially in the north.

Updated: 1221 on Sun 16 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Friday 21 Feb 2014 to Sunday 2 Mar 2014:

Cooler, clearer, showery weather on Friday and Saturday, with winds easing. The showers heaviest and most frequent towards the west and south of the UK, and wintry at times, mainly over northern hills. Temperatures should be a little above normal in the south and a little below in the north, with the risk of overnight frosts, mainly in the east. It is then likely to turn more generally unsettled from the west during Sunday and into the following week. This is likely to bring stronger winds and further rain, heaviest in the west with snow over northern hills. Temperatures staying slightly above normal in the south and slightly below in the north. Clearer, colder and showery weather is likely between weather systems, with the risk of frost and ice overnight.

Updated: 1221 on Sun 16 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Saturday 22 Feb 2014 to Monday 3 Mar 2014:

A cold start on Saturday with showers affecting many northern and western parts of the UK, heavy at first, with snow over hills. Many central and eastern parts staying dry with sunny spells. Frosty overnight and mostly dry on Sunday morning but turning cloudy with rain and strong winds reaching the north and west by evening. Temperatures mostly near average. Thereafter it is likely to remain changeable with showers or longer periods of rain, the heaviest and most persistent rain in the north and west, where it will be windiest. Drier and brighter interludes are expected between weather systems, bringing a continued risk of overnight frost and ice. Sheltered eastern parts of the UK should see the best of the dry weather. Temperatures near or a little below normal.

Updated: 1155 on Mon 17 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Saturday 22 Feb 2014 to Monday 3 Mar 2014:

A cold start on Saturday with showers affecting many northern and western parts of the UK, heavy at first, with snow over hills. Many central and eastern parts staying dry with sunny spells. Frosty overnight and mostly dry on Sunday morning but turning cloudy with rain and strong winds reaching the north and west by evening. Temperatures mostly near average. Thereafter it is likely to remain changeable with showers or longer periods of rain, the heaviest and most persistent rain in the north and west, where it will be windiest. Drier and brighter interludes are expected between weather systems, bringing a continued risk of overnight frost and ice. Sheltered eastern parts of the UK should see the best of the dry weather. Temperatures near or a little below normal.

Updated: 1155 on Mon 17 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

 

 

So this update says temperatures mostly near average and then changing temperatures near or a little below normal later on

 

However the BBC monthly outlook from the 24th to 2nd says; however, with south and south westerly winds, temperatures should be above the seasonal average across all areas of the UK. with it remaining unsettled

 

Take your pick for which one is right

Edited by Summer Sun

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UK Outlook for Tuesday 4 Mar 2014 to Tuesday 18 Mar 2014:

Current indications point towards unsettled conditions persisting for much of this period but not to the same severity as we have seen recently. The most likely scenario would see northwestern parts of the UK affected by the most frequent spells of unsettled and windy weather. Meanwhile southern and eastern regions should tend to see longer spells of drier and brighter weather than previous weeks, although still with some periods of rain. Temperatures are likely to be close to the seasonal average with colder periods possible between weather systems. This will maintain the risk of some frosty and icy nights, and also some hill snow, especially in the north.

Updated: 1155 on Mon 17 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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So this update says temperatures mostly near average and then changing temperatures near or a little below normal later on

 

However the BBC monthly outlook from the 24th to 2nd says; however, with south and south westerly winds, temperatures should be above the seasonal average across all areas of the UK. with it remaining unsettled

 

Take your pick for which one is right

 

 

always take Met over BBC, never any reply from UK Met as to why the same direction on emphasis from the senior man to everyone in UK Met leads to different versions BBC and Met, both are written, spoken by Met O staff!

But always Met before BBC, apart from the actual presentation by Met  forecasters. You will never find them following the BBC graphics web version rather than the Met output. Odd as I say but it exists.

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UK Outlook for Sunday 23 Feb 2014 to Tuesday 4 Mar 2014:

Many areas cloudy with some rain on Sunday, the heaviest of which will be across northwestern areas. This heavier rain moving erratically southeastwards through Sunday and into Monday, with the best chance of brightness in eastern England on Sunday. Windy with gales in places, especially in the west. Thereafter, remaining changeable with showers or longer periods of rain, the heaviest and most persistent rain in the north and west, where it will be windiest, with gales at times. This is however a continuing risk of gales in southern areas at times. Drier and brighter interludes are expected between weather systems, bringing a continued risk of overnight frost and ice. Eastern parts of the UK should see the best of the dry weather. Temperatures are expected to be mainly near normal.

Updated: 1149 on Tue 18 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Wednesday 5 Mar 2014 to Wednesday 19 Mar 2014:

Current indications point towards unsettled conditions persisting for much of this period but not to the same severity as we have seen recently. The most likely scenario would see northwestern parts of the UK affected by the most frequent spells of unsettled and windy weather. Meanwhile southern and eastern regions should tend to see longer spells of drier and brighter weather than previous weeks, although still with some periods of rain. Temperatures are likely to be close to the seasonal average with colder periods possible between weather systems. This will maintain the risk of some frosty and icy nights, and also some hill snow, especially in the north.

Updated: 1149 on Tue 18 Feb 2014

 

 

http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Monday 24 Feb 2014 to Wednesday 5 Mar 2014:

It will be an unsettled day on Monday, with bands of showers and longer spells of rain spreading eastwards. It will be windy for many, with a risk of gales in the southwest later. Through the rest of the period, it will remain changeable with showers or longer periods of rain, the heaviest and most persistent of which is most likely in the north and west. It will also remain windy, with gales possible at times in the north and west. Drier and brighter interludes are expected between weather systems, bringing a continued risk of overnight frost and ice. Eastern parts of the UK should see the best of any drier weather. Temperatures are expected to be mainly near normal for many.

Updated: 1110 on Wed 19 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Thursday 6 Mar 2014 to Thursday 20 Mar 2014:

Current indications point towards unsettled conditions persisting for much of this period but not to the same severity as we have seen recently. The most likely scenario would see northwestern parts of the UK affected by the most frequent spells of unsettled and windy weather. Meanwhile southern and eastern regions should tend to see longer spells of drier and brighter weather than previous weeks, although still with some periods of rain. Temperatures are likely to be close to the seasonal average with colder periods possible between weather systems. This will maintain the risk of some frosty and icy nights, and also some hill snow, especially in the north.

Updated: 1134 on Wed 19 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Saturday 8 Mar 2014 to Saturday 22 Mar 2014:

Latest indications suggest a more typically unsettled pattern across the United Kingdom through much of March. Through this period we can expect to see fairly average conditions, which would mean spells of wet and windy weather, mostly in the north and west, but still some decent sunny spells in between, with the best of the drier, brighter conditions in the south and east. Temperatures are likely to be around average, which may lead to more frequent incidences of frost compared to recent weeks.

Updated: 1159 on Fri 21 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

Edited by Stuart

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UK Outlook for Wednesday 26 Feb 2014 to Friday 7 Mar 2014:

It is likely to remain unsettled with a mixture of showers and sunny spells through the end of the first week, and some snow over northern hills. It will be generally windy with gales in some places, particularly in exposed western parts. Some localised frost in the north possible, with average temperatures for the time of year. As we go into the weekend there is a risk of more prolonged, heavy spells of rain, with a risk of gales anywhere. It will turn somewhat colder and drier from the west during the weekend, with an increasing risk of frost. Following this, the latest indications are for weather systems to arrive from the west, with wetter spells and temperatures recovering to near normal.

Updated: 1159 on Fri 21 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Thursday 27 Feb 2014 to Saturday 8 Mar 2014:

Some rain is expected to move across the UK during Thursday, followed by showers and sunny spells which will last through Friday. Some snow is possible over northern hills, and it will be generally windy with gales in places. Temperatures will be near normal and a little above in the south. As we go into the weekend the unsettled weather is likely to continue with further showers, especially in the northwest of the UK. It is also likely to stay windy here. However, a colder, drier and brighter interlude is possible, with an increasing risk of frost. Following this, the latest indications show a return to west or southwesterly winds. This would bring further spells of wet and windy weather, affecting the northwest mainly, with temperatures recovering to near normal.

Updated: 1135 on Sat 22 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Sunday 9 Mar 2014 to Sunday 23 Mar 2014:

Latest indications suggest a more typically unsettled pattern across the United Kingdom through much of March. Through this period we can expect to see fairly average conditions, which would mean spells of wet and windy weather, mostly in the north and west, but still some decent sunny spells in between. The best of the drier, brighter conditions is most likely in the south and east of the UK. Temperatures are likely to be around average, which may lead to more frequent incidences of frost compared to recent weeks.

Updated: 1136 on Sat 22 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Friday 28 Feb 2014 to Sunday 9 Mar 2014:

Generally unsettled on Friday and into the weekend with sunny intervals but also showers and some longer spells of rain. Showers may well be heavy at times with thunder, and may fall as snow in the north. It will be generally windy too, with gales in places. Temperatures will be near normal but it is expected to turn colder as winds become northwesterly. As we go into the following week a colder, drier and brighter interlude is likely, with an increased risk of frost. A return to west or southwesterly winds is possible later in the week, bringing further spells of wet and windy weather to the northwest of the UK mainly, with drier and brighter conditions in the south and southeast. Daytime temperatures should return to near normal.

Updated: 1112 on Sun 23 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Monday 10 Mar 2014 to Monday 24 Mar 2014:

Latest indications suggest a more typically unsettled pattern across the United Kingdom through much of March. Through this period we can expect to see fairly average conditions, which would mean spells of wet and windy weather, mostly in the north and west, but still some decent sunny spells in between. The best of the drier, brighter conditions is most likely in the south and east of the UK. Temperatures are likely to be around average, which may lead to more frequent incidences of frost compared to recent weeks.

Updated: 1135 on Sun 23 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Tuesday 11 Mar 2014 to Tuesday 25 Mar 2014:

Current indications suggest a more typically unsettled pattern across the United Kingdom through much of March. Through this period we can expect to see fairly average conditions, which would mean spells of wet and windy weather, mostly in the north and west, but still some decent sunny spells in between. The best of the drier, brighter conditions is most likely in the south and east of the UK. Temperatures are likely to be around average, which may lead to more frequent incidences of frost compared to recent weeks.

Updated: 1139 on Mon 24 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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UK Outlook for Saturday 1 Mar 2014 to Monday 10 Mar 2014:

The weekend will start unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain, with some heavier bursts at first. This will be most persistent in the far southeast and far north, with a risk of hill snow in the north. There will be some drier slots too, especially on Sunday with a risk of local frost and icy surfaces. Temperatures near normal. Through the next week it will remain unsettled in northern parts, with further rain or showers, and some hill snow. It will be mainly dry but fairly cloudy towards the south with isolated patchy frost. During the middle part of the week rain may spread southwards for a time, before turning wet and windy in the northwest again later, with a risk of gales.

Updated: 1123 on Mon 24 Feb 2014

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

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